Player 837600 — OGILVIE

Player 837600— DSL Arizona Red

Age — —/— ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION225 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .349 / .333

PA150

HR2

SB8

K%23

BB%11

BABIP273

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 59 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT59

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	ARI	—	225	165	32	8	3	2	27	40	29	24	8	194	398	315	713	121	236	18	12	317	101	+0	+2	+0	-4	+6	0.4
YTD	—	ROK	ARI	—	225	146	37	10	4	2	46	28	29	24	8	253	507	418	925	164	292	12	20	426	184	+21	+2	+0	-4	+6	2.6
ROS	—	ROK	ARI	0%	150	123	26	5	2	2	16	34	10	8	2	211	349	333	682	122	277	23	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.2
ROS	—	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	ARI	—	225	166	32	8	3	2	27	40	29	24	8	193	398	313	711	120	234	18	12	317	101	+0	+2	+0	-4	+6	0.4
TOT	—	ROK	ARI	—	375	288	58	13	5	4	43	74	39	32	10	201	378	323	701	122	251	20	11	316	100	+0	+2	+0	-7	+11	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	ARI	0%	445	373	79	16	5	6	46	102	23	13	3	212	335	330	665	118	274	23	10	309	95	-3	+1	+0	-8	+13	0.3
2028	25	MLB	ARI	0%	493	415	89	18	5	7	51	113	24	14	3	214	335	333	667	118	275	23	10	311	96	-2	+2	+0	-9	+14	0.5
2029	25	MLB	ARI	0%	526	442	96	20	5	8	54	120	25	14	4	217	336	339	675	122	276	23	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-9	+15	0.5
2030	25	MLB	ARI	0%	550	464	102	21	6	9	56	126	25	15	4	220	336	349	685	129	276	23	10	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-10	+16	0.6
2031	25	MLB	ARI	0%	567	478	105	21	6	10	58	129	26	15	4	220	336	351	688	132	276	23	10	314	98	-1	+1	+0	-10	+16	0.6
2032	25	MLB	ARI	0%	580	489	107	22	6	10	59	132	27	15	4	219	336	350	685	131	276	23	10	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2033	25	MLB	ARI	0%	590	498	108	22	6	10	60	135	27	15	4	217	333	345	679	129	276	23	10	315	99	-1	+1	+0	-11	+17	0.7
2034	25	MLB	ARI	0%	598	504	110	22	6	11	61	136	28	15	4	218	336	351	687	133	275	23	10	315	99	-1	+1	+0	-11	+17	0.7
2027	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	273	67	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	277	70	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	280	72	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	281	74	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	282	74	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	282	74	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4499	3786	822	167	47	73	461	1027	215	124	32	217	336	344	680	127	276	23	10	313	98	-12	+12	+0	-80	+127	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	547	119	24	7	11	67	148	31	18	5	218	336	347	684	130	276	23	10	313	98	-2	+2	+0	-12	+18	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,669	75	125	219	332	346	-52	+0	8.1	7.7
	/162	664	11	18	219	332	346	-7.4	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 7
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Robbie Grossmanlast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,561 PA	12	4,561	93	67	242	345	374	-49	-62	5.0	6.1
	/162	664	14	10	242	345	374	-7.1	-9.0	0.7	pk7: 7
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837600 (OGILVIE)	25	59	33	62	63	201/378/323	122	251	4	32	20%	11%	100	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maikol Gonzalez 2011 · A	25	51→60	37→40	53→60	46	236/295/318	82	305	2	17	22%	7%	72	-0.2	218/287/301	83	305	4	16	27%	8%	64	-0.8	277/343/327	50	327	2	35	14%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Daniel Robertson 2011 · A	25	56→58	41→45	53→55	50	265/321/373	108	296	7	16	13%	7%	97	+1.5	250/303/343	93	289	5	17	15%	6%	82	+0.5	262/316/363	101	299	8	16	15%	6%	88	+0.6
✕Alden Carrithers 2010 · A	25	53→62	37→40	54→55	52	250/322/325	75	306	4	16	19%	9%	85	+0.7	264/336/328	64	312	2	15	15%	9%	92	+1.2	275/349/331	56	321	1	17	13%	10%	95	+0.9
✕Joey Rickard 2016 · AAA	25	53→61	38→45	54→55	51	247/325/340	93	316	4	18	22%	9%	91	+1.1	243/304/350	107	301	9	13	21%	7%	85	+0.7	235/300/365	130	290	12	10	22%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Jon Matthews 2015 · A	24	52	38→40	55→60	44	243/303/323	80	324	5	22	25%	7%	76	+0.1	221/293/291	70	302	4	12	26%	8%	65	-0.7	171/269/196	25	240	0	6	25%	11%	30	-1.0
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	50→51	39→40	53→55	50	232/309/319	87	314	6	17	26%	10%	79	+0.3	221/300/314	93	310	7	17	28%	9%	74	-0.1	179/288/250	72	261	5	31	30%	12%	53	-0.3
●Nick Van Stratten 2010 · A	25	56→59	40→45	51→55	47	266/320/372	106	313	5	14	16%	6%	96	+1.5	237/283/327	90	282	5	13	17%	5%	69	-0.4	302/337/386	84	339	4	23	12%	4%	102	+0.8
✕Jared Triolo 2023 · AA	25	50→60	43→45	54→55	46	241/299/353	113	310	9	20	25%	7%	83	+0.6	238/315/349	111	323	10	17	27%	10%	89	+1.0	234/319/346	112	313	10	17	26%	10%	88	+0.7
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Sam Fuld 2007 · A	25	55→57	40→45	54→60	49	259/315/365	106	304	5	16	16%	7%	92	+1.2	254/316/353	99	291	5	15	14%	8%	89	+1.0	256/323/355	99	286	5	16	12%	8%	90	+0.8
●Fernando Perez 2007 · A	24	54→61	38→45	56→60	47	253/314/335	82	336	4	23	24%	8%	84	+0.6	257/321/362	105	369	7	29	29%	8%	94	+1.3	241/303/342	100	345	7	33	30%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Adalberto Santos 2013 · AA	25	54→53	40→45	56→55	49	255/316/353	98	311	6	23	19%	7%	89	+1.0	240/300/340	100	315	8	18	24%	7%	80	+0.4	238/300/337	99	314	8	19	25%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Robbie Podorsky 2021 · A	26	52	38→40	57→60	46	248/299/334	86	297	5	21	18%	6%	77	+0.1	235/287/339	104	311	6	22	25%	6%	74	-0.1	231/279/336	105	301	6	45	24%	6%	67	-0.1
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	48→58	41→45	57→55	49	227/299/329	102	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	216/285/323	107	294	8	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	207/282/317	110	287	8	17	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Mike Sansoe 2007 · A	24	53	37→40	54→55	47	246/308/323	77	323	3	17	24%	8%	79	+0.3	222/278/295	73	302	4	14	26%	7%	59	-1.1	207/261/258	51	283	1	14	26%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2017 · A	25	53→56	39→40	53→50	45	248/297/354	106	314	4	12	22%	6%	82	+0.5	246/309/324	78	322	3	11	23%	8%	79	+0.3	249/319/314	65	327	3	12	23%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Matt Szczur 2014 · AA	25	53→57	39→45	52→55	47	250/302/340	90	302	5	21	18%	6%	80	+0.4	235/280/325	90	288	8	23	20%	5%	67	-0.5	242/315/372	131	287	12	15	19%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	48→52	38→40	57→60	51	222/323/301	79	285	5	25	22%	9%	82	+0.5	239/325/325	86	295	6	24	19%	9%	88	+0.9	265/358/344	79	323	3	22	17%	11%	104	+1.1
●Tyler Bortnick 2011 · A	24	50→60	42→45	53→55	51	241/316/351	110	295	8	22	21%	9%	90	+1.0	247/328/350	103	303	5	24	19%	9%	95	+1.4	246/331/344	98	304	4	27	18%	9%	91	+0.9