Max Alba
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134124vR 115
ERA5.08
FIP5.08
K%15.8%
BB%7.5%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 119 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 41 | 0 | 55 | 234 | 65 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 4.07 | 4.24 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 41 | 0 | 55 | 234 | 65 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.8% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 4.07 | 3.52 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 39 | 3 | 57 | 229 | 63 | 8 | 8 | 8% | 1.5 | 21.2% | 4.0% | 17.2% | 5.6% | 3.61 | 4.90 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 39 | 3 | 57 | 229 | 63 | 8 | 8 | 8% | 1.5 | 27.5% | 3.5% | 24.0% | 3.5% | 3.61 | 3.13 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 104 | 442 | 90 | 29 | 14 | 77% | 4.0 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.66 | 5.37 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 104 | 442 | 90 | 29 | 14 | 77% | 4.0 | 20.4% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 3.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 14 | 14 | 55 | 242 | 49 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 3.9 | 16.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 43 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 5.08 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 119 | 516 | 92 | 38 | 16 | — | — | 17.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 5.17 | 4.84 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 47 | 22 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 5.06 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | DET | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 46 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 5.06 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | DET | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 44 | 21 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 4.75 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 1 | 200 | 844 | 140 | 67 | 32 | 1% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 122 | 37 | 273 | 1156 | 209 | 96 | 47 | 30% | 2.2 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 4.48 | 4.86 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 27 | 200 | 846 | 153 | 70 | 34 | 30% | 2.2 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 4.48 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Max Alba (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.08 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | — | 5.12 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 133 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 86 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 85 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 84 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 83 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 82 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 81 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 80 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 79 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 79 |
| Kurt Heyer R 2024 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 178 | 78 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 77 |
| Donovan Hand R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.30 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.01 | 4.29 | 237 | 77 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 77 |
| Mike Connolly R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 77 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 77 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 77 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 76 |
| Cesar Gomez R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.27 | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 345 | 76 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 75 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 16.3% | 7.8% | 1.43 | 5.08 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |