Spencer Stockton

Spencer Stockton P Louisville Bats

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%18.6%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	23	ROK MLE	AZL Reds	6	4	34	133	41	5	0	67%	5.6	21.0%	4.7%	16.3%	0.0%	2.14	1.93	—
2019	23	ROK RAW	AZL Reds	6	4	34	133	41	5	0	67%	5.6	30.8%	3.8%	27.1%	0.0%	2.14	1.11	—
2021	25	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	26	9	72	306	74	25	8	35%	2.8	18.6%	9.4%	9.2%	3.4%	5.62	4.59	—
2021	25	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	26	9	72	306	74	25	8	35%	2.8	24.2%	8.2%	16.0%	2.6%	5.62	3.53	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	2	64	269	68	25	6	6%	2.0	20.2%	10.3%	9.9%	2.7%	3.50	4.18	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	2	64	269	68	25	6	6%	2.0	25.3%	9.3%	16.0%	2.2%	3.50	3.36	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	28	0	43	182	47	20	6	0%	1.5	20.9%	12.1%	8.8%	3.9%	3.56	5.00	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	28	0	43	182	47	20	6	0%	1.5	20.9%	12.1%	8.8%	3.9%	3.56	5.00	—
2023	27	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	28	0	43	182	47	20	6	0%	1.5	25.8%	11.0%	14.8%	3.3%	3.56	4.12	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	12	0	20	95	16	14	5	0%	1.7	14.0%	13.3%	0.7%	5.2%	7.65	6.46	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	12	0	20	95	16	14	5	0%	1.7	14.0%	13.3%	0.7%	5.2%	7.65	6.46	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	12	0	20	95	16	14	5	0%	1.7	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	5.3%	7.65	6.85	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CIN	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	18.6%	11.4%	7.1%	3.2%	5.13	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	16	10	3	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.6%	7.1%	3.4%	5.17	5.25	-0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	CIN	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	11.6%	7.1%	3.4%	5.17	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.6%	7.1%	3.4%	5.17	4.87	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.6%	7.1%	3.4%	5.17	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		104	15	233	985	191	97	30	14%	2.2	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.33	4.37	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	13	200	845	164	83	26	14%	2.2	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.33	4.37	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Spencer Stockton (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	18.6%	11.4%	3.2%	—	5.25	18.6%	7.1%	20	+0.12	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	77
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	76
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	75
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	74
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	74
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	73
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	73
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	73
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	73
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	72
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	72
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	72
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	72
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	72
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	71
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	71
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	29	SU	5.54	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	71
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	71
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	71