Cole Sands — OGILVIE

Cole Sands P Minnesota Twins

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9789vR 81

ERA3.43

FIP3.38

K%22.8%

BB%5.4%

K-BB%17.4%

ROS IP65

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6565

CMD6060

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3093.1

Whiff%

p3623.3%

p3219.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.364

FB+1.8 (47%)

CT (23%)

SI (8%)

CU (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	18	97	383	108	19	4	100%	5.4	21.1%	5.7%	15.3%	1.0%	2.68	2.60	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	18	97	383	108	19	4	100%	5.4	28.2%	5.0%	23.2%	1.0%	2.68	2.00	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	19	18	80	334	96	35	6	95%	4.2	23.3%	11.5%	11.8%	2.0%	2.46	3.67	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	19	18	80	334	96	35	6	95%	4.2	28.7%	10.5%	18.3%	1.8%	2.46	2.99	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	16	92	429	100	37	13	53%	3.1	21.3%	8.9%	12.4%	3.5%	5.65	4.38	+0.6
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	16	92	429	100	37	13	53%	3.1	23.3%	8.6%	14.7%	3.0%	5.65	3.97	+1.0
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	52	217	62	23	6	0%	1.5	25.4%	10.1%	15.2%	2.8%	2.41	3.80	+0.5
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	52	217	62	23	6	0%	1.5	25.4%	10.1%	15.2%	2.8%	2.41	3.80	+0.5
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	52	217	62	23	6	0%	1.5	28.6%	10.6%	18.0%	2.8%	2.41	3.54	+0.6
2024	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	62	0	71	292	85	12	6	0%	1.2	29.1%	4.1%	25.0%	2.0%	3.28	2.28	+1.9
2024	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	62	0	71	292	85	12	6	0%	1.2	29.1%	4.1%	25.0%	2.0%	3.28	2.28	+1.9
2024	27	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	62	0	71	292	85	12	6	0%	1.2	29.1%	4.1%	25.0%	2.1%	3.28	2.31	+1.9
2025	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	69	3	72	299	64	17	7	4%	1.0	21.4%	5.7%	15.7%	2.3%	4.50	3.29	+1.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	69	3	72	299	64	17	7	4%	1.0	21.4%	5.7%	15.7%	2.3%	4.50	3.29	+1.1
2025	28	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	69	3	72	299	64	17	7	4%	1.0	21.4%	5.7%	15.7%	2.3%	4.50	3.29	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			170	6	208	890	209	60	24	4%	1.2	23.5%	6.7%	16.7%	2.7%	4.42	3.46	+2.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	20	0	20	85	20	8	3	0%	1.0	19.6%	8.9%	10.7%	5.3%	4.95	5.50	-0.2
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	20	0	20	85	20	8	3	0%	1.0	19.6%	8.9%	10.7%	5.3%	4.95	5.50	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	ROK RAW	MIN	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0%	1.0	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-2.53	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	MIN	6	0	7	26	7	3	0	0%	1.2	26.9%	11.5%	15.4%	0.0%	0.00	2.29	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	MIN	13	0	12	56	11	5	3	0%	0.9	19.6%	8.9%	10.7%	5.4%	8.25	5.51	-0.1
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	MIN	13	0	12	56	11	5	3	0%	0.9	19.6%	8.9%	10.7%	5.4%	8.25	5.51	-0.1
ROS	29	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	5.4%	17.4%	2.8%	3.43	3.38	—
ROS	29	MLB CTX	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	5.4%	17.4%	2.8%	3.43	3.38	—
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	20	85	20	8	3	—	—	23.5%	9.4%	14.1%	3.5%	4.95	5.50	-0.2
FULL	29	MLB A+C	MIN	—	—	12	51	20	8	3	—	—	39.5%	15.8%	23.7%	5.9%	8.25	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIN	59	0	62	260	58	15	8	0%	1.0	22.3%	5.8%	16.5%	3.2%	4.00	4.07	+0.4
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIN	55	0	57	242	52	15	8	0%	1.0	21.5%	6.1%	15.4%	3.4%	4.18	4.30	+0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIN	55	0	58	245	55	14	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	5.8%	16.5%	3.2%	4.00	4.07	+0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIN	51	0	54	228	49	14	8	0%	1.1	21.5%	6.1%	15.4%	3.4%	4.18	4.30	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		277	6	321	1367	313	88	40	2%	1.2	22.9%	6.5%	16.5%	2.9%	4.30	3.57	+3.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		173	4	200	853	195	55	25	2%	1.2	22.9%	6.5%	16.5%	2.9%	4.30	3.57	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		252	55	486	2039	470	157	49	22%	1.9	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	2.4%	3.63	3.45	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	23	200	840	194	65	20	22%	1.9	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	2.4%	3.63	3.45	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cole Sands (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.59	23.6%	4.9%	2.7%	—	4.18	21.9%	16.0%	119	+0.59	—	—	—
Blake Treinen R 2017 · 3.15 FIP	29	SU	3.15	22.8%	6.8%	2.0%	.332	2.94	26.6%	18.0%	165	-0.21	1.53	547	78
Alex Colomé R 2018 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	25.5%	6.7%	2.5%	.283	3.68	20.5%	12.4%	148	+0.49	2.72	530	76
Zach McAllister R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	29	SU	3.70	26.5%	8.4%	3.2%	.292	4.70	21.4%	16.7%	57	+1.00	2.82	363	75
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	75
Shane Greene R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	23.3%	6.5%	4.5%	.304	3.93	23.0%	15.2%	114	-0.49	2.86	484	74
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	73
Jumbo Diaz R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	31	SU	3.16	25.2%	6.0%	2.6%	.286	3.65	21.9%	12.2%	152	+0.49	2.80	284	73
Bryan Shaw R 2017 · 2.78 FIP	29	SU	2.78	23.4%	6.1%	1.6%	.307	4.46	19.6%	10.0%	127	+1.68	2.78	596	73
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	73
Casey Sadler R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	29	SU	3.56	21.8%	4.9%	3.1%	.279	3.04	25.1%	15.9%	60	-0.52	2.21	385	73
Deolis Guerra R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	29	SU	3.59	26.4%	7.1%	3.3%	.280	3.20	26.6%	19.8%	132	-0.39	2.53	364	73
Jaye Chapman R 2016 · 3.25 FIP	29	SU	3.25	24.6%	6.4%	2.6%	.274	5.51	13.0%	-0.4%	31	+2.26	3.25	150	73
Danny Farquhar R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	21.7%	7.6%	3.3%	.272	3.62	22.3%	11.3%	62	-0.40	3.62	224	73
Adam Warren R 2017 · 2.72 FIP	29	SU	2.72	24.2%	5.8%	1.7%	.204	4.72	22.2%	13.3%	80	+2.00	2.72	392	72
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	72
Drew Storen R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SU	3.83	19.5%	7.3%	2.6%	.289	4.31	19.4%	8.4%	10	+0.48	2.36	172	72
Austin Adams R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	29	SU	3.40	21.1%	6.1%	2.4%	.376	5.80	20.8%	10.2%	60	+2.40	3.40	162	72
Kelvin Herrera R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	22.6%	7.2%	3.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	297	72
Junichi Tazawa R 2015 · 2.94 FIP	29	SU	2.94	22.7%	4.9%	2.1%	.345	4.62	20.6%	12.8%	147	+1.68	2.94	227	72
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	22.5%	5.6%	1.19	3.94
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79