Ryan Harvey — OGILVIE

Ryan Harvey P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%20.8%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	46	202	48	22	6	92%	3.5	16.7%	13.1%	3.6%	3.4%	3.94	5.20	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	46	202	48	22	6	92%	3.5	16.7%	13.1%	3.6%	3.4%	3.94	5.20	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	12	46	202	48	22	6	92%	3.5	23.8%	10.9%	12.9%	3.0%	3.94	4.15	—
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	11	10	31	141	35	19	1	91%	2.8	18.4%	15.9%	2.5%	0.9%	6.03	4.08	—
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	11	10	31	141	35	19	1	91%	2.8	18.4%	15.9%	2.5%	0.9%	6.03	4.08	—
2024	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	11	10	31	141	35	19	1	91%	2.8	24.8%	13.5%	11.3%	0.7%	6.03	3.10	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	0	19	76	22	7	1	0%	1.4	28.9%	9.2%	19.7%	1.3%	2.79	2.54	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	0	19	76	22	7	1	0%	1.4	28.9%	9.2%	19.7%	1.3%	2.79	2.54	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	0	19	76	22	7	1	0%	1.4	28.9%	9.2%	19.7%	1.3%	2.79	2.58	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	37	0	58	258	55	18	9	0%	1.6	16.2%	8.4%	7.8%	3.5%	4.06	4.74	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	37	0	58	258	55	18	9	0%	1.6	16.2%	8.4%	7.8%	3.5%	4.06	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	DET	36	0	56	247	52	18	7	0%	1.5	21.1%	7.3%	13.8%	2.8%	3.88	3.80	—
2026	25	AA RAW	DET	1	0	2	11	3	0	2	0%	2.0	27.3%	0.0%	27.3%	18.2%	9.00	10.78	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	DET	54	0	56	239	51	30	7	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.7%	8.5%	2.9%	4.92	4.91	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	53	0	56	235	50	30	7	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.6%	8.9%	3.0%	4.89	4.90	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	DET	23	0	24	101	22	13	3	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.7%	8.5%	2.9%	4.92	4.91	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	33	0	35	148	32	19	4	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.6%	8.9%	3.0%	4.89	4.90	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		57	0	59	251	54	32	7	0%	1.0	21.4%	12.6%	8.8%	3.0%	4.90	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	108	24	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.6%	8.8%	3.0%	4.90	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		75	22	154	677	124	77	18	29%	2.1	18.2%	11.4%	6.8%	2.7%	4.27	4.49	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	29	200	879	160	101	24	29%	2.1	18.2%	11.4%	6.8%	2.7%	4.27	4.49	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Harvey (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	20.8%	13.2%	2.9%	—	4.91	21.4%	8.7%	112	-0.09	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	85
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	84
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	82
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	81
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	81
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	81
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	81
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	81
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	81
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	44	21.3%	12.7%	1.15	4.92
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64