Antonis Macias
2B Hub City Spartanburgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROK/INTL3 orgs | 240 | .274/.392/.363 | 1 | 6 | 79 | — | .247/.353/.325 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 481 | .273/.400/.343 | 2 | 5 | 80 | — | .239/.336/.298 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+TEX | 392 | .258/.360/.393 | 9 | 5 | 77 | — | .228/.298/.342 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBTEX | 1 | .223/.303/.314 | 0 | 0 | 77 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBTEX | 118 | .229/.309/.333 | 2 | 1 | 83 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBTEX | 186 | .232/.312/.345 | 4 | 2 | 87 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | — | 197 | 164 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 45 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 280 | 401 | 341 | 742 | 61 | 387 | 23 | 12 | 349 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 59 | 53 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 305 | 302 | 607 | 75 | 353 | 32 | 8 | 281 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 108 | 80 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 350 | 519 | 463 | 981 | 113 | 424 | 13 | 23 | 448 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 73 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 274 | 294 | 568 | 74 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 59 | 52 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 288 | 362 | 385 | 747 | 96 | 368 | 22 | 10 | 334 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 401 | 312 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 410 | 333 | 743 | 67 | 322 | 17 | 18 | 340 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 21 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 381 | 714 | 48 | 389 | 14 | 0 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 392 | 333 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 63 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 258 | 360 | 393 | 753 | 135 | 291 | 16 | 12 | 338 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | — | 197 | 171 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 187 | 294 | 222 | 517 | 35 | 267 | 28 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 59 | 54 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 254 | 241 | 495 | 56 | 337 | 42 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 108 | 89 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 281 | 407 | 371 | 778 | 90 | 349 | 19 | 15 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 59 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 259 | 310 | 352 | 662 | 93 | 326 | 29 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 401 | 335 | 79 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 93 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 236 | 340 | 290 | 630 | 54 | 295 | 23 | 12 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 392 | 351 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 83 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 228 | 298 | 342 | 640 | 114 | 266 | 21 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | — | 197 | 171 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 187 | 294 | 222 | 517 | 35 | 278 | 28 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers Red | — | 197 | 164 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 45 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 280 | 401 | 341 | 742 | 61 | 387 | 23 | 12 | 349 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 240 | 208 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 236 | 338 | 303 | 640 | 67 | 345 | 28 | 12 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 240 | 201 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 50 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 274 | 392 | 363 | 755 | 90 | 360 | 21 | 15 | 350 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 408 | 98 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 54 | 115 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 240 | 336 | 299 | 635 | 59 | 318 | 24 | 11 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 481 | 385 | 105 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 77 | 83 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 273 | 400 | 343 | 743 | 70 | 331 | 17 | 16 | 338 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 392 | 351 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 83 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 228 | 298 | 342 | 640 | 114 | 273 | 21 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 392 | 333 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 63 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 258 | 360 | 393 | 753 | 135 | 291 | 16 | 12 | 338 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | — | 197 | 169 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 189 | 294 | 225 | 519 | 36 | 267 | 28 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 240 | 206 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 238 | 338 | 306 | 643 | 68 | 345 | 28 | 12 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 419 | 98 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 54 | 115 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 234 | 336 | 291 | 627 | 57 | 299 | 24 | 11 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 392 | 354 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 83 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 298 | 339 | 637 | 113 | 266 | 21 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 240 | 206 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 238 | 338 | 306 | 643 | 68 | 345 | 28 | 12 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 419 | 98 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 54 | 115 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 234 | 336 | 291 | 627 | 57 | 299 | 24 | 11 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 392 | 354 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 83 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 298 | 339 | 637 | 113 | 266 | 21 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 502 | 446 | 99 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 106 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 223 | 303 | 312 | 614 | 89 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 281 | 77 | -14 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | TEX | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 303 | 314 | 617 | 90 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 77 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | TEX | 35% | 341 | 303 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 71 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 228 | 308 | 330 | 638 | 102 | 278 | 21 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 46% | 402 | 358 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 83 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 231 | 312 | 341 | 653 | 110 | 279 | 21 | 9 | 296 | 87 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 52% | 437 | 388 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 233 | 313 | 348 | 661 | 115 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 299 | 89 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 454 | 404 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 94 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 233 | 314 | 351 | 664 | 117 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 460 | 409 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 97 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 233 | 313 | 351 | 664 | 118 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 458 | 408 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 97 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 231 | 311 | 346 | 657 | 115 | 279 | 21 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 53% | 450 | 401 | 92 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 97 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 229 | 308 | 339 | 647 | 111 | 278 | 22 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -8 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 57% | 438 | 391 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 96 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 225 | 304 | 331 | 636 | 106 | 276 | 22 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -10 | -1 | -2 | +2 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | TEX | 35% | 118 | 105 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 309 | 333 | 642 | 104 | 277 | 21 | 9 | 292 | 83 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 46% | 186 | 165 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 312 | 345 | 658 | 113 | 279 | 20 | 9 | 298 | 87 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 52% | 226 | 201 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 234 | 314 | 352 | 666 | 118 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 301 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 246 | 218 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 234 | 314 | 355 | 670 | 121 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 302 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 250 | 222 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 234 | 314 | 355 | 669 | 121 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 302 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 249 | 221 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 312 | 350 | 662 | 118 | 279 | 21 | 9 | 299 | 87 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 53% | 239 | 213 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 229 | 309 | 344 | 652 | 114 | 277 | 21 | 9 | 296 | 85 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 57% | 249 | 222 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 305 | 335 | 640 | 109 | 276 | 22 | 9 | 291 | 82 | -5 | -1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1763 | 1567 | 364 | 57 | 8 | 36 | 163 | 371 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 232 | 312 | 348 | 660 | 116 | 281 | 21 | 9 | 298 | 83 | -28 | -1 | -2 | +6 | +38 | 1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 134 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 60 | 137 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 232 | 312 | 346 | 658 | 114 | 281 | 21 | 9 | 298 | 83 | -10 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4960 | 4387 | 1008 | 169 | 22 | 78 | 464 | 1090 | 63 | 64 | 43 | 230 | 312 | 332 | 644 | 102 | 286 | 22 | 9 | 291 | 83 | -61 | -2 | -4 | +13 | +79 | 2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 132 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 61 | 143 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 230 | 312 | 330 | 643 | 101 | 286 | 22 | 9 | 291 | 83 | -11 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 392 PAwOBA .333 → .282 (−51)K% 16.1% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 21.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.047 | ×1.027 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.047 | ×1.027 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.047 | ×1.027 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .333 → .282; ISO .135 → .122; BABIP .291 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AHickory Crawdads · 401 PAwOBA .342 → .288 (−54)K% 16.7% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.71% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.71% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 11.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.94% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.030 | 25.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.123 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.030 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.030 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.32% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .342 → .288; ISO .067 → .056; BABIP .322 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 59 PAwOBA .325 → .263 (−62)K% 22.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷1.026 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.020 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 27.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.215 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 1.94% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .325 → .263; ISO .096 → .077; BABIP .368 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Rangers · 108 PAwOBA .438 → .338 (−100)K% 13.0% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.15% | ÷0.971 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 14.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 25.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.61% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 7.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .438 → .338; ISO .113 → .087; BABIP .424 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 59 PAwOBA .274 → .219 (−56)K% 32.2% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.20% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷0.983 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 23.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 10.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .219; ISO .075 → .058; BABIP .353 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 197 PAwOBA .341 → .233 (−108)K% 22.8% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.84% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.68% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.08% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.25% | ÷0.963 | ×0.680 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 21.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.40% | ÷1.051 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.126 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 93, 2B 110, 3B 125, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .341 → .233; ISO .061 → .035; BABIP .387 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .