Dane Acker
P
Round Rock Express
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 189 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA5.01
FIP5.01
K%19.1%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%7.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 87 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 2 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 40.7% | 3.7% | 37.0% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 0.13 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 2 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 40.7% | 3.7% | 37.0% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 0.10 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 26 | 117 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 2.9 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.31 | 5.44 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 26 | 117 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 2.9 | 26.5% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 6.31 | 4.46 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 67 | 284 | 76 | 36 | 6 | 100% | 3.7 | 21.3% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 2.54 | 4.61 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 67 | 284 | 76 | 36 | 6 | 100% | 3.7 | 26.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | 2.54 | 3.60 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 26 | 18 | 97 | 415 | 104 | 40 | 11 | 69% | 3.7 | 20.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 3.05 | 4.23 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 26 | 18 | 97 | 415 | 104 | 40 | 11 | 69% | 3.7 | 25.1% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 3.05 | 3.67 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 2 | 53 | 239 | 56 | 26 | 5 | 6% | 1.7 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 4.62 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 2 | 53 | 239 | 56 | 26 | 5 | 6% | 1.7 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 5.26 | 3.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 9 | 2 | 17 | 82 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 22% | 1.9 | 18.2% | 17.9% | 0.3% | 2.7% | 9.18 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TEX | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 56 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 87 | 378 | 73 | 50 | 11 | — | — | 19.4% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 5.81 | 5.07 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 7 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 19.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.01 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.99 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 53 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.04 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 50 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.24 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.99 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.04 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 111 | 0 | 117 | 494 | 96 | 60 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 5.06 | 4.75 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 103 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 5.06 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 51 | 266 | 1164 | 239 | 146 | 33 | 53% | 2.8 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.50 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 38 | 200 | 874 | 179 | 110 | 25 | 53% | 2.8 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dane Acker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.01 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 2.9% | — | 5.12 | 19.4% | 7.3% | 194 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 84 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 81 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 80 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 80 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 78 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 77 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 77 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 77 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.00 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 74 | -0.24 | 3.58 | 200 | 77 |
| Adam Quintana R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 76 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 76 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 20.1% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 378 | 75 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 75 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 74 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.87 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .368 | 4.57 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 148 | +0.70 | 3.64 | 560 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 1.21 | 5.04 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |