Alex Rodriguez

OF DSL Rangers Red

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2269ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	213	.311/.407/.383	1	1	45	—	.191/.273/.223
2026	18	ROKDSL Rangers R…	186	.215/.433/.338	3	9	58	—	.146/.317/.222
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTEX	296	.217/.296/.293	2	4	69	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTEX	51	.222/.301/.311	1	1	75	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTEX	122	.226/.305/.324	2	2	80	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%95

Chase%91

K%68

wOBA61

Z-Con%58

wRC+55

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHendry Mendez (age 19) · William Bergolla Jr. (age 19) · Felipe Burin (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .293 / .291

PA97

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	180	56	10	0	1	25	27	4	1	1	311	407	383	790	72	355	13	12	357	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	186	130	28	5	1	3	47	33	3	9	6	215	433	338	772	123	250	18	25	357	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	188	36	6	0	0	17	35	4	1	1	191	273	223	496	32	226	16	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	186	144	21	3	1	2	33	40	3	9	6	146	317	222	539	76	165	22	18	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	188	36	6	0	0	17	35	4	1	1	191	273	223	496	32	231	16	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	180	56	10	0	1	25	27	4	1	1	311	407	383	790	72	355	13	12	357	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	186	144	21	3	1	2	33	40	3	9	6	146	317	222	539	76	176	22	18	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	186	130	28	5	1	3	47	33	3	9	6	215	433	338	772	123	250	18	25	357	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	190	36	6	0	0	17	35	4	1	1	189	273	221	494	32	226	16	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	186	148	21	3	1	2	33	40	3	9	6	142	317	216	533	74	165	22	18	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	190	36	6	0	0	17	35	4	1	1	189	273	221	494	32	226	16	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	186	148	21	3	1	2	33	40	3	9	6	142	317	216	533	74	165	22	18	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	296	265	58	10	2	2	26	72	3	4	1	217	296	293	589	76	287	24	9	271	69	-11	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	148	132	30	5	1	2	13	36	2	2	1	222	301	309	610	87	289	24	9	279	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	252	224	51	9	2	3	23	60	3	3	1	226	305	322	627	96	290	24	9	286	80	-6	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	362	322	73	12	2	5	33	86	4	5	2	229	308	332	640	104	291	24	9	291	83	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	434	387	89	15	3	7	39	102	5	6	2	231	310	341	651	109	292	24	9	295	86	-7	+0	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	479	427	100	17	3	9	43	112	6	6	3	233	312	347	659	114	293	23	9	298	88	-7	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	505	449	105	18	3	9	45	118	6	7	3	233	312	348	660	115	293	23	9	299	88	-7	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	518	460	108	18	3	10	47	121	6	7	3	233	312	349	661	116	293	23	9	299	88	-7	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	522	464	107	18	3	9	47	123	6	7	3	232	311	346	657	114	292	24	9	297	87	-8	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	518	460	106	18	3	9	47	123	6	6	3	230	309	341	650	111	291	24	9	295	86	-9	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	507	451	102	17	3	8	45	122	6	5	3	228	306	335	641	107	290	24	9	291	83	-10	-0	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	51	45	11	2	0	1	5	12	1	1	0	222	301	311	612	88	289	24	10	280	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	122	109	25	4	1	2	11	29	1	2	1	226	305	324	630	98	290	24	9	287	80	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	196	174	39	6	1	3	18	46	2	3	1	229	308	335	644	106	291	23	9	292	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	246	219	51	8	2	4	22	58	3	3	1	232	311	344	655	112	292	24	9	296	86	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	271	242	56	9	2	5	24	63	3	4	1	234	312	351	663	117	293	23	9	300	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	285	254	60	10	2	6	26	67	3	4	2	234	313	352	665	118	293	24	9	300	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	293	262	62	10	2	6	26	68	3	4	2	234	313	353	666	119	292	23	9	301	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	289	258	61	10	2	6	26	68	3	4	2	233	312	350	662	117	292	24	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	284	253	58	9	2	5	26	67	3	3	2	231	310	345	655	114	291	24	9	296	86	-5	-0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	294	263	60	10	2	5	26	71	3	3	2	229	307	338	645	110	290	24	9	292	83	-6	-0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2331	2079	483	78	16	43	210	549	25	31	14	232	310	347	658	115	294	24	9	296	82	-40	+1	-1	-14	+51	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	134	22	4	12	59	153	7	9	4	231	310	345	655	114	292	24	9	296	82	-11	+0	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4741	4195	947	159	28	74	441	1102	58	65	31	226	308	330	638	104	286	23	9	290	82	-77	+1	-2	-26	+94	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	130	22	4	10	60	151	8	9	4	226	307	330	638	104	287	23	9	290	82	-11	+0	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 186 PAwOBA .362 → .254 (−108)K% 17.7% → 21.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.74%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	21.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	25.27%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	17.60%
HBP% /PA	1.61%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.12%
Singles /BIP	19.59%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.011	×0.995	13.40%
Doubles /BIP	5.15%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.011	×0.995	3.11%
Triples /BIP	1.03%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.011	×0.995	0.62%
Home runs /BIP	3.09%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.45%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .362 → .254; ISO .123 → .074; BABIP .250 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 213 PAwOBA .353 → .234 (−120)K% 12.7% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.68%	÷0.954	×1.220	—	—	16.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.74%	÷1.019	×0.700	—	×1.008	8.13%
HBP% /PA	1.88%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.32%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷1.003	×0.680	×0.958	×1.008	19.24%
Doubles /BIP	6.54%	÷1.026	×0.600	×0.958	×1.008	3.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.958	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.65%	÷0.995	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.31%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .353 → .234; ISO .072 → .041; BABIP .355 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Darren Bragg'94-'04 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	46	56	243*	324*	368*	-18	+2	2.5	3.8
/162	664	11	13	-4.1	+0.4	0.6	pk7: 5
#3Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,429	41	31	231	307	341	-15	+0	1.2	1.3
/162	664	11	8	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	55	20	40	45	215/293/291	75	287	1	1	24%	9%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	48→57	38→45	42→45	53	224/303/299	75	281	5	6	21%	10%	75	-0.5	238/304/328	90	293	7	5	20%	8%	81	-0.1	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕William Bergolla Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→61	34→30	40→55	56	233/299/285	52	260	2	6	11%	9%	69	-0.9	265/310/326	61	298	2	23	11%	6%	82	-0.0	282/322/337	55	312	1	31	9%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Felipe Burin 2012 · A	20	51	36→40	40→45	50	238/302/311	73	295	2	4	19%	8%	76	-0.4	214/277/280	66	287	2	5	24%	8%	60	-1.6	161/234/188	28	217	0	3	24%	8%	24	-1.2
✕Eduard Pinto 2014 · A	19	51	35→40	44→50	51	236/291/296	60	264	2	7	12%	6%	68	-1.0	233/277/301	68	264	3	4	12%	5%	63	-1.3	270/306/354	85	299	6	10	12%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Livan Soto 2019 · A	19	46→56	34→40	47→50	50	211/277/260	49	262	1	10	19%	8%	55	-1.9	195/255/257	62	255	4	9	23%	7%	47	-2.6	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕James Beresford 2009 · A	20	46→56	33→30	42→45	45	213/270/256	43	281	1	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	253/295/293	40	313	1	8	18%	5%	68	-1.0	286/319/337	51	336	1	6	15%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Antonis Macias 2024 · A	19	44→51	34→45	45	44	201/282/257	56	290	2	12	29%	8%	58	-1.7	223/308/294	71	307	3	7	26%	10%	76	-0.4	228/313/308	80	299	6	5	23%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Sam Shaw 2024 · A	19	46	38→40	43→50	51	212/298/293	81	291	4	6	26%	10%	72	-0.7	194/283/290	96	248	8	10	23%	10%	66	-1.1	179/281/288	109	228	11	11	25%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Nolan Beltran 2024 · A	19	41→49	35→40	43→45	53	192/268/251	60	234	2	7	18%	9%	51	-2.3	199/272/282	83	250	6	6	21%	8%	59	-1.6	203/286/287	84	248	7	4	20%	9%	63	-0.5
✕Cornelius Randolph 2016 · A	19	48→51	38→45	46→45	50	224/305/314	90	293	3	8	23%	9%	79	-0.2	226/294/317	91	317	7	6	28%	8%	75	-0.5	226/294/313	87	317	7	5	29%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Jeisson Rosario 2019 · A	19	50→52	36→45	46→50	48	231/302/299	68	321	3	11	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/298/284	70	316	4	10	30%	10%	70	-0.9	207/300/312	106	295	10	12	30%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Matthew Sulentic 2007 · A	19	45→55	40→45	45→50	45	218/279/312	94	283	7	7	25%	7%	68	-1.0	222/270/317	95	300	8	9	27%	5%	65	-1.2	256/305/351	95	360	7	13	29%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Ramón Flores 2011 · A	19	45→55	37→45	48→50	47	211/276/288	77	274	4	7	23%	8%	61	-1.5	238/295/334	96	303	7	9	22%	7%	78	-0.3	255/328/354	99	304	9	8	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Roynier Hernandez 2024 · A	19	45→55	34→40	46→50	57	207/291/258	51	247	1	8	16%	10%	61	-1.5	237/303/297	60	304	2	8	21%	9%	74	-0.6	252/319/319	67	324	3	6	21%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	214/266/287	73	286	3	6	25%	6%	57	-1.8	206/274/267	61	301	3	4	30%	8%	56	-1.9	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2019 · A	19	43→53	36→45	42→50	41	197/260/261	65	310	3	8	35%	8%	49	-2.4	207/260/277	70	287	5	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	242/295/347	105	295	9	9	20%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	48→58	37→40	46→55	43	228/266/305	76	268	4	10	17%	4%	61	-1.5	233/288/311	78	313	3	14	25%	7%	70	-0.8	265/323/349	84	315	3	16	16%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Alain Camou 2024 · A	20	46	35→30	44→50	50	215/284/281	66	275	2	7	21%	8%	63	-1.4	198/249/265	67	258	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	142/168/182	41	171	0	0	16%	3%	-6	-1.2

Alex Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps