Antonis Macias — OGILVIE

Antonis MaciasOF Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 21 L/S 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION232 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .299 / .291

PA154

HR1

K%24

BB%9

BABIP288

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.6M
2034	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	197	174	36	6	0	0	13	66	10	12	8	207	299	241	541	34	333	34	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	197	164	46	10	0	0	23	45	10	12	8	280	401	341	742	61	387	23	12	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	3 teams	—	240	208	48	12	1	0	28	66	4	6	6	231	333	298	631	67	338	28	12	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	3 teams	—	240	201	55	13	1	1	35	50	4	6	6	274	392	363	755	90	360	21	15	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	3 teams	—	481	416	95	12	2	2	46	121	5	5	4	228	313	281	594	53	306	25	10	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	3 teams	—	481	385	105	17	2	2	77	83	5	5	4	273	400	343	743	70	331	17	16	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	TEX	—	232	205	44	6	1	2	20	55	4	3	1	215	297	283	580	68	280	24	9	256	54	-12	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.7
YTD	21	A+	TEX	—	232	195	46	7	1	2	30	41	4	3	1	236	349	313	662	77	286	18	13	307	93	-2	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.4
ROS	21	A+	TEX	0%	154	137	30	5	1	1	14	37	2	2	1	218	299	291	590	73	281	24	9	264	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	21	MLB	TEX	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						283	0	0	255	53	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	TEX	—	233	206	44	6	1	2	20	55	4	3	1	214	296	282	577	68	278	24	9	256	54	-12	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.7
TOT	21	A+	TEX	—	386	342	74	11	2	3	34	92	6	5	2	216	298	286	584	70	283	24	9	259	57	-19	+0	+0	-2	+11	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	TEX	35%	517	459	102	16	2	6	47	118	6	6	3	222	303	305	608	83	283	23	9	279	72	-16	+0	+0	-3	+15	-0.5
2028	23	MLB	TEX	49%	561	497	113	18	2	9	52	126	7	6	3	227	309	326	635	99	284	22	9	290	80	-13	+0	+0	-3	+16	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	TEX	53%	589	522	120	19	2	11	55	131	7	7	4	230	312	337	649	107	286	22	9	296	85	-10	-0	+0	-4	+17	0.3
2030	25	MLB	TEX	55%	604	534	124	20	2	12	57	133	8	7	4	232	316	345	660	112	286	22	9	300	88	-9	-0	+0	-4	+17	0.5
2031	26	MLB	TEX	56%	612	541	125	20	2	12	58	135	8	8	4	231	315	342	657	111	286	22	9	301	88	-8	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.6
2032	27	MLB	TEX	55%	611	540	125	20	2	12	58	135	8	8	4	231	315	343	658	111	286	22	9	301	88	-8	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.6
2033	28	MLB	TEX	55%	606	535	124	20	2	12	58	135	8	7	4	232	316	344	660	112	285	22	10	300	88	-8	-0	-1	-4	+17	0.4
2034	29	MLB	TEX	53%	596	526	120	19	2	11	58	134	7	7	4	228	313	335	648	106	284	22	10	298	86	-9	-0	-1	-4	+17	0.2
2027	22	MLB	TEX	35%	179	159	36	6	1	2	16	41	2	2	1	226	305	314	620	88	284	23	9	271	66	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	TEX	49%	272	242	55	9	1	4	25	61	3	3	2	227	307	322	630	95	286	22	9	282	74	-8	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	TEX	53%	311	275	64	10	1	6	29	69	4	4	2	233	315	342	657	109	287	22	9	289	79	-7	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	TEX	55%	331	293	69	11	1	7	31	73	4	4	2	235	317	352	669	116	288	22	9	292	82	-7	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2031	26	MLB	TEX	56%	341	302	70	11	1	7	32	75	4	4	2	232	314	344	658	113	287	22	9	293	83	-7	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2032	27	MLB	TEX	55%	336	297	69	11	1	7	32	74	4	4	2	232	315	347	662	114	287	22	10	293	83	-7	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2033	28	MLB	TEX	55%	331	292	68	11	1	7	32	74	4	4	2	233	317	349	666	116	287	22	10	292	82	-7	+0	-0	-2	+9	0.0
2034	29	MLB	TEX	53%	318	280	64	10	1	6	31	71	4	4	2	229	314	336	650	107	286	22	10	290	80	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2420	2141	495	79	8	46	228	538	29	29	15	231	314	340	654	109	286	22	9	289	79	-56	-0	-1	-15	+69	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	132	21	2	12	61	145	8	8	4	230	312	336	648	106	284	22	9	289	79	-15	+0	-0	-4	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	5768	5089	1162	187	20	88	544	1337	80	81	49	228	313	325	637	96	290	23	9	291	81	-126	-3	-2	-35	+163	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	131	21	2	10	61	151	9	9	6	229	312	325	637	96	291	23	9	291	81	-14	-1	-0	-4	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	197	164	46	10	0	0	23	45	10	12	8	280	401	341	742	61	387	23	12	349	125	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.1
2024	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	59	53	12	4	0	0	5	19	1	0	1	226	305	302	607	75	353	32	8	281	73	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	80	28	7	1	0	25	14	3	4	5	350	519	463	981	113	424	13	23	448	201	+12	-1	—	—	+3	1.4
2024	19	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	73	68	15	2	0	1	5	17	0	2	0	221	274	294	568	74	280	23	7	260	57	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	20	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	59	52	15	2	0	1	6	13	0	1	1	288	362	385	747	96	368	22	10	334	114	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	401	312	83	14	2	1	71	67	5	4	3	266	410	333	743	67	322	17	18	340	118	+8	-0	—	—	+11	2.0
2025	20	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	21	21	7	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	333	333	381	714	48	389	14	0	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,420	45	29	232	311	341	-15	+0	1.3	1.4
	/162	664	12	8	232	311	341	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Antonis Macias (OGILVIE)	21	45	20	40	60	216/298/286	70	283	3	5	24%	9%	57	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kleininger Teran 2010 · A	21	49	35→30	41→45	51	225/288/285	60	268	2	4	16%	8%	60	-1.0	227/272/304	77	285	3	5	20%	6%	58	-1.2	239/270/317	77	296	2	1	19%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Jonah Todd 2018 · A	22	50→38	35→30	40	50	230/301/293	63	303	2	4	23%	9%	68	-0.5	199/268/259	60	302	2	5	31%	9%	45	-2.1	173/246/218	45	273	0	3	34%	9%	24	-2.8
✕Oswal Leones 2022 · A	21	46	35→30	46→50	45	213/270/279	66	293	2	7	27%	7%	50	-1.7	191/256/260	69	303	4	9	35%	7%	41	-2.3	142/217/193	50	237	3	13	38%	8%	5	-2.0
✕Angel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	47	35→30	43→45	50	215/292/277	62	279	1	7	22%	9%	61	-1.0	212/268/280	68	273	4	10	22%	6%	50	-1.7	206/252/262	57	257	4	14	21%	5%	37	-0.7
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2015 · A	21	47	35→30	46→45	49	220/283/279	59	274	2	8	20%	8%	56	-1.3	245/297/310	65	293	4	6	17%	7%	70	-0.3	258/307/313	56	305	4	5	16%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Eduard Pinto 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	43→50	46	224/267/288	64	263	3	6	16%	5%	52	-1.6	248/289/327	79	276	4	5	11%	5%	71	-0.3	268/304/353	85	298	6	10	12%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Cesar Berbesi 2021 · A	21	45	36→30	44→55	47	210/277/279	69	275	2	7	23%	7%	55	-1.4	197/293/285	88	340	5	13	38%	11%	64	-0.8	160/273/224	64	328	3	21	45%	13%	40	-0.7
✕Grabiel Jimenez 2016 · A	21	44	34→40	42→50	44	204/266/264	59	277	1	8	25%	7%	46	-2.0	190/245/249	59	274	2	5	29%	6%	33	-2.9	152/202/189	38	224	0	2	31%	5%	-3	-1.2
✕Jordan Cowan 2016 · AA	21	47→53	37→30	43→50	44	222/273/294	72	292	3	7	24%	6%	56	-1.3	233/280/303	70	305	5	9	24%	6%	61	-1.0	244/301/310	66	315	5	17	23%	7%	69	-0.2
✕James Beresford 2009 · A	20	45→55	33→30	42→45	45	211/268/254	43	279	1	6	24%	7%	43	-2.2	247/289/287	40	306	1	8	18%	5%	60	-1.0	277/309/327	49	326	1	6	15%	4%	75	+0.0
✕Brent Keys 2011 · A	21	48→58	35→30	49→50	51	224/291/282	57	273	2	12	18%	8%	61	-1.0	252/311/316	64	304	3	13	17%	7%	78	+0.2	277/340/332	55	310	2	12	10%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Jeffer Patino 2010 · A	21	44	38→45	40→45	48	207/268/286	79	249	5	5	19%	7%	53	-1.5	206/249/281	75	268	6	4	24%	5%	43	-2.2	201/233/264	63	262	6	2	25%	3%	28	-0.7
✕Offerman Collado 2017 · A	21	48	34→30	43→50	50	219/275/275	56	257	2	7	15%	7%	52	-1.6	211/261/267	56	264	2	9	19%	6%	43	-2.2	209/260/255	46	260	2	11	20%	6%	37	-1.0
✕Leopoldo Correa 2013 · A	21	45	39→45	42→30	46	216/274/302	86	272	6	3	22%	7%	59	-1.1	206/259/285	79	274	5	5	25%	6%	48	-1.9	178/223/244	66	223	3	0	21%	4%	17	-0.9
✕Jordan Scott 2013 · A	21	49→48	35→40	44→50	45	230/280/286	57	292	2	9	21%	6%	56	-1.3	228/283/303	75	297	2	14	22%	7%	63	-0.9	233/289/313	80	303	1	17	22%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Diego Cedeno 2013 · A	21	48	34→30	46→45	52	219/288/271	52	266	1	7	17%	8%	56	-1.3	202/278/262	60	248	2	7	18%	9%	51	-1.7	160/261/202	42	197	0	6	16%	11%	28	-1.0
✕Livan Soto 2021 · A	21	42→52	35→40	46→50	46	196/252/252	55	246	3	8	21%	7%	37	-2.7	207/267/298	91	283	7	11	28%	7%	55	-1.4	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2019 · A	22	49→46	36→30	39→45	46	229/280/292	62	284	3	5	20%	6%	58	-1.2	212/273/267	55	283	3	10	24%	7%	50	-1.8	204/269/249	45	272	2	8	24%	7%	41	-1.5
✕John Mora 2013 · A	20	45→50	35→45	41→50	49	208/287/277	69	273	2	10	23%	8%	59	-1.1	228/296/313	85	283	3	13	19%	8%	72	-0.2	239/307/346	107	289	5	14	18%	8%	82	+0.2