Brad Case — OGILVIE

Brad Case P Altoona Curve

Age 29 RHP 6'7" / 242 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%15.8%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%6.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	10	8	50	204	38	8	3	80%	5.0	12.7%	4.9%	7.8%	2.1%	3.44	3.78	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	10	8	50	204	38	8	3	80%	5.0	18.6%	3.9%	14.7%	1.5%	3.44	2.84	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	137	562	108	25	17	100%	5.7	14.5%	5.1%	9.4%	3.7%	3.41	4.53	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	137	562	108	25	17	100%	5.7	19.2%	4.4%	14.8%	3.0%	3.41	3.68	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	28	2	67	301	57	19	13	7%	2.4	15.3%	6.9%	8.4%	5.5%	5.24	5.69	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	28	2	67	301	57	19	13	7%	2.4	18.9%	6.3%	12.6%	4.3%	5.24	4.77	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	71	320	65	25	7	0%	2.0	17.2%	8.9%	8.3%	2.8%	4.58	4.33	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	71	320	65	25	7	0%	2.0	20.3%	7.8%	12.5%	2.2%	4.58	3.61	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	5 levels	31	8	49	242	44	35	7	26%	1.6	15.4%	17.4%	-2.0%	2.7%	7.21	5.46	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	5 levels	31	8	49	242	44	35	7	26%	1.6	15.4%	17.4%	-2.0%	2.7%	7.21	5.46	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	5 levels	31	8	49	242	44	35	7	26%	1.6	18.2%	14.5%	3.7%	2.9%	7.21	5.32	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	2	46	207	27	15	4	9%	2.1	10.6%	6.1%	4.4%	1.8%	3.74	3.96	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	2	46	207	27	15	4	9%	2.1	10.6%	6.1%	4.4%	1.8%	3.74	3.96	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	2	46	207	27	15	4	9%	2.1	13.0%	7.2%	5.8%	1.9%	3.74	4.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	PIT	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	15.8%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	4.92	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	20	0	21	87	14	8	3	0%	1.0	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	3.1%	4.96	5.03	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	3.1%	4.96	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	27	4	3	1	0%	1.1	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	3.1%	4.96	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	124	93	31	0%	1.1	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	3.1%	4.96	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		151	44	419	1836	268	143	60	29%	2.8	14.6%	7.8%	6.8%	3.3%	4.38	4.66	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	21	200	876	128	68	29	29%	2.8	14.6%	7.8%	6.8%	3.3%	4.38	4.66	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brad Case (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	15.8%	9.4%	2.9%	—	5.03	16.2%	6.5%	21	+0.11	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	80
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	80
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	79
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	78
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	75
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	74
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	74
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	74
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	72
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	72
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	72
Lindsey Caughel R 2018 · 5.12 FIP	27	SW	5.12	13.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	187	71
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	71
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	71
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	70
Murphy Smith R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SW	4.32	13.6%	4.9%	3.2%	.267	4.57	13.6%	4.3%	63	+0.25	3.16	300	69
David Goforth R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	29	SU	4.07	14.1%	8.6%	2.0%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	256	69
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	69
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	69
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	69