Austin Overn — OGILVIE

Austin OvernOF Montgomery Biscuits

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION217 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .278 / .321

PA144

HR3

SB15

K%36

BB%8

BABIP313

ISO115

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED72

scouting grade only

DEFENSE70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$7M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	93	80	17	3	2	1	10	33	1	16	6	212	308	338	645	125	333	35	11	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	93	75	21	5	3	1	15	25	1	16	6	280	407	467	873	187	392	27	16	381	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	477	418	83	10	3	7	45	166	6	64	8	199	286	287	573	89	305	35	9	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	477	401	100	13	4	13	62	130	6	64	8	249	358	399	757	150	332	27	13	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	TB	—	217	199	49	6	3	8	15	85	2	36	3	246	306	427	733	181	387	39	7	322	105	+1	+6	+0	-1	+6	1.2
YTD	23	AA	TB	—	217	192	60	8	4	10	22	66	2	36	3	312	389	552	941	240	431	30	10	409	171	+17	+6	+0	-1	+6	2.9
ROS	23	AA	TB	2%	144	130	27	4	1	3	12	52	1	15	2	207	278	321	600	115	319	36	8	283	75	-4	+2	+1	-1	+4	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	TB	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						324	33	0	277	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	TB	—	220	202	49	6	3	8	15	86	2	36	3	243	301	421	722	178	380	39	7	321	104	+1	+6	+0	-1	+6	1.2
TOT	23	AA	TB	—	361	329	76	10	4	11	27	137	3	51	5	231	295	385	680	155	356	38	7	306	93	-3	+8	+1	-2	+10	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TB	31%	467	421	91	13	4	12	39	163	4	32	3	216	289	352	640	135	320	35	8	290	80	-11	+5	+3	-3	+13	0.8
2028	25	MLB	TB	45%	495	445	97	14	4	13	42	167	5	29	3	218	293	355	648	137	318	34	8	295	84	-9	+5	+3	-3	+14	1.0
2029	26	MLB	TB	51%	511	457	102	15	4	14	44	170	5	26	3	223	298	365	664	142	316	33	9	297	86	-8	+4	+4	-3	+14	1.1
2027	24	MLB	TB	31%	145	131	29	4	1	4	12	51	1	10	1	221	292	359	650	137	325	35	8	284	75	-4	+2	+1	-1	+4	0.2
2028	25	MLB	TB	45%	221	198	44	6	2	6	19	75	2	13	1	222	297	364	660	141	322	34	9	289	79	-5	+2	+2	-1	+6	0.4
2029	26	MLB	TB	51%	260	233	53	8	2	7	22	86	3	13	1	227	302	369	671	142	321	33	8	291	81	-6	+2	+2	-2	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	629	565	126	18	5	17	53	213	6	36	3	223	296	363	659	140	322	34	8	288	79	-15	+6	+4	-4	+18	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	131	19	5	18	55	220	6	37	3	224	298	366	664	142	324	34	8	288	79	-15	+6	+5	-4	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	2187	1951	417	59	18	50	192	751	22	182	25	214	291	339	631	126	315	34	9	285	77	-58	+26	+11	-13	+62	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	124	18	5	15	57	223	7	54	7	214	292	340	632	126	315	34	9	285	77	-17	+8	+3	-4	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	24	20	5	1	2	0	3	8	1	4	0	250	375	500	875	250	417	33	12	381	150	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	69	55	16	4	1	1	12	17	0	12	6	291	418	455	872	164	385	25	17	380	149	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	136	124	33	5	0	5	9	34	2	21	1	266	326	427	753	161	329	25	7	334	114	+2	+4	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	341	277	67	8	4	8	53	96	4	43	7	242	371	386	758	144	333	28	16	340	118	+7	+6	—	—	+10	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	10	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
	/162	664	17	32	254	292	403	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Billy Hamiltonlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,202 PA	7	3,202	23	295	240	294	328	+11	+78	11.2	11.2
	/162	664	5	61	240	294	328	+2.4	+16.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	632	17	36	222	293	363	-4	+8	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	18	38	222	293	363	-4.0	+8.4	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Overn (OGILVIE)	23	42	42	72	57	231/295/385	155	356	11	51	38%	7%	93	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA	24	40→47	44→45	69→65	45	196/271/317	121	283	11	46	33%	9%	63	-0.9	218/289/328	110	324	10	46	33%	9%	72	-0.2	223/304/322	99	313	9	48	29%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	47→45	39→40	64→70	40	216/309/302	86	322	7	41	32%	6%	77	+0.1	216/302/305	89	306	6	49	29%	5%	74	-0.1	223/313/324	101	306	6	64	26%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2019 · A	23	43	43→45	60→65	37	204/267/318	114	330	10	30	39%	7%	61	-1.0	191/253/296	105	310	11	26	39%	7%	50	-1.8	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2012 · AA	24	42→52	43→55	59→60	41	202/269/316	113	307	10	34	36%	8%	61	-1.0	217/263/331	114	313	12	31	33%	5%	63	-0.9	237/298/404	167	340	15	21	33%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	47→55	42→45	62→65	45	225/295/333	109	304	9	41	28%	8%	77	+0.1	235/310/338	103	316	7	32	26%	9%	84	+0.6	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	39→46	44→50	63→65	36	197/241/326	129	286	10	34	34%	5%	51	-1.7	198/238/314	116	291	8	24	34%	4%	46	-2.0	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Khalil Lee 2021 · AA	23	43→52	42→45	57→55	41	203/277/308	105	321	10	30	37%	8%	63	-0.9	205/307/339	134	347	12	15	40%	9%	85	+0.7	193/306/332	139	346	12	13	42%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	52→60	40→45	63→60	44	247/298/348	101	326	6	35	25%	7%	80	+0.4	257/301/351	94	334	6	28	23%	6%	82	+0.5	255/298/342	87	332	5	27	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Duke Ellis 2023 · AA	25	45→51	40→45	60→80	37	211/267/295	84	331	8	37	37%	6%	54	-1.4	217/276/309	92	331	8	53	34%	7%	62	-0.9	227/278/331	104	316	10	91	30%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Darren Ford 2009 · A	23	45→53	37→45	61→65	44	213/276/287	74	308	5	38	31%	8%	56	-1.3	220/278/320	100	310	8	33	29%	7%	66	-0.6	223/278/332	109	308	9	36	29%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Corey Rosier 2023 · A	23	48→51	42→40	62→60	49	229/304/341	112	296	9	28	25%	9%	82	+0.5	215/276/314	99	288	8	33	26%	7%	63	-0.8	205/266/300	95	272	8	36	26%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Roman Quinn 2016 · AA	23	52→53	42→45	59→65	44	248/302/351	103	319	9	34	24%	6%	83	+0.6	240/294/342	102	333	7	35	28%	6%	77	+0.1	244/301/381	137	331	12	48	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Bradley Zimmer 2016 · AA	23	47→51	48→50	58→60	41	229/298/369	140	315	15	28	31%	6%	88	+0.9	224/295/363	139	339	14	28	35%	8%	85	+0.7	231/308/356	126	350	13	28	35%	8%	86	+0.4
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Adam Engel 2016 · A	24	42→48	39→50	61→60	38	203/255/284	81	299	6	33	33%	6%	46	-2.0	204/262/314	110	293	8	25	31%	6%	57	-1.2	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→33	39→40	63→60	52	173/278/262	89	263	7	32	33%	12%	53	-1.5	178/261/269	91	271	9	28	34%	10%	46	-2.0	178/251/269	91	257	10	29	33%	9%	39	-1.5