Giovanny Gallegos P St. Louis Cardinals
Age 34 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 110
ERA4.66
FIP4.86
K%22.3%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -3.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +2.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.19 (51 IP)-0.2WAR
-0.2-0.4-0.52628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF7070
CTRL5555
CMD6565
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1892.2
Whiff%
p5926.7%
K%
p5122.3%
xwOBA vs
p290.337
CH+1.8 (7%)
SL-2.5 (49%)
FB-6.3 (44%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201523MIX3 levels3506324164920%1.820.7%4.0%16.7%1.9%1.712.89
201523MIX3 levels3506324164920%1.826.6%3.7%22.8%0.8%1.711.91
201624MIX2 levels420782941061650%1.930.5%5.8%24.6%1.9%1.272.31
201624MIX2 levels420782941061650%1.936.1%5.4%30.6%1.7%1.271.83
201725MIX2 levels44064257911570%1.432.2%6.1%26.1%2.2%2.972.37+1.7
201725MIX2 levels44064257911570%1.435.4%5.8%29.6%2.7%2.972.38+1.7
201826MIX2 levels36056219691130%1.528.8%4.8%24.0%0.8%2.911.70+1.9
201826MIX2 levels36056219691130%1.531.5%5.0%26.5%1.4%2.911.91+1.7
201927MIX2 levels67075282941490%1.133.3%5.0%28.3%3.2%2.282.70+1.9
201927MIX2 levels67075282941490%1.133.3%5.0%28.4%3.2%2.282.71+1.9
202028MLBSt. Louis Cardinals160155721410%0.936.8%7.0%29.8%1.8%3.601.85+0.5
202028MLBSt. Louis Cardinals160155721410%0.936.8%7.0%29.8%1.8%3.601.97+0.5
202129MLBSt. Louis Cardinals73080310951860%1.130.6%5.8%24.8%1.9%3.022.32+2.5
202129MLBSt. Louis Cardinals73080310951860%1.130.6%5.8%24.8%1.9%3.022.38+2.4
202230MLBSt. Louis Cardinals57059235731760%1.031.1%7.2%23.8%2.6%3.052.80+1.2
202230MLBSt. Louis Cardinals57059235731760%1.031.1%7.2%23.8%2.6%3.052.81+1.2
202331MLBSt. Louis Cardinals560552295912110%1.025.8%5.2%20.5%4.8%4.424.24+0.2
202331MLBSt. Louis Cardinals560552295912110%1.025.8%5.2%20.5%4.8%4.424.21+0.2
202432MIX3 levels40140185342492%1.017.8%13.1%4.7%5.3%6.586.16-0.7
202432MIX3 levels40140185342492%1.018.4%13.0%5.4%4.9%6.586.15-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
202634MLBSTL49052219492180%1.122.3%9.6%12.7%3.7%4.664.86-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735MLBSTL44046196422080%1.121.3%10.1%11.2%4.1%4.985.20-0.4
202836MLBSTL39041174351980%1.120.3%10.7%9.6%4.5%5.335.57-0.5
202735MLBSTL42044186401980%1.021.3%10.1%11.2%4.1%4.985.20-0.3
202836MLBSTL34036152311670%1.120.3%10.7%9.6%4.5%5.335.57-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career38704151674466117580%1.127.9%7.0%20.9%3.5%3.803.54+9.0
/ 200 IP186020080622456280%1.127.9%7.0%20.9%3.5%3.803.54+4.3
Career46615842309660142610%1.328.6%6.2%22.4%2.6%2.932.91+17.0
/ 200 IP159020079022649210%1.328.6%6.2%22.4%2.6%2.932.91+5.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Giovanny Gallegos (OGILVIE) 4.86 22.3%9.6%3.7% 5.37 20.8%10.4%88 +0.51
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 34 SU 3.89 23.8%8.6%3.1%.309 4.58 16.8%9.0%63 +0.69 2.51 251 86
Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 33 SU 4.99 23.4%10.7%4.6%.254 3.26 122 84
Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 34 SU 3.83 22.6%9.3%2.6%.230 4.59 19.4%12.7%78 +0.76 3.83 208 84
Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 20.2%7.9%5.1%.289 3.03 120 84
Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 34 SU 4.22 18.3%6.6%3.3%.282 3.92 18.6%12.0%67 -0.30 3.92 186 83
Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 82
Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 20.4%6.4%4.8%.311 2.50 107 80
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 34 SU 4.67 17.4%9.9%3.2%.304 3.59 19.8%11.6%113 -1.08 2.78 326 80
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 34 SU 4.82 18.6%9.4%3.8%.232 2.22 187 79
Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 79
Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP 34 SU 3.84 22.1%8.5%2.8%.248 7.10 19.5%11.0%25 +3.26 2.85 141 79
Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 77
Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.74 FIP 34 SU 4.74 25.5%8.6%4.9%.258 4.22 24.9%15.4%87 -0.52 2.61 339 77
Jared Hughes R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 34 SU 5.05 18.7%9.0%4.3%.224 4.39 19.3%8.3%22 -0.66 3.02 358 76
Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 34 SU 3.93 27.5%10.7%3.3%.260 2.48 277 76
Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 18.0%9.6%4.4%.316 3.05 176 75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 74
Hector Navarro R 2027 · 4.75 FIP 35 SU 4.75 15.0%5.4%4.1%.281 2.93 15.2%9.0%81 -1.82 2.30 126 74
Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 34 SU 3.77 15.4%6.0%2.2%.294 3.35 17.4%8.8%116 -0.42 3.17 225 74
Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 34 SU 4.37 22.0%6.4%4.2%.306 5.16 16.3%4.9%41 +0.79 3.11 113 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION34621.4%10.1%1.574.96
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78