Matt Jachec
P
Akron RubberDucks
Age 25
RHP
5'11" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.21
FIP4.21
K%22.3%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 25.0% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 2.11 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 25.0% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 2.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 72 | 305 | 104 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 2.0 | 25.8% | 6.8% | 18.9% | 2.7% | 4.38 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 72 | 305 | 104 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 2.0 | 34.1% | 5.9% | 28.2% | 2.3% | 4.38 | 2.23 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 28 | 122 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 2.86 | 3.47 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 28 | 122 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 0.8% | 2.86 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 21 | 1 | 29 | 119 | 44 | 11 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 3.6% | 2.15 | 3.94 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.21 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 53 | 219 | 66 | 19 | 6 | — | — | 30.3% | 8.9% | 21.4% | 2.6% | 3.07 | 4.06 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 3.83 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 74 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 1 | 144 | 606 | 149 | 45 | 15 | 1% | 1.6 | 24.7% | 7.4% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.33 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 124 | 1 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 62 | 21 | 1% | 1.6 | 24.7% | 7.4% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.33 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Jachec (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 22.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.20 | 22.6% | 14.1% | 24 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 90 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 89 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .257 | 5.16 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 44 | +1.98 | 3.18 | 117 | 89 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 88 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 88 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 87 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 86 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.55 | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | .313 | 3.38 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 93 | -0.17 | 2.88 | 312 | 86 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 85 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.24 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .274 | 4.67 | 24.1% | 8.8% | 38 | +1.43 | 3.24 | 172 | 85 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 85 |
| Kelly Austin R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.58 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 119 | 85 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.28 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.96 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 65 | +0.68 | 3.28 | 113 | 85 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 84 |
| Colton Hock R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.80 | 21.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | .304 | 3.77 | 17.7% | 11.7% | 60 | -0.03 | 3.41 | 253 | 83 |
| Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 83 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 83 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 83 |