Landon Sims
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 227 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%21.1%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 13 | 25 | 109 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 87% | 1.6 | 19.3% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.47 | 6.03 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 13 | 25 | 109 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 87% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 5.47 | 3.87 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 59 | 257 | 85 | 27 | 3 | 2% | 1.4 | 25.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 1.5% | 3.07 | 3.36 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 59 | 257 | 85 | 27 | 3 | 2% | 1.4 | 33.1% | 10.5% | 22.6% | 1.2% | 3.07 | 2.25 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 49 | 0 | 52 | 233 | 57 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 3.63 | 3.38 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 49 | 0 | 52 | 233 | 57 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 0.9% | 3.63 | 2.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | 31 | 0 | 38 | 167 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.46 | 5.76 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ARI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 62 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 108 | 463 | 96 | 57 | 13 | — | — | 20.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 5.03 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.1% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 64 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 4.60 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 63 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.59 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 61 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.68 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 4.60 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.59 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 47 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 534 | 115 | 66 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.61 | 4.25 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 104 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.61 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 136 | 14 | 174 | 766 | 161 | 94 | 19 | 10% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 3.89 | 4.27 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 16 | 200 | 882 | 185 | 108 | 22 | 10% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 3.89 | 4.27 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Landon Sims (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 21.1% | 12.9% | 2.4% | — | 4.63 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 206 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 91 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 90 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 89 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.21 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .330 | 4.58 | 14.2% | 5.4% | 162 | +0.37 | 3.79 | 291 | 88 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 88 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.11 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.66 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.55 | 4.11 | 172 | 88 |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .255 | 4.83 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 47 | +1.34 | 3.49 | 106 | 87 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 87 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 87 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Kyle Grana R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.67 | 21.7% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 109 | 87 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.65 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.35 | 4.30 | 107 | 86 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.45 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 1.0% | .269 | 3.54 | 23.1% | 13.0% | 181 | +0.09 | 3.15 | 307 | 86 |
| Malcom Culver R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.76 | 18.3% | 12.2% | 1.2% | .327 | 3.35 | 17.7% | 8.8% | 105 | -0.41 | 3.26 | 163 | 86 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2028 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 86 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.85 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .330 | 4.04 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 96 | +0.19 | 2.54 | 214 | 86 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 86 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 86 |
| Armando Rivero R 2028 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 0.97 | 4.61 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |