Austin Overn

CF Montgomery Biscuits
Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1225ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+/A2 orgs93.280/.407/.46711688—.238/.330/.375
202522AA/A+2 orgs477.249/.358/.399136462—.200/.279/.302
202623AATB282.309/.395/.5651548109—.254/.320/.453
2027PROJMLE24MLBTB3.209/.282/.34900770.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBTB64.212/.285/.35424800.1
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBTB115.213/.287/.35636810.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed99
wRC+94
wOBA92
ISO91
Chase%75
BB%53
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 5.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 84%
CompsSteward Berroa (age 24) · David Hamilton (age 25) · Jonatan Clase (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .282 / .349
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP303
ISO140
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +2.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.20.20.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-1$3M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 2420 5120 381 40 250375500875 250417 3312 381 63 — — — — — —
202421 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 6955 16411 12170 126 291418455872 164385 2517 380 97 — — — — — —
202522 AAChesapeake Baysox — 136124 33505 9342 211 266326427753 161329 257 334 76 — — — — — —
202522 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 341277 67848 53964 437 242371386758 144333 2816 340 56 — — — — — —
202623 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 282246 768515 30895 484 309395565960 256430 3211 417 109 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 2421 4110 2111 40 190292333625 143337 468 262 63 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 6959 15311 8220 126 254343390733 136337 3212 312 97 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 136126 30403 7402 211 238289341630 103326 295 281 76 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 341297 55636 331244 437 185275286562 101274 3610 251 56 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 282256 657412 201095 484 254320453773 199389 397 330 109 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 9380 18421 10331 166 225319362681 137354 3511 299 89 — — — — — —
202421 A RAW2 teams — 9375 21531 15251 166 280407467873 187392 2716 381 89 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 477423 851039 401646 648 201279303582 102299 348 260 62 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 477401 10013413 621306 648 249358399757 150332 2713 338 62 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 282256 657412 201095 484 254320453773 199393 397 330 109 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 282246 768515 30895 484 309395565960 256430 3211 417 109 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 9382 18421 10331 166 220319354672 134337 3511 299 89 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 477428 851039 401646 648 199279299578 100289 348 260 62 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 282255 657412 201095 484 255320455775 200389 397 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLE2 teams — 9382 18421 10331 166 220319354672 134337 3511 299 89 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 477428 851039 401646 648 199279299578 100289 348 260 62 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 282255 657412 201095 484 255320455775 200389 397 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLETB 2% 332299 628310 261164 243 207280349630 142299 358 282 77 -9 +4 +2 +1 +7 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXTB 2% 33 0000 010 00 209282349631 140303 330 283 77 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLETB 31% 206184 39526 17713 121 210284355638 145299 348 286 80 -5 +2 +2 +1 +4 0.4
202926 MLB MLETB 45% 259233 50728 21873 132 212285357642 145298 348 288 81 -6 +2 +2 +1 +6 0.5
203027 MLB MLETB 49% 286258 54828 23953 131 212286357643 145297 338 288 81 -6 +2 +2 +1 +6 0.5
203128 MLB MLETB 52% 301271 57829 24993 111 212286355640 143295 338 287 80 -7 +2 +2 +1 +7 0.4
203229 MLB MLETB 52% 301271 56828 24993 101 211285351636 140294 338 285 79 -7 +2 +1 +1 +7 0.3
203330 MLB MLETB 56% 300270 56828 24993 81 208281343624 135291 338 281 76 -9 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.0
202825 MLB CTXTB 31% 6458 13212 5221 40 212285354639 142303 348 286 80 -2 +1 +1 +0 +1 0.1
202926 MLB CTXTB 45% 115104 22313 9391 61 213287356643 143302 348 288 81 -3 +1 +1 +0 +2 0.2
203027 MLB CTXTB 49% 141127 27414 11472 61 214288356644 142301 338 289 81 -3 +1 +1 +1 +3 0.2
203128 MLB CTXTB 52% 155139 29414 13512 61 214287354641 140299 338 288 80 -4 +1 +1 +1 +3 0.2
203229 MLB CTXTB 52% 155139 29414 13512 51 213286350637 137297 338 286 79 -4 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.1
203330 MLB CTXTB 56% 167150 31414 13552 51 210282343625 133295 338 281 76 -5 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 797717 15121621 6426510 325 211284344629 134298 338 286 80 -20 +4 +4 +3 +17 0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 12317517 522168 264 210284344627 133298 338 286 80 -16 +4 +3 +2 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 26712396 511692274 21691432 20726 213287353640 140307 348 286 80 -45 +13 +10 +6 +39 2.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 12417518 532228 506 213288352639 139305 348 286 80 -16 +5 +4 +2 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 282 PAwOBA .405 → .330 (−74)K% 31.6% → 38.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.56%÷1.000×1.220——38.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.28%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0277.18%
HBP% /PA1.77%—×0.840—×1.0271.53%
Singles /BIP30.57%÷1.000×0.920×0.980×1.02728.32%
Doubles /BIP5.10%÷1.000×0.910×0.980×1.0274.67%
Triples /BIP3.18%÷1.000×0.880×0.980×1.0272.82%
Home runs /BIP9.55%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0277.85%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .405 → .330; ISO .256 → .205; BABIP .430 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 341 PAwOBA .335 → .251 (−84)K% 28.2% → 36.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.15%÷1.013×1.310——36.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.25%÷0.944×0.600—×1.0129.81%
HBP% /PA1.17%—×0.770—×1.0120.91%
Singles /BIP25.97%÷0.990×0.870×0.960×1.01222.17%
Doubles /BIP4.42%÷1.010×0.780×0.960×1.0123.32%
Triples /BIP2.21%÷1.091×0.850×0.960×1.0121.67%
Home runs /BIP4.42%÷1.229×0.880—×1.0123.20%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 118, K 103, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .335 → .251; ISO .144 → .106; BABIP .333 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAChesapeake Baysox · 136 PAwOBA .325 → .281 (−44)K% 25.0% → 29.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.044×1.220——29.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.62%÷0.987×0.700—×1.0424.89%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.850—×1.0421.30%
Singles /BIP25.56%÷0.957×0.970×0.979×1.04226.43%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷0.970×0.860×0.979×1.0425.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.950×0.979×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP5.56%÷1.248×0.780—×1.0423.62%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .325 → .281; ISO .161 → .112; BABIP .329 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 69 PAwOBA .383 → .312 (−70)K% 24.6% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.64%÷1.035×1.360——32.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.39%÷0.997×0.690—×1.01512.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷0.988×0.920—×1.01524.86%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷1.216×0.830—×1.0157.29%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷0.943×0.910—×1.0152.58%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷0.952×0.800—×1.0152.24%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 143, 3B 89, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .383 → .312; ISO .164 → .133; BABIP .385 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 24 PAwOBA .372 → .262 (−110)K% 33.3% → 44.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.993×1.310——43.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷0.947×0.600—×1.0278.13%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.770—×1.0273.29%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.048×0.870—×1.02714.21%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷0.980×0.780—×1.0276.81%
Triples /BIP16.67%÷1.150×0.850—×1.02712.65%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.026×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .372 → .262; ISO .250 → .172; BABIP .417 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).