Jhosep Villarroel

C DSL Arizona Red

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP40OGV rank#354ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Arizona R…	192	.303/.511/.485	3	15	93	—	.194/.383/.299
2027PROJMLE	18	MLB—	302	.225/.320/.321	3	9	86	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLB—	66	.229/.325/.334	1	2	90	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLB—	161	.232/.328/.346	2	5	94	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA95

wRC+92

K%91

Whiff%91

Z-Con%84

Chase%83

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Alirio Ferrebus (age 18) · Alfredo Duno (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+86

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .318 / .318

PA100

HR1

K%22

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$81M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.7M
Totals		$25M		$36M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	192	132	40	11	2	3	37	23	19	15	5	303	511	485	995	182	336	12	19	443	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	192	144	28	7	1	2	25	28	19	15	5	194	383	299	682	104	206	15	13	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	192	144	28	7	1	2	25	28	19	15	5	194	383	299	682	104	220	15	13	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	192	132	40	11	2	3	37	23	19	15	5	303	511	485	995	182	336	12	19	443	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	192	146	28	7	1	2	25	28	19	15	5	192	383	295	677	103	206	15	13	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	192	146	28	7	1	2	25	28	19	15	5	192	383	295	677	103	206	15	13	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	302	262	60	12	3	3	27	66	10	9	1	225	320	321	641	96	287	22	9	295	86	-5	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	43%	153	133	30	6	1	2	14	33	5	5	1	229	325	334	659	106	289	22	9	302	90	-2	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.5
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	61%	265	230	53	10	2	4	24	58	9	9	2	232	328	346	674	114	291	22	9	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	68%	382	332	78	15	3	6	35	83	12	13	3	235	330	356	687	121	292	22	9	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	71%	445	387	93	18	4	8	41	96	14	15	4	238	332	365	696	127	293	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	72%	445	388	94	18	4	9	41	96	13	15	4	240	333	372	704	132	294	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	72%	445	388	94	18	4	9	41	96	13	15	4	241	334	376	710	135	295	22	9	321	103	+2	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	71%	445	388	94	18	4	9	41	96	13	15	4	242	334	378	713	137	295	22	9	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.1
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	445	388	95	18	4	10	41	96	13	15	4	242	335	380	715	138	295	22	9	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	70%	445	388	94	18	4	9	41	96	13	14	4	241	334	377	711	137	294	22	9	321	103	+2	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	445	388	92	18	3	9	41	97	13	14	4	239	332	372	704	134	293	22	9	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	445	388	91	17	3	9	41	98	13	14	4	236	329	366	695	130	292	22	9	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	66%	445	389	90	17	3	8	40	100	13	13	4	233	325	358	683	125	290	22	9	310	96	-2	+1	-2	+8	+10	1.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	71%	426	373	85	16	3	7	38	97	12	12	4	229	320	347	667	119	286	23	9	304	92	-4	+1	-3	+8	+9	1.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	68%	407	357	81	15	3	7	36	95	11	11	5	223	314	335	648	112	282	23	9	296	86	-7	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.6
2042	33	MLB MLE	—	73%	387	340	74	13	3	6	34	92	10	11	6	216	306	319	625	103	277	24	9	287	80	-9	-0	-4	+7	+8	0.2
2043	34	MLB MLE	—	68%	346	305	63	11	2	4	29	85	9	9	7	208	297	301	598	93	270	25	8	275	73	-11	-1	-5	+6	+7	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	43%	66	58	14	3	1	1	6	14	2	2	0	229	325	334	659	106	289	21	9	302	90	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	61%	161	140	32	6	1	2	15	35	5	5	1	232	328	346	674	114	291	22	9	308	94	-1	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.6
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	68%	260	226	52	10	2	4	24	56	8	9	2	235	330	356	687	121	292	22	9	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	71%	316	274	66	13	3	6	29	68	10	10	3	238	332	365	696	127	293	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	72%	322	280	67	13	3	6	29	69	10	11	3	240	333	372	704	132	294	21	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	72%	318	277	67	13	3	6	29	68	9	10	3	241	334	376	710	135	295	21	9	321	103	+1	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	71%	317	276	68	13	3	7	29	68	9	10	3	242	334	378	713	137	295	21	9	322	104	+1	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	316	275	68	13	3	7	29	68	9	10	3	242	335	380	715	138	295	22	9	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	70%	310	270	65	12	2	7	28	67	9	10	3	241	334	377	711	137	294	22	9	321	103	+1	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	306	266	63	12	2	6	28	67	9	10	3	239	332	372	704	134	293	22	9	318	101	+1	+1	-0	+5	+7	1.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	298	260	62	12	2	6	27	66	9	9	3	236	329	366	695	130	292	22	9	314	99	-0	+1	-1	+5	+6	1.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	66%	293	256	59	11	2	5	27	66	8	9	3	233	325	358	683	125	290	23	9	310	96	-1	+1	-1	+5	+6	1.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	71%	302	264	60	11	2	5	27	69	8	9	3	229	320	347	667	119	286	23	9	304	92	-3	+1	-2	+5	+7	0.8
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	68%	277	243	54	10	2	4	24	65	8	8	4	223	314	335	648	112	282	23	9	296	86	-4	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2042	33	MLB CTX	—	73%	281	247	54	10	2	4	24	67	8	8	5	216	306	319	625	103	277	24	9	287	80	-7	-0	-3	+5	+6	0.1
2043	34	MLB CTX	—	68%	235	207	42	7	1	3	20	58	6	6	5	208	297	301	598	93	270	25	9	275	73	-8	-1	-3	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4378	3819	893	169	34	79	395	971	127	136	47	234	326	358	684	124	292	22	9	310	96	-20	+8	-14	+78	+95	15.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	133	25	5	12	59	144	19	20	7	235	327	360	687	125	292	22	9	310	96	-3	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6663	5794	1349	257	52	119	612	1464	208	218	69	233	328	357	685	124	290	22	9	310	96	-31	+15	-20	+116	+140	22.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	132	25	5	12	60	143	20	21	7	234	328	359	687	126	291	22	9	310	96	-3	+2	-2	+12	+14	2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 192 PAwOBA .441 → .305 (−137)K% 12.0% → 14.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.98%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	13.12%
HBP% /PA	9.90%	—	×0.700	—	—	6.93%
Singles /BIP	22.02%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	—	14.22%
Doubles /BIP	10.09%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	—	5.75%
Triples /BIP	1.83%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	—	1.05%
Home runs /BIP	2.75%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	1.29%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .441 → .305; ISO .182 → .111; BABIP .336 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	5.5	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#2Jim Sundberg'74-'89 * career totals — 16 seasons, 6,898 PA	10.4	6,898	95	20	245*	327*	371*	+123	+0	27.4	24.2
/162	664	9	2	+11.8	+0.0	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#4John Stearns'74-'84 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,082 PA	4.6	3,082	46	91	253*	337*	403*	+46	+0	16.5	16.5
/162	664	10	20	+9.8	+0.1	3.6	pk7: 16
#5Johnny Edwards'61-'74 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,132 PA	7.7	5,132	81	15	240*	313*	380*	+92	+0	16.7	16.2
/162	664	10	2	+11.9	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 16
#6Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	6.7	4,478	81	139	234	323	359	+80	+48	19.2	15.5
/162	664	12	21	+11.9	+7.1	2.8	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhosep Villarroel (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	223/318/318	96	287	1	3	22%	9%	86	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
●Elvis Andrus 2008 · A	19	50→60	38→50	51→60	44	235/290/314	80	312	5	21	25%	6%	72	-0.7	257/314/331	74	319	4	32	19%	7%	85	+0.2	276/328/411	135	308	11	19	14%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→39	41→50	55	45	232/308/333	101	332	7	18	30%	8%	84	+0.2	200/335/326	126	277	12	20	29%	12%	95	+1.0	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→54	39→55	52→50	46	240/297/334	93	309	5	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	252/306/371	119	311	10	8	21%	7%	91	+0.7	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1

Jhosep Villarroel

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps