Didier Fuentes
P
Atlanta Braves
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.5 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 53 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9384vR 75
ERA3.56
FIP3.59
K%25.2%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%17.6%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8597.0
Whiff%
p5826.6%
K%
p8228.2%
xwOBA vs
p880.275
SL+0.7 (26%)
FB-1.5 (69%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 11 | 11 | 44 | 173 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.0 | 19.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 2.1% | 2.25 | 3.51 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 11 | 11 | 44 | 173 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.0 | 28.9% | 5.8% | 23.1% | 1.2% | 2.25 | 2.10 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 10 | 7 | 26 | 114 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 70% | 2.6 | 17.5% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.27 | 7.14 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 10 | 7 | 26 | 114 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 70% | 2.6 | 23.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 7.27 | 5.41 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 18 | 17 | 76 | 305 | 98 | 21 | 8 | 94% | 4.2 | 23.8% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 2.74 | 3.95 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 18 | 17 | 76 | 305 | 98 | 21 | 8 | 94% | 4.2 | 32.1% | 6.9% | 25.2% | 2.6% | 2.74 | 2.72 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 17 | 70 | 307 | 83 | 22 | 10 | 100% | 4.1 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 3.6% | 6.30 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 17 | 70 | 307 | 83 | 22 | 10 | 100% | 4.1 | 27.0% | 7.2% | 19.9% | 3.3% | 6.30 | 3.53 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 34 | 4 | 54 | 219 | 64 | 18 | 2 | 12% | 1.6 | 28.1% | 8.4% | 19.8% | 1.0% | 2.50 | 2.31 | +1.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | ATL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 222 | 56 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 7.6% | 17.6% | 3.0% | 3.56 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | ATL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 56 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 7.6% | 17.6% | 3.0% | 3.56 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 107 | 441 | 120 | 35 | 9 | — | — | 27.2% | 7.9% | 19.3% | 2.0% | 3.02 | 2.94 | +3.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 90 | 380 | 120 | 35 | 9 | — | — | 31.6% | 9.2% | 22.4% | 2.3% | 3.58 | 2.85 | +2.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 90 | 0 | 94 | 399 | 101 | 28 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 7.0% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 3.87 | 3.81 | +1.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 93 | 0 | 98 | 414 | 107 | 28 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 6.8% | 19.0% | 2.8% | 3.79 | 3.72 | +1.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 96 | 0 | 100 | 424 | 111 | 28 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 6.6% | 19.6% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 3.65 | +2.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 97 | 0 | 102 | 429 | 113 | 28 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.4% | 6.5% | 19.9% | 2.8% | 3.66 | 3.61 | +2.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 97 | 0 | 102 | 429 | 114 | 28 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 6.5% | 20.2% | 2.8% | 3.62 | 3.59 | +2.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 95 | 0 | 100 | 423 | 113 | 28 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 6.5% | 20.1% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 3.63 | +2.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 93 | 0 | 97 | 410 | 109 | 27 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 6.7% | 19.8% | 3.0% | 3.68 | 3.71 | +1.9 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 88 | 0 | 93 | 392 | 101 | 27 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 19.0% | 3.1% | 3.80 | 3.87 | +1.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 83 | 0 | 87 | 368 | 93 | 27 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 7.2% | 18.0% | 3.3% | 3.97 | 4.08 | +1.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 77 | 0 | 81 | 343 | 84 | 26 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 7.6% | 16.9% | 3.5% | 4.18 | 4.31 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 96 | 27 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 7.0% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 3.87 | 3.81 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 89 | 0 | 93 | 393 | 101 | 27 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 6.8% | 19.0% | 2.8% | 3.79 | 3.72 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 90 | 0 | 95 | 401 | 105 | 26 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 6.6% | 19.6% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 3.65 | +1.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 92 | 0 | 97 | 410 | 108 | 27 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 6.5% | 19.9% | 2.8% | 3.66 | 3.61 | +2.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 92 | 0 | 97 | 410 | 109 | 26 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 6.5% | 20.2% | 2.8% | 3.62 | 3.59 | +2.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 90 | 0 | 95 | 401 | 107 | 26 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 6.5% | 20.1% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 3.63 | +1.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 88 | 0 | 92 | 388 | 103 | 26 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 6.7% | 19.8% | 3.0% | 3.68 | 3.71 | +1.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 84 | 0 | 88 | 372 | 96 | 26 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 19.0% | 3.1% | 3.80 | 3.87 | +1.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 79 | 0 | 83 | 350 | 88 | 25 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 7.2% | 18.0% | 3.3% | 3.97 | 4.08 | +0.9 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 73 | 0 | 77 | 325 | 79 | 25 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 7.6% | 16.9% | 3.5% | 4.18 | 4.31 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 949 | 5 | 1010 | 4278 | 1105 | 295 | 128 | 1% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 6.9% | 18.9% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 3.43 | +23.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 1 | 200 | 847 | 219 | 58 | 25 | 1% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 6.9% | 18.9% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 3.43 | +4.6 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 56 | 270 | 1118 | 259 | 93 | 35 | 62% | 3.0 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 3.97 | 3.92 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 42 | 200 | 829 | 192 | 69 | 26 | 62% | 3.0 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 3.97 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Didier Fuentes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 22.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | — | 3.73 | 25.8% | 19.0% | 293 | -0.74 | — | — | — |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 71 |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 71 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 70 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 69 |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 68 |
| Duncan Davitt R 2028 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.42 | 20.4% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .296 | 4.27 | 20.3% | 12.1% | 343 | -0.15 | 4.11 | 423 | 67 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 66 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 66 |
| William Fleming R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.56 | 22.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | .267 | 5.26 | 13.2% | 3.9% | 334 | +0.70 | 3.92 | 438 | 65 |
| Franco Aleman R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 65 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 65 |
| Clayton McGinness R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 19.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | .291 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 84 | +0.67 | 3.79 | 106 | 64 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 64 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 64 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 64 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 64 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 64 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 64 |
| Lazaro Estrada R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.44 | 22.7% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .349 | 3.07 | 23.7% | 14.3% | 185 | -1.37 | 1.92 | 387 | 64 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 11 | 95 | 25.7% | 6.8% | 1.18 | 3.84 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Joe Musgrove ('24) | 9 | 117 | 23.9% | 6.0% | 1.13 | 3.73 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Alex Wood ('24) | 9 | 111 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 0.96 | 3.98 |
| Kenta Maeda ('24) | 8 | 122 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 4.17 |