Greg Jones — OGILVIE

Greg JonesRF Nashville Sounds

Age 28 S/R 6'0" / 189 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION173 act + 115 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .306 / .430

PA115

HR6

SB10

K%40

BB%7

BABIP331

ISO205

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT20

Whiff%

906.7%

xwOBA

100.123

POWER39

Avg EV

1064.7

Bat Spd

6372.8

EYE45

Chase%

909.4%

SPEED80

Sprint

6628.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Arb-2	$1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	317	282	62	5	3	11	25	125	9	34	2	220	304	376	680	156	347	39	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	317	274	74	8	4	14	33	96	9	34	2	270	367	482	849	212	364	30	10	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	327	64	13	3	7	19	155	11	37	5	196	263	318	581	122	343	43	5	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	319	76	19	3	8	27	128	11	37	5	238	319	392	711	154	370	36	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	281	258	51	9	2	6	16	131	4	24	4	198	255	318	573	120	366	47	6	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	281	250	61	11	3	10	24	109	4	24	4	244	320	432	752	188	383	39	9	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	406	373	71	12	1	9	25	192	6	46	3	190	252	300	553	110	358	47	6	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	406	361	97	17	2	16	37	143	6	46	3	269	347	460	806	191	399	35	9	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	71	63	7	1	0	1	4	36	4	7	3	111	211	175	386	63	231	51	6	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	71	62	9	1	0	2	5	30	4	7	3	145	254	258	512	113	233	42	7	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	MIL	—	173	150	34	5	1	1	13	62	9	22	5	227	326	293	619	67	379	36	8	281	73	-5	+2	-0	-2	+5	0.0
YTD	28	AAA	MIL	—	173	144	37	6	1	1	19	53	9	22	5	257	378	333	711	76	400	31	11	332	113	+2	+2	-0	-2	+5	0.8
ROS	28	AAA	MIL	10%	115	102	23	3	0	6	8	46	4	10	2	225	306	430	736	205	342	40	7	329	110	+1	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.5
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	10%	12	11	2	0	0	1	1	5	0	1	0	182	250	455	705	273	339	42	8	303	90	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	AAA	MIL	—	185	161	36	5	1	2	14	67	9	23	5	224	321	304	625	81	370	36	8	282	74	-5	+3	-0	-2	+5	0.0
TOT	28	AAA	MIL	—	288	252	57	8	1	7	21	108	13	32	7	226	318	349	667	123	361	37	7	300	88	-4	+4	-0	-3	+8	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIL	36%	286	256	58	8	1	14	20	110	8	22	4	227	303	430	733	203	333	38	7	325	107	+2	+3	-1	-3	+8	0.9
2028	30	MLB	MIL	51%	321	287	65	9	1	15	23	121	8	22	4	226	302	422	723	195	327	38	7	322	105	+2	+3	-2	-3	+9	0.8
2029	31	MLB	MIL	60%	306	273	62	9	1	14	22	114	8	19	3	227	304	421	725	194	322	37	7	318	101	+1	+3	-3	-3	+9	0.6
2030	32	MLB	MIL	65%	287	258	57	8	1	13	20	107	7	14	3	221	295	411	706	190	317	37	7	312	97	-1	+2	-3	-3	+8	0.2
2031	33	MLB	MIL	68%	257	231	50	7	1	11	18	97	6	10	2	216	290	398	688	182	311	38	7	305	91	-3	+1	-4	-3	+7	-0.1
2032	34	MLB	MIL	63%	215	193	41	5	1	9	15	82	5	6	1	212	286	389	675	176	304	38	7	296	84	-4	+1	-5	-2	+6	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	MIL	36%	102	91	21	3	0	5	7	39	3	8	1	231	307	429	736	198	330	38	7	302	89	-1	+1	-0	-1	+3	0.1
2028	30	MLB	MIL	51%	163	147	33	5	1	7	11	61	4	11	2	224	296	415	711	190	324	37	7	300	87	-2	+1	-1	-2	+5	0.1
2029	31	MLB	MIL	60%	182	162	36	5	1	8	13	68	5	11	2	222	300	414	714	191	319	37	7	296	85	-3	+1	-2	-2	+5	-0.0
2030	32	MLB	MIL	65%	186	166	37	5	1	8	13	69	5	9	2	223	299	410	709	187	314	37	7	291	81	-4	+1	-2	-2	+5	-0.2
2031	33	MLB	MIL	68%	174	156	34	5	1	7	12	66	4	7	1	218	291	397	688	179	308	38	7	284	75	-5	+1	-3	-2	+5	-0.4
2032	34	MLB	MIL	63%	136	122	24	3	0	5	10	52	3	4	1	197	274	344	618	148	301	38	7	275	69	-5	+0	-3	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	955	855	187	26	4	41	67	360	24	51	9	219	294	402	696	184	317	38	7	291	81	-21	+7	-11	-10	+27	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	128	18	3	28	46	245	16	35	6	220	295	405	701	186	319	38	7	291	81	-14	+5	-8	-7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3220	2903	611	89	15	116	215	1316	80	251	36	210	283	371	655	161	333	41	7	289	80	-74	+36	-18	-35	+91	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	123	18	3	23	43	266	16	51	7	210	282	369	651	159	333	41	7	289	80	-15	+7	-4	-7	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	60	54	10	1	1	1	4	21	2	7	0	185	267	296	563	111	281	35	7	260	57	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2021	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	257	220	64	7	3	13	29	75	7	27	2	291	391	527	918	236	383	29	11	402	166	+19	+5	—	—	+7	3.2
2022	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	358	319	76	19	3	8	27	128	11	37	5	238	319	392	711	154	370	36	8	320	103	+1	+5	—	—	+10	1.7
2023	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	189	169	47	9	1	7	15	73	3	12	4	278	348	467	815	189	440	39	8	357	132	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	25	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	92	81	14	2	2	3	9	36	1	12	0	173	264	358	622	185	262	39	10	276	69	-3	+2	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	406	361	97	17	2	16	37	143	6	46	3	269	347	460	806	191	399	35	9	356	131	+14	+8	—	—	+12	3.4
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	71	62	9	1	0	2	5	30	4	7	3	145	254	258	512	113	233	42	7	244	45	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Danny Santanalast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,834 PA	7	1,834	47	74	256	296	415	-6	-6	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	17	27	256	296	415	-2.3	-2.2	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	964	43	52	222	294	412	-10	-0	1.7	1.8
	/162	664	30	36	222	294	412	-7.1	-0.1	1.2	pk7: 2
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Greg Jones (OGILVIE)	28	20	39	80	45	226/318/349	123	361	7	32	37%	7%	88	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Keon Broxton 2018 · MLB	28	46→48	54→55	59→60	44	228/304/411	183	338	21	33	37%	9%	101	+1.8	193/265/333	140	336	17	29	44%	8%	65	-0.7	156/234/267	111	299	15	30	49%	8%	33	-1.5
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2021 · MLB	26	52→54	51→60	68→65	38	256/292/427	171	340	17	49	30%	5%	99	+1.7	229/276/387	158	310	18	39	31%	6%	82	+0.5	211/246/407	196	265	26	57	32%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕B.J. Upton 2013 · MLB	28	46→56	57→60	57→60	49	241/310/442	201	291	24	30	26%	9%	111	+2.5	218/291/365	147	294	16	21	30%	9%	83	+0.6	226/293/371	145	300	16	25	29%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	47→57	55→65	58→55	37	240/289/431	190	334	23	24	34%	6%	100	+1.7	213/269/423	210	291	29	19	36%	6%	90	+1.0	206/264/422	216	269	31	17	36%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Jonathan Villar 2020 · MLB	29	52→60	49→50	59→65	47	259/322/410	151	329	17	32	26%	8%	108	+2.3	247/312/390	143	317	16	26	26%	8%	98	+1.6	236/299/369	133	306	15	25	26%	8%	84	+0.4
●Carlos Gómez 2013 · MLB	27	48→58	54→60	63→65	43	250/298/431	181	291	22	38	23%	5%	104	+2.0	274/334/475	201	328	22	33	23%	6%	130	+3.8	275/339/469	194	332	21	32	23%	7%	128	+3.5
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/387	168	324	21	27	37%	10%	93	+1.3	222/292/401	179	318	21	15	35%	8%	94	+1.3	212/281/377	165	309	19	12	36%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Trevor Story 2021 · MLB	28	48→49	56→60	56→55	48	250/318/447	198	303	23	24	26%	9%	116	+2.8	225/298/401	176	280	20	21	26%	8%	96	+1.5	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	48→49	48→50	62→70	41	239/294/378	139	312	16	42	28%	6%	88	+0.9	253/315/388	135	325	14	71	25%	6%	99	+1.7	253/321/383	130	320	13	95	24%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→47	54→50	55→65	49	214/305/392	178	271	21	29	29%	10%	98	+1.6	219/328/394	175	294	18	33	30%	11%	108	+2.3	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	51→60	62→60	47	242/309/408	166	305	18	28	26%	8%	102	+1.8	257/317/432	175	313	18	26	23%	8%	111	+2.5	257/316/429	171	311	18	24	22%	7%	106	+1.7
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	47→52	55	57→60	41	238/304/426	188	335	23	25	35%	8%	105	+2.1	215/285/351	136	323	14	34	35%	8%	77	+0.1	213/285/330	117	316	9	42	33%	8%	70	-0.2
●José Cruz Jr. 2002 · MLB	28	48→51	62→65	56→50	51	260/323/497	237	284	30	22	21%	8%	131	+3.9	250/334/445	195	284	22	12	20%	11%	121	+3.2	244/352/429	186	279	21	6	20%	14%	118	+2.9
✕Danny Santana 2020 · MLB	29	48→58	58→60	55	38	252/294/458	206	319	25	21	29%	5%	109	+2.4	237/294/428	191	298	24	18	28%	7%	102	+1.8	215/279/422	208	234	29	22	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Roman Quinn 2020 · MLB	27	50→53	46→45	63→65	45	243/302/380	138	325	13	32	28%	8%	91	+1.1	227/299/359	132	324	12	30	31%	8%	85	+0.7	178/270/282	103	310	9	41	41%	9%	52	-0.4
✕Mark Mathias 2023 · MLB	28	52→47	54→50	54→50	46	259/331/436	177	346	22	21	30%	8%	118	+3.0	248/329/373	125	332	13	16	27%	10%	101	+1.8	251/346/325	75	342	6	14	25%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	50→53	48→50	59→55	44	244/317/394	150	330	15	26	29%	8%	102	+1.8	228/282/364	136	320	14	18	31%	6%	79	+0.3	219/264/338	119	315	12	13	33%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Carlos González 2014 · MLB	28	50→56	55→60	57→55	51	257/328/448	191	302	22	23	23%	9%	120	+3.1	238/299/426	188	277	24	9	23%	8%	102	+1.9	235/301/402	167	272	20	2	21%	8%	91	+1.1
●Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→59	49→50	62→60	46	251/315/408	156	318	15	33	25%	7%	105	+2.1	257/320/382	125	308	11	32	19%	7%	99	+1.7	263/323/401	137	306	11	27	17%	6%	102	+1.3