Didier Fuentes — OGILVIE

Didier Fuentes P Atlanta Braves

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs MLB Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 2.1 · 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9284vR 76

ERA3.54

FIP3.57

K%27.2%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%20.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$38M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4550

CTRL4555

CMD4555

K†5565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8897.2

Whiff%

p8130.2%

p9031.5%

xwOBA vs

p900.268

SL+0.7 (24%)

FB-1.5 (69%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.110 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.7M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$9M	+$8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$11M	+$10M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.0	$13M	+$8M
2030	Arb-2	$12M	+2.2	$13M	+$5M
2031	Arb-3	$18M	+2.3	$13M	+$2M
Totals		$38M		$59M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	11	44	173	50	10	2	100%	4.0	19.7%	7.2%	12.4%	1.8%	2.25	3.36	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	11	11	44	173	50	10	2	100%	4.0	28.9%	5.8%	23.1%	1.2%	2.25	2.10	—
2023	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	10	7	26	114	27	12	6	70%	2.6	17.5%	12.4%	5.1%	7.0%	7.27	7.04	—
2023	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	10	7	26	114	27	12	6	70%	2.6	17.5%	12.4%	5.1%	7.0%	7.27	7.04	—
2023	18	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	10	7	26	114	27	12	6	70%	2.6	23.7%	10.5%	13.2%	5.3%	7.27	5.41	—
2024	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	18	17	76	305	98	21	8	94%	4.2	23.8%	8.1%	15.7%	3.4%	2.74	3.97	—
2024	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	18	17	76	305	98	21	8	94%	4.2	23.8%	8.1%	15.7%	3.4%	2.74	3.97	—
2024	19	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	18	17	76	305	98	21	8	94%	4.2	32.1%	6.9%	25.2%	2.6%	2.74	2.72	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	17	70	307	83	22	10	100%	4.1	22.6%	7.5%	15.1%	3.5%	6.30	4.06	+0.7
2025	20	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	17	70	307	83	22	10	100%	4.1	22.6%	7.5%	15.1%	3.5%	6.30	4.06	+0.7
2025	20	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	17	70	307	83	22	10	100%	4.1	27.0%	7.2%	19.9%	3.3%	6.30	3.53	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			58	5	80	342	98	24	11	9%	1.4	28.7%	7.0%	21.6%	3.2%	4.15	3.34	+1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	57	4	84	336	106	24	6	7%	1.5	30.5%	7.0%	23.6%	1.8%	2.25	2.40	+2.2
YTD	21	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	57	4	84	336	106	24	6	7%	1.5	30.5%	7.0%	23.6%	1.8%	2.25	2.40	+2.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	AAA RAW	ATL	3	3	17	63	20	6	1	100%	5.6	31.7%	9.5%	22.2%	1.6%	2.16	2.50	—
2026	21	MLB RAW	ATL	54	1	67	273	86	18	5	2%	1.2	31.5%	6.6%	24.9%	1.8%	2.27	2.28	+1.8
SO FAR	21	MLB RAW	ATL	54	1	67	273	86	18	5	2%	1.2	31.5%	6.6%	24.9%	1.8%	2.27	2.28	+1.8
ROS	21	MLB MLE	ATL	6	0	6	25	7	2	1	0%	1.0	27.2%	7.1%	20.1%	3.4%	3.54	3.57	+0.1
ROS	21	MLB CTX	ATL	6	0	6	25	7	2	1	0%	1.0	27.2%	7.1%	20.1%	3.4%	3.54	3.57	+0.1
2026 TOT	21	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	90	361	113	26	7	—	—	31.2%	7.1%	24.1%	1.9%	2.33	2.48	+2.7
FULL	21	MLB A+C	ATL	—	—	73	309	113	26	7	—	—	36.5%	8.3%	28.1%	2.2%	2.87	2.29	+2.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	111	0	116	492	134	32	14	0%	1.0	27.2%	6.6%	20.6%	2.9%	3.68	3.63	+1.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	134	0	141	595	164	38	17	0%	1.1	27.5%	6.3%	21.2%	2.9%	3.62	3.55	+1.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	153	0	160	677	188	42	19	0%	1.0	27.8%	6.2%	21.6%	2.9%	3.56	3.49	+2.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	166	0	174	736	206	45	21	0%	1.1	28.0%	6.1%	21.9%	2.9%	3.51	3.46	+2.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	167	0	175	739	208	45	21	0%	1.0	28.2%	6.1%	22.1%	2.9%	3.46	3.43	+2.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	164	0	172	728	205	45	21	0%	1.1	28.2%	6.1%	22.0%	2.9%	3.47	3.47	+2.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	ATL	164	0	172	728	204	46	22	0%	1.1	28.1%	6.3%	21.8%	3.0%	3.52	3.56	+2.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	ATL	157	0	165	695	191	45	22	0%	1.0	27.5%	6.5%	21.0%	3.2%	3.64	3.72	+1.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	ATL	147	0	155	653	175	44	22	0%	1.1	26.8%	6.8%	20.0%	3.4%	3.81	3.92	+1.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	ATL	137	0	144	609	159	44	22	0%	1.1	26.0%	7.2%	18.9%	3.6%	4.02	4.15	+0.7
2037	32	MLB MLE	ATL	127	0	134	564	142	43	22	0%	1.1	25.2%	7.6%	17.7%	3.8%	4.25	4.41	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	ATL	106	0	111	469	127	31	14	0%	1.0	27.2%	6.6%	20.6%	2.9%	3.68	3.63	+1.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	128	0	134	566	156	36	16	0%	1.0	27.5%	6.3%	21.2%	2.9%	3.62	3.55	+1.6
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	145	0	152	642	178	40	18	0%	1.0	27.8%	6.2%	21.6%	2.9%	3.56	3.49	+2.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	158	0	166	701	196	43	20	0%	1.1	28.0%	6.1%	21.9%	2.9%	3.51	3.46	+2.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	158	0	166	701	198	43	20	0%	1.1	28.2%	6.1%	22.1%	2.9%	3.46	3.43	+2.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	156	0	164	692	195	43	20	0%	1.1	28.2%	6.1%	22.0%	2.9%	3.47	3.47	+2.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	ATL	156	0	164	692	194	44	21	0%	1.1	28.1%	6.3%	21.8%	3.0%	3.52	3.56	+2.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	ATL	149	0	156	659	181	43	21	0%	1.0	27.5%	6.5%	21.0%	3.2%	3.64	3.72	+1.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	ATL	140	0	147	621	166	42	21	0%	1.1	26.8%	6.8%	20.0%	3.4%	3.81	3.92	+1.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	ATL	130	0	137	578	151	41	21	0%	1.1	26.0%	7.2%	18.9%	3.6%	4.02	4.15	+0.6
2037	32	MLB CTX	ATL	121	0	127	536	135	41	21	0%	1.0	25.2%	7.6%	17.7%	3.8%	4.25	4.41	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1610	5	1710	7222	1982	471	224	0%	1.1	27.4%	6.5%	20.9%	3.1%	3.69	3.31	+25.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	1	200	845	232	55	26	0%	1.1	27.4%	6.5%	20.9%	3.1%	3.69	3.31	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		113	56	300	1235	298	98	38	50%	2.7	24.2%	7.9%	16.2%	3.1%	3.75	3.76	+18.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	37	200	824	199	65	26	50%	2.7	24.2%	7.9%	16.2%	3.1%	3.75	3.76	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Didier Fuentes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	22.4%	7.1%	3.6%	—	3.55	27.5%	21.2%	418	-0.93	—	—	—
Daniel Bies R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	22	SW	3.96	24.5%	6.8%	3.8%	.339	3.17	20.3%	11.0%	89	-0.79	3.17	115	72
William Fleming R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	22	SW	4.12	22.6%	4.9%	4.2%	.267	5.08	13.1%	4.0%	334	+0.96	4.06	449	68
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	66
Orion Kerkering R 2023 · 3.34 FIP	22	SU	3.34	28.3%	7.4%	3.1%	.301	2.88	25.6%	16.4%	179	-0.46	1.90	221	66
Jeronimo Castro R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	21	SP-	3.45	25.2%	8.2%	2.6%	.362	3.85	20.1%	7.9%	35	+0.40	3.19	158	65
Zach Brzykcy R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	24.9%	10.4%	4.2%	.318	3.43	30.1%	18.0%	73	-1.16	3.33	235	64
Clayton McGinness R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	19.4%	4.5%	3.3%	.291	4.63	18.7%	7.8%	84	+0.78	3.85	106	64
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	64
Franco Aleman R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SW	3.95	21.3%	8.2%	2.9%	.391	3.02	28.3%	18.4%	114	-0.93	2.38	225	64
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	64
Trevor Megill R 2015 · 3.75 FIP	21	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.400	4.80	21.9%	15.8%	37	+1.05	1.60	385	63
Grant Dyer R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	21	SU	3.40	26.9%	7.2%	3.0%	.236	3.70	18.5%	12.1%	92	+0.30	2.96	118	63
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	63
Shane Smith R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	23	SU	3.52	28.1%	10.4%	2.7%	.259	3.59	22.9%	13.1%	284	+0.07	3.01	342	63
Corey Knebel R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	23	SU	3.52	28.2%	8.1%	3.2%	.301	2.49	37.5%	27.1%	164	-1.03	2.11	323	63
Kyle Keller R 2016 · 3.34 FIP	23	SU	3.34	22.1%	8.0%	2.0%	.308	3.15	26.7%	17.4%	167	-0.19	2.72	296	62
Isaac Mattson R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	22	SU	4.72	26.4%	10.3%	4.6%	.250	3.24	21.3%	11.9%	158	-1.48	2.95	445	62
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	62
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	19	SW	4.44	25.6%	9.2%	4.2%	.408	5.55	17.2%	2.0%	74	+1.11	3.34	129	61
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.13	24.0%	11.4%	56	+0.78	2.93	103	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9.0	150	27.1%	6.5%	1.21	3.71
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Noah Syndergaard ('23)	4.7	134	23.8%	5.5%	0.95	3.70