Kyle Virbitsky — OGILVIE

Kyle Virbitsky P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 28 RHP 6'7" / 235 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%21.7%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%12.8%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	7	3	16	70	22	4	1	43%	2.3	24.2%	6.6%	17.6%	1.9%	3.38	2.91	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	7	3	16	70	22	4	1	43%	2.3	31.4%	5.7%	25.7%	1.4%	3.38	1.91	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	126	544	140	30	18	96%	5.5	19.3%	6.5%	12.8%	4.3%	4.63	4.67	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	126	544	140	30	18	96%	5.5	25.7%	5.5%	20.2%	3.3%	4.63	3.45	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	15	103	422	103	40	10	60%	4.1	18.8%	10.9%	7.9%	3.2%	3.83	4.68	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	15	103	422	103	40	10	60%	4.1	24.4%	9.5%	14.9%	2.4%	3.83	3.53	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	58	241	69	15	5	0%	1.4	22.5%	7.0%	15.6%	2.2%	3.43	3.29	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	58	241	69	15	5	0%	1.4	22.5%	7.0%	15.6%	2.2%	3.43	3.29	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	58	241	69	15	5	0%	1.4	28.6%	6.2%	22.4%	2.1%	3.43	2.61	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	25	106	23	10	2	0%	1.6	17.8%	11.2%	6.7%	1.6%	2.49	3.90	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	25	106	23	10	2	0%	1.6	17.8%	11.2%	6.7%	1.6%	2.49	3.90	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	0	25	106	23	10	2	0%	1.6	21.7%	9.4%	12.3%	1.9%	2.49	3.49	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	BAL	14	0	15	63	14	6	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.9%	12.8%	2.9%	4.38	4.38	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	18	8	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.1%	4.45	4.51	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	BAL	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.1%	4.45	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	2	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.1%	4.45	4.13	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	64	32	0%	1.1	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.1%	4.45	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		112	40	329	1383	274	114	46	36%	2.9	19.8%	8.3%	11.6%	3.3%	3.94	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	24	200	842	167	70	28	36%	2.9	19.8%	8.3%	11.6%	3.3%	3.94	4.28	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Virbitsky (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	21.7%	8.9%	2.9%	—	4.51	21.7%	12.5%	20	+0.13	—	—	—
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	76
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	74
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	74
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	73
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	72
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	72
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	70
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	70
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	69
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	69
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	68
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	68
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	67
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	67
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	67
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	67
Cody Poteet R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	28	SW	4.79	18.4%	9.6%	3.7%	.244	3.73	21.1%	13.3%	68	-1.06	3.52	619	67
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	66
Noah Davis R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	27	SW	3.88	18.5%	8.4%	2.3%	.368	5.10	18.3%	7.9%	183	+1.22	3.76	596	66
Jeff Manship R 2013 · 5.11 FIP	28	SW	5.11	12.9%	7.9%	3.8%	.298	3.57	20.0%	11.7%	137	-1.54	2.83	250	65