Cole Sands
P
Minnesota Twins
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 48 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9687vR 78
ERA3.40
FIP3.35
K%23.3%
BB%5.3%
K-BB%18.0%
ROS IP48
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p4424.4%
K%
p4922.0%
xwOBA vs
p370.327
FB+1.8 (46%)
CT (24%)
SI (8%)
CU (13%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 18 | 97 | 383 | 108 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.1% | 5.7% | 15.3% | 0.8% | 2.68 | 2.48 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 18 | 97 | 383 | 108 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 28.2% | 5.0% | 23.2% | 1.0% | 2.68 | 2.00 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 19 | 18 | 80 | 334 | 96 | 35 | 6 | 95% | 4.2 | 23.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 1.8% | 2.46 | 3.57 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 19 | 18 | 80 | 334 | 96 | 35 | 6 | 95% | 4.2 | 28.7% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 1.8% | 2.46 | 2.99 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 16 | 92 | 429 | 100 | 37 | 13 | 53% | 3.1 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 5.65 | 4.60 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 16 | 92 | 429 | 100 | 37 | 13 | 53% | 3.1 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 5.65 | 3.97 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 52 | 217 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.3% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 2.8% | 2.41 | 3.80 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 52 | 217 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.6% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 2.8% | 2.41 | 3.54 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 62 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 85 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.1% | 4.1% | 25.0% | 2.0% | 3.28 | 2.28 | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 62 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 85 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.1% | 4.1% | 25.0% | 2.1% | 3.28 | 2.31 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 69 | 3 | 72 | 299 | 64 | 17 | 7 | 4% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 5.7% | 15.7% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.28 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 69 | 3 | 72 | 299 | 64 | 17 | 7 | 4% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 5.7% | 15.7% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.29 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 16 | 0 | 16 | 62 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 3.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 48 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 5.3% | 18.0% | 2.8% | 3.40 | 3.35 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 47 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 5.3% | 18.0% | 2.8% | 3.40 | 3.35 | +0.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 64 | 266 | 62 | 15 | 8 | — | — | 23.1% | 5.6% | 17.5% | 2.9% | 3.41 | 3.62 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 60 | 253 | 62 | 15 | 8 | — | — | 24.3% | 5.9% | 18.4% | 3.0% | 3.64 | 3.47 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 59 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 5.7% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 3.87 | 3.93 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 55 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 53 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 4.04 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 47 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 14.8% | 3.5% | 4.27 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 56 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 5.7% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 3.87 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 50 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 4.04 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 45 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 14.8% | 3.5% | 4.27 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 370 | 6 | 419 | 1777 | 408 | 111 | 51 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 6.3% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 4.05 | 3.53 | +9.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 177 | 3 | 200 | 849 | 195 | 53 | 24 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 6.3% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 4.05 | 3.53 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 248 | 55 | 481 | 2016 | 469 | 156 | 47 | 22% | 1.9 | 23.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 2.4% | 3.57 | 3.41 | +11.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 23 | 200 | 838 | 195 | 65 | 20 | 22% | 1.9 | 23.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 2.4% | 3.57 | 3.41 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Sands (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.59 | 23.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.16 | 22.0% | 16.0% | 172 | +0.57 | — | — | — |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2028 · 3.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.20 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.68 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 284 | 74 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 73 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | .279 | 3.06 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 60 | -0.52 | 2.22 | 385 | 73 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.27 | 24.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.34 | 13.0% | -0.4% | 31 | +2.07 | 3.27 | 150 | 73 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 73 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 2.90 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.90 | 22.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | .345 | 4.63 | 20.6% | 12.8% | 147 | +1.73 | 2.90 | 227 | 72 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.10 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% | .332 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.0% | 165 | -0.19 | 1.51 | 544 | 72 |
| Matt Bush R 2027 · 2.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.86 | 24.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .232 | 3.96 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 75 | +1.10 | 2.86 | 249 | 72 |
| Alex Colomé R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.23 | 25.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .283 | 3.66 | 20.5% | 12.4% | 148 | +0.43 | 2.72 | 530 | 71 |
| Joakim Soria R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 71 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 71 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 71 |
| C.C. Lee R 2025 · 2.50 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.50 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 1.0% | .323 | 2.98 | 30.9% | 21.5% | 63 | +0.48 | 2.50 | 121 | 71 |
| Carlos Torres R 2029 · 3.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.19 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.74 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 206 | +0.55 | 2.78 | 326 | 71 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2027 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 27.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.66 | 22.6% | 14.0% | 137 | +1.61 | 3.05 | 176 | 70 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | .295 | 3.16 | 21.2% | 15.9% | 172 | -0.46 | 2.82 | 316 | 70 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.70 | 26.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .292 | 4.72 | 21.4% | 16.7% | 57 | +1.02 | 2.82 | 363 | 70 |
| Tony Barnette R 2029 · 3.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.06 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.22 | 2.63 | 144 | 70 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.39 | 21.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | .376 | 6.16 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 60 | +2.77 | 3.39 | 162 | 69 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.61 | 24.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 177 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 58 | 22.4% | 5.7% | 1.19 | 3.94 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Nick Vincent ('20) | 6 | 45 | 22.7% | 6.3% | 1.13 | 3.71 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Craig Stammen ('22) | 6 | 66 | 23.0% | 5.4% | 1.19 | 3.36 |
| Joe Blanton ('17) | 3 | 67 | 24.2% | 6.7% | 1.08 | 3.32 |
| Kelvin Herrera ('19) | 5 | 59 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.58 |