Brandon Lockridge

LF Milwaukee Brewers
Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 197 lbs MLB HR +10%K +6% Svc 1.710 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILForty Man (40M)
Overview
MLB40M40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202427AAASD402.306/.410/.39724688—.263/.340/.330
202528AAAMIL162.316/.415/.441211118—.301/.371/.399
202528MLBMIL148.231/.280/.29901062-0.2
202629AAAMIL109.253/.333/.3682063—.210/.269/.280
202629MLBMIL113.277/.348/.32706980.1
2027PROJ30MLBMIL141.237/.307/.35839900.2
2028PROJ65% MLB31MLBMIL103.232/.302/.3472585-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.710First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.7M2031Ext$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed90
Bat Spd67
Avg EV19
Barrel%10
xwOBA10
CompsDairon Blanco (age 30) · Jon Berti (age 30) · Craig Gentry (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9190vR 84
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .307 / .358
PA141
HR3
SB9
K%26
BB%9
BABIP303
ISO126
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT60
xAVG
150.222
POWER40
Barrel%
102.7
Avg EV
1986.7
Bat Spd
6773.1
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.2
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 221 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
99
122
—
wRC+
50
83
▶▶R
wOBA
242
291
▶▶R
ISO
077
046
◀◀L
BABIP
286
366
▶▶R
K%
27.3%
23.8%
▶R
BB%
7.1%
6.6%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.710 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.8M+$0.0M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201821 ROKGCL Yankees West — 3730 11220 462 30 3674725671.039 200440 1611 443 109 — — — — — —
201922 ACharleston RiverDogs — 556498 12533512 451407 228 251322410731 159323 258 323 48 — — — — — —
202124 AASomerset Patriots — 191174 5710010 13583 131 328384557942 230439 307 411 118 — — — — — —
202124 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 136125 32623 9271 51 256311408719 152302 207 318 53 — — — — — —
202225 AASomerset Patriots — 464418 9618114 361257 184 230302378680 148291 278 304 54 — — — — — —
202326 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 211184 53911 22522 233 288370364734 76397 2510 332 78 — — — — — —
202326 AASomerset Patriots — 11496 30732 14221 172 312405510916 198373 1912 393 120 — — — — — —
202427 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 402340 1042122 57923 466 306410397807 91415 2314 368 88 — — — — — —
202528 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 148134 31710 8361 101 231280299578 67310 245 255 62 -7 +2 +3 -3 +3 -0.2
202528 AAANashville Sounds — 162136 43722 21282 110 316415441856 125380 1713 379 118 — — — — — —
202629 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 113101 28500 11330 61 277348327675 50412 2910 309 98 -0 +1 -0 -2 +2 0.1
202629 AAANashville Sounds — 10995 24502 11291 00 253333368702 116338 2710 315 63 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 261235 591210 19691 162 251310311620 60351 267 278 75 -8 +2 +3 -6 +6 -0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201821 ROK MLEGCL Yankees West — 3732 8110 292 30 250333344677 94340 245 330 109 — — — — — —
201922 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 556515 9825410 281937 228 190242313554 122269 355 239 48 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 191178 521007 9693 131 292337466803 174428 365 343 118 — — — — — —
202124 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 136128 27522 6361 51 211252328580 117260 264 246 53 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 464428 8515110 261537 184 199256308564 110276 336 248 54 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 211191 51911 15622 233 267327340667 73375 297 284 78 — — — — — —
202326 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 114100 28632 10271 172 280351460811 180341 249 346 120 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 402358 941721 391153 466 263340330670 67379 2910 299 88 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 148134 31710 8361 101 231280299578 67310 245 260 62 -7 +2 +3 -3 +3 -0.2
202528 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 162143 43721 14332 110 301371399770 98368 209 342 118 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 113101 28500 11330 61 277348327675 50412 2910 314 98 -0 +1 -0 -2 +2 0.1
202629 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 109100 21401 7351 00 210269280549 70314 326 261 63 — — — — — —
201821 ROK MLEGCL Yankees West — 3732 8110 292 30 250333344677 94333 245 330 109 — — — — — —
201821 ROK RAWGCL Yankees West — 3730 11220 462 30 3674725671.039 200440 1611 443 109 — — — — — —
201922 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 556515 9825410 281937 228 190242313554 122278 355 239 48 — — — — — —
201922 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 556498 12533512 451407 228 251322410731 159323 258 323 48 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLE2 teams — 327306 781429 151064 182 255298402700 147358 325 303 91 — — — — — —
202124 AA RAW2 teams — 327299 8916213 22854 182 298354495849 197374 267 372 91 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 464428 8515110 261537 184 199256308564 110280 336 248 54 — — — — — —
202225 AA RAWSomerset Patriots — 464418 9618114 361257 184 230302378680 148291 278 304 54 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLE2 teams — 325292 781542 24893 405 267329366696 99373 277 306 93 — — — — — —
202326 AAA RAW2 teams — 325280 831643 36743 405 296382414797 118388 2311 353 93 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 402358 941721 391153 466 263340330670 67384 2910 299 88 — — — — — —
202427 AAA RAWEl Paso Chihuahuas — 402340 1042122 57923 466 306410397807 91415 2314 368 88 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 310277 741431 22693 211 267328350678 83346 227 303 91 — — — — — —
202528 AAA RAW2 teams — 310270 741432 29643 211 274351370721 96346 219 320 91 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLE2 teams — 222201 501001 18681 61 249314313627 65368 318 288 81 -5 +1 -0 -2 +5 -0.2
202629 MLB RAW2 teams — 222196 521002 22621 61 265341347688 82376 2810 312 81 -5 +1 -0 -2 +5 -0.2
201821 ROK MLEGCL Yankees West — 3733 8110 292 30 242333333667 91340 245 330 109 — — — — — —
201922 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 556516 9825410 281937 228 190242312554 122269 355 239 48 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLE2 teams — 327305 781429 151064 182 256298403702 148358 325 303 91 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 464428 8515110 261537 184 199256308564 110276 336 248 54 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLE2 teams — 325295 781542 24893 405 264329363692 98363 277 306 93 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 402357 941721 391153 466 263340331671 67379 2910 299 88 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 310282 741431 22693 211 262328344672 82340 227 303 91 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLE2 teams — 222201 501001 18681 61 249314313627 65364 318 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 402357 941721 391153 466 263340331671 67379 2910 299 88 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 310282 741431 22693 211 262328344672 82340 227 303 91 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLE2 teams — 222201 501001 18681 61 249314313627 65364 318 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEMIL 100% 272245 591016 23692 173 239310360670 120307 258 301 90 -3 +2 +1 -3 +6 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXMIL 100% 141127 30513 12361 91 237307358665 121303 269 299 90 -2 +1 +1 -2 +3 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEMIL 65% 159144 34613 13411 81 235305349654 114304 268 295 85 -3 +1 -2 -2 +3 -0.2
202831 MLB CTXMIL 65% 10392 21302 9261 51 232302347649 115299 259 293 85 -2 +1 -1 -1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 364327 801512 28952 213 245308315623 70335 268 282 76 -10 +3 +2 -7 +8 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 1442724 501704 385 247310320631 74337 268 282 76 -17 +5 +3 -12 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 29432680 6301221940 19987932 19129 235296340635 104331 307 281 76 -12 +5 +2 -9 +12 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 1392749 441947 426 235295340635 105331 307 281 76 -14 +6 +2 -10 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 109 PAwOBA .310 → .261 (−49)K% 26.6% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.61%÷1.000×1.200——31.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.09%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9826.84%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.940—×0.9820.85%
Singles /BIP25.76%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×0.98224.70%
Doubles /BIP7.58%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×0.9826.48%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×0.9820.00%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9822.08%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .310 → .261; ISO .116 → .088; BABIP .338 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAANashville Sounds · 162 PAwOBA .373 → .342 (−31)K% 17.3% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.28%÷1.010×1.200——20.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.35%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9928.45%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.940—×0.9921.15%
Singles /BIP29.63%÷0.983×0.930×1.050×0.99229.21%
Doubles /BIP6.48%÷0.973×0.830×1.050×0.9925.76%
Triples /BIP1.85%÷0.900×0.970×1.050×0.9922.08%
Home runs /BIP1.85%÷1.111×0.700—×0.9921.16%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .373 → .342; ISO .125 → .111; BABIP .380 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 402 PAwOBA .359 → .299 (−60)K% 22.9% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.89%÷0.961×1.200——28.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.18%÷1.026×0.690—×1.0039.56%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.940—×1.0030.70%
Singles /BIP31.85%÷1.025×0.930×1.032×1.00329.93%
Doubles /BIP8.47%÷1.053×0.830×1.032×1.0036.91%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷0.996×0.970×1.032×1.0030.81%
Home runs /BIP0.81%÷1.078×0.700—×1.0030.53%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 99, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .359 → .299; ISO .091 → .073; BABIP .415 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 211 PAwOBA .324 → .284 (−40)K% 24.6% → 29.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.64%÷0.998×1.200——29.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.43%÷1.059×0.690—×1.0186.91%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.940—×1.0180.91%
Singles /BIP31.82%÷1.029×0.930×1.026×1.01830.02%
Doubles /BIP6.82%÷0.903×0.830×1.026×1.0186.55%
Triples /BIP0.76%÷1.048×0.970×1.026×1.0180.73%
Home runs /BIP0.76%÷1.017×0.700—×1.0180.53%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .324 → .284; ISO .076 → .069; BABIP .397 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AASomerset Patriots · 114 PAwOBA .393 → .346 (−48)K% 19.3% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.30%÷1.006×1.220——23.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.28%÷0.973×0.700—×0.9888.73%
HBP% /PA0.88%—×0.850—×0.9880.74%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷0.987×0.970×0.960×0.98822.66%
Doubles /BIP9.46%÷0.958×0.860×0.960×0.9888.06%
Triples /BIP4.05%÷0.900×0.950×0.960×0.9884.06%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷1.033×0.780—×0.9882.02%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .393 → .346; ISO .198 → .177; BABIP .373 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AASomerset Patriots · 464 PAwOBA .298 → .248 (−50)K% 26.9% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.94%÷0.998×1.220——32.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.76%÷0.985×0.700—×0.9985.51%
HBP% /PA1.51%—×0.850—×0.9981.28%
Singles /BIP21.50%÷0.983×0.970×1.000×0.99821.16%
Doubles /BIP6.14%÷0.972×0.860×1.000×0.9985.42%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷0.969×0.950×1.000×0.9980.33%
Home runs /BIP4.78%÷1.032×0.780—×0.9983.61%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .298 → .248; ISO .148 → .113; BABIP .291 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AASomerset Patriots · 191 PAwOBA .401 → .343 (−58)K% 30.4% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.37%÷1.024×1.220——36.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.81%÷1.036×0.690—×1.0124.59%
HBP% /PA1.57%—×0.850—×1.0121.35%
Singles /BIP31.90%÷1.008×0.940×1.050×1.01231.61%
Doubles /BIP8.62%÷0.905×0.870×1.050×1.0128.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.920×1.050×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP8.62%÷1.053×0.780—×1.0126.46%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .401 → .343; ISO .230 → .179; BABIP .439 → .428. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 136 PAwOBA .311 → .246 (−66)K% 19.9% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.85%÷1.000×1.350——26.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.62%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9884.64%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.810—×0.9880.59%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.000×0.910×0.989×0.98819.05%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷1.000×0.830×0.989×0.9884.96%
Triples /BIP2.04%÷1.000×0.820×0.989×0.9881.63%
Home runs /BIP3.06%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9882.51%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .311 → .246; ISO .152 → .117; BABIP .302 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).