Rece Hinds — OGILVIE

Rece HindsRF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION397 act + 264 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .274 / .416

PA264

HR12

SB11

K%36

BB%6

BABIP295

ISO202

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

1016.8%

xwOBA

240.278

POWER60

Barrel%

8713.7

Avg EV

6490.1

Bat Spd

7173.6

EYE40

Chase%

5331.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 100 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

166

▶▶R

wOBA

218

402

▶▶R

ISO

167

383

▶▶R

BABIP

100

308

▶▶R

35.0%

31.2%

▶R

BB%

10.0%

5.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.4M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.3	$10M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$5M	+1.4	$10M	+$6M
2029	Arb-4	$6M	+1.2	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$15M		$28M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	226	207	40	9	3	9	11	85	6	7	3	193	254	396	651	203	270	38	5	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	226	201	52	13	4	12	17	65	6	7	3	259	335	542	877	284	317	29	8	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	4 teams	—	412	383	59	7	4	10	24	199	5	20	8	154	214	272	485	117	282	48	6	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	4 teams	—	412	376	87	16	6	15	31	160	5	20	8	231	299	426	724	194	358	39	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	427	87	21	4	18	19	212	7	20	6	204	249	398	648	194	337	46	4	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	412	111	29	6	23	34	151	7	20	6	269	336	536	872	267	358	33	7	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	473	440	76	19	2	14	27	208	4	22	3	173	227	320	548	148	282	44	6	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	473	426	91	22	3	19	41	176	4	22	3	214	289	413	702	200	309	37	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	480	445	103	21	2	26	24	164	5	21	5	231	278	463	741	231	295	34	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	480	434	123	27	2	26	34	134	5	21	5	283	342	535	876	251	346	28	7	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	MIA	—	397	357	75	13	4	16	30	144	5	10	3	210	281	403	684	193	292	36	8	295	84	-7	+1	+0	-4	+11	0.1
YTD	25	AAA	MIA	—	397	342	84	15	4	19	45	126	5	10	3	246	342	480	821	234	322	32	11	358	132	+14	+1	+0	-4	+11	2.3
ROS	25	AAA	MIA	100%	264	242	52	9	2	12	17	96	3	11	2	214	274	416	690	202	297	36	6	308	94	-2	+1	-0	-3	+7	0.4
ROS	25	MLB	MIA	100%	265	243	51	9	2	12	17	97	3	11	2	210	270	412	681	202	291	37	6	295	84	-5	+1	-0	-3	+8	0.1
FULL	25	AAA	MIA	—	662	600	126	22	6	28	47	241	8	21	5	210	276	407	683	197	291	36	7	295	84	-12	+2	-0	-7	+19	0.2
TOT	25	AAA	MIA	—	661	599	127	22	6	28	47	240	8	21	5	212	278	409	687	197	293	36	7	301	88	-9	+2	-0	-7	+19	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIA	82%	660	603	132	24	5	30	45	231	7	27	5	219	281	425	705	206	296	35	7	311	96	-3	+3	-1	-7	+19	1.1
2028	27	MLB	MIA	82%	660	601	134	25	4	30	47	225	7	27	5	223	287	428	715	205	295	34	7	312	97	-2	+3	-1	-7	+19	1.2
2029	28	MLB	MIA	82%	660	600	133	25	4	29	48	223	7	25	5	222	287	422	709	200	295	34	7	311	96	-3	+3	-2	-7	+19	1.0
2030	29	MLB	MIA	82%	650	590	130	24	4	28	48	219	7	23	5	220	287	417	704	197	293	34	7	310	95	-4	+3	-3	-7	+18	0.8
2031	30	MLB	MIA	82%	637	578	126	23	4	27	47	216	7	21	4	218	285	412	697	194	291	34	7	307	93	-5	+3	-3	-7	+18	0.6
2027	26	MLB	MIA	82%	541	493	107	20	4	24	37	189	6	22	4	217	280	420	700	203	291	35	7	298	86	-9	+3	-1	-6	+15	0.3
2028	27	MLB	MIA	82%	541	491	108	20	4	24	39	185	6	22	4	220	285	424	709	204	290	34	7	299	87	-8	+3	-1	-6	+15	0.3
2029	28	MLB	MIA	82%	541	491	107	20	3	23	39	182	6	21	4	218	284	411	695	193	289	34	7	298	86	-8	+3	-1	-6	+15	0.2
2030	29	MLB	MIA	82%	533	483	104	19	3	22	39	179	6	19	4	215	282	404	686	188	288	34	7	297	85	-9	+2	-2	-6	+15	0.1
2031	30	MLB	MIA	82%	522	472	102	19	3	22	39	177	6	17	3	216	284	409	693	193	286	34	7	294	83	-10	+2	-3	-6	+15	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3038	2762	596	112	20	134	215	1046	34	114	21	216	281	416	697	201	289	34	7	297	86	-49	+14	-10	-42	+86	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	128	24	4	29	46	224	7	24	4	217	281	418	699	201	290	34	7	297	86	-10	+3	-2	-9	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	5583	5116	1072	207	38	233	357	2078	65	224	51	210	270	401	671	192	295	37	6	294	83	-108	+24	-12	-60	+158	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	124	24	4	27	42	242	8	26	6	208	270	398	667	190	293	37	6	294	83	-13	+3	-1	-7	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	185	167	42	10	2	10	13	52	4	6	2	251	321	515	836	263	302	28	7	362	135	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2021	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	41	34	10	3	2	2	4	13	2	1	1	294	400	676	1.076	382	400	32	10	444	198	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	29	29	9	2	1	2	0	12	0	0	1	310	310	655	966	345	467	41	0	413	174	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	274	247	58	9	4	10	23	107	4	13	5	235	310	425	735	190	369	39	8	327	108	+3	+1	—	—	+8	1.1
2022	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	19	16	1	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	2	62	211	62	273		100	32	11	160	-20	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	90	84	19	5	1	3	6	35	0	5	0	226	278	417	694	190	348	39	7	306	92	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	412	111	29	6	23	34	151	7	20	6	269	336	536	872	267	358	33	7	372	143	+22	+2	—	—	+13	3.8
2024	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	51	46	12	4	1	5	4	16	1	2	0	261	333	717	1.051	457	280	31	8	441	196	+6	+0	-0	-5	+1	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	422	380	79	18	2	14	37	160	3	20	3	208	283	376	660	168	312	38	9	294	83	-8	+3	—	—	+12	0.7
2025	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	44	43	5	1	0	2	1	21	0	0	0	116	136	279	415	163	150	48	2	181	-3	-5	+0	-1	-5	+1	-1.1
2025	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	436	391	118	26	2	24	33	113	5	21	5	302	363	563	925	261	362	26	8	397	162	+30	+2	—	—	+12	4.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	95	89	17	5	1	7	5	37	1	2	0	191	242	506	748	315	222	39	5	320	103	+0	+0	-1	-10	+3	-0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	11	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
	/162	664	35	4	227	287	459	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Raul Mondesilast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA	6	2,604	108	89	251	326	456	-20	-6	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	28	23	251	326	456	-5.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 11
#3Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#5Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,010	138	119	223	283	430	-32	-3	5.8	5.8
	/162	664	30	26	223	283	430	-7.1	-0.7	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rece Hinds (OGILVIE)	25	55	60	55	40	212/278/409	197	293	28	21	36%	7%	88	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Maxwell 2009 · MLB	25	42→44	54→60	55→60	44	221/289/403	182	280	23	23	30%	8%	93	+1.3	218/297/368	150	319	17	29	34%	9%	87	+0.8	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	47→52	55	57→60	41	238/304/426	188	335	23	25	35%	8%	105	+2.1	215/285/351	136	323	14	34	35%	8%	77	+0.1	213/285/330	117	316	9	42	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→55	51→50	58→65	42	234/296/390	156	317	20	33	32%	7%	92	+1.2	235/305/350	115	323	11	40	28%	8%	85	+0.7	233/305/335	103	318	8	43	27%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Terry Evans 2007 · AA	25	45→52	52→55	52→55	37	232/285/396	164	313	21	20	32%	5%	89	+1.0	236/279/385	149	329	16	21	32%	5%	83	+0.6	230/270/375	145	320	15	23	32%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Jake Marisnick 2018 · MLB	27	43→52	52→60	50→55	41	224/284/392	168	293	20	21	31%	6%	88	+0.9	233/292/417	184	312	22	16	31%	6%	98	+1.6	222/284/399	177	302	20	16	32%	6%	87	+0.4
●Oneil Cruz 2023 · MLB	24	44→53	57→60	54→60	42	231/290/432	201	300	25	20	31%	7%	101	+1.8	237/308/423	186	317	22	24	31%	9%	105	+2.1	238/321/427	189	324	23	34	32%	10%	106	+1.7
●Dane Myers 2023 · AAA	27	43→53	56→55	52→55	34	229/273/413	185	311	25	16	35%	4%	89	+1.0	250/307/394	144	327	17	20	28%	6%	98	+1.6	257/320/380	123	331	14	23	25%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Brewer Hicklen 2022 · AA	26	44→43	51→55	60	40	219/289/375	157	325	20	33	37%	8%	85	+0.7	199/279/367	168	305	21	33	39%	8%	80	+0.4	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	54→60	53→50	37	208/268/384	176	312	22	17	40%	7%	79	+0.3	213/276/406	193	274	27	11	32%	7%	89	+0.9	206/270/403	197	248	29	10	30%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Derek Fisher 2020 · MLB	26	45→52	54→55	51→55	45	229/305/407	179	316	23	17	34%	9%	101	+1.8	215/290/369	154	307	18	10	34%	9%	85	+0.7	124/197/248	125	185	17	0	43%	8%	11	-0.8
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	46→50	55→60	54→60	42	238/298/423	185	313	23	22	31%	7%	102	+1.8	255/317/463	208	319	27	28	28%	8%	120	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Jose Siri 2022 · MLB	27	50→57	52→65	57→55	34	243/287/415	172	366	20	26	38%	5%	95	+1.4	227/278/435	208	311	27	21	35%	6%	97	+1.5	206/264/422	216	269	31	17	36%	6%	87	+0.5
●Luis Robert Jr. 2021 · MLB	23	46→56	54→60	56→60	38	236/289/415	179	317	21	24	32%	6%	96	+1.5	275/322/467	192	335	24	17	25%	5%	124	+3.4	280/327/492	212	333	28	17	24%	5%	128	+2.7
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	42→46	53→60	49→50	41	219/283/394	175	305	21	15	34%	8%	88	+0.9	225/299/428	203	289	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	219/298/426	206	274	28	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	53→55	58→60	45	239/303/408	169	318	21	25	31%	8%	100	+1.7	251/307/423	172	352	19	28	32%	7%	105	+2.1	252/308/426	174	353	19	33	32%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	37→40	63→65	49→50	38	220/266/444	224	262	34	10	32%	5%	95	+1.4	219/289/431	212	282	30	9	33%	8%	101	+1.8	192/272/374	181	272	24	6	37%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Michael A. Taylor 2018 · MLB	27	47→53	52→55	54→60	40	238/288/402	164	323	20	24	32%	6%	92	+1.2	226/281/380	154	318	16	24	32%	7%	82	+0.5	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
●Tyler Fitzgerald 2023 · AA	25	37→47	52→60	54→55	34	193/259/354	161	299	21	14	41%	6%	68	-0.5	235/293/409	174	322	21	21	32%	6%	96	+1.5	241/301/414	173	319	20	23	30%	7%	98	+1.3
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	55	53→55	42	229/287/409	180	290	23	18	30%	6%	94	+1.3	232/293/371	139	295	15	20	25%	8%	86	+0.8	233/296/352	119	297	11	21	24%	8%	79	+0.2