Alex Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Alex RodriguezOF DSL Rangers Red

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION91 act + 91 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .286 / .259

PA91

HR1

K%24

BB%10

BABIP259

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.6M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$17M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	190	43	7	0	1	15	43	4	1	1	226	297	279	576	53	282	20	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	180	56	10	0	1	25	27	4	1	1	311	407	383	790	72	355	13	12	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TEX	—	91	68	12	0	0	2	17	20	3	8	3	176	364	265	628	88	204	22	19	293	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
YTD	18	ROK	TEX	—	91	57	12	0	0	2	28	14	3	8	3	211	489	316	804	105	227	15	31	384	152	+5	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.8
ROS	18	ROK	TEX	0%	91	81	16	2	0	1	9	22	1	2	1	198	286	259	545	62	277	24	10	276	69	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	266	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TEX	—	91	69	12	0	0	2	17	20	3	8	3	174	364	261	625	87	200	22	19	293	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
TOT	18	ROK	TEX	—	182	149	28	2	0	3	26	42	4	10	4	188	324	262	586	74	234	23	14	284	76	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TEX	34%	263	231	51	8	1	4	26	62	4	4	1	221	310	316	626	95	282	24	10	287	78	-7	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	TEX	48%	387	339	76	12	2	6	39	90	6	6	2	224	315	324	640	100	284	23	10	294	83	-7	+0	+0	-2	+11	0.2
2029	21	MLB	TEX	54%	479	420	96	15	2	9	48	110	8	7	2	229	319	338	657	110	286	23	10	299	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.4
2030	22	MLB	TEX	57%	544	476	109	17	3	10	54	124	9	8	2	229	319	340	659	111	287	23	10	303	90	-6	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.7
2031	23	MLB	TEX	58%	588	514	120	19	3	12	59	133	10	8	3	233	324	352	676	119	287	23	10	305	91	-6	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2032	24	MLB	TEX	57%	615	538	124	19	3	12	62	139	10	8	3	230	321	344	665	113	288	23	10	306	92	-5	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2033	25	MLB	TEX	57%	627	548	128	20	3	13	63	141	11	8	3	234	325	352	677	119	288	22	10	307	93	-5	+0	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2034	26	MLB	TEX	57%	634	554	129	20	3	13	64	143	11	8	3	233	324	350	675	117	288	23	10	307	93	-5	+0	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2035	27	MLB	TEX	55%	634	553	129	20	3	13	65	143	11	8	3	233	326	351	677	118	288	23	10	307	93	-5	+0	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2036	28	MLB	TEX	55%	629	548	128	20	3	13	65	143	11	8	3	234	327	352	679	119	287	23	10	306	92	-5	+0	-1	-4	+18	0.8
2027	19	MLB	TEX	34%	90	80	17	3	0	1	9	21	1	1	0	212	300	287	587	75	283	23	10	277	70	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	TEX	48%	188	164	38	6	1	3	19	44	3	3	1	232	323	335	658	104	286	23	10	284	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	TEX	54%	260	228	52	8	1	5	26	60	4	4	1	228	318	338	656	110	287	23	10	288	79	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB	TEX	57%	308	269	62	10	1	6	31	70	5	4	1	230	321	342	663	112	288	23	10	292	81	-6	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2031	23	MLB	TEX	58%	339	296	70	11	2	7	34	77	6	5	1	236	327	358	685	122	289	23	10	294	83	-7	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2032	24	MLB	TEX	57%	350	306	72	11	2	7	35	79	6	5	1	235	326	353	679	118	290	23	10	295	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	TEX	57%	356	311	73	11	2	7	36	80	6	5	2	235	326	350	676	116	290	22	10	296	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2034	26	MLB	TEX	57%	359	314	73	11	2	7	36	81	6	5	2	232	323	347	670	115	290	23	10	296	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2035	27	MLB	TEX	55%	352	307	72	11	2	7	36	79	6	5	1	235	327	352	678	117	289	22	10	296	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2036	28	MLB	TEX	55%	345	300	71	11	2	7	36	78	6	4	1	237	330	357	687	120	289	23	10	295	84	-6	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2947	2576	600	93	15	57	298	669	49	41	11	233	324	347	671	114	291	23	10	293	82	-59	+4	-0	-18	+83	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	133	21	3	13	66	148	11	9	2	234	326	350	676	116	292	23	10	293	82	-13	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5704	4992	1149	179	26	107	569	1293	96	76	27	230	321	341	661	111	288	23	10	301	89	-74	+4	-1	-34	+162	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	130	20	3	12	65	147	11	9	3	228	319	337	657	109	286	23	10	301	89	-8	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	180	56	10	0	1	25	27	4	1	1	311	407	383	790	72	355	13	12	357	131	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,128	59	43	232	318	343	-19	+0	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	13	9	232	318	343	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	18	55	20	40	45	188/324/262	74	234	3	10	23%	14%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	50	37→30	44→30	44	233/290/306	73	296	3	4	22%	6%	67	-0.5	216/283/287	71	292	3	4	25%	8%	59	-1.1	192/274/247	55	263	0	0	24%	9%	46	-0.6
✕Jose Quero 2017 · A	18	51	37→40	47→30	52	241/320/316	75	301	5	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	195/254/285	90	254	9	3	26%	7%	46	-2.0	173/217/283	109	213	14	2	26%	5%	31	-0.8
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	45→53	37→45	42→45	50	213/288/285	72	271	5	6	22%	9%	61	-1.0	229/295/318	89	286	7	5	21%	8%	72	-0.2	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕William Bergolla Jr. 2023 · A	18	53→63	36→30	43→55	51	247/304/313	67	281	3	7	13%	7%	74	-0.1	254/308/308	54	291	2	16	12%	7%	74	-0.1	276/322/324	48	307	1	26	10%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Yolki Pena 2018 · A	18	48	37→45	43→55	52	226/299/297	71	282	4	5	20%	9%	69	-0.4	211/308/302	91	283	4	13	24%	12%	75	-0.0	176/318/294	118	239	2	26	23%	16%	78	+0.1
✕Exicardo Cayones 2010 · A	18	49	37→40	41→45	46	228/294/313	85	283	3	6	20%	6%	71	-0.3	212/280/290	78	294	2	8	27%	6%	59	-1.1	218/294/290	72	317	2	10	29%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Yonny Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→53	34→30	40→60	48	201/280/255	55	270	2	8	24%	8%	50	-1.7	219/296/276	57	268	1	22	17%	9%	62	-0.9	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Eduard Pinto 2014 · A	19	55	36→40	44→50	49	256/306/322	66	288	3	7	12%	6%	77	+0.1	236/279/306	70	268	3	4	12%	5%	61	-1.0	268/304/353	85	298	6	10	12%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Jeisson Rosario 2018 · A	18	48→49	36→45	44→50	49	222/290/287	65	295	3	9	24%	8%	62	-0.9	214/295/280	66	310	3	9	29%	10%	63	-0.9	197/291/307	109	288	11	12	32%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Oswal Leones 2019 · A	18	47	38→30	46→50	50	223/289/300	77	265	6	12	18%	8%	66	-0.6	201/263/266	65	273	3	11	25%	7%	45	-2.1	164/231/213	49	250	1	11	32%	8%	16	-1.3
✕Rossmel Perez 2008 · A	18	46→55	35→30	42→45	52	212/306/268	56	272	2	5	21%	9%	66	-0.6	227/286/282	55	266	2	3	15%	6%	59	-1.1	264/318/322	58	285	4	5	8%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Luis Guillorme 2014 · A	19	46→56	34→40	45	48	213/266/263	50	253	2	8	16%	6%	45	-2.1	243/291/286	43	297	1	8	17%	6%	61	-1.0	267/337/340	73	310	5	4	14%	9%	91	+0.8
✕Herlis Rodriguez 2012 · A	18	47→52	38→45	41→50	45	222/270/305	83	265	6	6	18%	6%	57	-1.2	220/262/302	82	288	6	6	24%	5%	53	-1.5	244/283/352	108	290	11	10	19%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Jeffer Patino 2008 · A	19	47	37→45	43→45	47	223/286/297	74	279	4	6	20%	7%	63	-0.8	217/275/298	81	266	5	5	19%	6%	59	-1.1	213/266/288	75	257	5	3	18%	6%	49	-0.5
✕Felipe Burin 2010 · A	18	42	36→40	42→45	46	198/250/263	64	243	3	5	19%	6%	38	-2.6	232/298/304	72	286	3	5	18%	8%	69	-0.4	236/304/302	66	296	2	3	19%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	50→60	37→40	46→50	42	235/266/307	72	266	4	12	14%	3%	56	-1.3	227/267/297	70	281	3	12	19%	5%	54	-1.4	266/324/354	88	323	4	16	17%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Peterson Plaz 2017 · A	18	45	34→30	43→50	44	211/258/257	46	261	3	10	20%	6%	40	-2.4	232/283/277	45	278	2	11	16%	6%	56	-1.3	257/308/279	22	296	0	13	12%	6%	63	-0.2