Zach Brzykcy
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 208 lbs
AAA
ERA6.72
FIP5.21
xFIP5.29
SIERA4.41
K%22.1%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%9.9%
IP30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5555
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p6127.0%
K%
p4721.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.368
CU (24%)
CH (22%)
FB-5.6 (53%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 28 | 1 | 62 | 266 | 86 | 24 | 8 | 24.9% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 5.20 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 51 | 0 | 61 | 247 | 95 | 25 | 5 | 30.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 1.76 | 3.33 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 36 | 2 | 41 | 158 | 47 | 17 | 4 | 27.5% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 3.73 | 3.87 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 52 | 0 | 49 | 238 | 55 | 33 | 10 | 20.6% | 14.9% | 4.9% | 8.63 | 5.94 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 5 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 6.92 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 37 | 154 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 23.8% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 5.50 | 4.12 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 29 | — | 29 | 124 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 5.81 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 172 | 3 | 221 | 937 | 242 | 120 | 33 | 25.8% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.45 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 3 | 200 | 847 | 219 | 108 | 30 | 25.8% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.45 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Brzykcy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 3.7% | — | 5.12 | 23.5% | 10.6% | 29 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 83 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 79 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 77 |
| Connor Sadzeck R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .238 | 4.62 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 94 | +0.39 | 3.21 | 549 | 76 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.81 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 4.7% | .261 | 4.45 | 30.7% | 16.5% | 88 | -0.36 | 3.04 | 230 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 76 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.00 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.2% | .256 | 4.51 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 39 | -0.49 | 2.65 | 315 | 76 |
| Kevin Ginkel R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% | .299 | 2.51 | 27.4% | 19.8% | 195 | -2.74 | 2.37 | 393 | 76 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.68 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 142 | 76 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 75 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.09 | 20.3% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .191 | 4.26 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 131 | -0.83 | 2.39 | 676 | 75 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.24 | 24.3% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .324 | 5.10 | 16.4% | 0.9% | 62 | -0.14 | 3.46 | 183 | 74 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 74 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 74 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.41 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .360 | 5.38 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.97 | 3.46 | 173 | 74 |
| JD Hammer R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.09 | 27.0% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.61 | 14.7% | 1.5% | 85 | +1.52 | 1.72 | 285 | 73 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.76 | 22.6% | 13.2% | 3.5% | .250 | 3.51 | 25.5% | 16.5% | 93 | -1.25 | 2.56 | 522 | 73 |
| Nolan Hoffman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.99 | 24.3% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 239 | 73 |
| Jesus Cruz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.49 | 28.4% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .258 | 4.03 | 18.8% | 7.5% | 61 | -0.46 | 3.15 | 293 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.