Leonardo Pestana P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 198 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 131
ERA5.80
FIP5.80
K%22.1%
BB%17.8%
K-BB%4.3%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -6.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-7BBCONTACT: -3.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.86 (58 IP)-0.9WAR
-0.2-0.22627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5050
CTRL2525
CMD4040
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201820ROKGCL Yankees West118351765320173%3.220.5%14.2%6.3%0.8%7.203.61
201820ROKGCL Yankees West118351765320173%3.230.1%11.4%18.8%0.6%7.202.16
202123ROKFCL Yankees205178110%2.347.1%5.9%41.2%5.9%5.793.10
202123ROKFCL Yankees205178110%2.347.1%5.9%41.2%5.9%5.793.10
202224ROKFCL Yankees1102010100%0.0%50.0%-50.0%0.0%9.43
202224ROKFCL Yankees1102010100%0.0%50.0%-50.0%0.0%
202325MIX2 levels19185424370271095%2.921.5%13.1%8.5%4.7%5.635.53
202325MIX2 levels19185424370271095%2.928.8%11.1%17.7%4.1%5.634.41
202426MIX2 levels27032127431420%1.224.4%10.6%13.7%2.4%2.783.73
202426MIX2 levels27032127431420%1.233.9%11.0%22.8%1.6%2.782.54
202527AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders331431994934103%1.321.7%17.9%3.7%4.9%6.496.21
202527AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders331431994934103%1.324.6%17.1%7.5%5.0%6.496.22
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBNYY56059249554490%1.122.1%17.8%4.3%3.5%5.805.80-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBNYY54056237524190%1.022.0%17.2%4.8%3.6%5.735.78-0.8
202830MLBNYY50053223483880%1.121.8%16.9%4.8%3.8%5.765.85-0.8
202729MLBNYY2002189191530%1.122.0%17.2%4.8%3.6%5.735.78-0.3
202830MLBNYY28029122272150%1.021.8%16.9%4.8%3.8%5.765.85-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career47050210463680%1.121.8%17.0%4.8%3.7%5.755.44-0.5
/ 200 IP1900200844185145320%1.021.8%17.0%4.8%3.7%5.755.44-0.1
Career92271697621701072729%1.822.4%14.0%8.3%3.5%5.634.91+1.0
/ 200 IP109322009002011263129%1.822.4%14.0%8.3%3.5%5.634.91+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Leonardo Pestana (OGILVIE) 5.80 22.1%17.8%3.5% 5.81 21.9%4.8%109 +0.01
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 75
Hunter Dollander R 2024 · 6.73 FIP 26 SU 6.73 17.6%18.3%5.1%.329 3.81 106 75
Fernery Ozuna R 2025 · 5.77 FIP 27 SU 5.77 19.5%13.5%4.7%.275 3.97 157 73
Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.42 FIP 28 SU 5.42 16.4%14.7%3.4%.262 5.33 16.2%-1.4%15 -0.09 3.62 183 73
Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP 27 SU 5.38 21.1%13.8%4.2%.281 2.72 153 72
Jared Mortensen R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 28 SU 4.90 20.9%18.8%2.2%.250 4.44 200 72
Brian Glowicki R 2025 · 5.30 FIP 27 SU 5.30 18.2%15.9%3.1%.229 2.36 189 72
Garrett Hill R 2026 · 5.34 FIP 28 SU 5.34 20.9%17.8%3.2%.307 4.72 15.4%-3.2%42 -0.62 3.13 539 71
Ryan Jennings R 2024 · 5.51 FIP 26 SU 5.51 25.3%16.2%4.6%.324 3.29 142 71
Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP 27 SU 5.37 16.4%13.6%3.5%.308 3.74 140 71
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 70
Stevie Branche R 2025 · 5.82 FIP 27 SU 5.82 19.8%20.5%3.3%.320 3.25 162 70
Kyle Dowdy R 2026 · 5.10 FIP 28 SU 5.10 20.3%14.6%3.4%.282 3.59 21.9%8.9%116 -1.51 2.81 606 70
Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 70
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.49 FIP 26 SU 5.49 17.8%17.3%3.1%.240 5.17 116 70
Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP 27 SU 5.26 17.1%11.2%4.0%.326 3.66 109 70
Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.15 FIP 28 SU 5.15 15.9%13.8%3.0%.277 3.64 237 70
Morris Austin R 2024 · 5.05 FIP 26 SU 5.05 22.3%14.8%3.6%.287 4.08 164 69
Kevin Lenik R 2025 · 4.93 FIP 27 SU 4.93 21.7%14.9%3.2%.205 3.04 107 69
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 28 SU 5.09 15.3%12.2%3.2%.347 3.42 173 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35622.0%17.3%1.405.76
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Michael Kopech ('24)49626.1%12.5%1.454.15
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21