Alex Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Alex RodriguezOF DSL Rangers Red

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION186 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .294 / .267

PA17

HR0

K%24

BB%12

BABIP270

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	180	56	10	0	1	25	27	4	1	1	311	407	383	790	72	355	13	12	357	128	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	190	44	7	0	1	15	41	4	1	1	232	301	284	586	53	270	19	7	256	59	-10	-0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	190	44	7	0	1	15	41	4	1	1	232	301	284	586	53	285	19	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	180	56	10	0	1	25	27	4	1	1	311	407	383	790	72	355	13	12	357	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	192	44	7	0	1	15	41	4	1	1	229	301	281	583	52	270	19	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	213	192	44	7	0	1	15	41	4	1	1	229	301	281	583	52	270	19	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	TEX	—	186	148	25	4	1	3	29	47	3	9	6	169	317	270	587	101	212	25	16	269	68	-7	-1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	TEX	—	186	130	28	5	1	3	47	33	3	9	6	215	433	338	772	123	250	18	25	357	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	TEX	0%	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	200	294	267	561	67	268	24	12	271	70	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	TEX	—	203	163	28	5	1	3	31	51	3	9	6	172	315	270	585	98	217	25	15	269	68	-8	-1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	263	230	49	9	1	4	28	64	3	4	2	213	307	313	620	100	274	24	11	283	78	-7	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	387	339	73	13	2	6	40	93	5	6	3	215	307	319	626	103	277	24	10	291	83	-8	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	479	419	94	17	3	9	50	113	7	7	3	224	317	344	661	119	279	24	10	297	87	-7	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	544	474	107	19	3	11	57	127	8	7	3	226	319	348	667	122	280	23	10	301	90	-7	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	588	512	116	21	3	12	62	137	9	8	4	227	321	350	670	123	281	23	11	303	91	-6	+0	+0	-4	+13	0.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	615	536	122	22	3	13	65	142	9	8	4	228	321	353	674	125	282	23	11	304	92	-6	+0	+0	-4	+13	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	627	547	123	22	3	13	66	145	9	8	4	225	318	347	666	122	282	23	11	305	93	-5	+0	+0	-4	+14	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	634	553	124	22	3	13	67	146	9	8	4	224	318	345	663	121	282	23	11	305	93	-5	+0	+0	-4	+14	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	634	552	124	22	3	13	68	147	9	8	4	225	320	346	666	121	281	23	11	306	93	-5	+0	+0	-4	+14	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	629	547	123	22	3	13	68	146	9	8	4	225	321	347	668	122	281	23	11	305	92	-6	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	619	538	120	21	3	13	67	145	9	8	4	223	319	346	665	123	280	23	11	303	91	-7	+0	-1	-4	+13	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	609	529	118	21	3	12	66	145	9	7	3	223	320	342	662	119	279	24	11	300	89	-8	+0	-2	-4	+13	-0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	90	80	16	3	0	1	9	22	1	1	1	200	289	275	564	75	276	24	10	276	78	-2	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	188	163	35	6	1	3	20	45	3	3	1	215	312	319	631	104	279	24	11	285	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	260	227	50	9	1	5	27	61	4	4	2	220	314	335	649	115	281	23	10	290	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	308	269	62	11	2	7	32	72	4	4	2	230	321	364	686	134	282	23	10	294	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	339	295	67	12	2	7	36	79	5	5	2	227	321	353	674	125	283	23	11	296	91	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	350	305	70	12	2	8	37	81	5	5	2	230	323	361	683	131	284	23	11	298	92	-3	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	356	310	72	13	2	8	38	82	5	5	2	232	326	365	690	132	284	23	11	299	93	-3	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	359	313	72	13	2	8	38	83	5	5	2	230	323	361	684	131	284	23	11	299	93	-3	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	352	306	70	12	2	8	38	81	5	5	2	229	324	359	683	131	284	23	11	299	93	-3	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	345	300	69	12	2	8	37	80	5	4	2	230	325	363	688	133	283	23	11	298	92	-3	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	331	287	65	11	2	7	36	78	5	4	2	226	323	352	675	125	282	24	11	296	91	-4	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	348	302	68	12	2	7	38	83	5	4	2	225	322	348	669	123	281	24	11	293	89	-5	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3626	3157	716	126	20	77	386	847	52	49	22	227	321	353	674	126	284	23	11	295	89	-41	+1	-2	-22	+79	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	129	23	4	14	69	152	9	9	4	228	321	357	678	129	285	23	11	295	89	-7	+0	-0	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6858	5981	1340	239	33	133	721	1595	99	88	43	224	318	342	659	118	281	23	11	300	89	-78	+1	-4	-40	+144	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	128	23	3	13	68	151	9	8	4	226	318	346	664	120	283	23	10	300	89	-8	+0	-0	-4	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.7	3,807	74	51	225	315	344	-23	+0	3.7	3.4
/162	664	13	9	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	18	55	20	40	45	201/295/285	84	268	2	4	25%	11%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Jose Quero 2017 · A	18	51	37→40	47→30	52	241/320/316	75	301	5	4	20%	9%	84	+0.2	195/254/285	90	254	9	3	26%	7%	53	-2.1	174/217/283	109	214	14	2	26%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Kevin Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	50	37→30	44→30	44	233/290/306	73	296	3	4	22%	6%	71	-0.8	216/283/287	71	292	3	4	25%	8%	64	-1.3	192/274/247	55	263	0	0	24%	9%	52	-0.6
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	46→56	38→45	42→45	50	219/292/294	75	276	6	6	22%	8%	69	-0.9	234/299/322	88	290	6	5	20%	8%	78	-0.3	258/330/364	106	310	10	6	19%	9%	97	+0.8
✕Yolki Pena 2018 · A	18	48	37→45	43→55	52	226/299/297	71	282	4	5	20%	9%	72	-0.7	211/308/302	91	283	4	13	24%	12%	78	-0.3	176/318/294	118	239	2	26	23%	16%	80	-0.0
✕William Bergolla Jr. 2023 · A	18	53→62	36→30	43→55	51	246/305/313	67	280	3	7	13%	7%	78	-0.3	248/302/302	54	283	1	16	12%	7%	74	-0.6	267/314/314	47	296	1	26	10%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Rossmel Perez 2008 · A	18	46→56	35→30	42→45	52	212/306/268	56	272	2	5	21%	9%	70	-0.9	226/285/281	55	265	2	3	15%	7%	63	-1.4	266/319/323	57	287	3	5	8%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Exicardo Cayones 2010 · A	18	49	37→40	41→45	46	228/294/313	85	283	3	6	20%	6%	74	-0.5	212/280/290	78	294	2	8	27%	6%	63	-1.3	213/290/285	72	315	2	10	30%	8%	64	-0.6
✕Yonny Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→53	34→30	40→60	48	201/280/255	55	270	2	8	24%	8%	56	-1.9	218/295/275	57	265	1	22	17%	9%	66	-1.1	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44→51	34→30	46→50	52	204/278/258	54	261	2	8	21%	9%	56	-1.9	234/302/288	54	298	1	9	20%	9%	71	-0.8	250/313/298	48	318	0	9	20%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Nolan Beltran 2023 · A	18	44→49	35→40	45	54	202/283/260	58	244	2	7	17%	9%	59	-1.7	199/268/277	78	256	5	6	23%	8%	57	-1.8	204/291/293	90	251	7	4	20%	10%	67	-0.4
✕José Tena 2019 · A	18	47→54	36→45	47→55	43	222/269/294	72	278	3	10	21%	5%	59	-1.6	217/254/304	87	306	6	9	30%	4%	56	-1.9	243/301/368	126	332	12	21	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	66	-1.1	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	209/308/288	79	290	8	4	28%	11%	73	-0.2
✕Jeisson Rosario 2018 · A	18	48→49	36→45	44→50	49	222/290/287	65	295	3	9	24%	8%	66	-1.1	213/293/278	65	307	3	9	28%	10%	65	-1.2	202/293/306	104	288	10	12	30%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Eduard Pinto 2014 · A	19	55	36→40	44→50	49	256/306/322	66	288	3	7	12%	6%	80	-0.2	235/278/304	69	266	3	4	12%	5%	65	-1.2	269/305/354	85	298	6	10	12%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Oswal Leones 2019 · A	18	47	38→30	46→50	50	223/289/300	77	265	6	12	18%	8%	70	-0.9	201/263/265	64	273	3	11	25%	7%	51	-2.2	168/234/218	50	253	2	11	32%	7%	27	-1.2
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	51	37→40	46→50	53	240/305/319	80	282	3	10	16%	8%	79	-0.2	208/265/274	66	271	2	6	22%	7%	53	-2.1	181/234/228	47	241	0	2	23%	6%	30	-0.9
✕Jeffer Patino 2008 · A	19	47	37→45	43→45	47	223/286/297	74	279	4	6	20%	7%	68	-1.0	217/275/298	81	266	5	5	19%	6%	63	-1.3	213/266/288	75	257	5	3	18%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Michael De La Cruz 2014 · A	18	48	35→40	45→50	54	220/310/282	62	304	1	11	25%	11%	74	-0.6	191/263/253	62	284	3	10	31%	8%	49	-2.4	160/229/211	51	248	3	10	34%	8%	24	-1.2
✕Jesus Martinez 2014 · A	19	49	36→30	44→55	54	229/302/301	71	269	3	7	15%	9%	74	-0.5	220/279/277	57	275	2	13	19%	7%	59	-1.6	217/274/256	39	271	1	18	19%	7%	50	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps