Cam Smith

RF Houston Astros
Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 224 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 2.000 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AA/A+/A2 orgs134.313/.402/.60972134—.292/.356/.550
202522MLBHOU493.236/.314/.3589890-0.1
202623MLBHOU568.210/.281/.3902112860.2
2027PROJ24MLBHOU500.237/.309/.41017271011.5
2028PROJ98% MLB25MLBHOU496.237/.310/.41217271011.6
2029PROJ98% MLB26MLBHOU496.237/.310/.41117271011.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 4.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$4M2029Arb-2$8M2030Arb-3$11M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
Speed90
Bat Spd90
Barrel%57
xwOBA52
Avg EV40
Form.223/.297/.412 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .234/.305/.408
CompsAnthony Volpe (age 23) · Oswald Peraza (age 23) · Royce Lewis (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 105101vR 89
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .309 / .410
PA500
HR17
SB27
K%26
BB%8
BABIP290
ISO174
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +0.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+0BATRUN: +4.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +5.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+6FLDPOS: -5.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +10.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +1.90+1.9WAR
0.01.22.41.91.61.61.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$29M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
300.235
POWER45
Barrel%
579.2
Avg EV
4088.3
Bat Spd
9077.9
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.2
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%29%▼▼32% over 91 PA (60d) · proj 26%
BB%8%·9% over 91 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.189▲.220 over 82 AB (60d) · proj .174
HR/BB6.1%▲7.5% over 53 BBE (60d) · proj 5.3%
BABIP.284·.245 over 49 BIP (60d) · proj .286
SLASH.223/.297/.412·proj .234/.305/.408
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 599 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
165
434
—
wRC+
116
81
◀◀L
wOBA
340
288
◀◀L
ISO
180
110
◀◀L
BABIP
320
311
—
K%
27.9%
27.0%
▶R
BB%
11.5%
8.1%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.9$15M+$14M
2028Arb-1$4M+1.6$12M+$8M
2029Arb-2$8M+1.6$11M+$5M
2030Arb-3$11M+1.5$10M+$2M
Totals $23M $48M +$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 AATennessee Smokies — 2019 5020 130 00 263300474774 211312 155 332 82 — — — — — —
202421 A+South Bend Cubs — 5748 16311 692 11 333429500929 167385 1611 406 126 — — — — — —
202421 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 5748 15216 8120 10 3124117711.182 458290 2114 486 160 — — — — — —
202522 MLBHouston Astros — 493441 1042139 431377 81 236314358672 122320 289 304 90 -6 +1 -1 -5 +11 -0.1
202623 MLBHouston Astros — 568510 10717621 441487 122 210281390671 180248 268 296 86 -10 +2 +4 -6 +12 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 1061951 21138930 8728514 203 222296375672 154281 278 300 89 -14 +3 +2 -11 +23 0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 2019 5020 140 00 263300474774 211296 205 290 82 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 5750 16311 4112 11 320393480873 160348 197 354 126 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 5751 14215 5170 10 275339647986 373257 309 404 160 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 493441 1032039 431377 81 234312354665 120320 289 301 90 -6 +1 -1 -5 +11 -0.1
202623 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 568511 10716622 441487 122 209281393674 184248 268 295 86 -10 +2 +4 -6 +12 0.2
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 134121 33446 9322 21 273333521854 248318 247 366 134 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAW3 teams — 134115 36547 15242 21 3134026091.010 296337 1811 429 134 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 493441 1032039 431377 81 234312354665 120316 289 301 90 -6 +1 -1 -5 +11 -0.1
202522 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 493441 1042139 431377 81 236314358672 122320 289 304 90 -6 +1 -1 -5 +11 -0.1
202623 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 568511 10716622 441487 122 209281393674 184245 268 295 86 -10 +2 +4 -6 +12 0.2
202623 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 568510 10717621 441487 122 210281390671 180248 268 296 86 -10 +2 +4 -6 +12 0.2
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 134122 33446 9322 21 270333516850 246302 247 366 134 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 493440 1032039 431377 81 234312355666 120320 289 301 90 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 568512 10716622 441487 122 209281393674 184248 268 295 86 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 134122 33446 9322 21 270333516850 246302 247 366 134 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 493440 1032039 431377 81 234312355666 120320 289 301 90 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 568512 10716622 441487 122 209281393674 184248 268 295 86 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEHOU 100% 542486 11518519 441387 305 235307408716 173286 258 317 101 +0 +4 +6 -6 +12 1.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXHOU 100% 500449 10617517 411286 275 237309410719 173290 268 318 101 +0 +3 +6 -5 +11 1.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEHOU 98% 506454 10817518 411296 285 235308411719 175286 258 318 101 +1 +4 +6 -5 +11 1.6
202926 MLB MLEHOU 98% 506453 10817518 421296 275 235308410718 175286 258 318 101 +1 +3 +6 -5 +11 1.6
203027 MLB MLEHOU 98% 500449 10516517 411286 275 234307407714 173285 268 316 100 +0 +3 +6 -5 +11 1.5
203128 MLB MLEHOU 98% 490441 10216417 401276 244 232305402707 170284 268 313 98 -1 +3 +5 -5 +11 1.3
203229 MLB MLEHOU 98% 476429 9815416 391245 204 229302395697 166282 268 309 95 -3 +2 +4 -5 +10 0.9
203330 MLB MLEHOU 98% 462416 9414415 381225 163 225297386683 161279 268 304 92 -5 +2 +3 -5 +10 0.6
202825 MLB CTXHOU 98% 496446 10617517 411266 275 237310412722 174290 258 319 101 +1 +3 +6 -5 +11 1.6
202926 MLB CTXHOU 98% 496446 10617517 411266 275 237310411721 174290 258 319 101 +1 +3 +6 -5 +11 1.6
203027 MLB CTXHOU 98% 490441 10517517 401266 265 236309408717 173289 268 318 100 +0 +3 +6 -5 +11 1.5
203128 MLB CTXHOU 98% 480431 10016416 401246 234 234307403710 170288 268 315 98 -1 +3 +5 -5 +10 1.2
203229 MLB CTXHOU 98% 466420 9716415 381225 204 231303396700 165286 268 311 95 -3 +2 +4 -5 +10 0.9
203330 MLB CTXHOU 98% 453408 9315414 371205 163 227299387686 160282 268 305 92 -4 +2 +3 -5 +10 0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 39423543 81813636126 324102948 15929 231304396700 165287 268 311 97 -20 +20 +33 -42 +85 7.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 13522621 531708 265 231303397701 166288 268 311 97 -3 +3 +5 -7 +14 1.3
Career— MLE — 46354164 96315145155 378120456 19135 231304401705 170285 268 312 97 -20 +24 +39 -48 +98 9.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 13521622 531698 275 231304401705 170285 268 312 97 -3 +3 +6 -7 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 A+South Bend Cubs · 57 PAwOBA .398 → .354 (−44)K% 15.8% → 19.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.79%÷1.005×1.270——19.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.77%÷1.021×0.710—×1.0276.27%
HBP% /PA3.51%—×0.790—×1.0272.85%
Singles /BIP28.21%÷1.009×0.920—×1.02726.42%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.034×0.810—×1.0276.19%
Triples /BIP2.56%÷0.979×0.850—×1.0272.29%
Home runs /BIP2.56%÷0.909×0.800—×1.0272.32%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 96, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .398 → .354; ISO .167 → .149; BABIP .385 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 57 PAwOBA .476 → .404 (−72)K% 21.1% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.985×1.360——29.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.28%÷1.007×0.690—×1.0158.54%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷0.997×0.920—×1.01515.60%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷0.986×0.830—×1.0154.75%
Triples /BIP2.78%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0152.23%
Home runs /BIP16.67%÷0.908×0.800—×1.01514.90%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .476 → .404; ISO .458 → .399; BABIP .290 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AATennessee Smokies · 20 PAwOBA .323 → .290 (−33)K% 15.0% → 18.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.00%÷0.975×1.220——18.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.00%÷0.959×0.680—×1.0503.72%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.015×0.920—×1.05017.85%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.059×0.910—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP12.50%÷0.985×0.880—×1.05011.72%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.854×0.800—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .323 → .290; ISO .211 → .191; BABIP .312 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).