Player 837887 — OGILVIE

Player 837887 P DSL Cubs Red

Age — —HP ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINST119

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%22.8%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	11	11	24	129	29	25	0	100%	2.2	15.3%	24.2%	-8.9%	0.0%	8.88	4.88	—
YTD	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	11	11	24	129	29	25	0	100%	2.2	15.3%	24.2%	-8.9%	0.0%	8.88	4.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	11	11	24	129	29	25	0	100%	2.2	22.5%	19.4%	3.1%	0.0%	8.88	3.66	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	4	4	24	102	24	13	3	100%	6.0	23.2%	12.4%	10.8%	3.0%	4.79	4.72	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	—	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.2%	12.4%	10.8%	3.0%	4.79	4.72	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	MLE		11	11	24	129	20	31	0	100%	2.2	15.3%	24.2%	-8.9%	0.0%	8.88	4.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	90	200	1060	162	257	0	100%	2.2	15.3%	24.2%	-8.9%	0.0%	8.88	4.88	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Player 837887 (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	22.8%	13.9%	3.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Landon Sims R 2023 · 6.04 FIP	22	SP	6.04	19.3%	12.9%	5.3%	.302	3.99	19.9%	7.8%	168	-2.05	3.35	184	75
Logan Boyer R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	17.0%	12.7%	4.2%	.306	3.71	25.0%	12.7%	27	-1.89	3.71	121	72
Riley Thompson R 2022 · 5.32 FIP	26	SP	5.32	21.7%	14.7%	4.0%	.289	5.08	17.3%	6.7%	189	-0.24	4.53	340	71
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	70
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	70
Will Bednar R 2022 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP	5.71	20.5%	14.1%	4.7%	.173	4.78	26.6%	6.3%	95	-0.93	3.38	198	70
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	69
Peyton Pallette R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	15.1%	3.8%	.254	4.00	23.2%	11.3%	197	-1.56	3.60	269	68
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.83	22.0%	10.4%	160	+0.06	3.75	326	68
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.44	20.8%	11.9%	382	+0.06	2.77	544	67
Tristan Beck R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	25	SP	5.00	18.2%	10.9%	3.7%	.375	4.23	20.1%	13.1%	252	-0.77	3.48	495	67
Leonardo Pestana R 2023 · 5.67 FIP	25	SP	5.67	21.5%	13.1%	5.0%	.324	5.34	21.8%	8.0%	66	-0.33	3.61	155	67
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	65
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	65
Cam Schlittler R 2023 · 4.80 FIP	22	SP	4.80	17.6%	13.8%	2.6%	.330	3.01	27.8%	19.2%	447	-1.79	2.38	488	65
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	65
Spencer Howard R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	25	SP	3.76	24.5%	11.3%	2.4%	.311	4.85	23.7%	14.8%	208	+1.09	2.33	484	64
Dane Acker R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	21.3%	14.1%	2.7%	.229	4.41	19.2%	8.2%	164	-0.14	4.34	257	64
CJ Van Eyk R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP	5.26	16.5%	10.3%	4.1%	.264	4.73	15.1%	6.6%	326	-0.53	4.17	438	64
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	64