Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 52 | 226 | 67 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 3.61 | 4.55 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 52 | 226 | 67 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.6% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 2.2% | 3.61 | 3.27 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 1 | 27 | 103 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 6% | 1.5 | 25.3% | 1.6% | 23.7% | 1.7% | 1.35 | 2.09 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 1 | 27 | 103 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 6% | 1.5 | 28.2% | 8.7% | 19.4% | 1.0% | 1.35 | 2.42 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 51 | 209 | 59 | 30 | 1 | 2% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 0.5% | 1.76 | 3.33 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 51 | 209 | 59 | 30 | 1 | 2% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 0.5% | 1.76 | 2.81 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 26 | 0 | 29 | 133 | 33 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 19.2% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.59 | 6.52 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 99 | 429 | 101 | 60 | 13 | — | — | 23.6% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.99 | 4.97 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 23.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 4.34 | 3.96 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 66 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 62 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.48 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.48 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 72 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.43 | 4.10 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 103 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.43 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 129 | 2 | 159 | 671 | 155 | 90 | 16 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 3.18 | 4.18 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 163 | 3 | 200 | 846 | 195 | 113 | 21 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 3.18 | 4.18 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Harrison Cohen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 2.3% | — | 4.48 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 133 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 87 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 87 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 87 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 86 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 86 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 85 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 85 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 85 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 84 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.51 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.25 | 4.26 | 258 | 84 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 84 |
| Kyle Barraclough R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.42 | 26.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .282 | 5.00 | 24.5% | 12.2% | 89 | +1.58 | 1.95 | 523 | 84 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.34 | 19.5% | 11.2% | 0.9% | .333 | 4.12 | 13.8% | 3.7% | 59 | +0.78 | 3.34 | 117 | 83 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 83 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 83 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 83 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .269 | 3.14 | 32.2% | 22.0% | 79 | -0.79 | 2.83 | 577 | 83 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 83 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 0.97 | 4.40 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |