Jackson Fristoe — OGILVIE

Jackson Fristoe P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157148vR 140

ERA6.50

FIP6.50

K%13.7%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%-5.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3030

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	11	37	161	45	28	3	85%	2.8	17.0%	24.2%	-7.2%	2.4%	4.91	6.07	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	11	37	161	45	28	3	85%	2.8	17.0%	24.2%	-7.2%	2.4%	4.91	6.07	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	11	37	161	45	28	3	85%	2.8	28.0%	17.4%	10.6%	1.9%	4.91	4.00	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	12	12	38	164	40	28	2	100%	3.2	18.8%	19.6%	-0.9%	1.5%	3.79	4.81	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	12	12	38	164	40	28	2	100%	3.2	18.8%	19.6%	-0.9%	1.5%	3.79	4.81	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	12	12	38	164	40	28	2	100%	3.2	24.4%	17.1%	7.3%	1.2%	3.79	3.89	—
2025	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	32	0	59	251	46	32	9	0%	1.8	13.6%	15.0%	-1.5%	5.5%	4.30	6.90	—
2025	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	32	0	59	251	46	32	9	0%	1.8	13.6%	15.0%	-1.5%	5.5%	4.30	6.90	—
2025	24	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	32	0	59	251	46	32	9	0%	1.8	18.3%	12.7%	5.6%	3.6%	4.30	5.16	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	16	0	15	75	13	18	1	0%	0.9	13.3%	27.6%	-14.3%	1.7%	9.60	6.38	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	16	0	15	75	13	18	1	0%	0.9	13.3%	27.6%	-14.3%	1.7%	9.60	6.38	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	NYY	16	0	15	75	13	18	1	0%	0.9	17.3%	24.0%	-6.7%	1.3%	9.60	5.41	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	NYY	6	0	6	27	4	5	1	0%	1.1	13.7%	19.1%	-5.4%	3.2%	6.50	6.50	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	21	102	17	23	2	—	—	16.4%	22.7%	-6.3%	1.8%	8.68	6.42	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	67	0	70	296	46	53	9	0%	1.0	15.4%	18.1%	-2.6%	3.2%	6.24	6.21	-1.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	66	0	69	291	47	51	9	0%	1.0	16.0%	17.5%	-1.4%	3.2%	6.10	6.11	-1.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	NYY	64	0	67	282	46	49	9	0%	1.0	16.3%	17.2%	-0.9%	3.3%	6.06	6.10	-1.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	NYY	61	0	64	270	44	46	9	0%	1.0	16.2%	17.2%	-1.0%	3.5%	6.12	6.19	-1.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	29	0	30	127	20	23	4	0%	1.0	15.4%	18.1%	-2.6%	3.2%	6.24	6.21	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	41	0	43	182	29	32	6	0%	1.0	16.0%	17.5%	-1.4%	3.2%	6.10	6.11	-0.7
2029	28	MLB CTX	NYY	48	0	50	211	34	36	7	0%	1.0	16.3%	17.2%	-0.9%	3.3%	6.06	6.10	-0.8
2030	29	MLB CTX	NYY	50	0	52	220	36	38	8	0%	1.0	16.2%	17.2%	-1.0%	3.5%	6.12	6.19	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		168	0	176	743	119	129	25	0%	1.0	16.1%	17.4%	-1.4%	3.3%	6.12	5.77	-2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	135	147	28	0%	1.1	16.1%	17.4%	-1.4%	3.3%	6.12	5.77	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		73	23	148	651	102	130	22	32%	2.0	15.7%	19.9%	-4.2%	3.3%	4.85	6.11	-5.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	31	200	878	138	175	29	32%	2.0	15.7%	19.9%	-4.2%	3.3%	4.85	6.11	-3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Fristoe (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.50	13.7%	19.1%	3.2%	—	6.14	15.9%	-1.7%	206	-0.36	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	84
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	81
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	80
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	80
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	79
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	78
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	77
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	77
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	76
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	76
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	76
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	76
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	75
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	74
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	74
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	74
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	74
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	74
Brady Schanuel R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	25	SW	5.51	17.9%	23.5%	1.7%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	132	73
Logan Sendelbach R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	12.3%	13.9%	2.7%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	340	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	15.5%	17.8%	1.27	6.21
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14