Ben Hess
P
Somerset Patriots
+1.4
WAR
Age 23
RHP
6'5" / 255 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 2.3 · 2029
ERA4.06
FIP4.06
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.6%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%13.9%
IP103
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.3peak
2029
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 22 | 22 | 103 | 421 | 139 | 46 | 3 | 25.9% | 12.4% | 0.9% | 3.22 | 2.98 | +2.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 2 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 14 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.52 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 19 | 103 | 436 | 107 | 46 | 10 | 24.6% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.06 | 4.06 | +1.5 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 111 | 473 | 121 | 54 | 11 | 25.6% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 4.02 | 3.78 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 122 | 515 | 128 | 50 | 12 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 3.99 | 3.94 | +1.9 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 25 | 25 | 135 | 572 | 143 | 53 | 14 | 25.0% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 3.93 | 3.88 | +2.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 142 | 601 | 151 | 55 | 15 | 25.1% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 3.91 | 3.88 | +2.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 145 | 613 | 154 | 56 | 15 | 25.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 3.90 | 3.90 | +2.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 145 | 613 | 153 | 57 | 15 | 25.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 3.91 | 3.92 | +2.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 142 | 599 | 149 | 56 | 15 | 24.9% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 3.94 | 3.97 | +2.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 25 | 25 | 138 | 581 | 143 | 55 | 15 | 24.6% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 3.99 | 4.03 | +2.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 24 | 133 | 560 | 137 | 53 | 15 | 24.4% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 4.10 | +1.8 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 23 | 23 | 127 | 538 | 130 | 52 | 15 | 24.1% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.19 | +1.6 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 122 | 514 | 122 | 51 | 15 | 23.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.29 | +1.4 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 116 | 488 | 115 | 49 | 14 | 23.5% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.40 | +1.2 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 109 | 460 | 106 | 47 | 14 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.52 | +1.0 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 19 | 102 | 430 | 97 | 45 | 14 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.65 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 24 | 24 | 111 | 458 | 123 | 60 | 5 | 26.8% | 13.2% | 1.0% | 3.24 | 3.07 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 825 | 222 | 108 | 9 | 26.8% | 13.2% | 1.0% | 3.24 | 3.07 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Hess (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.06 | 24.6% | 10.7% | 2.4% | — | 3.90 | 25.0% | 15.6% | 400 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Zach Peek R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .339 | 3.55 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 45 | -0.05 | 3.55 | 205 | 89 |
| Tyler Guilfoil R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.17 | 26.0% | 12.3% | 1.3% | .305 | 5.51 | 17.8% | 4.4% | 190 | +2.34 | 3.17 | 274 | 89 |
| Roman Angelo R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.45 | 17.7% | 4.3% | 141 | +1.43 | 4.02 | 262 | 89 |
| Jharel Cotton R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.27 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 1.8% | .289 | 4.73 | 22.1% | 14.5% | 315 | +1.46 | 3.20 | 560 | 89 |
| Vince Velasquez R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.18 | 26.2% | 9.8% | 1.9% | .290 | 3.84 | 25.5% | 16.5% | 350 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 891 | 89 |
| Landen Roupp R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.01 | 26.9% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .274 | 3.40 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 209 | +0.39 | 1.83 | 339 | 89 |
| Luke Russo R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.72 | 21.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .326 | 3.92 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 38 | +0.20 | 3.72 | 139 | 88 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.65 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .261 | 4.41 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 63 | +0.76 | 3.65 | 156 | 88 |
| Carson Ragsdale R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.22 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .349 | 4.35 | 25.2% | 14.2% | 148 | +0.13 | 2.01 | 352 | 88 |
| Nick Nastrini R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.05 | 22.9% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .288 | 6.14 | 19.4% | 1.6% | 168 | +2.09 | 4.05 | 412 | 87 |
| Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.72 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .285 | 5.74 | 19.4% | 9.6% | 160 | +2.02 | 3.72 | 256 | 87 |
| David Festa R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.70 | 24.6% | 11.6% | 2.2% | .341 | 3.76 | 27.5% | 18.8% | 209 | +0.06 | 3.66 | 405 | 87 |
| Ryan Bergert R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.40 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 1.3% | .286 | 4.14 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 219 | +0.74 | 3.40 | 428 | 87 |
| Chase Silseth R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.80 | 24.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 5.03 | 17.5% | 2.8% | 67 | +1.23 | 3.46 | 277 | 87 |
| Brody Hopkins R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.86 | 23.2% | 13.4% | 1.9% | .275 | 5.49 | 23.1% | 0.8% | 18 | +1.63 | 3.46 | 249 | 87 |
| Ty Madden R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.53 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .304 | 5.21 | 23.0% | 13.2% | 134 | +0.68 | 4.53 | 375 | 86 |
| George Klassen R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.73 | 22.2% | 11.0% | 2.0% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 196 | 85 |
| Chase Hampton R 2024 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.05 | 26.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 107 | 85 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 85 |
| John Klein R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.22 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 260 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +2.3 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +2.3 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.3 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.1 | $20M | +$16M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.0 | $20M | +$13M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +1.8 | $18M | +$9M |
| Totals | $22M | $120M | +$98M | ||