Brent Honeywell — OGILVIE

Brent Honeywell P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION5 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.02

FIP5.15

K%14.5%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%4.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD3030

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5494.8

Whiff%

p1015.3%

p1012.0%

xwOBA vs

p220.345

SL+3.9 (24%)

FB+2.3 (52%)

SI (2%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	130	525	129	27	5	100%	5.4	18.5%	6.0%	12.5%	1.2%	3.18	2.98	—
2015	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	130	525	129	27	5	100%	5.4	24.6%	5.1%	19.4%	1.0%	3.18	2.24	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	115	453	117	25	9	100%	5.8	20.4%	6.2%	14.2%	2.2%	2.34	3.37	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	115	453	117	25	9	100%	5.8	25.8%	5.5%	20.3%	2.0%	2.34	2.74	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	137	568	172	35	12	100%	5.3	25.6%	6.2%	19.4%	2.2%	3.49	2.94	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	137	568	172	35	12	100%	5.3	30.3%	6.2%	24.1%	2.1%	3.49	2.49	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	15	86	356	71	27	15	44%	2.5	17.6%	7.5%	10.1%	4.0%	4.19	4.78	-0.2
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	15	86	356	71	27	15	44%	2.5	19.9%	7.6%	12.4%	4.2%	4.19	4.66	-0.1
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	2	20	98	24	8	7	15%	1.6	21.7%	8.6%	13.1%	8.4%	7.08	6.98	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	2	20	98	24	8	7	15%	1.6	24.5%	8.2%	16.3%	7.1%	7.08	6.40	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	4	68	303	54	30	14	9%	1.5	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	4.5%	5.32	5.33	-0.6
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	4	68	303	54	30	14	9%	1.5	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	4.5%	5.32	5.33	-0.6
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	4	68	303	54	30	14	9%	1.5	17.8%	9.9%	7.9%	4.6%	5.32	5.52	-0.8
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	81	332	53	29	7	2%	1.5	14.2%	8.2%	6.0%	2.3%	3.57	4.23	+0.3
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	81	332	53	29	7	2%	1.5	14.2%	8.2%	6.0%	2.3%	3.57	4.23	+0.3
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	1	81	332	53	29	7	2%	1.5	16.0%	8.7%	7.2%	2.1%	3.57	3.99	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			63	3	94	404	67	37	15	5%	1.5	16.6%	9.2%	7.4%	3.7%	4.10	4.92	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	5	0	5	28	4	2	1	0%	1.1	—	—	—	—	8.44	—	—
YTD	31	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	5	0	5	28	4	2	1	0%	1.1	—	—	—	—	8.44	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	SD	5	0	5	28	4	2	1	0%	1.1	14.3%	7.1%	7.1%	3.6%	8.44	4.76	—
ROS	31	MLB MLE	SD	5	0	6	23	3	2	1	0%	1.1	14.5%	10.0%	4.5%	3.0%	5.02	5.15	-0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	11	51	7	4	2	—	—	14.4%	8.5%	5.9%	3.3%	6.69	2.63	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	57	239	35	25	8	0%	1.1	14.6%	10.3%	4.3%	3.2%	5.17	5.32	-0.5
2028	33	MLB MLE	SD	50	0	52	220	32	23	8	0%	1.0	14.4%	10.7%	3.7%	3.5%	5.35	5.53	-0.6
2027	32	MLB CTX	SD	20	0	21	89	13	9	3	0%	1.1	14.6%	10.3%	4.3%	3.2%	5.17	5.32	-0.2
2028	33	MLB CTX	SD	28	0	29	122	18	13	4	0%	1.0	14.4%	10.7%	3.7%	3.5%	5.35	5.53	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		111	3	144	615	98	59	22	3%	1.3	15.9%	9.6%	6.2%	3.6%	4.51	4.95	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		153	4	200	852	136	82	30	3%	1.3	15.9%	9.6%	6.2%	3.6%	4.51	4.95	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		219	92	642	2663	522	189	74	42%	2.9	19.6%	7.1%	12.5%	2.8%	3.67	3.87	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	29	200	829	163	59	23	42%	2.9	19.6%	7.1%	12.5%	2.8%	3.67	3.87	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brent Honeywell (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	14.5%	10.0%	3.0%	—	5.42	14.5%	4.0%	109	+0.27	—	—	—
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	76
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	74
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	74
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	73
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	72
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	72
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	72
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	70
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	70
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	70
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	70
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	69
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	69
Casey Coleman R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	31	SP-	4.79	15.2%	7.9%	3.6%	.344	5.06	18.4%	9.4%	78	+0.27	2.95	306	68
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	68
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	68
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	68
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	33	SW	4.95	18.3%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.81	11.4%	6.4%	27	-1.14	3.80	284	68
Neftalí Feliz R 2018 · 4.74 FIP	30	SW	4.74	16.2%	13.7%	2.3%	.281	3.61	33.6%	23.7%	41	-1.13	3.54	291	67
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	57	14.5%	10.3%	1.24	5.17
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41