Didier Fuentes
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.4
WAR
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.9 · 2031
ERA8.28
FIP4.58
xFIP2.24
SIERA2.34
K%22.9%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%14.7%
IP67
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2031
K†5560
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p4023.9%
K%
p1717.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.411
SL+0.7 (19%)
FB-1.5 (71%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 11 | 11 | 44 | 173 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 19.7% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 2.25 | 3.45 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 10 | 7 | 26 | 114 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 17.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 7.27 | 7.03 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 18 | 17 | 76 | 305 | 98 | 21 | 8 | 23.8% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 2.74 | 3.96 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 17 | 17 | 70 | 307 | 83 | 22 | 10 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 6.30 | 4.05 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 3 | 21 | 78 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 27.9% | 10.0% | 1.7% | 2.18 | 2.97 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 63 | 267 | 61 | 22 | 10 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 8.28 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 21 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 84 | 345 | 85 | 29 | 11 | 24.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 6.78 | 4.18 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 71 | 24 | 10 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.93 | 4.39 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 73 | 310 | 76 | 24 | 11 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.26 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 75 | 318 | 79 | 24 | 11 | 25.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.48 | 4.17 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 76 | 321 | 81 | 24 | 11 | 25.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.27 | 4.12 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 76 | 321 | 82 | 24 | 11 | 25.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 4.17 | 4.10 | +0.9 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 76 | 319 | 82 | 24 | 11 | 25.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 4.13 | 4.11 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 74 | 314 | 80 | 24 | 11 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.13 | 4.13 | +0.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 73 | 307 | 77 | 23 | 11 | 25.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 4.18 | 4.21 | +0.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 70 | 298 | 73 | 23 | 10 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 4.25 | 4.30 | +0.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 69 | 22 | 10 | 23.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 4.34 | 4.40 | +0.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 64 | 22 | 10 | 23.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.52 | +0.4 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 60 | 21 | 10 | 22.6% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 4.57 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 55 | 21 | 10 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 4.70 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 55 | 236 | 977 | 219 | 83 | 34 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 4.15 | 4.17 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 47 | 200 | 827 | 185 | 70 | 29 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 4.15 | 4.17 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Didier Fuentes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% | — | 4.27 | 24.5% | 16.8% | 219 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Zach Brzykcy R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.63 | 24.9% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .318 | 3.43 | 30.1% | 18.0% | 73 | -1.20 | 3.33 | 181 | 79 |
| Bryan Woo R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.57 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.1% | .348 | 3.38 | 25.2% | 19.9% | 440 | -0.19 | 2.01 | 517 | 77 |
| Isaac Mattson R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.72 | 26.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .250 | 3.24 | 21.3% | 11.9% | 158 | -1.48 | 2.94 | 397 | 77 |
| Corey Knebel R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.69 | 28.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .301 | 2.49 | 37.5% | 27.1% | 164 | -1.20 | 2.11 | 323 | 76 |
| Trevor Megill R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .400 | 4.80 | 21.9% | 15.8% | 37 | +1.05 | 2.18 | 330 | 76 |
| Orion Kerkering R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 28.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | .301 | 2.58 | 26.7% | 18.9% | 123 | -0.81 | 1.89 | 165 | 75 |
| Jeff Criswell R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.13 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .242 | 5.38 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 306 | +1.25 | 4.13 | 318 | 74 |
| Shane Smith R 2028 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.53 | 28.1% | 10.4% | 2.7% | .259 | 3.55 | 23.8% | 14.9% | 234 | +0.02 | 2.98 | 292 | 74 |
| Hagen Danner R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.49 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .218 | 5.21 | 23.8% | 15.7% | 63 | +1.72 | 3.49 | 155 | 73 |
| R.J. Alvarez R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.87 | 23.1% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .348 | 3.38 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 112 | -1.49 | 3.01 | 302 | 73 |
| Angel Chivilli R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.92 | 19.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .329 | 4.97 | 19.8% | 11.0% | 116 | +0.05 | 2.63 | 297 | 73 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.78 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .341 | 4.02 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.24 | 3.40 | 259 | 73 |
| Sean Boyle R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.87 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.83 | 2.87 | 438 | 73 |
| Jacob Rhame R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.00 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 2.9% | .240 | 3.62 | 24.4% | 17.8% | 182 | -0.38 | 2.77 | 251 | 73 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.16 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.80 | 3.16 | 115 | 73 |
| Jefry Valdez R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.33 | 25.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.23 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 62 | -1.10 | 3.23 | 168 | 72 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.55 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.08 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.47 | 3.07 | 194 | 72 |
| Teofilo Mendez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.48 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | .275 | 3.10 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 45 | -1.38 | 3.10 | 107 | 72 |
| Devon Roedahl R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 9.2% | 100 | +0.73 | 3.94 | 122 | 72 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.18 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.58 | 2.98 | 211 | 72 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 0.110 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $2M | +0.8 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $5M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $7M | +0.9 | $4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $13M | $18M | +$5M | ||