Jurrangelo Cijntje
P
Springfield Cardinals
Age 23
SHP
5'11" / 200 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.9 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION80 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST122
ERA4.98
FIP4.98
K%22.2%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%9.4%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 145 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 108 | 459 | 120 | 51 | 15 | 88% | 4.2 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.99 | 5.16 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 108 | 459 | 120 | 51 | 15 | 88% | 4.2 | 26.1% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 3.99 | 4.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 17 | 17 | 80 | 354 | 100 | 40 | 14 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 5.04 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 61 | 35 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 145 | 628 | 161 | 75 | 23 | — | — | 25.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 5.18 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 120 | 508 | 118 | 59 | 16 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.71 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 24 | 24 | 140 | 591 | 140 | 64 | 18 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.56 | +1.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | STL | 25 | 25 | 152 | 641 | 153 | 68 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.51 | +1.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | STL | 25 | 25 | 150 | 632 | 151 | 67 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.54 | +1.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | STL | 24 | 24 | 145 | 613 | 145 | 66 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.63 | +1.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | STL | 23 | 23 | 139 | 585 | 137 | 64 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.76 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 550 | 127 | 62 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 4.84 | 4.94 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 52 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 16 | 16 | 94 | 397 | 94 | 43 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.56 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | STL | 20 | 20 | 121 | 511 | 122 | 54 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.51 | +1.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | STL | 21 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 129 | 57 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.54 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 129 | 545 | 129 | 58 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.63 | +1.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | STL | 21 | 21 | 126 | 532 | 125 | 58 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.76 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | STL | 20 | 20 | 120 | 507 | 117 | 57 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 4.84 | 4.94 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 130 | 130 | 772 | 3259 | 768 | 354 | 107 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 4.28 | +10.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 92 | 28 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 40 | 189 | 813 | 175 | 102 | 35 | 93% | 4.4 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 4.44 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 42 | 200 | 862 | 185 | 108 | 37 | 93% | 4.4 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 4.44 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jurrangelo Cijntje (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.59 | 23.6% | 12.7% | 412 | -0.39 | — | — | — |
| Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.66 | 20.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .266 | 5.22 | 16.1% | 2.8% | 185 | +0.56 | 3.71 | 370 | 92 |
| CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.01 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.47 | 15.2% | 5.3% | 127 | -0.54 | 3.95 | 411 | 91 |
| Max Bain R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.37 | 20.5% | 15.2% | 3.8% | .291 | 6.65 | 16.7% | -3.9% | 81 | +1.28 | 5.16 | 174 | 88 |
| Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.80 | 24.2% | 13.1% | 293 | -0.56 | 2.21 | 778 | 88 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.94 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.4% | 3.3% | 197 | +0.04 | 4.60 | 529 | 87 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 87 |
| Patrick Reilly R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.75 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 119 | 87 |
| Brody Hopkins R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.95 | 23.2% | 13.4% | 2.0% | .275 | 4.71 | 23.4% | 0.9% | 72 | +0.76 | 3.49 | 303 | 87 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.98 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .353 | 4.83 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 305 | -0.15 | 4.00 | 512 | 87 |
| Nick Nastrini R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.01 | 22.9% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .288 | 6.17 | 19.4% | 1.6% | 168 | +2.16 | 4.01 | 412 | 86 |
| Ty Madden R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.42 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 3.5% | .304 | 5.61 | 21.6% | 11.1% | 179 | +1.19 | 4.42 | 420 | 86 |
| Zach McCambley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.89 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 3.1% | .277 | 3.30 | 25.0% | 12.6% | 123 | -1.59 | 2.61 | 383 | 86 |
| Zach Messinger R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.25 | 20.4% | 14.3% | 3.8% | .278 | 3.87 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 264 | -1.38 | 3.68 | 444 | 85 |
| Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 85 |
| Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .242 | 5.24 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 147 | +0.78 | 4.46 | 222 | 85 |
| Will Schomberg R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.00 | 21.4% | 15.6% | 3.2% | .266 | 3.84 | 23.3% | 11.7% | 90 | -1.16 | 3.84 | 206 | 85 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.82 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.12 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.30 | 3.36 | 432 | 85 |
| Jaron DeBerry R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.03 | 21.2% | 13.0% | 3.8% | .249 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 175 | 84 |
| Jamison Hill R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.09 | 18.4% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .280 | 4.70 | 16.1% | 3.0% | 202 | -0.39 | 4.44 | 326 | 84 |
| Hayden Minton R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.96 | 19.7% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .357 | 4.88 | 19.3% | 10.5% | 167 | +0.92 | 3.96 | 260 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 133 | 23.5% | 11.0% | 1.26 | 4.69 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Danny Duffy ('21) | 7 | 124 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 4.04 |
| Jake Odorizzi ('22) | 7 | 148 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 1.24 | 3.92 |