Christian Zazueta
P
Great Lakes Loons
+0.6
WAR
Age 21
RHP
6'3" / 163 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.0 · 2030
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.6%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%13.9%
IP66
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2030
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 8 | 8 | 21 | 95 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 17.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 7.59 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 12 | 52 | 212 | 50 | 16 | 6 | 16.0% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 3.29 | 3.97 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 19 | 11 | 71 | 302 | 86 | 23 | 9 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 5.20 | 4.63 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 17 | 17 | 67 | 273 | 81 | 16 | 7 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.41 | 3.88 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 2 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 63 | 24 | 9 | 22.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 21 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 74 | 310 | 77 | 26 | 9 | 25.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 3.90 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 70 | 294 | 69 | 24 | 9 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.18 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 72 | 305 | 74 | 25 | 9 | 24.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.07 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 74 | 312 | 78 | 25 | 9 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 3.99 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 14 | 14 | 75 | 316 | 80 | 25 | 9 | 25.2% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 3.94 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 14 | 14 | 75 | 316 | 80 | 25 | 9 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 3.95 | 3.92 | +1.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 14 | 14 | 74 | 314 | 80 | 24 | 9 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 3.93 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 78 | 24 | 9 | 25.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 3.95 | 3.96 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 72 | 302 | 76 | 24 | 9 | 25.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 3.98 | 4.00 | +0.9 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 70 | 293 | 73 | 24 | 9 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 4.03 | 4.06 | +0.8 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 67 | 283 | 70 | 23 | 9 | 24.8% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.10 | 4.14 | +0.7 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 67 | 23 | 9 | 24.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.17 | 4.22 | +0.6 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 63 | 22 | 9 | 24.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.26 | 4.32 | +0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 59 | 21 | 8 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.36 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 58 | 50 | 219 | 912 | 187 | 76 | 29 | 20.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.10 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 46 | 200 | 832 | 171 | 69 | 26 | 20.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.10 | 4.14 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian Zazueta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 22.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.08 | 24.3% | 16.2% | 216 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Sam Bragg R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 1.9% | .306 | 3.98 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 203 | +0.72 | 3.26 | 277 | 89 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.50 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 167 | -0.40 | 3.06 | 230 | 89 |
| John Russell R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.98 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.78 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 60 | +0.80 | 3.92 | 158 | 89 |
| Adam Parks R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.77 | 21.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .356 | 4.10 | 24.1% | 16.7% | 64 | +0.33 | 3.45 | 137 | 88 |
| Parker Curry R 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.75 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .341 | 4.60 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.85 | 3.75 | 256 | 88 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.89 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .321 | 5.42 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 36 | +1.53 | 3.44 | 213 | 88 |
| J.B. Wendelken R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.41 | 23.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .288 | 3.88 | 27.2% | 16.4% | 124 | +0.47 | 3.02 | 393 | 87 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.03 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 3.52 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.51 | 2.48 | 281 | 87 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.71 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.71 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .293 | 4.53 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.82 | 2.08 | 276 | 87 |
| Nick Rumbelow R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.21 | 22.6% | 6.1% | 2.3% | .295 | 3.40 | 24.8% | 16.4% | 64 | +0.19 | 2.03 | 164 | 87 |
| Jack Anderson R 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.09 | 21.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | .333 | 4.28 | 18.8% | 12.8% | 207 | +1.19 | 3.09 | 267 | 86 |
| Alex Cook R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.03 | 26.1% | 10.8% | 3.2% | .266 | 3.34 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 53 | -0.69 | 2.94 | 119 | 86 |
| RJ Petit R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.50 | 20.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% | .270 | 3.45 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 177 | -1.05 | 3.09 | 231 | 86 |
| John Fasola R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.82 | 21.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | .294 | 2.97 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 58 | -0.85 | 2.72 | 124 | 86 |
| Zach Agnos R 2027 · 3.13 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.13 | 22.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% | .265 | 3.79 | 20.7% | 12.6% | 84 | +0.66 | 2.73 | 136 | 86 |
| Kevin Gadea R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.11 | 24.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 196 | 86 |
| Darin Gillies R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.23 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% | .236 | 4.71 | 20.1% | 10.1% | 183 | +0.48 | 4.22 | 295 | 86 |
| Breckin Williams R 2029 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.63 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .282 | 2.78 | 23.4% | 15.8% | 48 | -0.85 | 2.77 | 107 | 86 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.81 | 154 | 85 |
| Tanner Burns R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.38 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .292 | 5.40 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.02 | 4.38 | 355 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +1.0 | $10M | +$7M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.9 | $4M | +$0.7M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +0.9 | $5M | -$0.4M |
| Totals | $13M | $41M | +$27M | ||