Jonatan Clase — OGILVIE

Jonatan ClaseLF Buffalo Bisons

Age 24 S/R 5'10" / 150 lbs AAA Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION236 act + 157 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4052vR 80

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .281 / .344

PA157

HR4

SB11

K%28

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO133

MLB%45%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 43 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT43

Whiff%

6010.0%

xwOBA

100.262

POWER40

Barrel%

163.9

Avg EV

1886.6

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE51

Chase%

7626.6%

SPEED69

Sprint

5527.7

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 178 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

119

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

240

293

▶▶R

ISO

019

119

▶▶R

BABIP

259

309

▶▶R

22.0%

26.9%

◀◀L

BB%

8.5%

6.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	286	243	52	8	5	2	31	81	4	31	10	214	313	313	626	99	307	28	11	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	286	223	67	12	7	2	51	56	4	31	10	300	439	444	883	143	387	20	18	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	57	51	10	1	0	2	4	22	1	16	0	196	268	333	601	137	286	39	7	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	57	49	12	1	0	2	6	15	1	16	0	245	339	388	727	143	303	26	11	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	499	445	85	14	7	15	44	189	8	55	10	191	276	355	631	164	288	38	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	499	423	113	22	11	13	65	133	8	55	10	267	374	463	838	196	358	27	13	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	3 teams	—	640	570	113	24	6	24	57	214	8	81	15	198	280	388	668	189	264	33	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	3 teams	—	640	541	125	28	9	20	86	177	8	81	15	231	345	427	772	196	301	28	13	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	—	492	447	104	21	3	11	35	148	2	41	14	233	291	367	658	134	315	30	7	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	—	492	430	112	23	4	13	52	127	2	41	14	260	343	423	766	163	333	26	11	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	495	446	92	21	0	11	37	148	6	34	7	206	276	327	603	121	280	30	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	495	431	107	30	0	11	52	124	6	34	7	248	337	394	732	146	322	25	11	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	TOR	—	236	210	43	7	1	6	21	70	0	17	4	205	277	333	610	129	270	30	9	267	63	-10	+2	+0	-3	+7	-0.4
YTD	24	AAA	TOR	—	236	201	47	8	1	7	30	59	0	17	4	234	333	388	721	154	290	25	13	320	103	+1	+2	+0	-3	+7	0.7
ROS	24	AAA	TOR	45%	157	142	30	5	1	4	13	44	1	11	2	211	281	344	626	133	269	28	8	275	68	-6	+1	-0	-2	+4	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	TOR	45%	71	65	13	2	0	2	6	20	0	5	1	200	268	323	591	123	270	28	8	272	67	-3	+1	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
FULL	24	AAA	TOR	—	307	275	56	9	1	8	27	90	0	22	5	204	275	331	606	127	267	29	9	269	64	-13	+2	-0	-3	+9	-0.5
TOT	24	AAA	TOR	—	393	352	73	12	2	10	34	114	1	28	6	207	279	338	617	131	271	29	9	270	65	-16	+3	-0	-4	+11	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TOR	51%	420	381	82	15	2	11	34	114	2	29	5	215	283	352	635	136	271	27	8	282	74	-12	+4	-1	-4	+12	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	TOR	54%	441	399	87	16	2	12	37	118	2	30	6	218	288	358	646	140	272	27	8	286	77	-11	+4	-1	-5	+12	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	TOR	54%	442	399	87	16	2	12	37	118	3	30	6	218	289	358	648	140	273	27	8	288	79	-11	+4	-1	-5	+13	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	TOR	54%	439	396	86	16	2	12	37	117	3	29	5	217	289	359	648	141	273	27	8	288	78	-11	+4	-2	-5	+12	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	TOR	51%	215	194	43	8	1	6	18	58	1	15	3	222	291	366	657	144	272	27	8	279	72	-7	+2	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	TOR	54%	238	215	46	8	1	6	20	64	1	16	3	214	284	344	628	130	274	27	8	283	75	-7	+2	-1	-3	+7	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	TOR	54%	239	216	47	9	1	6	20	64	1	16	3	218	287	352	639	134	274	27	8	285	76	-7	+2	-1	-3	+7	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	TOR	54%	238	215	47	9	1	6	20	63	1	16	3	219	288	353	642	135	274	26	8	284	76	-7	+2	-1	-3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1179	1066	232	41	4	29	97	314	7	74	15	218	287	345	632	128	279	27	8	281	73	-35	+9	-6	-21	+33	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	128	23	2	16	53	173	4	41	8	218	287	345	632	128	279	27	8	281	73	-20	+5	-3	-12	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	4368	3919	828	157	30	116	366	1313	40	387	80	211	285	355	641	144	283	30	8	281	73	-131	+45	-8	-47	+124	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	122	23	4	17	54	195	6	58	12	209	283	350	633	141	280	30	8	281	73	-20	+7	-1	-7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	286	223	67	12	7	2	51	56	4	31	10	300	439	444	883	143	387	20	18	388	155	+18	+2	—	—	+8	2.9
2021	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	57	49	12	1	0	2	6	15	1	16	0	245	339	388	727	143	303	26	11	325	107	+0	+3	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	499	423	113	22	11	13	65	133	8	55	10	267	374	463	838	196	358	27	13	371	142	+24	+7	—	—	+14	4.6
2023	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	489	414	92	19	7	13	64	137	6	62	11	222	335	396	731	174	294	28	13	327	108	+5	+8	—	—	+14	2.7
2023	21	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	106	87	29	9	1	7	18	28	1	17	4	333	453	701	1.154	368	423	26	17	490	233	+16	+2	—	—	+3	2.1
2023	21	INTL	Toros del Este	—	45	40	4	0	1	0	4	12	1	2	0	100	200	150	350	50	143	27	9	175	-8	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	22	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	66	61	15	2	0	1	3	17	2	3	1	246	303	328	631	82	326	26	5	289	79	-2	+0	-1	-5	+2	-0.5
2024	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	426	369	97	21	4	12	49	110	0	38	13	263	349	439	788	176	335	26	12	345	122	+11	+2	—	—	+12	2.6
2025	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	112	100	21	3	0	2	10	28	1	3	1	210	288	300	588	90	271	25	9	270	65	-4	+0	-2	-5	+3	-0.9
2025	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	352	310	79	25	0	7	35	90	3	30	4	255	336	403	739	148	336	26	10	329	110	+4	+4	—	—	+10	1.9
2025	23	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	31	21	7	2	0	2	7	6	2	1	2	333	533	714	1.248	381	357	19	23	510	248	+5	-1	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	178	161	36	5	0	3	13	45	3	6	2	224	294	311	604	87	292	25	7	277	70	-6	+0	-3	-11	+5	-1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,220	30	78	217	284	346	-13	-8	-0.3	-0.3
	/162	664	17	42	217	284	346	-7.1	-4.6	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonatan Clase (OGILVIE)	24	35→43	40	65→69	51	207/279/338	131	271	10	28	29%	9%	65	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA	24	40→47	44→45	69→65	45	196/271/317	121	283	11	46	33%	9%	63	-0.9	218/289/328	110	324	10	46	33%	9%	72	-0.2	223/304/322	99	313	9	48	29%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Billy Hamilton 2016 · MLB	25	48→58	39→40	69→70	46	229/274/313	84	275	6	61	19%	6%	61	-1.0	239/294/326	87	300	5	55	21%	7%	73	-0.1	240/299/324	84	307	4	55	22%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Vidal Bruján 2022 · MLB	24	46→56	44→45	61→65	48	226/280/344	117	264	11	41	19%	7%	72	-0.2	222/284/336	114	269	11	30	21%	7%	72	-0.2	214/288/314	100	265	7	24	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕David Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	42→41	43→50	69→70	44	207/268/322	114	276	11	47	28%	7%	62	-0.9	211/280/347	136	269	16	51	27%	8%	74	-0.1	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Roman Quinn 2017 · MLB	24	52→53	40→45	61→65	43	246/302/344	97	333	7	38	27%	6%	82	+0.5	239/294/353	114	331	8	33	28%	7%	80	+0.4	244/301/381	137	331	12	48	28%	7%	88	+0.3
●Jonathan Villar 2015 · MLB	24	45→55	42→50	62→65	43	217/279/322	105	311	9	39	32%	8%	66	-0.6	251/317/385	134	345	13	43	28%	9%	98	+1.6	266/336/411	146	353	16	44	27%	9%	111	+2.3
✕Bubba Thompson 2023 · MLB	25	52→56	46→50	66→65	36	251/288/382	131	346	13	44	31%	4%	85	+0.7	225/268/324	99	324	9	38	32%	5%	63	-0.9	209/254/289	80	304	6	41	32%	5%	42	-1.2
✕Eric Young Jr. 2010 · MLB	25	54→58	40→45	64→65	48	257/319/358	101	317	6	44	20%	7%	92	+1.2	244/316/331	87	306	4	42	20%	9%	84	+0.6	253/325/344	90	308	3	47	17%	9%	89	+0.7
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	47→45	39→40	64→70	40	216/309/302	86	322	7	41	32%	6%	77	+0.1	216/302/305	89	306	6	49	29%	5%	74	-0.1	223/313/324	101	306	6	64	26%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	46→56	36→30	61→60	54	215/307/283	68	268	3	39	20%	10%	69	-0.4	227/309/297	70	291	4	22	21%	9%	73	-0.1	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Greg Jones 2023 · AA	25	46→43	47→50	63→65	36	213/281/348	134	353	15	38	41%	6%	75	-0.0	202/263/321	119	366	13	41	45%	6%	60	-1.0	199/265/303	105	363	11	54	45%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	41→48	46→40	61→65	39	201/273/325	124	314	14	38	38%	7%	66	-0.6	201/271/292	91	300	8	42	33%	7%	56	-1.3	191/263/268	77	283	6	49	32%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Alen Hanson 2017 · MLB	24	48→51	44→50	60	41	238/270/359	121	284	11	31	20%	4%	72	-0.2	236/272/367	131	289	12	24	22%	4%	75	-0.0	239/276/379	141	297	12	18	23%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Lucas Montero 2009 · A	24	46→50	42→40	60→55	47	226/285/327	101	279	9	32	22%	7%	70	-0.3	224/289/310	86	303	5	24	26%	8%	67	-0.5	228/296/308	80	314	4	24	27%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	47→55	42→45	62→65	45	225/295/333	109	304	9	41	28%	8%	77	+0.1	235/310/338	103	316	7	32	26%	9%	84	+0.6	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Adam Engel 2017 · AAA	25	44→48	41→50	61→60	40	211/268/314	102	303	7	33	31%	6%	59	-1.1	206/263/323	117	291	10	20	31%	6%	60	-1.0	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6