Jurrangelo Cijntje

Jurrangelo Cijntje P Springfield Cardinals

Age 23 SHP 5'11" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.2 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION128 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINST119

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%22.1%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 135 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD4050

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$4M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	108	459	120	51	15	88%	4.2	20.5%	12.6%	7.8%	4.0%	3.99	5.17	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	108	459	120	51	15	88%	4.2	20.5%	12.6%	7.8%	4.0%	3.99	5.17	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	108	459	120	51	15	88%	4.2	26.1%	11.1%	15.0%	3.3%	3.99	4.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	27	27	128	564	159	65	16	100%	4.7	23.0%	11.8%	11.3%	3.4%	5.08	4.50	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	27	27	128	564	159	65	16	100%	4.7	23.0%	11.8%	11.3%	3.4%	5.08	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	STL	17	17	80	354	100	40	14	100%	4.7	28.2%	11.3%	16.9%	4.0%	5.04	4.32	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	STL	10	10	47	210	59	25	2	100%	4.7	28.1%	11.9%	16.2%	1.0%	5.13	2.76	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	STL	1	1	8	33	7	4	1	100%	7.8	22.1%	12.5%	9.6%	3.2%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	135	597	166	69	17	—	—	27.9%	11.6%	16.3%	2.9%	5.07	4.52	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	28	28	154	651	149	73	20	100%	5.5	23.0%	11.2%	11.7%	3.1%	4.77	4.69	+0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	30	30	174	735	172	77	23	100%	5.8	23.4%	10.5%	13.0%	3.1%	4.62	4.54	+0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	STL	29	29	175	739	175	76	23	100%	6.0	23.6%	10.3%	13.4%	3.1%	4.54	4.49	+0.8
2030	27	MLB MLE	STL	29	29	172	728	172	75	23	100%	5.9	23.6%	10.3%	13.3%	3.2%	4.53	4.52	+0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	STL	28	28	167	706	166	74	23	100%	6.0	23.5%	10.4%	13.0%	3.3%	4.58	4.61	+0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	STL	27	27	160	674	157	72	23	100%	5.9	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	3.4%	4.68	4.74	+0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	STL	25	25	150	634	145	70	23	100%	6.0	22.9%	11.0%	11.9%	3.6%	4.82	4.92	-0.0
2034	31	MLB MLE	STL	23	23	140	591	133	67	23	100%	6.1	22.5%	11.3%	11.2%	3.8%	5.00	5.12	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	12	12	68	287	66	32	8	100%	5.7	23.0%	11.2%	11.7%	2.9%	4.65	4.57	+0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	20	20	116	490	115	51	14	100%	5.8	23.4%	10.5%	13.0%	2.9%	4.50	4.42	+0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	STL	23	23	139	587	139	60	17	100%	6.0	23.6%	10.3%	13.4%	2.9%	4.42	4.37	+0.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	STL	24	24	147	621	146	64	18	100%	6.1	23.6%	10.3%	13.3%	2.9%	4.41	4.40	+0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	STL	25	25	149	629	148	66	19	100%	6.0	23.5%	10.4%	13.0%	3.0%	4.45	4.48	+0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	STL	24	24	145	612	142	65	19	100%	6.0	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	3.2%	4.55	4.61	+0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	STL	23	23	138	583	133	64	20	100%	6.0	22.9%	11.0%	11.9%	3.4%	4.68	4.78	-0.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	STL	22	22	130	549	123	62	20	100%	5.9	22.5%	11.3%	11.2%	3.6%	4.85	4.97	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		174	174	1034	4364	1014	466	135	100%	5.9	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	3.1%	4.56	4.19	+8.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	196	90	26	100%	6.0	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	3.1%	4.56	4.19	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		53	50	236	1023	224	124	37	94%	4.5	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	3.7%	4.58	4.80	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	42	200	867	190	105	32	94%	4.5	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	3.7%	4.58	4.80	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jurrangelo Cijntje (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	22.1%	12.5%	3.2%	—	4.57	23.4%	12.7%	503	-0.38	—	—	—
CJ Van Eyk R 2021 · 4.79 FIP	22	SP	4.79	21.8%	12.7%	3.5%	.302	4.64	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.15	4.17	438	92
Paxton Schultz R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	23	SP	4.77	19.7%	11.6%	3.4%	.353	4.73	19.9%	8.5%	305	-0.04	3.90	538	88
Max Bain R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	23	SP	5.21	20.5%	15.2%	3.5%	.291	6.70	16.7%	-3.9%	81	+1.49	5.21	174	88
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	88
Dinelson Lamet R 2015 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.69	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.67	2.11	778	87
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	87
Bryce Jarvis R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP	4.99	21.2%	11.0%	4.2%	.276	5.10	17.6%	6.1%	296	+0.11	4.18	533	87
Zach McCambley R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	23	SP	4.97	19.4%	13.6%	3.3%	.277	3.29	24.5%	12.5%	123	-1.68	2.55	376	86
Nick Nastrini R 2023 · 4.03 FIP	23	SP	4.03	22.7%	11.5%	2.5%	.288	6.00	18.5%	2.7%	168	+1.97	4.03	412	86
Ty Madden R 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	24.0%	11.2%	3.7%	.304	4.87	20.6%	11.1%	207	+0.35	4.52	448	86
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	86
Jamison Hill R 2022 · 4.83 FIP	23	SP	4.83	18.4%	11.6%	3.3%	.280	5.02	16.1%	3.0%	202	+0.19	4.72	326	85
Zach Messinger R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	23	SP	5.26	20.4%	14.3%	3.8%	.278	3.96	17.9%	8.2%	286	-1.30	3.70	466	85
TJ Shook R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP	4.90	21.7%	13.8%	3.4%	.311	4.98	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.08	3.35	451	85
Tyler Skulina R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	23	SP	4.28	18.3%	11.6%	2.3%	.242	5.34	13.0%	-1.0%	147	+1.06	4.28	222	84
Blade Tidwell R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	22	SP	4.84	24.5%	14.7%	3.5%	.284	4.40	19.9%	9.8%	353	-0.44	3.95	469	84
Shelby Lackey R 2019 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP	4.45	18.2%	10.0%	2.9%	.323	3.98	20.6%	5.7%	65	-0.47	2.92	175	84
Ryan Jensen R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	21.4%	10.8%	4.0%	.236	4.51	21.6%	4.7%	180	-0.35	4.00	311	84
Mitch Spence R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP	4.12	20.3%	9.5%	2.8%	.314	4.54	18.7%	11.6%	445	+0.42	4.12	747	84
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.9	154	23.2%	10.8%	1.28	4.70
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75