Tommy Kahnle — OGILVIE

Tommy Kahnle P Worcester Red Sox

Age 36 RHP 6'1" / 230 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA3.92

FIP4.31

K%21.7%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3693.5

Whiff%

p5125.4%

p2618.7%

xwOBA vs

p360.328

CH+6.1 (86%)

FB-2.2 (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	60	267	67	39	6	0%	1.1	23.8%	14.8%	9.0%	2.1%	4.77	4.13	+0.3
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	60	267	67	39	6	0%	1.1	25.1%	14.6%	10.5%	2.2%	4.77	4.11	+0.3
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	54	228	61	27	2	0%	1.0	24.9%	12.1%	12.8%	0.9%	2.82	3.00	+1.0
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	54	228	61	27	2	0%	1.0	26.8%	11.8%	14.9%	0.9%	2.82	2.82	+1.1
2017	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	69	0	63	256	96	16	4	0%	0.9	37.5%	6.2%	31.2%	1.5%	2.59	1.53	+2.3
2017	27	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	69	0	63	256	96	16	4	0%	0.9	37.5%	6.2%	31.2%	1.6%	2.59	1.63	+2.2
2018	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	1	50	222	69	26	6	2%	1.0	29.2%	12.4%	16.8%	2.3%	5.22	3.46	+0.6
2018	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	1	50	222	69	26	6	2%	1.0	31.1%	11.7%	19.4%	2.7%	5.22	3.46	+0.6
2019	29	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	72	0	61	248	88	20	9	0%	0.9	35.5%	8.1%	27.4%	3.4%	3.67	2.99	+1.1
2019	29	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	72	0	61	248	88	20	9	0%	0.9	35.5%	8.1%	27.4%	3.6%	3.67	3.12	+1.0
2020	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	1	0	1	6	3	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	+0.1
2020	30	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	1	0	1	6	3	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-2.90	+0.1
2022	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	3	26	102	28	6	4	11%	0.9	27.5%	5.9%	21.6%	3.9%	3.12	3.68	+0.3
2022	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	3	26	102	28	6	4	11%	0.9	27.5%	5.9%	21.6%	3.9%	3.12	3.64	+0.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	4 levels	47	2	46	184	54	22	5	4%	1.0	29.1%	11.5%	17.6%	2.8%	2.56	3.66	+0.5
2023	33	MIX MLE	4 levels	47	2	46	184	54	22	5	4%	1.0	29.1%	11.5%	17.6%	2.8%	2.56	3.66	+0.5
2023	33	MIX RAW	4 levels	47	2	46	184	54	22	5	4%	1.0	29.3%	12.0%	17.4%	2.7%	2.56	3.60	+0.5
2024	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	2	48	194	57	18	5	4%	0.9	25.7%	10.1%	15.6%	2.6%	1.89	3.64	+0.5
2024	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	2	48	194	57	18	5	4%	0.9	25.7%	10.1%	15.6%	2.6%	1.89	3.64	+0.5
2024	34	MIX RAW	3 levels	55	2	48	194	57	18	5	4%	0.9	29.4%	9.3%	20.1%	2.6%	1.89	3.20	+0.8
2025	35	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	66	0	63	267	50	31	8	0%	1.0	18.7%	11.6%	7.1%	3.1%	4.43	4.71	-0.1
2025	35	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	66	0	63	267	50	31	8	0%	1.0	18.7%	11.6%	7.1%	3.1%	4.43	4.71	-0.1
2025	35	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	66	0	63	267	50	31	8	0%	1.0	18.7%	11.6%	7.1%	3.0%	4.43	4.64	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			410	0	377	1591	444	172	43	0%	0.9	27.9%	10.8%	17.1%	2.7%	3.60	3.60	+4.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	31	0	34	149	32	18	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	10.2%	11.0%	1.0%	3.15	3.17	—
YTD	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	31	0	34	149	32	18	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	10.2%	11.0%	1.0%	3.15	3.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	36	AAA RAW	BOS	23	0	25	106	27	12	1	0%	1.1	25.5%	11.3%	14.2%	0.9%	1.42	2.90	—
2026	36	MLB RAW	BOS	8	0	9	43	5	6	2	0%	1.1	11.6%	14.0%	-2.3%	4.7%	8.00	6.44	—
SO FAR	36	MLB RAW	BOS	8	0	9	43	5	6	2	0%	1.1	11.6%	14.0%	-2.3%	4.7%	8.00	6.44	—
ROS	36	MLB MLE	BOS	4	0	5	19	4	2	1	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.1%	10.6%	3.0%	3.92	4.31	+0.0
ROS	36	MLB CTX	BOS	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	11.1%	10.6%	3.0%	3.92	4.31	+0.0
2026 TOT	36	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	39	168	36	20	4	—	—	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	2.1%	3.24	3.31	+0.6
FULL	36	MLB A+C	BOS	—	—	14	57	36	20	4	—	—	63.2%	35.2%	28.0%	6.2%	9.28	5.64	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	BOS	45	0	47	200	39	24	7	0%	1.1	19.5%	12.2%	7.3%	3.5%	5.01	5.33	-0.4
2028	38	MLB MLE	BOS	39	0	41	172	31	22	7	0%	1.0	18.3%	12.9%	5.4%	4.0%	5.46	5.76	-0.5
2027	37	MLB CTX	BOS	45	0	47	198	39	24	7	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.2%	7.3%	3.5%	5.01	5.33	-0.4
2028	38	MLB CTX	BOS	39	0	41	173	32	22	7	0%	1.1	18.3%	12.9%	5.4%	4.0%	5.46	5.76	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		498	0	470	1982	519	221	58	0%	0.9	26.2%	11.1%	15.0%	2.9%	3.91	3.89	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		212	0	200	844	221	94	25	0%	0.9	26.2%	11.1%	15.0%	2.9%	3.91	3.89	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		528	8	506	2123	585	224	49	2%	1.0	27.6%	10.5%	17.0%	2.3%	3.48	3.38	+3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		209	3	200	839	231	88	19	2%	1.0	27.6%	10.5%	17.0%	2.3%	3.48	3.38	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tommy Kahnle (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	21.8%	11.2%	3.0%	—	5.53	18.9%	6.4%	88	+0.82	—	—	—
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	84
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	82
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	80
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	80
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	78
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	77
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	77
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	76
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	75
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	75
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	74
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	73
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	71
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	70
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	68
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	67
Felipe Paulino R 2019 · 5.82 FIP	35	SU	5.82	19.2%	9.4%	5.7%	.385	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	150	66
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	66
Blake Parker R 2021 · 3.86 FIP	36	SU	3.86	20.0%	7.6%	2.7%	.295	5.74	26.0%	14.0%	27	+1.88	2.52	339	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	20.0%	12.0%	1.34	4.88
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99