Blake DunnLF
Louisville Bats
Age 27
R/R
5'9" / 210 lbs
AAA
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 0.3 · 2027
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .296 / .328
PA250
HR6
SB10
K%31
BB%8
MLB%45%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
40→40
SPD
60→60
EYE
49↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut 2024
Service 2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2027
DEF 10%
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $0.7M | +0.2 | $0.8M | +$0.1M |
| 2029 | Arb-4 | $0.7M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $1M | $2M | +$0.8M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | 2 teams | 31 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .241 | .267 | .379 | .646 | .138 | .353 | 35 | 3 | .260 | 57 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 127 | 99 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 7 | 18 | 1 | .253 | .403 | .444 | .848 | .192 | .382 | 31 | 14 | .363 | 136 | +5 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 559 | 481 | 128 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 175 | 32 | 54 | 7 | .266 | .361 | .435 | .795 | .168 | .370 | 31 | 7 | .343 | 121 | +13 | +8 | +0 | -6 | +16 | 3.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 450 | 400 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 147 | 9 | 23 | 2 | .205 | .279 | .297 | .576 | .092 | .306 | 33 | 7 | .253 | 52 | -25 | +4 | +0 | -5 | +13 | -1.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 497 | 431 | 100 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 151 | 16 | 25 | 4 | .232 | .327 | .323 | .650 | .090 | .339 | 30 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -9 | +3 | +1 | -5 | +14 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 107 | 94 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .234 | .314 | .298 | .612 | .064 | .318 | 26 | 6 | .282 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 143 | 127 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .213 | .296 | .315 | .611 | .102 | .296 | 30 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | CIN | 250 | 221 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 71 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .222 | .304 | .308 | .611 | .086 | .304 | 28 | 7 | .285 | 76 | -7 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 54% | CIN | 392 | 345 | 76 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 95 | 11 | 17 | 3 | .220 | .308 | .336 | .645 | .116 | .279 | 24 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 65% | CIN | 390 | 343 | 76 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 95 | 11 | 16 | 3 | .222 | .310 | .338 | .648 | .117 | .280 | 24 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 74% | CIN | 388 | 342 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 96 | 10 | 16 | 2 | .219 | .306 | .336 | .643 | .117 | .279 | 25 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 82% | CIN | 373 | 328 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 94 | 10 | 13 | 2 | .220 | .308 | .332 | .640 | .113 | .279 | 25 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 89% | CIN | 354 | 312 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 91 | 9 | 11 | 1 | .215 | .302 | .321 | .623 | .106 | .278 | 26 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 94% | CIN | 324 | 286 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 85 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .213 | .299 | .315 | .614 | .101 | .276 | 26 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -9 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 280 | 248 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 76 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .206 | .291 | .302 | .594 | .097 | .275 | 27 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -9 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4308 | 3771 | 847 | 124 | 15 | 94 | 357 | 1199 | 134 | 221 | 27 | .225 | .314 | .340 | .654 | .116 | .301 | 28 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -75 | +33 | -20 | -46 | +122 | 1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 128 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 54 | 181 | 20 | 33 | 4 | .225 | .314 | .339 | .653 | .114 | .302 | 28 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -11 | +5 | -3 | -7 | +18 | 0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .357 | .357 | .643 | 1.000 | .286 | .500 | 33 | 0 | .405 | 168 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 16 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .214 | .312 | .214 | .527 | .000 | .273 | 19 | 12 | .257 | 55 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 127 | 93 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 29 | 7 | 18 | 1 | .290 | .468 | .495 | .962 | .204 | .383 | 23 | 19 | .422 | 181 | +12 | +3 | — | — | +4 | 1.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 357 | 295 | 98 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 84 | 15 | 35 | 4 | .332 | .439 | .556 | .995 | .224 | .413 | 24 | 11 | .431 | 188 | +35 | +5 | — | — | +10 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 202 | 163 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 46 | 17 | 19 | 3 | .276 | .413 | .460 | .873 | .184 | .336 | 23 | 10 | .394 | 159 | +14 | +3 | — | — | +6 | 2.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .154 | .241 | .308 | .549 | .154 | .214 | 38 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 421 | 359 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 113 | 8 | 21 | 2 | .240 | .337 | .354 | .691 | .114 | .329 | 27 | 11 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +3 | — | — | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 75 | 60 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 1 | .150 | .320 | .233 | .553 | .083 | .235 | 33 | 11 | .277 | 70 | -3 | -0 | +1 | -5 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 422 | 354 | 103 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 102 | 9 | 24 | 3 | .291 | .398 | .401 | .799 | .110 | .390 | 24 | 13 | .361 | 135 | +17 | +4 | — | — | +12 | 3.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 104 | 86 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | .151 | .298 | .256 | .554 | .105 | .229 | 35 | 10 | .270 | 65 | -4 | +0 | +2 | -10 | +3 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Blake Dunn (OGILVIE) | 27 | 55 | 40 | 60 | 60 | .209/.296/.328 | .119 | .290 | 6 | 13 | 31% | 8% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕John Andreoli 2018 · AAA |
28 | 43→53 | 44→45 | 58→60 | 47 | .210/.288/.332 | .122 | .300 | 11 | 30 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .213/.295/.331 | .118 | .313 | 10 | 20 | 32% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .197/.291/.306 | .110 | .306 | 9 | 17 | 35% | 11% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕John Raynor 2010 · AAA |
26 | 49→54 | 44→45 | 57→60 | 43 | .234/.296/.353 | .118 | .320 | 10 | 28 | 29% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .227/.282/.327 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 16 | 27% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .247/.298/.319 | .072 | .313 | 7 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2019 · MLB |
27 | 46→52 | 46→50 | 54→55 | 46 | .227/.295/.361 | .133 | .280 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .231/.302/.374 | .143 | .296 | 14 | 16 | 26% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .220/.291/.371 | .151 | .284 | 16 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Lane Adams 2017 · AAA |
27 | 45 | 45→50 | 58→60 | 41 | .223/.277/.341 | .118 | .297 | 12 | 31 | 29% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .212/.269/.342 | .130 | .316 | 14 | 30 | 35% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .190/.254/.328 | .139 | .294 | 16 | 28 | 39% | 7% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Anthony Alford 2021 · MLB |
27 | 44→53 | 44→45 | 55 | 39 | .212/.273/.330 | .118 | .310 | 11 | 25 | 34% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .231/.301/.411 | .180 | .360 | 23 | 20 | 39% | 8% | 100 | +1.7 | .231/.309/.414 | .183 | .381 | 24 | 20 | 42% | 8% | 99 | +1.0 |
|
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA |
26 | 46→47 | 44→45 | 59→60 | 46 | .220/.309/.338 | .117 | .303 | 11 | 30 | 29% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .222/.314/.329 | .107 | .299 | 10 | 22 | 27% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .216/.313/.311 | .095 | .285 | 9 | 20 | 25% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Clete Thomas 2011 · MLB |
27 | 47→53 | 46→50 | 57→55 | 47 | .227/.301/.361 | .134 | .309 | 12 | 26 | 29% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .213/.267/.349 | .136 | .305 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.262/.332 | .127 | .276 | 12 | 14 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Garrett Hampson 2021 · MLB |
26 | 48→56 | 44→45 | 58→60 | 45 | .235/.290/.353 | .118 | .303 | 11 | 25 | 26% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.284/.337 | .114 | .293 | 10 | 21 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .230/.295/.332 | .102 | .301 | 8 | 22 | 25% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Drew Avans 2022 · AAA |
26 | 48→53 | 44→45 | 58→60 | 45 | .228/.293/.351 | .123 | .320 | 11 | 25 | 31% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .222/.295/.329 | .107 | .322 | 8 | 29 | 31% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .223/.294/.314 | .091 | .311 | 8 | 30 | 29% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cade Gotta 2019 · AAA |
27 | 49→51 | 41→45 | 58→55 | 44 | .234/.282/.337 | .103 | .295 | 7 | 31 | 23% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .238/.304/.352 | .114 | .309 | 9 | 23 | 24% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .249/.328/.367 | .118 | .320 | 9 | 21 | 23% | 10% | 99 | +0.6 |
|
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB |
28 | 47→51 | 49→55 | 57→60 | 41 | .233/.287/.390 | .156 | .318 | 16 | 28 | 31% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .227/.282/.375 | .148 | .314 | 16 | 21 | 31% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .236/.294/.379 | .143 | .303 | 19 | 14 | 28% | 7% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jared Oliva 2023 · MLB |
27 | 44→46 | 43→50 | 57→65 | 38 | .217/.263/.332 | .115 | .296 | 9 | 24 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .224/.284/.356 | .132 | .289 | 13 | 36 | 26% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .224/.292/.359 | .135 | .282 | 14 | 55 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Eric Patterson 2010 · MLB |
27 | 50→56 | 44→50 | 61→60 | 47 | .245/.298/.372 | .128 | .299 | 11 | 30 | 22% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .223/.281/.354 | .131 | .284 | 11 | 28 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .201/.266/.320 | .119 | .261 | 9 | 26 | 26% | 8% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nate Eaton 2023 · MLB |
26 | 46→51 | 45→50 | 59→60 | 44 | .226/.292/.352 | .126 | .295 | 13 | 28 | 27% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .218/.268/.353 | .135 | .282 | 15 | 28 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .215/.263/.353 | .138 | .275 | 16 | 29 | 28% | 5% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕George Lombard 2003 · MLB |
27 | 47→44 | 45→50 | 58→55 | 44 | .230/.290/.358 | .128 | .307 | 12 | 23 | 28% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .233/.294/.379 | .146 | .309 | 15 | 19 | 28% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .220/.294/.374 | .154 | .306 | 17 | 27 | 32% | 8% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA |
27 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 62→65 | 43 | .210/.289/.348 | .138 | .323 | 13 | 30 | 37% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .212/.293/.344 | .132 | .312 | 13 | 37 | 33% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.290/.325 | .120 | .298 | 11 | 45 | 32% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB |
27 | 47→52 | 43→45 | 54→55 | 47 | .228/.304/.346 | .118 | .294 | 10 | 20 | 25% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .219/.304/.340 | .121 | .287 | 11 | 19 | 26% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .221/.303/.332 | .112 | .308 | 10 | 22 | 29% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2022 · MLB |
27 | 44→49 | 43→45 | 59→65 | 39 | .216/.266/.324 | .108 | .289 | 10 | 36 | 28% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.271/.334 | .123 | .287 | 14 | 31 | 30% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .184/.255/.288 | .104 | .249 | 14 | 44 | 31% | 5% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA |
27 | 43 | 43→40 | 59→60 | 45 | .210/.290/.313 | .104 | .303 | 12 | 32 | 33% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.276/.302 | .097 | .296 | 10 | 29 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .172/.244/.246 | .074 | .244 | 9 | 46 | 32% | 7% | 30 | -1.1 |
|
✕Michael Beltre 2022 · AA |
27 | 46→53 | 48→50 | 60 | 43 | .226/.287/.373 | .147 | .305 | 14 | 24 | 30% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .223/.291/.375 | .152 | .326 | 16 | 33 | 34% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .198/.280/.339 | .141 | .302 | 16 | 50 | 37% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |