Jurrangelo Cijntje P Springfield Cardinals
+0.7 WAR
Age 23 SHP 5'11" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.5 · 2029
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
xFIP
SIERA
K%21.9%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%10.9%
IP108
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2029
OFP55
K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202522AAArkansas Travelers2623108459120511520.5%12.6%4.0%3.995.16+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
202623AASpringfield Cardinals331362169420.9%16.0%7.7%6.757.61-0.4
ROS23MLBSTL2020108457100501521.9%11.0%3.2%4.774.77+0.7
2026 Total23MLBSTL122519116591922.4%11.4%3.6%4.995.08+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202724MLBSTL2323127536120541722.5%10.0%3.1%4.634.58+1.0
202825MLBSTL2626141594135561822.8%9.5%3.1%4.524.46+1.3
202926MLBSTL2727148623143581923.0%9.4%3.1%4.464.43+1.5
203027MLBSTL2727150635146592023.0%9.3%3.1%4.444.44+1.5
203128MLBSTL2727150634145602022.9%9.4%3.1%4.454.46+1.4
203229MLBSTL2727147620141592022.8%9.5%3.2%4.484.51+1.3
203330MLBSTL2626142601136572022.6%9.6%3.3%4.534.57+1.2
203431MLBSTL2525137580130561922.3%9.7%3.3%4.604.64+1.0
203532MLBSTL2424132557123551922.1%9.8%3.4%4.684.73+0.9
203633MLBSTL2323126532116531921.8%10.0%3.5%4.774.83+0.7
203734MLBSTL2222120505108521821.4%10.2%3.6%4.874.94+0.5
203835MLBSTL2121113476100501821.0%10.4%3.7%4.985.06+0.3
203936MLBSTL191910644592481720.6%10.7%3.8%5.115.20+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career2926122521107682320.5%13.0%4.4%4.295.45-0.2
/ 200 IP48432008561761123820.5%13.0%4.4%4.295.45-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jurrangelo Cijntje (OGILVIE) 4.77 21.9%11.0%3.2% 4.49 22.8%13.1%415 -0.28
Roman Angelo R 2027 · 4.02 FIP 24 SP- 4.02 22.6%11.4%2.5%.291 5.45 17.7%4.3%141 +1.43 4.02 262 92
Ty Madden R 2026 · 4.53 FIP 23 SP- 4.53 24.0%11.2%3.7%.304 5.21 23.0%13.2%134 +0.68 4.53 375 91
Riley Gowens R 2027 · 4.63 FIP 24 SP- 4.63 22.6%10.3%3.9%.279 4.35 22.4%12.5%132 -0.28 4.35 254 91
R.J. Gordon R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 23 SP- 4.31 21.5%9.5%3.3%.295 4.31 129 90
Nick Nastrini R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 23 SP- 4.05 22.9%11.8%2.5%.288 6.14 19.4%1.6%168 +2.09 4.05 412 89
Luke Russo R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 23 SP- 3.72 21.7%11.1%1.9%.326 3.92 21.5%10.2%38 +0.20 3.72 139 89
Carson Ragsdale R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 23 SP- 4.22 25.0%10.7%3.4%.349 4.35 25.2%14.2%148 +0.13 2.01 352 88
Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 23 SP- 3.72 21.0%10.1%2.0%.285 5.74 19.4%9.6%160 +2.02 3.72 256 88
Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.89 FIP 24 SP- 3.89 20.4%9.6%2.4%.300 4.44 18.2%7.0%78 +0.55 3.89 183 88
CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 4.83 FIP 22 SP- 4.83 21.8%12.7%3.6%.302 4.62 15.2%5.3%127 -0.21 2.74 347 88
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.65 FIP 23 SP- 3.65 21.8%10.4%1.9%.261 4.41 21.9%10.5%63 +0.76 3.65 156 88
Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 23 SP- 4.36 20.1%11.8%2.7%.272 3.77 24.2%13.1%293 -0.59 1.92 778 87
Zach Peek R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 23 SP- 3.60 22.8%10.1%2.1%.339 3.55 17.5%9.8%45 -0.05 3.55 205 87
Patrick Reilly R 2025 · 4.92 FIP 22 SP- 4.92 23.2%13.6%3.7%.242 4.92 119 87
Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 23 SP- 4.72 20.2%12.2%3.3%.269 4.89 17.4%3.3%197 +0.17 4.28 448 87
Austin Love R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 23 SP- 4.30 20.6%10.6%2.9%.358 3.57 22.1%9.7%56 -0.73 3.57 182 87
Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.15 FIP 23 SP- 4.15 19.5%10.5%2.5%.302 4.38 23.2%14.7%121 +0.23 4.15 212 87
Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP- 4.23 19.6%9.6%2.9%.257 4.02 10.6%4.0%101 -0.21 4.02 199 87
Brody Hopkins R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 23 SP- 3.86 23.2%13.4%1.9%.275 5.49 23.1%0.8%18 +1.63 3.46 249 87
Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.78 FIP 23 SP- 4.78 20.3%12.6%3.3%.266 5.31 14.0%1.0%106 +0.53 3.85 291 86

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$11M+$10M
2029Arb-1$0.8M+1.5$13M+$12M
2030Arb-2$0.9M+1.5$14M+$13M
2031Arb-3$3M+1.4$13M+$10M
2032Ext / FA-deal$5M+1.3$12M+$8M
2033Ext / FA-deal$6M+1.2$12M+$6M
Totals $16M $75M +$59M