Landon Sims — OGILVIE

Landon Sims P Reno Aces

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 227 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%21.1%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD3040

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	13	25	109	28	12	3	87%	1.6	19.3%	12.9%	6.3%	5.3%	5.47	6.04	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	13	25	109	28	12	3	87%	1.6	19.3%	12.9%	6.3%	5.3%	5.47	6.04	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	13	25	109	28	12	3	87%	1.6	25.7%	11.0%	14.7%	2.8%	5.47	3.87	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	1	59	257	85	27	3	2%	1.4	25.0%	12.2%	12.8%	1.5%	3.07	3.35	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	1	59	257	85	27	3	2%	1.4	25.0%	12.2%	12.8%	1.5%	3.07	3.35	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	1	59	257	85	27	3	2%	1.4	33.1%	10.5%	22.6%	1.2%	3.07	2.25	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	49	0	52	233	57	27	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	12.7%	7.1%	0.8%	3.63	3.47	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	49	0	52	233	57	27	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	12.7%	7.1%	0.8%	3.63	3.47	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	49	0	52	233	57	27	2	0%	1.1	24.5%	11.6%	12.9%	0.9%	3.63	2.97	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	48	0	57	248	45	29	7	0%	1.2	14.9%	11.5%	3.4%	3.3%	4.87	5.12	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	48	0	57	248	45	29	7	0%	1.2	14.9%	11.5%	3.4%	3.3%	4.87	5.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	ARI	25	0	28	120	26	12	5	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.0%	11.7%	4.2%	4.55	4.82	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	ARI	23	0	30	128	19	17	2	0%	1.3	14.8%	13.3%	1.6%	1.6%	5.16	4.39	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	13.1%	8.0%	2.4%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	63	273	50	32	8	—	—	18.4%	11.8%	6.6%	2.8%	4.85	5.08	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	67	0	70	296	64	38	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.7%	8.8%	2.5%	4.64	4.63	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	69	291	63	36	7	0%	1.0	21.7%	12.5%	9.2%	2.6%	4.63	4.65	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	64	0	67	282	61	35	8	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.5%	9.2%	2.7%	4.67	4.71	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	270	58	34	8	0%	1.0	21.4%	12.6%	8.8%	2.9%	4.76	4.83	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	32	0	34	144	31	18	4	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.7%	8.8%	2.5%	4.64	4.63	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	44	0	46	194	42	24	5	0%	1.0	21.7%	12.5%	9.2%	2.6%	4.63	4.65	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	50	0	52	220	48	27	6	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.5%	9.2%	2.7%	4.67	4.71	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	50	0	53	224	48	28	6	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.6%	8.8%	2.9%	4.76	4.83	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		176	0	185	779	168	98	21	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	2.7%	4.68	4.34	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	106	23	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	2.7%	4.68	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		153	14	193	847	168	104	20	9%	1.3	19.9%	12.3%	7.6%	2.3%	4.06	4.24	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	15	200	879	175	108	20	9%	1.3	19.9%	12.3%	7.6%	2.3%	4.06	4.24	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landon Sims (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	21.1%	13.1%	2.4%	—	4.66	21.6%	9.1%	206	-0.03	—	—	—
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	92
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	91
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	90
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	90
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	89
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Mason Vinyard R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.7%	13.6%	1.5%	.270	4.67	19.3%	5.9%	147	+0.94	3.60	207	88
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.53	13.6%	5.9%	162	+0.30	3.85	291	88
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	88
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	88
Pat Light R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.1%	13.1%	2.1%	.276	4.63	11.8%	-2.3%	55	+0.53	4.10	172	88
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	88
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	87
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	87
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	87
Guido Knudson R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	25	SU	3.50	20.7%	11.1%	1.4%	.255	4.69	17.5%	6.7%	47	+1.19	3.50	106	87
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	87
Kyle Grana R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	25	SU	3.65	21.7%	13.9%	1.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	109	87
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	21.5%	12.7%	1.01	4.68
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04