Greg Jones

RF Iowa Cubs
Age 29 S/R 6'0" / 189 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.145 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAAROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202426AAACOL406.269/.347/.460164670—.220/.282/.349
202527AAACWS71.145/.254/.258272—.111/.211/.175
202628AAACHC264.243/.364/.32933163—.203/.299/.263
202628MLBMIL24.087/.087/.08701-63-0.8
2027PROJ10% MLB29MLBCHC16.237/.312/.473111200.1
2028PROJ36% MLB30MLBCHC76.233/.308/.460451150.2
2029PROJ51% MLB31MLBCHC101.229/.303/.447551110.2
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.145First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$2M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed98
BB%61
Chase%61
Max EV55
K%13
Z-Con%9
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsSam Haggerty (age 29) · Carlos Gómez (age 28) · Keon Broxton (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†120
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .312 / .473
PA16
HR1
K%38
BB%6
BABIP329
ISO200
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: +1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 34
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT20
xAVG
100.131
POWER34
Avg EV
1064.7
Bat Spd
6372.8
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED80
Sprint
6628.1
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.145 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202123 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 6054 10111 4212 70 185267296563 111281 357 260 23 — — — — — —
202123 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 257220 647313 29757 272 291391527918 236383 2911 402 96 — — — — — —
202224 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 358319 761938 2712811 375 238319392711 154370 368 320 63 — — — — — —
202325 AAADurham Bulls — 189169 47917 15733 124 278348467815 189440 398 357 77 — — — — — —
202325 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 9281 14223 9361 120 173264358622 185262 3910 276 27 — — — — — —
202426 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes — 406361 9717216 371436 463 269347460806 191399 359 356 70 — — — — — —
202527 AAACharlotte Knights — 7162 9102 5304 73 145254258512 113233 427 244 2 — — — — — —
202628 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 2423 2000 0100 11 878787174 154 420 75 -63 -5 -0 -0 -3 +1 -0.8
202628 AAAIowa Cubs — 264222 54813 318611 315 243364329692 86383 3312 325 63 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 2423 2000 0100 11 878787174 154 420 75 -63 -5 -0 -0 -3 +1 -0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202123 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 6055 9111 3262 70 164233273506 109264 435 202 23 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 257227 535210 22997 272 233320405726 172347 399 310 96 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 358327 671636 1915111 375 205272327599 122349 425 261 63 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 189173 40714 11873 124 231289353641 121417 466 282 77 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 9284 13222 6431 120 155220298517 143247 477 208 27 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 406372 8214210 261756 463 220282349632 129373 436 271 70 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 7163 7101 4364 73 111211175386 63208 516 171 2 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 2423 2000 0100 11 878787174 154 420 76 -63 -5 -0 -0 -3 +1 -0.8
202628 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 264232 47612 2110311 315 203299263562 60357 398 261 63 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 317283 615311 241259 342 216297371668 155338 398 290 82 — — — — — —
202123 A+ RAW2 teams — 317274 748414 33969 342 270367482849 212364 3010 375 82 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 358327 671636 1915111 375 205272327599 122357 425 261 63 — — — — — —
202224 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 358319 761938 2712811 375 238319392711 154370 368 320 63 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE2 teams — 281258 51926 161304 244 198255318573 120363 466 258 61 — — — — — —
202325 AAA RAW2 teams — 281250 6111310 241094 244 244320432752 188383 399 331 61 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 406372 8214210 261756 463 220282349632 129383 436 271 70 — — — — — —
202426 AAA RAWAlbuquerque Isotopes — 406361 9717216 371436 463 269347460806 191399 359 356 70 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 7163 7101 4364 73 111211175386 63231 516 171 2 — — — — — —
202527 AAA RAWCharlotte Knights — 7162 9102 5304 73 145254258512 113233 427 244 2 — — — — — —
202628 AAA MLE2 teams — 288255 49612 2111311 326 192282247529 55336 397 246 52 — — — — — —
202628 AAA RAW2 teams — 288245 56813 319611 326 229341306648 78363 3311 304 52 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 317281 615311 241259 342 217297374671 157331 398 290 82 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 358325 671636 1915111 375 206272329601 123349 425 261 63 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE2 teams — 281259 51926 161304 244 197255317572 120361 466 258 61 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 406371 8214210 261756 463 221282350633 129373 436 271 70 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 7163 7101 4364 73 111211175386 63208 516 171 2 — — — — — —
202628 AAA MLE2 teams — 288254 49612 2111311 326 193282248530 55340 397 246 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 406371 8214210 261756 463 221282350633 129373 436 271 70 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 7163 7101 4364 73 111211175386 63208 516 171 2 — — — — — —
202628 AAA MLE2 teams — 288254 49612 2111311 326 193282248530 55340 397 246 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLECHC 10% 287257 618117 201088 214 238313480793 242327 387 346 120 +7 +3 +0 -3 +6 0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXCHC 10% 1615 3001 160 10 237312473786 237329 386 343 120 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLECHC 36% 211188 446112 15796 143 234308466774 233319 377 339 115 +4 +2 -2 -2 +5 0.6
202931 MLB MLECHC 51% 198177 415111 14735 102 230304453756 223313 377 332 111 +2 +1 -3 -2 +4 0.3
202830 MLB CTXCHC 36% 7669 15204 5282 51 233308460768 227321 377 336 115 +1 +1 -1 -1 +2 0.2
202931 MLB CTXCHC 51% 10190 20305 7373 51 229303447750 218315 377 329 111 +1 +1 -1 -1 +2 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 201182 37509 12755 113 203271379650 176283 376 302 76 -2 +1 -2 -5 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 11916029 3924316 3610 202270377647 175281 376 302 76 -6 +3 -7 -16 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 22852062 435661468 15094160 21630 211284355639 145346 417 281 76 +5 +4 -5 -9 +13 0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650587 12419419 4326817 619 211284354639 143348 417 281 76 +6 +5 -5 -10 +14 1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAIowa Cubs · 264 PAwOBA .318 → .261 (−56)K% 32.6% → 39.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.58%÷1.000×1.200——39.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.74%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9928.04%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.940—×0.9923.89%
Singles /BIP30.88%÷1.000×0.930×1.031×0.99229.38%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.830×1.031×0.9924.99%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.970×1.031×0.9920.73%
Home runs /BIP2.21%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9921.53%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .318 → .261; ISO .086 → .064; BABIP .383 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 71 PAwOBA .238 → .171 (−67)K% 42.3% → 50.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA42.25%÷0.996×1.200——50.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.04%÷0.984×0.690—×1.0034.95%
HBP% /PA5.63%—×0.940—×1.0035.31%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.002×0.930—×1.00317.45%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷0.980×0.830—×1.0032.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.961×0.970—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.320×0.700—×1.0033.33%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .238 → .171; ISO .113 → .056; BABIP .233 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 406 PAwOBA .348 → .271 (−77)K% 35.2% → 43.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.22%÷0.979×1.200——43.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.11%÷1.018×0.690—×1.0186.29%
HBP% /PA1.48%—×0.940—×1.0181.41%
Singles /BIP28.44%÷0.990×0.930×1.030×1.01828.01%
Doubles /BIP7.80%÷0.988×0.830×1.030×1.0186.87%
Triples /BIP0.92%÷1.150×0.970×1.030×1.0180.81%
Home runs /BIP7.34%÷1.096×0.700—×1.0184.77%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .348 → .271; ISO .191 → .126; BABIP .399 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAADurham Bulls · 189 PAwOBA .351 → .282 (−69)K% 38.6% → 46.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.62%÷1.009×1.200——45.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.94%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0335.59%
HBP% /PA1.59%—×0.940—×1.0331.54%
Singles /BIP31.25%÷1.006×0.930×1.050×1.03331.33%
Doubles /BIP9.38%÷1.020×0.830×1.050×1.0338.28%
Triples /BIP1.04%÷1.003×0.970×1.050×1.0331.09%
Home runs /BIP7.29%÷1.137×0.700—×1.0334.64%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .351 → .282; ISO .189 → .128; BABIP .440 → .417. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 92 PAwOBA .269 → .208 (−61)K% 39.1% → 46.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA39.13%÷1.022×1.220——46.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.78%÷1.072×0.680—×0.9986.19%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.840—×0.9980.91%
Singles /BIP15.56%÷0.949×0.920×1.050×0.99815.80%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷1.030×0.910×1.050×0.9984.12%
Triples /BIP4.44%÷1.150×0.880×1.050×0.9983.56%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷1.087×0.800—×0.9984.90%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .269 → .208; ISO .185 → .136; BABIP .262 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 358 PAwOBA .312 → .261 (−51)K% 35.8% → 42.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.75%÷1.032×1.220——42.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.54%÷0.984×0.680—×1.0125.27%
HBP% /PA3.07%—×0.840—×1.0122.61%
Singles /BIP24.08%÷1.001×0.920×1.050×1.01223.52%
Doubles /BIP9.95%÷1.090×0.910×1.050×1.0128.82%
Triples /BIP1.57%÷0.955×0.880×1.050×1.0121.54%
Home runs /BIP4.19%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0123.49%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .312 → .261; ISO .154 → .125; BABIP .370 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 257 PAwOBA .393 → .310 (−83)K% 29.2% → 38.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.18%÷1.027×1.350——38.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.28%÷0.953×0.710—×0.9988.39%
HBP% /PA2.72%—×0.810—×0.9982.20%
Singles /BIP28.28%÷0.957×0.910×1.015×0.99827.22%
Doubles /BIP4.83%÷1.135×0.830×1.015×0.9983.58%
Triples /BIP2.07%÷1.150×0.820×1.015×0.9981.49%
Home runs /BIP8.97%÷0.978×0.830—×0.9987.59%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 91, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 105, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .393 → .310; ISO .236 → .175; BABIP .383 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 60 PAwOBA .253 → .202 (−51)K% 35.0% → 44.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.00%÷0.970×1.220——44.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.015×0.690—×1.0274.66%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.850—×1.0272.91%
Singles /BIP21.21%÷1.019×0.940—×1.02720.10%
Doubles /BIP3.03%÷1.046×0.870—×1.0272.59%
Triples /BIP3.03%÷0.950×0.920—×1.0273.01%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷0.938×0.780—×1.0272.59%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 90, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .253 → .202; ISO .111 → .088; BABIP .281 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).