Keone Kela — OGILVIE

Keone Kela P Charlotte Knights

Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.12

FIP4.15

K%25.7%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%16.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD6565

K†6060

FB-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	70	0	62	250	70	18	4	0%	0.9	28.0%	7.4%	20.6%	1.6%	2.31	2.54	+1.5
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	70	0	62	250	70	18	4	0%	0.9	28.0%	7.2%	20.8%	1.6%	2.31	2.55	+1.5
2016	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	38	168	52	17	6	0%	1.0	30.0%	11.3%	18.7%	3.8%	5.45	4.11	+0.2
2016	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	38	168	52	17	6	0%	1.0	31.0%	10.1%	20.8%	3.6%	5.45	3.76	+0.4
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	43	169	59	17	4	0%	1.0	33.8%	10.6%	23.2%	2.5%	2.74	2.99	+0.8
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	43	169	59	17	4	0%	1.0	34.9%	10.1%	24.9%	2.4%	2.74	2.75	+0.9
2018	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	54	0	52	212	66	17	5	0%	1.0	31.1%	8.0%	23.1%	2.5%	3.29	2.89	+1.0
2018	25	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	54	0	52	212	66	17	5	0%	1.0	31.1%	8.0%	23.1%	2.4%	3.29	2.79	+1.1
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	33	135	40	12	5	3%	0.9	27.7%	9.2%	18.5%	2.7%	3.27	3.43	+0.4
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	1	33	135	40	12	5	3%	0.9	29.6%	8.9%	20.7%	3.7%	3.27	3.74	+0.3
2020	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	3	0	2	10	3	1	1	0%	0.7	30.0%	10.0%	20.0%	10.0%	4.50	7.32	-0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	3	0	2	10	3	1	1	0%	0.7	30.0%	10.0%	20.0%	10.0%	4.50	8.10	-0.1
2021	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	12	0	11	48	13	3	3	0%	0.9	27.1%	6.2%	20.8%	6.2%	5.06	5.04	-0.1
2021	28	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	12	0	11	48	13	3	3	0%	0.9	27.1%	6.2%	20.8%	6.2%	5.06	5.16	-0.1
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	2	19	86	20	16	2	11%	1.0	18.8%	19.6%	-0.8%	2.9%	4.82	5.61	—
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	2	19	86	20	16	2	11%	1.0	23.3%	18.6%	4.7%	2.3%	4.82	4.92	—
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	19	84	27	11	3	0%	1.2	26.2%	11.1%	15.1%	3.4%	7.11	4.18	—
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	19	84	27	11	3	0%	1.2	26.2%	11.1%	15.1%	3.4%	7.11	4.18	—
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	19	84	27	11	3	0%	1.2	32.1%	13.1%	19.0%	3.6%	7.11	4.05	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			243	0	227	933	279	83	26	0%	0.9	29.9%	8.9%	21.0%	2.8%	3.33	3.23	+3.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	CWS	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.7%	9.3%	16.5%	3.0%	4.12	4.15	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	CWS	46	0	49	206	51	20	7	0%	1.1	24.8%	9.8%	15.1%	3.3%	4.32	4.46	+0.1
2028	35	MLB MLE	CWS	42	0	44	185	44	19	7	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.3%	13.6%	3.7%	4.60	4.79	-0.1
2027	34	MLB CTX	CWS	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.8%	15.1%	3.3%	4.32	4.46	+0.0
2028	35	MLB CTX	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.9%	10.3%	13.6%	3.7%	4.60	4.79	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		246	0	230	946	282	84	26	0%	0.9	29.8%	8.9%	20.9%	2.8%	3.34	3.24	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		213	0	200	821	245	73	23	0%	0.9	29.8%	8.9%	20.9%	2.8%	3.34	3.24	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		292	3	278	1162	335	115	33	1%	1.0	28.8%	9.9%	18.9%	2.9%	3.72	3.49	+3.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		210	2	200	835	241	83	24	1%	1.0	28.8%	9.9%	18.9%	2.9%	3.72	3.49	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keone Kela (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.15	25.7%	9.3%	3.0%	—	4.62	24.4%	14.4%	92	+0.47	—	—	—
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	86
John Axford R 2016 · 3.87 FIP	33	SU	3.87	20.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.304	4.05	22.1%	11.3%	76	+0.18	3.20	197	80
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	74
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	73
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	34	SU	3.45	22.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.242	3.97	24.6%	15.2%	65	+0.52	3.45	132	73
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	72
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	72
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	71
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	71
Jake Petricka R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	33	SU	4.63	19.1%	8.0%	3.9%	.340	3.21	18.3%	10.4%	24	-1.42	3.04	252	70
Pedro Strop R 2018 · 2.99 FIP	33	SU	2.99	23.7%	7.5%	1.7%	.211	4.05	27.5%	16.8%	42	+1.06	2.56	277	70
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	70
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	70
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	69
Blake Parker R 2018 · 4.12 FIP	33	SU	4.12	25.4%	6.5%	4.3%	.290	4.12	24.9%	16.5%	121	+0.00	2.52	339	69
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	69
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	69
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	69
Greg Holland R 2019 · 4.57 FIP	33	SU	4.57	27.0%	14.5%	3.5%	.238	3.79	23.8%	15.4%	84	-0.78	1.97	268	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	24.9%	9.8%	1.29	4.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84