Tommy Kahnle
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 36
RHP
6'1" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA3.87
FIP4.27
K%21.9%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3693.5
Whiff%
p5125.4%
K%
p2618.7%
xwOBA vs
p360.328
CH+6.1 (86%)
FB-2.2 (14%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 67 | 39 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 4.77 | 4.00 | +0.4 |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 67 | 39 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 4.77 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 61 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 0.8% | 2.82 | 2.99 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 61 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 0.9% | 2.82 | 2.82 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 69 | 0 | 63 | 256 | 96 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 37.5% | 6.2% | 31.2% | 1.5% | 2.59 | 1.52 | +2.3 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 69 | 0 | 63 | 256 | 96 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 37.5% | 6.2% | 31.2% | 1.6% | 2.59 | 1.63 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 50 | 222 | 69 | 26 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 29.2% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 2.2% | 5.22 | 3.44 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 50 | 222 | 69 | 26 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 31.1% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 2.7% | 5.22 | 3.46 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 72 | 0 | 61 | 248 | 88 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 35.5% | 8.1% | 27.4% | 3.4% | 3.67 | 2.98 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 72 | 0 | 61 | 248 | 88 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 35.5% | 8.1% | 27.4% | 3.6% | 3.67 | 3.12 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -2.90 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 3 | 26 | 102 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 11% | 0.9 | 27.5% | 5.9% | 21.6% | 3.9% | 3.12 | 3.68 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 3 | 26 | 102 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 11% | 0.9 | 27.5% | 5.9% | 21.6% | 3.9% | 3.12 | 3.64 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 4 levels | 47 | 2 | 46 | 184 | 54 | 22 | 5 | 4% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 2.8% | 2.56 | 3.65 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 4 levels | 47 | 2 | 46 | 184 | 54 | 22 | 5 | 4% | 1.0 | 29.3% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 2.7% | 2.56 | 3.60 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 2 | 48 | 194 | 57 | 18 | 5 | 4% | 0.9 | 25.7% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 2.6% | 1.89 | 3.63 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 2 | 48 | 194 | 57 | 18 | 5 | 4% | 0.9 | 29.4% | 9.3% | 20.1% | 2.6% | 1.89 | 3.20 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 66 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 50 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 66 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 50 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 26 | 0 | 28 | 126 | 26 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 3.49 | 2.98 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | BOS | 43 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 3.87 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | BOS | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 3.87 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 36 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 74 | 317 | 68 | 39 | 7 | — | — | 21.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 3.72 | 3.77 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 36 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 54 | 229 | 68 | 39 | 7 | — | — | 29.6% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 5.05 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BOS | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | BOS | 39 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.48 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | BOS | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.92 | 6.22 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BOS | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | BOS | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.48 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | BOS | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.92 | 6.22 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 570 | 0 | 545 | 2301 | 581 | 261 | 69 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.04 | 4.05 | +8.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 209 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 213 | 96 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.04 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 523 | 8 | 500 | 2100 | 582 | 226 | 47 | 2% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 3.51 | 3.35 | +12.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 209 | 3 | 200 | 839 | 233 | 90 | 19 | 2% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 3.51 | 3.35 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Kahnle (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.1% | — | 5.74 | 18.4% | 5.6% | 123 | +1.00 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 78 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 77 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 76 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 75 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 73 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 73 |
| Jason Motte R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 72 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 72 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 72 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 71 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 70 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 68 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 68 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.63 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 140 | 66 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.83 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 173 | 66 |
| Radhames Liz R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 66 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 44 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 1.44 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |