Keone Kela
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 33
RHP
6'1" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 95
ERA4.10
FIP4.14
K%26.1%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%16.3%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB-1.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.0% | 7.4% | 20.6% | 1.6% | 2.31 | 2.56 | +1.5 |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.0% | 7.2% | 20.8% | 1.6% | 2.31 | 2.55 | +1.5 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 38 | 168 | 52 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 3.9% | 5.45 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 38 | 168 | 52 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.0% | 10.1% | 20.8% | 3.6% | 5.45 | 3.76 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 169 | 59 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.8% | 10.6% | 23.2% | 2.6% | 2.74 | 3.01 | +0.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 169 | 59 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.9% | 10.1% | 24.9% | 2.4% | 2.74 | 2.75 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54 | 0 | 52 | 212 | 66 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.1% | 8.0% | 23.1% | 2.4% | 3.29 | 2.79 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54 | 0 | 52 | 212 | 66 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.1% | 8.0% | 23.1% | 2.4% | 3.29 | 2.79 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 33 | 135 | 40 | 12 | 5 | 3% | 0.9 | 27.7% | 9.2% | 18.5% | 2.5% | 3.27 | 3.33 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 33 | 135 | 40 | 12 | 5 | 3% | 0.9 | 29.6% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 3.7% | 3.27 | 3.74 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 30.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.50 | 7.32 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 30.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.50 | 8.10 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 12 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.1% | 6.2% | 20.8% | 6.2% | 5.06 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 12 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.1% | 6.2% | 20.8% | 6.2% | 5.06 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 2 | 19 | 86 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 11% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 19.6% | -0.8% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 5.62 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 2 | 19 | 86 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 11% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 18.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 4.82 | 4.92 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 19 | 84 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 7.11 | 3.91 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 19 | 84 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.1% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 3.6% | 7.11 | 4.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 59 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.14 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 52 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 3.3% | 4.31 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 42 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 3.3% | 4.31 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 4.78 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 246 | 0 | 230 | 946 | 282 | 84 | 26 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.8% | 8.9% | 20.9% | 2.8% | 3.34 | 3.24 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 213 | 0 | 200 | 821 | 245 | 73 | 23 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.8% | 8.9% | 20.9% | 2.8% | 3.34 | 3.24 | +5.0 | ||
| Career | — | 292 | 3 | 278 | 1162 | 336 | 117 | 32 | 1% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 3.45 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 210 | 2 | 200 | 835 | 242 | 84 | 23 | 1% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 3.45 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Keone Kela (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.14 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.60 | 24.7% | 14.2% | 92 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 88 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.81 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.13 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 76 | +0.32 | 3.10 | 197 | 80 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 76 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.94 | 23.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | .211 | 3.93 | 27.5% | 16.8% | 42 | +0.99 | 2.48 | 277 | 76 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 73 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 73 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .242 | 3.84 | 24.6% | 15.2% | 65 | +0.52 | 3.32 | 132 | 72 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 72 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.38 | 27.0% | 14.5% | 3.1% | .238 | 3.77 | 23.8% | 15.4% | 84 | -0.61 | 1.97 | 268 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 71 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 71 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 69 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 69 |
| Jake Petricka R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.87 | 19.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | .340 | 3.31 | 18.3% | 10.4% | 24 | -1.56 | 3.04 | 252 | 69 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.97 | 25.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | .240 | 3.77 | 26.8% | 18.2% | 43 | +0.80 | 2.56 | 268 | 69 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 69 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 25.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.17 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 121 | -0.09 | 2.61 | 339 | 69 |
| Ryan Madson R 2027 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 49 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 1.26 | 4.32 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |