Rece Hinds — OGILVIE

Rece HindsRF Norfolk Tides

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs MLB HR +9% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP296

ISO201

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

1115.4%

xAVG

100.185

POWER60

Barrel%

7912.6

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

7173.6

EYE40

Chase%

6628.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

7928.6

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 100 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

158

▶▶R

wOBA

218

402

▶▶R

ISO

167

383

▶▶R

BABIP

100

308

▶▶R

35.0%

31.2%

▶R

BB%

10.0%

5.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-4	$3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	185	167	42	10	2	10	13	52	4	6	2	251	321	515	836	263	302	28	7	362	131	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	41	34	10	3	2	2	4	13	2	1	1	294	400	676	1.076	382	400	32	10	444	187	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	29	29	9	2	1	2	0	12	0	0	1	310	310	655	966	345	467	41	0	413	165	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	274	247	58	9	4	10	23	107	4	13	5	235	310	425	735	190	369	39	8	327	107	+2	+1	—	—	+6	0.9
2022	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	19	16	1	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	2	62	211	62	273		100	32	11	160	-6	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	90	84	19	5	1	3	6	35	0	5	0	226	278	417	694	190	348	39	7	306	93	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	412	111	29	6	23	34	151	7	20	6	269	336	536	872	267	358	33	7	372	138	+21	+2	—	—	+10	3.3
2024	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	51	46	12	4	1	5	4	16	1	2	0	261	333	717	1.051	457	280	31	8	441	185	+5	+0	-0	-5	+1	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	422	380	79	18	2	14	37	160	3	20	3	208	283	376	660	168	312	38	9	294	85	-7	+3	—	—	+9	0.5
2025	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	44	43	5	1	0	2	1	21	0	0	0	116	136	279	415	163	150	48	2	181	8	-5	+0	-1	-5	+1	-1.1
2025	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	436	391	118	26	2	24	33	113	5	21	5	302	363	563	925	261	362	26	8	397	155	+28	+2	—	—	+9	4.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	95	89	17	5	1	7	5	37	1	2	0	191	242	506	748	315	222	39	5	320	103	+0	+0	-1	-10	+2	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	185	171	33	7	2	8	9	68	4	6	2	193	250	398	648	205	252	37	5	266	66	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	41	36	6	2	1	1	2	19	2	1	1	167	250	361	611	194	300	46	5	295	86	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	29	29	6	1	1	1	0	14	0	0	1	207	207	414	621	207	413	48	0	295	86	-0	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	274	253	39	5	3	6	17	138	4	13	5	154	219	269	488	115	296	50	6	215	32	-22	+1	—	—	+6	-1.6
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	19	17	1	0	0	0	1	9	1	2	2	59	158	59	217		80	47	5	103	-44	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2023	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	425	90	23	4	16	21	192	7	20	6	212	260	398	658	186	316	42	5	284	78	-12	+2	—	—	+10	-0.0
2024	23	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	51	46	12	4	1	5	4	16	1	2	0	261	333	717	1.051	457	280	31	8	418	169	+4	+0	-0	-5	+1	0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	422	393	62	14	1	8	24	192	3	20	3	158	212	260	471	102	280	45	6	214	31	-35	+3	—	—	+9	-2.3
2025	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	44	43	5	1	0	2	1	21	0	0	0	116	136	279	415	163	150	48	2	171	2	-5	+0	-1	-5	+1	-1.1
2025	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	436	402	96	21	2	18	23	139	5	21	5	239	288	435	724	197	302	32	5	308	95	-3	+2	—	—	+9	0.9
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	207	39	9	3	9	11	87	6	7	3	188	250	391	641	203	265	38	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	226	201	52	13	4	12	17	65	6	7	3	259	335	542	877	284	317	29	8	377	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	412	384	59	8	4	10	23	206	5	20	8	154	211	273	485	120	292	50	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	412	376	87	16	6	15	31	160	5	20	8	231	299	426	724	194	358	39	8	320	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	425	90	23	4	16	21	192	7	20	6	212	260	398	658	186	329	42	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	412	111	29	6	23	34	151	7	20	6	269	336	536	872	267	358	33	7	372	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	473	439	74	18	2	13	28	208	4	22	3	169	225	308	533	139	277	44	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	473	426	91	22	3	19	41	176	4	22	3	214	289	413	702	200	309	37	9	310	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	445	101	22	2	20	24	160	5	21	5	227	274	420	694	193	299	33	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	480	434	123	27	2	26	34	134	5	21	5	283	342	535	876	251	346	28	7	377	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	207	39	9	3	9	11	87	6	7	3	188	250	391	641	203	261	38	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	412	381	59	8	4	10	23	206	5	20	8	155	211	276	487	121	294	50	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	430	90	23	4	16	21	192	7	20	6	209	260	393	654	184	316	42	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	473	438	74	18	2	13	28	208	4	22	3	169	225	308	533	139	280	44	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	448	101	22	2	20	24	160	5	21	5	225	274	417	692	192	288	33	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	461	430	90	23	4	16	21	192	7	20	6	209	260	393	654	184	316	42	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	473	438	74	18	2	13	28	208	4	22	3	169	225	308	533	139	280	44	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	448	101	22	2	20	24	160	5	21	5	225	274	417	692	192	288	33	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	BAL	—	376	337	68	15	2	10	27	125	7	14	2	202	275	347	622	145	280	33	7	273	71	-13	+2	+0	-4	+8	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	BAL	—	50	44	7	4	0	0	3	23	1	0	0	159	229	250	479	91	304	46	6	214	71	-2	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.4
YTD	25	AAA RAW	BAL	—	326	281	74	14	2	15	36	85	6	14	2	263	359	488	847	224	321	26	11	371	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	BAL	—	50	44	7	4	0	0	3	23	1	0	0	159	229	250	479	91	304	46	6	214	31	-4	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
ROS	25	AAA MLE	BAL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	33	11	294	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	BAL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		296	33	11	289	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	BAL	—	59	52	8	4	0	0	4	26	1	0	0	154	228	231	459	77	286	44	7	225	71	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
TOT	25	AAA MLE	BAL	—	385	345	69	15	2	10	28	128	7	14	2	200	274	342	616	142	278	33	7	273	71	-13	+2	+0	-4	+8	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	82%	415	378	82	17	2	16	28	138	6	18	3	217	282	399	681	183	289	33	7	300	89	-6	+2	+0	-4	+9	0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	82%	421	383	84	17	2	16	29	136	6	18	3	219	285	399	684	180	289	32	7	301	90	-5	+2	+0	-5	+9	0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	82%	422	383	84	17	2	16	30	135	6	17	3	219	286	399	686	180	288	32	7	301	90	-5	+2	-0	-5	+9	0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	BAL	82%	414	376	81	16	2	15	30	132	5	16	3	215	282	388	671	173	287	32	7	300	89	-5	+2	-1	-4	+9	0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	BAL	82%	407	369	80	16	2	15	30	131	5	14	2	217	285	393	678	176	286	32	7	297	87	-6	+2	-2	-4	+9	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	82%	340	309	69	14	2	14	23	113	5	15	2	223	288	417	705	194	294	33	7	295	89	-5	+2	+0	-4	+7	0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	82%	345	313	70	14	2	14	24	112	5	15	3	224	289	415	705	192	294	32	7	297	90	-4	+2	+0	-4	+7	0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	82%	346	313	71	14	2	14	25	111	5	14	2	227	294	419	713	192	294	32	7	298	90	-4	+2	-0	-4	+7	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	BAL	82%	339	306	68	14	1	13	25	108	5	13	2	222	292	402	694	180	292	32	7	296	89	-4	+2	-1	-4	+7	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	BAL	82%	334	303	66	13	1	13	24	108	4	12	2	218	284	396	680	178	291	32	7	293	87	-5	+2	-1	-4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1808	1641	362	74	9	75	127	592	25	71	11	221	287	414	700	193	292	33	7	297	76	-22	+10	-3	-29	+39	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	130	27	3	27	46	213	9	26	4	220	287	414	701	193	291	33	7	297	76	-8	+4	-1	-10	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4140	3797	775	163	25	146	255	1528	55	173	39	204	264	376	640	171	292	37	6	280	76	-27	+11	-4	-33	+47	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	122	26	4	23	40	240	9	27	6	205	265	378	643	173	294	37	6	280	76	-8	+3	-1	-10	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.1	2,086	81	86	218	280	404	-22	-4	2.2	2.4
/162	664	26	27	-7.1	-1.2	0.7	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rece Hinds (OGILVIE)	25	55	60	55	40	211/273/387	176	290	10	13	34%	6%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Marisnick 2018 · MLB	27	44→54	54→60	50→55	41	228/288/406	178	297	22	21	31%	6%	94	+0.9	236/295/429	193	313	23	16	31%	6%	102	+1.5	224/285/405	182	303	21	16	32%	6%	91	+0.3
✕Justin Maxwell 2009 · MLB	25	42→44	54→60	55→60	45	220/289/398	177	279	22	23	29%	8%	93	+0.8	215/295/355	140	316	16	29	34%	9%	85	+0.2	221/295/426	205	300	26	17	34%	9%	99	+0.6
✕Terry Evans 2007 · AA	25	45→52	51→55	53→55	38	231/285/389	157	311	20	20	32%	5%	89	+0.5	236/279/383	147	328	16	21	32%	5%	84	+0.2	230/270/375	145	320	15	23	32%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	47→53	52→55	57→60	42	233/300/404	172	329	20	25	34%	8%	98	+1.2	213/284/345	132	321	14	34	35%	8%	78	-0.3	216/288/335	118	322	10	41	34%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Michael A. Taylor 2016 · MLB	25	47→53	48→55	55→60	41	232/288/369	138	330	16	24	34%	7%	85	+0.2	233/286/384	151	326	17	26	32%	7%	88	+0.4	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	51→55	56→55	42	220/284/382	162	298	19	23	32%	7%	86	+0.3	202/275/330	128	280	14	17	31%	8%	72	-0.7	185/267/299	114	254	13	16	31%	9%	59	-1.1
✕Derek Fisher 2019 · MLB	25	45→50	52→55	51→55	43	227/297/392	164	320	20	18	34%	8%	94	+0.9	222/303/388	166	312	20	14	33%	10%	95	+1.0	198/288/363	165	272	23	13	34%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	53→60	53→50	38	207/267/377	170	307	21	17	39%	7%	80	-0.2	209/273/389	180	270	24	11	31%	7%	85	+0.2	200/266/380	180	243	26	10	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→54	48→45	58→65	42	230/293/371	140	312	17	33	31%	7%	87	+0.4	233/305/343	110	322	10	40	28%	9%	85	+0.2	233/306/336	103	319	9	43	28%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB	25	44	49→50	52→55	39	222/275/368	146	313	18	19	34%	6%	80	-0.2	225/269/372	147	317	17	20	33%	5%	78	-0.3	277/323/436	159	352	16	16	25%	6%	111	+0.9
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	46→50	54→60	54→60	42	235/296/415	179	309	22	22	31%	7%	99	+1.2	254/316/462	208	317	27	28	28%	8%	118	+2.6	247/321/445	199	302	28	36	27%	9%	112	+1.9
✕Franchy Cordero 2020 · MLB	25	48→54	52→55	56→50	39	232/290/403	171	353	19	16	38%	7%	93	+0.8	229/298/385	156	326	16	14	32%	8%	93	+0.8	226/298/378	152	319	17	12	32%	8%	88	+0.3
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	43→46	53→60	49→50	42	221/285/395	175	301	21	15	33%	8%	91	+0.6	225/299/424	199	289	26	11	31%	9%	103	+1.5	218/297/418	200	274	27	10	30%	9%	97	+0.9
✕Dane Myers 2023 · AAA	27	44→54	52→50	52→55	35	228/272/390	162	310	21	16	33%	4%	84	+0.2	249/308/382	133	327	15	20	27%	6%	95	+1.0	256/320/373	117	332	13	23	25%	7%	95	+0.6
●Luis Robert Jr. 2021 · MLB	23	47→57	54→65	56→60	39	239/292/418	179	317	21	24	31%	6%	99	+1.2	276/324/471	195	335	24	17	24%	5%	122	+3.0	282/328/497	215	335	28	17	24%	5%	126	+2.4
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2006 · AA	25	42→48	52→55	51→60	34	219/261/379	160	295	20	18	33%	4%	78	-0.3	224/266/373	149	309	16	28	32%	4%	78	-0.3	225/263/374	149	316	16	37	33%	3%	73	-0.4
✕Lewis Brinson 2018 · MLB	24	46→53	51→55	52→50	42	235/286/398	162	291	18	16	26%	6%	91	+0.7	207/260/339	132	282	14	12	31%	5%	68	-1.0	230/272/404	174	301	22	8	31%	5%	85	+0.1
●Harrison Bader 2020 · MLB	26	46→56	52→55	52→55	46	233/316/402	169	303	20	17	29%	9%	103	+1.6	247/321/425	178	305	20	17	25%	8%	110	+2.1	255/315/422	167	304	19	21	22%	7%	103	+0.7
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	40→39	56→60	53→50	36	220/259/409	189	280	25	17	32%	4%	84	+0.1	222/285/364	142	319	16	10	33%	7%	83	+0.1	226/303/342	116	338	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Jose Siri 2022 · MLB	27	50→55	50→60	57→55	34	239/284/395	156	359	17	26	37%	5%	89	+0.5	225/276/423	198	311	26	21	35%	6%	94	+0.9	204/261/411	207	270	29	21	36%	6%	85	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps