Cam SmithRF
Houston Astros
Age 23
R/R
6'3" / 224 lbs
MLB
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 1.7 · 2029
wRC+†vL 132101vR 71
AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .317 / .391
PA493
HR14
SB13
K%27
BB%9
xwOBA.363
Barrel%15.2%
MLB%100%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
45→45
SPD
60→60
EYE
52↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2030
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.5 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.4 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2028 | Arb-1 | $3M | +1.6 | $14M | +$10M |
| 2029 | Arb-2 | $6M | +1.7 | $15M | +$9M |
| 2030 | Arb-3 | $10M | +1.7 | $15M | +$6M |
| Totals | $21M | $67M | +$47M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | 3 teams | 134 | 121 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .273 | .333 | .529 | .862 | .256 | .313 | 25 | 7 | .362 | 135 | +5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Houston Astros | 493 | 441 | 100 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 137 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .227 | .305 | .345 | .650 | .118 | .306 | 28 | 9 | .297 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +14 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Houston Astros | 103 | 89 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .236 | .327 | .393 | .720 | .157 | .281 | 23 | 11 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +4 | -1 | +3 | 0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | HOU | 390 | 346 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .240 | .320 | .393 | .713 | .153 | .304 | 26 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +11 | 0.8 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | HOU | 493 | 435 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 126 | 6 | 13 | 1 | .239 | .322 | .393 | .715 | .154 | .301 | 26 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | +3 | -5 | +14 | 1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 518 | 456 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 110 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .239 | .324 | .393 | .716 | .154 | .282 | 21 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -2 | -6 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 525 | 462 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 51 | 110 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .242 | .327 | .403 | .730 | .160 | .283 | 21 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +4 | +2 | -2 | -6 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 526 | 462 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 52 | 110 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .242 | .328 | .403 | .731 | .160 | .283 | 21 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +2 | -2 | -6 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 521 | 456 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 110 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .241 | .329 | .401 | .731 | .160 | .283 | 21 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +2 | -2 | -6 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 513 | 449 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 16 | 52 | 109 | 7 | 11 | 1 | .243 | .331 | .405 | .736 | .163 | .283 | 21 | 10 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -2 | -5 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 501 | 439 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 51 | 108 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .239 | .327 | .396 | .723 | .157 | .282 | 22 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -3 | -5 | +14 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 489 | 430 | 102 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 107 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .237 | .325 | .391 | .716 | .153 | .281 | 22 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +2 | -4 | -5 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 474 | 417 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 106 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .233 | .321 | .381 | .702 | .149 | .279 | 22 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -4 | -5 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 455 | 400 | 92 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 104 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .230 | .319 | .375 | .694 | .145 | .278 | 23 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 425 | 374 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .227 | .315 | .369 | .684 | .142 | .276 | 24 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -6 | -5 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 379 | 334 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 92 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .306 | .347 | .653 | .129 | .274 | 24 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -6 | -4 | +11 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6343 | 5587 | 1322 | 255 | 28 | 180 | 622 | 1438 | 82 | 113 | 8 | .237 | .322 | .389 | .711 | .152 | .285 | 23 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +18 | +19 | -39 | -68 | +180 | 11.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 18 | 64 | 147 | 8 | 12 | 1 | .236 | .321 | .386 | .707 | .150 | .285 | 23 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +2 | +2 | -4 | -7 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 20 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .263 | .300 | .474 | .774 | .211 | .312 | 15 | 5 | .332 | 112 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 57 | 48 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .429 | .500 | .929 | .167 | .385 | 16 | 11 | .406 | 169 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 57 | 48 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .312 | .411 | .771 | 1.182 | .458 | .290 | 21 | 14 | .486 | 230 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Houston Astros | 493 | 441 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 137 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .236 | .314 | .358 | .672 | .122 | .320 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +14 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 493 | 441 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 137 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .236 | .314 | .358 | .672 | .122 | .320 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +14 | 0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Cam Smith (OGILVIE) | 23 | 45 | 45 | 60 | 45 | .237/.318/.389 | .152 | .282 | 14 | 12 | 21% | 9% | 102 | +1.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB |
23 | 48→52 | 51→55 | 51→50 | 48 | .244/.304/.405 | .161 | .281 | 19 | 12 | 21% | 7% | 99 | +1.7 | .220/.307/.378 | .158 | .261 | 16 | 11 | 22% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .211/.309/.373 | .162 | .247 | 16 | 10 | 21% | 11% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
●Trent Grisham 2020 · MLB |
23 | 42→48 | 50→60 | 54→55 | 50 | .214/.297/.367 | .153 | .276 | 17 | 14 | 28% | 10% | 87 | +0.8 | .228/.315/.400 | .172 | .282 | 19 | 14 | 25% | 10% | 102 | +1.9 | .210/.323/.396 | .186 | .251 | 24 | 8 | 26% | 13% | 101 | +1.3 |
|
✕Aaron Cunningham 2009 · MLB |
23 | 53→57 | 49→55 | 52→50 | 44 | .260/.315/.418 | .158 | .327 | 16 | 16 | 25% | 6% | 107 | +2.2 | .245/.302/.387 | .142 | .313 | 13 | 11 | 25% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .237/.297/.378 | .141 | .295 | 12 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brett Lawrie 2013 · MLB |
23 | 53→56 | 49→55 | 55 | 46 | .264/.315/.426 | .162 | .310 | 14 | 18 | 20% | 6% | 108 | +2.3 | .255/.309/.407 | .152 | .290 | 17 | 11 | 18% | 6% | 102 | +1.8 | .250/.300/.408 | .158 | .303 | 19 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 96 | +1.0 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2022 · MLB |
23 | 48→51 | 49→55 | 56→55 | 48 | .237/.308/.393 | .156 | .316 | 16 | 20 | 29% | 9% | 98 | +1.6 | .226/.305/.368 | .142 | .297 | 14 | 23 | 27% | 10% | 90 | +1.0 | .214/.295/.378 | .164 | .277 | 17 | 28 | 28% | 10% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Ryan Kalish 2011 · MLB |
23 | 49→51 | 47→50 | 56→55 | 47 | .244/.303/.381 | .137 | .299 | 14 | 21 | 23% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.287/.349 | .117 | .296 | 12 | 22 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .216/.264/.311 | .095 | .291 | 8 | 20 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
●Domonic Brown 2011 · MLB |
23 | 52→55 | 49→55 | 52→55 | 45 | .257/.310/.412 | .155 | .316 | 16 | 18 | 24% | 7% | 103 | +1.9 | .252/.314/.409 | .157 | .300 | 17 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 105 | +2.1 | .252/.317/.416 | .164 | .286 | 19 | 11 | 19% | 8% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
●Dansby Swanson 2017 · MLB |
23 | 50→54 | 44→55 | 53→50 | 46 | .242/.302/.368 | .126 | .302 | 11 | 12 | 23% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .237/.307/.367 | .130 | .296 | 12 | 9 | 23% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .250/.318/.424 | .173 | .309 | 22 | 11 | 25% | 8% | 107 | +2.4 |
|
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA |
24 | 45→52 | 47→50 | 53→50 | 47 | .226/.286/.360 | .134 | .264 | 15 | 17 | 21% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .237/.305/.365 | .128 | .272 | 14 | 13 | 18% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .238/.318/.362 | .124 | .267 | 13 | 11 | 16% | 9% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Elijah Dukes 2007 · AAA |
23 | 51 | 51→55 | 51→50 | 48 | .258/.317/.421 | .163 | .298 | 18 | 15 | 20% | 7% | 109 | +2.4 | .243/.335/.417 | .174 | .287 | 19 | 14 | 21% | 11% | 115 | +2.8 | .236/.344/.412 | .176 | .277 | 18 | 13 | 21% | 13% | 114 | +1.7 |
|
✕Clint Frazier 2018 · MLB |
23 | 45→46 | 49→55 | 51→50 | 42 | .227/.282/.381 | .154 | .297 | 15 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .235/.297/.407 | .172 | .303 | 18 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .237/.308/.417 | .181 | .301 | 20 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
✕Victor Robles 2020 · MLB |
23 | 50 | 46→50 | 54→60 | 44 | .245/.313/.384 | .139 | .300 | 12 | 25 | 22% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .229/.303/.348 | .119 | .293 | 11 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .280/.351/.382 | .102 | .349 | 6 | 51 | 20% | 6% | 110 | +0.8 |
|
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA |
23 | 45→49 | 53→55 | 49→50 | 44 | .234/.298/.405 | .171 | .295 | 21 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .242/.300/.407 | .165 | .317 | 19 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .245/.303/.409 | .164 | .323 | 19 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 97 | +1.4 |
|
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB |
24 | 50→49 | 52→60 | 55→50 | 45 | .253/.312/.425 | .172 | .306 | 19 | 22 | 23% | 7% | 108 | +2.3 | .261/.317/.468 | .207 | .304 | 29 | 15 | 24% | 7% | 121 | +3.2 | .244/.300/.437 | .193 | .276 | 28 | 12 | 23% | 7% | 102 | +1.1 |
|
✕Chris Heisey 2010 · AAA |
25 | 50→52 | 47→55 | 56→55 | 46 | .250/.305/.394 | .143 | .287 | 14 | 17 | 18% | 6% | 96 | +1.5 | .247/.304/.409 | .162 | .295 | 19 | 12 | 23% | 6% | 101 | +1.8 | .244/.302/.405 | .161 | .299 | 20 | 9 | 25% | 6% | 94 | +0.7 |
|
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2021 · MLB |
24 | 51→54 | 47→50 | 52→50 | 47 | .249/.309/.397 | .148 | .302 | 13 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .253/.311/.390 | .137 | .313 | 13 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .256/.313/.394 | .138 | .313 | 12 | 16 | 21% | 7% | 95 | +1.2 |
|
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA |
24 | 41→44 | 50→55 | 53→50 | 45 | .206/.286/.363 | .157 | .300 | 18 | 12 | 36% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .219/.316/.410 | .191 | .291 | 23 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 106 | +2.2 | .213/.322/.409 | .196 | .275 | 24 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA |
23 | 47→49 | 46→50 | 57→55 | 46 | .234/.288/.375 | .142 | .285 | 12 | 16 | 23% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .233/.295/.371 | .138 | .286 | 13 | 17 | 22% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .229/.296/.370 | .141 | .279 | 14 | 17 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Aaron Luna 2011 · AAA |
24 | 42→43 | 50 | 50→45 | 49 | .215/.326/.373 | .158 | .267 | 17 | 7 | 25% | 9% | 102 | +1.9 | .228/.318/.369 | .141 | .289 | 16 | 9 | 26% | 8% | 97 | +1.5 | .224/.310/.354 | .130 | .286 | 17 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 89 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jake Marisnick 2014 · MLB |
23 | 47→54 | 45→60 | 54→55 | 41 | .233/.287/.364 | .131 | .293 | 12 | 18 | 25% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .228/.272/.345 | .117 | .296 | 11 | 25 | 26% | 4% | 70 | -0.3 | .232/.296/.435 | .203 | .309 | 26 | 18 | 33% | 6% | 101 | +0.9 |