Brad Case
P
Altoona Curve
Age 29
RHP
6'7" / 242 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%20.5%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 10 | 8 | 50 | 204 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 80% | 5.0 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 3.44 | 3.78 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 10 | 8 | 50 | 204 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 80% | 5.0 | 18.6% | 3.9% | 14.7% | 1.5% | 3.44 | 2.84 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 137 | 562 | 108 | 25 | 17 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.5% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 3.41 | 4.45 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 137 | 562 | 108 | 25 | 17 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.2% | 4.4% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 3.41 | 3.68 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 28 | 2 | 67 | 301 | 57 | 19 | 13 | 7% | 2.4 | 15.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.24 | 5.87 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 28 | 2 | 67 | 301 | 57 | 19 | 13 | 7% | 2.4 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 5.24 | 4.77 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 71 | 320 | 65 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.58 | 4.22 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 71 | 320 | 65 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 2.0 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 2.2% | 4.58 | 3.61 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 5 levels | 31 | 8 | 49 | 242 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 26% | 1.6 | 15.4% | 17.4% | -2.0% | 2.4% | 7.21 | 5.30 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 5 levels | 31 | 8 | 49 | 242 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 26% | 1.6 | 18.2% | 14.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 7.21 | 5.32 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 2 | 46 | 207 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 9% | 2.1 | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 3.74 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 2 | 46 | 207 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 9% | 2.1 | 13.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 3.74 | 4.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 93 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 151 | 44 | 419 | 1836 | 268 | 143 | 60 | 29% | 2.8 | 14.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.38 | 4.65 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 21 | 200 | 876 | 128 | 68 | 29 | 29% | 2.8 | 14.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.38 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brad Case (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 20.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.65 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 21 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 80 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 76 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 76 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 74 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 74 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 73 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 70 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 70 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 70 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 69 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 69 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 68 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 68 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 67 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 67 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 67 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.04 | 17.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .281 | 5.00 | 15.4% | 8.2% | 139 | +0.96 | 3.93 | 337 | 67 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 67 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 66 |