Rece Hinds — OGILVIE

Rece HindsRF Louisville Bats

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA HR +9%K -4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 0.8 · 2027

wRC+†121

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .267 / .428

PA152

HR8

K%38

BB%6

MLB%55%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

60→60

SPD

55→55

EYE

43↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.7	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$1M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.2M
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$13M	+$4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	2 teams	226	207	39	9	3	9	11	87	6	7	3	.188	.250	.391	.641	.203	.265	38	5	.278	71	-7	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2022	21	A+	4 teams	412	384	63	8	5	11	23	197	5	20	8	.164	.221	.297	.518	.133	.295	48	6	.225	30	-32	+1	+0	-4	+12	-2.5
2023	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	461	426	88	23	3	19	20	206	7	20	6	.207	.254	.408	.662	.202	.330	45	4	.281	73	-14	+2	+0	-5	+13	-0.4
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	473	439	77	19	3	14	28	208	4	22	3	.175	.231	.328	.559	.153	.288	44	6	.242	44	-30	+3	-0	-5	+13	-1.9
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	480	445	104	21	2	24	24	160	5	21	5	.234	.281	.452	.732	.218	.300	33	5	.312	97	-2	+2	-1	-5	+14	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AAA	2 teams	88	76	20	5	1	5	9	29	1	1	1	.263	.349	.553	.901	.289	.341	33	10	.363	136	+4	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.5
ROS	25	MLB	CIN	64	59	13	3	0	3	4	24	1	2	0	.220	.281	.424	.705	.203	.306	38	6	.317	101	+0	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.1
TOT	25	MLB	CIN	152	135	33	8	1	8	13	53	2	3	1	.244	.320	.496	.816	.252	.329	35	9	.344	121	+4	+0	-0	-2	+4	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 73%	CIN	415	380	85	17	2	21	28	140	4	15	3	.224	.284	.445	.729	.221	.291	34	7	.318	102	+1	+2	-3	-4	+12	0.7
2028	27	MLB 89%	CIN	421	384	86	17	2	20	30	139	4	15	3	.224	.287	.435	.722	.211	.291	33	7	.319	102	+1	+2	-3	-5	+12	0.7
2029	28	MLB 94%	CIN	422	385	86	17	2	20	30	138	4	14	3	.223	.286	.434	.720	.210	.291	33	7	.318	102	+1	+2	-4	-5	+12	0.6
2030	29	MLB	CIN	414	377	85	17	2	19	30	135	4	13	2	.225	.290	.432	.722	.207	.290	33	7	.316	100	+0	+2	-5	-4	+12	0.5
2031	30	MLB	CIN	407	370	82	16	2	19	30	135	4	12	2	.222	.287	.430	.717	.208	.289	33	7	.313	98	-1	+2	-5	-4	+12	0.3
2032	31	MLB	CIN	392	357	78	15	2	18	28	131	4	10	1	.218	.283	.423	.706	.204	.288	33	7	.310	95	-2	+2	-6	-4	+11	0.1
2033	32	MLB	CIN	373	339	73	14	2	16	27	127	4	8	1	.215	.281	.410	.691	.195	.286	34	7	.305	92	-4	+1	-6	-4	+11	-0.2
2034	33	MLB	CIN	343	312	67	13	2	15	25	119	3	6	0	.215	.279	.413	.693	.199	.285	35	7	.299	87	-5	+1	-7	-4	+10	-0.5
2035	34	MLB	CIN	299	273	56	11	1	12	21	106	3	4	0	.205	.269	.385	.654	.179	.283	35	7	.292	82	-6	+1	-7	-3	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5602	5137	1082	220	33	240	359	2052	62	189	40	.211	.270	.406	.677	.196	.292	37	6	.295	84	-101	+22	-49	-60	+159	-2.9
/ 162G	—			650	596	126	26	4	28	42	238	7	22	5	.211	.271	.409	.681	.198	.293	37	6	.295	84	-12	+2	-6	-7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	185	167	42	10	2	10	13	52	4	6	2	.251	.321	.515	.836	.263	.302	28	7	.362	135	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2021	20	ROK	ACL Reds	41	34	10	3	2	2	4	13	2	1	1	.294	.400	.676	1.076	.382	.400	32	10	.444	198	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	29	29	9	2	1	2	0	12	0	0	1	.310	.310	.655	.966	.345	.467	41	0	.413	174	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	274	247	58	9	4	10	23	107	4	13	5	.235	.310	.425	.735	.190	.369	39	8	.327	108	+3	+1	—	—	+8	1.1
2022	21	ROK	ACL Reds	19	16	1	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	2	.062	.211	.062	.273	.000	.100	32	11	.160	-20	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	90	84	19	5	1	3	6	35	0	5	0	.226	.278	.417	.694	.190	.348	39	7	.306	92	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	461	412	111	29	6	23	34	151	7	20	6	.269	.336	.536	.872	.267	.358	33	7	.372	143	+22	+2	—	—	+13	3.8
2024	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	51	46	12	4	1	5	4	16	1	2	0	.261	.333	.717	1.051	.457	.280	31	8	.441	196	+6	+0	-0	-5	+1	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	422	380	79	18	2	14	37	160	3	20	3	.208	.283	.376	.660	.168	.312	38	9	.294	83	-8	+3	—	—	+12	0.7
2025	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	44	43	5	1	0	2	1	21	0	0	0	.116	.136	.279	.415	.163	.150	48	2	.181	-3	-5	+0	-1	-5	+1	-1.1
2025	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	436	391	118	26	2	24	33	113	5	21	5	.302	.363	.563	.925	.261	.362	26	8	.397	162	+30	+2	—	—	+12	4.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			95	89	17	5	1	7	5	37	1	2	0	.191	.242	.506	.748	.315	.222	39	5	.320	103	+0	+0	-1	-10	+3	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rece Hinds (OGILVIE)	25	55	60	55	40	.215/.267/.428	.213	.300	8	6	38%	6%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Keston Hiura 2022 · MLB	25	46→56	57→60	48→50	41	.233/.310/.429	.197	.329	25	10	35%	8%	109	+2.4	.231/.310/.430	.199	.327	28	6	36%	8%	110	+2.4	.231/.307/.444	.213	.318	33	3	36%	7%	107	+1.3
★Tyler O'Neill 2020 · MLB	25	40→50	60→70	51→50	38	.222/.275/.429	.207	.296	30	9	36%	6%	95	+1.4	.244/.309/.466	.222	.315	31	13	32%	7%	118	+3.0	.252/.328/.468	.216	.315	29	16	29%	9%	125	+2.4
✕Justin Maxwell 2008 · MLB	24	42→45	55→60	54→60	39	.221/.279/.401	.180	.298	24	19	34%	6%	89	+0.9	.219/.293/.380	.161	.300	19	27	32%	9%	89	+0.9	.221/.295/.429	.208	.301	26	17	34%	9%	97	+0.7
●Oneil Cruz 2023 · MLB	24	45→51	58→60	55	43	.237/.297/.442	.205	.306	26	20	31%	7%	106	+2.2	.235/.305/.421	.186	.312	23	23	30%	9%	104	+2.0	.228/.309/.413	.185	.304	24	33	31%	10%	96	+1.0
★George Springer 2015 · MLB	25	45→55	56→70	56→55	44	.230/.310/.419	.189	.323	25	23	35%	9%	106	+2.2	.256/.346/.447	.191	.320	24	14	26%	11%	128	+3.6	.278/.365/.505	.228	.303	31	6	19%	11%	148	+5.0
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	41→46	54→60	49→50	41	.216/.279/.394	.178	.298	22	15	34%	7%	86	+0.8	.225/.298/.429	.204	.290	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	.219/.298/.421	.202	.276	27	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
●Victor Diaz 2006 · MLB	24	50→51	56→60	50	45	.258/.314/.455	.197	.324	24	12	28%	7%	117	+2.9	.226/.274/.379	.153	.310	19	8	32%	6%	80	+0.4	.230/.305/.438	.207	.323	30	9	36%	8%	108	+1.3
✕Tyler Moore 2013 · MLB	26	41→46	61→65	51→40	38	.232/.275/.456	.224	.284	30	4	30%	5%	102	+1.8	.232/.289/.410	.178	.292	22	4	28%	7%	95	+1.4	.219/.281/.374	.156	.274	19	0	27%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Josh Jung 2023 · MLB	25	46→51	57→60	48→45	38	.244/.293/.443	.199	.313	26	7	31%	5%	105	+2.1	.248/.293/.415	.167	.321	21	6	29%	5%	98	+1.6	.250/.294/.403	.153	.318	19	4	27%	5%	92	+0.8
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	37→40	61→65	49→50	38	.217/.263/.428	.211	.265	31	9	32%	5%	89	+1.0	.221/.289/.436	.215	.281	30	9	32%	8%	102	+1.9	.193/.274/.380	.187	.267	25	6	36%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Michael Chavis 2021 · MLB	25	47	56→60	50→45	41	.242/.302/.429	.187	.323	25	7	32%	7%	105	+2.1	.233/.279/.402	.169	.310	22	6	31%	5%	89	+0.9	.224/.270/.389	.165	.285	20	6	28%	5%	78	+0.1
●Randal Grichuk 2017 · MLB	25	44→51	60→70	45	39	.240/.286/.465	.225	.296	27	7	29%	5%	108	+2.3	.241/.290/.479	.238	.292	30	6	28%	6%	114	+2.7	.235/.285/.470	.235	.278	31	4	28%	6%	107	+2.0
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→41	57→60	45→50	45	.214/.295/.410	.196	.290	26	9	35%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.300/.403	.193	.281	26	13	33%	11%	98	+1.6	.198/.296/.384	.186	.261	25	15	33%	11%	87	+0.7
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	58→60	53→50	39	.206/.265/.407	.201	.278	27	17	36%	7%	84	+0.6	.216/.277/.401	.185	.303	24	12	35%	7%	88	+0.9	.211/.275/.376	.165	.297	22	8	35%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Josh Fields 2008 · MLB	25	46→56	54→55	48→50	44	.238/.302/.416	.178	.313	22	12	31%	8%	102	+1.8	.232/.297/.392	.160	.314	19	10	31%	8%	93	+1.3	.241/.303/.378	.138	.317	15	9	28%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	54→55	56→55	42	.224/.287/.400	.176	.302	22	22	33%	7%	92	+1.2	.204/.276/.344	.140	.280	16	17	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.184/.266/.306	.121	.251	14	16	31%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	39→42	57→55	45→50	37	.216/.263/.404	.189	.279	27	9	34%	6%	82	+0.5	.222/.281/.396	.174	.282	23	10	29%	6%	88	+0.9	.221/.285/.395	.175	.272	23	11	27%	6%	86	+0.6
●Chris Young 2008 · MLB	24	42→49	58→60	54→55	47	.231/.295/.441	.210	.261	26	22	23%	8%	105	+2.1	.238/.310/.431	.193	.285	21	17	24%	9%	109	+2.4	.239/.321/.424	.186	.290	20	17	24%	10%	107	+2.4
✕Casper Wells 2010 · AA	25	43→46	55→60	49→50	43	.224/.297/.411	.188	.290	22	13	30%	7%	99	+1.7	.226/.293/.421	.195	.288	23	9	29%	7%	100	+1.7	.225/.297/.431	.205	.278	24	7	27%	7%	99	+1.1
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	54→60	52→50	37	.208/.266/.387	.178	.310	23	17	39%	7%	79	+0.3	.209/.272/.395	.186	.271	26	12	32%	7%	84	+0.6	.200/.266/.385	.185	.241	27	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)