Austin OvernOF Montgomery Biscuits
Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION217 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .278 / .321
PA144
HR3
SB15
K%36
BB%8
BABIP313
ISO115
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +8.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+9RUNFLD: +1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +10.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +1.50+1.5WAR
0.00.81.60.00.81.01.1+$22M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 42
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT42
scouting grade only
POWER42
scouting grade only
EYE57
scouting grade only
SPEED72
scouting grade only
DEFENSE70
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$7M+$6M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $7M +$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A2 teams 9380 17321 10331 166 212308338645 125333 3511 292 81
202421 A2 teams 9375 21531 15251 166 280407467873 187392 2716 381 149
202522 A+2 teams 477418 831037 451666 648 199286287573 89305 359 259 57
202522 A+2 teams 477401 10013413 621306 648 249358399757 150332 2713 338 117
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AATB 217199 49638 15852 363 246306427733 181387 397 322 105 +1 +6 +0 -1 +6 1.2
YTD23 AATB 217192 608410 22662 363 312389552941 240431 3010 409 171 +17 +6 +0 -1 +6 2.9
ROS23 AATB 2% 144130 27413 12521 152 207278321600 115319 368 283 75 -4 +2 +1 -1 +4 0.2
ROS23 MLBTB 2% 33 0000 010 00 324 330 277 70 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AATB 220202 49638 15862 363 243301421722 178380 397 321 104 +1 +6 +0 -1 +6 1.2
TOT23 AATB 361329 7610411 271373 515 231295385680 155356 387 306 93 -3 +8 +1 -2 +10 1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBTB 31% 467421 9113412 391634 323 216289352640 135320 358 290 80 -11 +5 +3 -3 +13 0.8
202825 MLBTB 45% 495445 9714413 421675 293 218293355648 137318 348 295 84 -9 +5 +3 -3 +14 1.0
202926 MLBTB 51% 511457 10215414 441705 263 223298365664 142316 339 297 86 -8 +4 +4 -3 +14 1.1
202724 MLBTB 31% 145131 29414 12511 101 221292359650 137325 358 284 75 -4 +2 +1 -1 +4 0.2
202825 MLBTB 45% 221198 44626 19752 131 222297364660 141322 349 289 79 -5 +2 +2 -1 +6 0.4
202926 MLBTB 51% 260233 53827 22863 131 227302369671 142321 338 291 81 -6 +2 +2 -2 +7 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 629565 12618517 532136 363 223296363659 140322 348 288 79 -15 +6 +4 -4 +18 1.0
/ 162G 650584 13119518 552206 373 224298366664 142324 348 288 79 -15 +6 +5 -4 +18 1.0
Career 21871951 417591850 19275122 18225 214291339631 126315 349 285 77 -58 +26 +11 -13 +62 2.9
/ 162G 650580 12418515 572237 547 214292340632 126315 349 285 77 -17 +8 +3 -4 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 2420 5120 381 40 250375500875 250417 3312 381 150 +1 +1 +1 0.3
202421 ADelmarva Shorebirds 6955 16411 12170 126 291418455872 164385 2517 380 149 +4 +0 +2 0.6
202522 AAChesapeake Baysox 136124 33505 9342 211 266326427753 161329 257 334 114 +2 +4 +4 1.0
202522 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 341277 67848 53964 437 242371386758 144333 2816 340 118 +7 +6 +10 2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Corey Pattersonlast yr '11
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA
104,422116215254292403-2+5615.816.6
/1626641732-0.3+8.42.4pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA
83,14392161244314394+3+1612.212.3
/1626641934+0.6+3.32.6pk7: 12
#3Billy Hamiltonlast yr '21
career totals — 7 seasons, 3,202 PA
73,20223295240294328+11+7811.211.2
/162664561+2.4+16.22.3pk7: 11
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA
62,3275593245323394-9+108.18.1
/1626641627-2.5+2.72.3pk7: 8
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
16321736222293363-4+80.80.8
/1626641838-4.0+8.40.9pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Austin Overn (OGILVIE) 23 42 42 72 57 231/295/385 155356 1151 38% 7% 93 +1.5
David Hamilton
2022 · AA
24 42→41 42→50 65→70 46 207/269/319 112274 836 27% 8% 62 -0.9 208/276/333 125274 1350 28% 8% 69 -0.4 220/282/351131271155824%8%74-0.0
Steward Berroa
2023 · AA
24 40→47 44→45 69→65 45 196/271/317 121283 1146 33% 9% 63 -0.9 218/289/328 110324 1046 33% 9% 72 -0.2 223/304/3229931394829%10%75+0.0
Braiden Ward
2023 · A
24 47→45 39→40 64→70 40 216/309/302 86322 741 32% 6% 77 +0.1 216/302/305 89306 649 29% 5% 74 -0.1 223/313/32410130666426%6%79+0.2
Rudy Martin Jr.
2019 · A
23 43 43→45 60→65 37 204/267/318 114330 1030 39% 7% 61 -1.0 191/253/296 105310 1126 39% 7% 50 -1.8 227/303/343115312135229%9%78+0.1
Mike Antico
2023 · AA
25 41→42 45 62→60 44 206/273/330 124274 1236 29% 8% 67 -0.5 214/277/336 122294 1334 30% 7% 70 -0.3 214/278/335120296133531%7%67-0.4
Jeremy Hazelbaker
2012 · AA
24 42→52 43→55 59→60 41 202/269/316 113307 1034 36% 8% 61 -1.0 217/263/331 114313 1231 33% 5% 63 -0.9 237/298/404167340152133%7%90+0.6
Delino DeShields
2015 · AA
22 47→55 42→45 62→65 45 225/295/333 109304 941 28% 8% 77 +0.1 235/310/338 103316 732 26% 9% 84 +0.6 242/320/3399732363425%10%85+0.6
Jorge Mateo
2018 · AA
23 39→46 44→50 63→65 36 197/241/326 129286 1034 34% 5% 51 -1.7 198/238/314 116291 824 34% 4% 46 -2.0 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
Khalil Lee
2021 · AA
23 43→52 42→45 57→55 41 203/277/308 105321 1030 37% 8% 63 -0.9 205/307/339 134347 1215 40% 9% 85 +0.7 193/306/332139346121342%10%79+0.2
Johan Rojas
2023 · AA
22 43→53 42→45 63→65 42 210/257/316 106264 935 24% 5% 56 -1.3 242/284/347 105305 837 22% 5% 74 -0.1 253/294/35310031874122%5%77+0.1
Micah Johnson
2014 · AA
23 52→60 40→45 63→60 44 247/298/348 101326 635 25% 7% 80 +0.4 257/301/351 94334 628 23% 6% 82 +0.5 255/298/3428733252724%6%75+0.0
Duke Ellis
2023 · AA
25 45→51 40→45 60→80 37 211/267/295 84331 837 37% 6% 54 -1.4 217/276/309 92331 853 34% 7% 62 -0.9 227/278/331104316109130%6%65-0.3
Darren Ford
2009 · A
23 45→53 37→45 61→65 44 213/276/287 74308 538 31% 8% 56 -1.3 220/278/320 100310 833 29% 7% 66 -0.6 223/278/33210930893629%6%65-0.4
Corey Rosier
2023 · A
23 48→51 42→40 62→60 49 229/304/341 112296 928 25% 9% 82 +0.5 215/276/314 99288 833 26% 7% 63 -0.8 205/266/3009527283626%7%52-1.0
Roman Quinn
2016 · AA
23 52→53 42→45 59→65 44 248/302/351 103319 934 24% 6% 83 +0.6 240/294/342 102333 735 28% 6% 77 +0.1 244/301/381137331124828%7%88+0.3
Michael Siani
2023 · MLB
24 41→44 43→45 60 46 205/272/319 114263 1132 26% 8% 63 -0.8 204/276/304 100278 928 28% 8% 61 -1.0 193/270/2849127193030%9%52-1.1
Bradley Zimmer
2016 · AA
23 47→51 48→50 58→60 41 229/298/369 140315 1528 31% 6% 88 +0.9 224/295/363 139339 1428 35% 8% 85 +0.7 231/308/356126350132835%8%86+0.4
Cooper Bowman
2023 · A
23 39 44→45 59→60 43 191/272/302 111287 1131 35% 8% 60 -1.0 201/274/322 121279 1235 31% 8% 66 -0.6 195/268/315120262124029%8%59-0.7
Adam Engel
2016 · A
24 42→48 39→50 61→60 38 203/255/284 81299 633 33% 6% 46 -2.0 204/262/314 110293 825 31% 6% 57 -1.2 224/280/353129300122128%5%73-0.1
Max Ferguson
2023 · A
23 36→33 39→40 63→60 52 173/278/262 89263 732 33% 12% 53 -1.5 178/261/269 91271 928 34% 10% 46 -2.0 178/251/26991257102933%9%39-1.5