Blake Dunn — OGILVIE

Blake DunnRF Cincinnati Reds

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 210 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION293 act + 3 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP316

ISO117

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

905.0%

xAVG

100.217

POWER40

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

3870.0

EYE60

Chase%

9011.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.6

Platoon Splits2025 · 75 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

304

247

◀◀L

ISO

077

088

▶R

BABIP

308

190

◀◀L

37.1%

30.0%

▶▶R

BB%

14.3%

7.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	357	357	643	1.000	286	500	33	0	405	160	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	22	ROK	ACL Reds	—	16	14	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	5	0	214	312	214	527		273	19	12	257	60	-1	+1	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	93	27	5	1	4	24	29	7	18	1	290	468	495	962	204	383	23	19	422	172	+11	+3	—	—	+3	1.7
2023	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	357	295	98	13	4	15	41	84	15	35	4	332	439	556	995	224	413	24	11	431	178	+33	+5	—	—	+8	4.7
2023	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	202	163	45	4	1	8	21	46	17	19	3	276	413	460	873	184	336	23	10	394	152	+13	+3	—	—	+4	2.0
2024	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	29	26	4	1	0	1	2	11	1	2	0	154	241	308	549	154	214	38	7	252	57	-1	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.5
2024	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	421	359	86	16	2	7	45	113	8	21	2	240	337	354	691	114	329	27	11	311	96	-2	+3	—	—	+9	1.1
2025	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	75	60	9	2	0	1	8	25	7	1	1	150	320	233	553	83	235	33	11	277	74	-2	-0	+1	-5	+2	-0.5
2025	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	422	354	103	14	2	7	54	102	9	24	3	291	398	401	799	110	390	24	13	361	131	+15	+4	—	—	+9	2.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	104	86	13	3	0	2	10	36	8	3	1	151	298	256	554	105	229	35	10	270	69	-4	+0	+2	-10	+2	-1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	357	357	643	1.000	286	438	47	0	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	16	15	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	0	133	188	133	321		230	25	6	185	11	-2	+1	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	99	25	5	1	4	18	40	7	18	1	253	403	444	848	192	353	31	14	358	128	+4	+3	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	357	310	92	12	3	12	26	107	15	35	4	297	379	471	850	174	392	30	7	363	132	+14	+5	—	—	+8	2.7
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	202	170	38	3	1	7	14	64	17	19	3	224	343	376	720	153	293	32	7	307	94	-1	+3	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	29	26	4	1	0	1	2	11	1	2	0	154	241	308	549	154	214	38	7	241	49	-2	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.5
2024	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	421	374	77	14	2	4	30	136	8	21	2	206	279	286	565	80	296	32	7	250	55	-22	+3	—	—	+9	-1.0
2025	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	75	60	9	2	0	1	8	25	7	1	1	150	320	233	553	83	235	33	11	269	68	-3	-0	+1	-5	+2	-0.6
2025	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	422	371	91	12	2	5	37	125	9	24	3	245	329	329	657	84	347	30	9	293	84	-8	+4	—	—	+9	0.5
2021	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	31	29	7	1	0	1	1	11	0	5	0	241	267	379	646	138	353	35	3	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	31	28	8	1	0	1	2	8	0	5	0	286	333	429	762	143	368	26	6	329	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	99	25	5	1	4	18	40	7	18	1	253	403	444	848	192	382	31	14	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	93	27	5	1	4	24	29	7	18	1	290	468	495	962	204	383	23	19	422	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	559	480	129	15	4	18	40	170	32	54	7	269	364	429	793	160	372	30	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	559	458	143	17	5	23	62	130	32	54	7	312	429	522	951	210	386	23	11	417	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	400	81	15	2	5	32	147	9	23	2	203	277	287	564	85	305	33	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	450	385	90	17	2	8	47	124	9	23	2	234	331	351	682	117	323	28	10	307	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	431	99	14	2	6	45	150	16	25	4	230	325	313	638	84	337	30	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	497	414	112	16	2	8	62	127	16	25	4	271	386	377	763	106	371	26	12	349	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	31	30	7	1	0	1	1	11	0	5	0	233	267	367	633	133	331	35	3	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	101	25	5	1	4	18	40	7	18	1	248	403	436	839	188	353	31	14	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	559	482	129	15	4	18	40	170	32	54	7	268	364	427	792	160	356	30	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	406	81	15	2	5	32	147	9	23	2	200	277	283	560	84	291	33	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	433	99	14	2	6	45	150	16	25	4	229	325	312	637	83	330	30	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	559	482	129	15	4	18	40	170	32	54	7	268	364	427	792	160	356	30	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	406	81	15	2	5	32	147	9	23	2	200	277	283	560	84	291	33	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	433	99	14	2	6	45	150	16	25	4	229	325	312	637	83	330	30	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	CIN	—	293	264	71	12	1	3	18	63	8	13	4	269	334	356	691	87	340	22	6	301	90	-4	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	CIN	—	155	142	40	7	1	2	10	33	2	6	3	282	338	387	725	106	352	21	6	325	90	-2	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.2
YTD	27	AAA RAW	CIN	—	138	119	33	6	0	1	11	25	6	7	1	277	368	353	721	76	340	18	8	329	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB RAW	CIN	—	155	142	40	7	1	2	10	33	2	6	3	282	338	387	725	106	352	21	6	325	106	+1	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.3
ROS	27	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						313	33	0	301	90	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						316	33	0	287	90	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	CIN	—	158	145	40	7	1	2	10	34	2	6	3	276	331	379	711	103	345	22	6	324	90	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.0
TOT	27	MLB MLE	CIN	—	296	267	71	12	1	3	18	64	8	13	4	266	331	352	683	86	337	22	6	301	90	-4	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	392	350	83	13	1	7	29	99	10	20	4	237	314	340	654	103	310	25	7	297	87	-6	+2	+1	-4	+8	0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	390	348	81	13	1	6	29	100	10	18	4	233	310	328	638	95	308	26	7	294	85	-7	+2	+0	-4	+8	-0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	388	347	80	12	1	6	29	100	9	16	4	231	306	323	629	92	307	26	7	291	83	-8	+2	-0	-4	+8	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	321	286	69	11	1	6	24	81	8	16	3	241	318	350	667	108	313	25	7	283	87	-5	+2	+1	-3	+7	0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	320	285	69	11	1	6	24	82	8	15	3	242	319	351	669	109	311	26	8	281	85	-6	+2	+0	-3	+7	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	318	283	66	10	1	5	24	82	8	13	3	233	311	329	640	95	310	26	8	278	83	-6	+1	-0	-3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1066	943	217	35	3	19	82	282	32	47	10	230	313	334	647	104	306	26	8	279	88	-21	+5	+3	-20	+23	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	133	21	2	12	50	172	20	29	6	231	315	337	653	106	306	26	8	279	88	-13	+3	+2	-12	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2837	2487	585	88	12	53	223	818	93	179	26	235	321	344	666	109	326	29	8	298	88	-24	+6	+3	-23	+28	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	134	20	3	12	51	187	21	41	6	235	321	344	665	109	326	29	8	298	88	-12	+3	+1	-12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.3	1,538	26	73	234	310	338	-16	+4	0.7	0.7
/162	664	11	32	-7.1	+1.7	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Dunn (OGILVIE)	27	55	40	60	60	239/314/344	105	313	6	19	25%	7%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Delino DeShields 2020 · MLB	27	49→55	40→45	58→65	52	232/311/324	92	300	7	32	24%	10%	83	+0.1	223/308/309	86	306	6	28	26%	10%	79	-0.2	207/305/268	61	300	3	32	28%	12%	66	-0.6
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	47→48	43→45	59→60	47	226/314/340	114	309	10	29	28%	8%	89	+0.5	223/314/328	105	298	10	21	26%	10%	86	+0.3	215/312/312	97	283	9	20	25%	10%	80	-0.1
✕John Andreoli 2017 · AAA	27	46→56	42→45	60	48	219/298/325	106	311	9	34	30%	10%	79	-0.2	212/293/332	120	308	11	24	32%	10%	78	-0.3	198/292/308	110	305	9	17	34%	11%	71	-0.5
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	52→59	38→40	63→60	49	243/303/329	86	302	5	37	20%	8%	80	-0.1	223/279/299	76	286	5	28	22%	6%	65	-1.2	215/266/278	63	275	3	25	22%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Roman Quinn 2020 · MLB	27	51→55	46→45	63→65	45	245/304/380	135	327	12	32	28%	8%	93	+0.8	228/301/357	129	327	12	30	31%	8%	87	+0.4	183/274/285	103	312	8	41	40%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Drew Stubbs 2012 · MLB	27	50→57	47→50	59→60	47	242/315/375	133	326	15	33	29%	9%	97	+1.1	233/300/365	132	322	15	27	30%	8%	88	+0.5	235/304/374	140	334	14	24	32%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Eric Patterson 2010 · MLB	27	50→55	44→50	62→60	47	245/300/374	129	301	11	32	22%	7%	90	+0.6	221/280/350	129	283	11	27	24%	7%	77	-0.3	200/265/318	119	261	9	26	26%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Clete Thomas 2011 · MLB	27	47→52	45	58→55	48	225/302/355	130	308	11	26	29%	9%	87	+0.4	208/262/334	126	300	13	19	33%	6%	67	-1.1	203/260/321	118	276	11	14	29%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Kevin Thompson 2007 · MLB	27	49→52	45	56→60	50	241/308/376	136	290	11	25	21%	8%	94	+0.9	233/297/347	114	290	9	29	21%	8%	83	+0.1	236/302/340	104	296	7	38	21%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Lane Adams 2017 · AAA	27	46	43→45	59→60	42	227/280/339	112	301	11	32	28%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/331	123	313	13	29	35%	7%	68	-1.0	186/251/313	127	291	14	28	39%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Tyler Saladino 2016 · MLB	27	48→47	41→45	59→55	46	232/284/333	101	279	8	25	20%	6%	74	-0.5	233/288/338	105	290	10	19	22%	6%	77	-0.3	227/287/327	99	289	10	17	24%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Drew Avans 2023 · AAA	27	50→53	42→45	65→60	46	233/305/348	116	335	8	34	31%	8%	86	+0.3	223/294/321	98	318	8	28	30%	9%	76	-0.4	222/293/311	89	310	7	30	29%	9%	70	-0.8
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	50→54	43→45	60	45	239/327/356	117	285	9	29	19%	5%	98	+1.2	224/310/346	122	270	11	25	20%	6%	89	+0.5	212/302/326	115	267	11	36	23%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Cade Gotta 2019 · AAA	27	50→52	40→45	59→55	45	238/287/337	99	297	6	32	22%	6%	76	-0.4	238/304/349	111	309	8	21	24%	9%	86	+0.3	247/326/357	110	320	8	21	23%	10%	96	+0.4
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	225/283/336	111	304	8	29	28%	6%	75	-0.5	210/274/318	108	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	149/221/220	71	245	7	18	39%	7%	26	-1.2
✕Bryce Johnson 2023 · MLB	27	50→53	41→45	62→60	42	234/299/334	100	343	8	35	32%	7%	81	-0.1	232/306/338	106	324	9	29	29%	8%	84	+0.2	232/311/335	103	321	8	29	28%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Wade 2022 · MLB	27	50→55	41→40	57→60	49	236/311/336	100	310	8	33	25%	9%	86	+0.3	225/293/311	86	295	7	38	24%	8%	74	-0.6	227/298/287	61	307	4	40	25%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Cameron Maybin 2014 · MLB	27	49→59	45→50	57→55	50	240/305/364	124	286	12	28	20%	8%	90	+0.6	251/313/363	112	304	9	18	19%	8%	93	+0.8	259/333/376	117	311	11	30	19%	9%	100	+1.1
✕Fernando Perez 2010 · MLB	27	55→62	41→45	60	44	251/311/353	102	364	7	33	31%	8%	89	+0.5	207/256/281	74	292	5	26	29%	6%	51	-2.2	193/240/252	59	269	3	28	28%	6%	37	-2.3
✕Tyler Graham 2011 · AAA	27	55→54	39→40	58→65	42	264/307/350	86	331	7	38	22%	5%	86	+0.3	241/297/317	76	308	4	41	22%	6%	76	-0.4	231/283/285	54	292	2	48	20%	5%	60	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps