Javi Vaz — OGILVIE

Javi VazOF Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 L/R 5'7" / 151 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .308 / .326

PA320

HR4

SB10

K%14

BB%8

ISO92

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	121	109	22	5	1	1	11	23	1	4	3	202	281	294	575	92	247	19	9	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	121	100	26	6	1	1	20	14	1	4	3	260	388	370	758	110	294	12	17	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	518	458	109	15	6	7	51	65	4	30	3	238	320	343	662	105	263	13	10	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	518	445	124	18	6	8	64	50	4	30	3	279	374	400	774	121	298	10	12	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	523	462	99	19	2	9	44	79	6	16	3	214	291	323	614	108	239	15	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	523	433	114	22	2	8	73	60	6	16	3	263	377	379	756	115	289	11	14	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	468	409	93	15	1	3	33	53	11	25	3	227	302	291	593	64	252	11	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	468	387	99	16	1	3	54	43	11	25	3	256	362	326	688	70	278	9	12	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	KC	—	320	287	69	12	2	4	26	44	4	10	1	240	312	338	650	98	267	14	8	291	81	-7	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	KC	31%	365	327	78	14	2	5	30	54	5	11	2	239	312	339	652	101	270	15	8	298	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2028	27	MLB	KC	42%	388	347	83	15	2	6	33	60	5	11	2	239	314	346	660	107	271	15	9	300	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.5
2029	28	MLB	KC	48%	542	484	117	21	3	9	46	86	7	15	2	242	317	353	670	112	272	16	8	300	88	-7	+2	-0	-3	+15	0.7
2030	29	MLB	KC	49%	400	358	85	15	2	7	34	65	5	10	1	237	312	349	662	112	272	16	8	299	87	-6	+2	-1	-2	+11	0.4
2027	26	MLB	KC	31%	113	101	25	4	1	2	9	17	2	3	0	248	321	366	688	119	267	15	8	284	76	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2028	27	MLB	KC	42%	163	146	35	6	1	3	14	25	2	5	1	240	315	356	671	116	268	15	9	287	78	-4	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2029	28	MLB	KC	48%	259	232	55	10	1	4	22	41	3	7	1	237	311	341	652	103	269	16	8	287	78	-6	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.0
2030	29	MLB	KC	49%	197	175	41	7	1	3	17	32	3	5	1	234	313	337	650	103	268	16	9	286	77	-5	+1	-1	-1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	732	654	156	27	4	12	62	115	10	20	3	239	314	347	661	109	271	16	8	286	77	-19	+3	-0	-4	+21	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	139	24	4	11	55	102	9	18	3	239	315	351	666	112	271	16	8	286	77	-17	+2	-0	-4	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	3645	3241	755	131	21	51	308	529	48	132	20	233	309	334	642	101	263	15	8	287	78	-92	+18	-0	-22	+103	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	134	23	4	9	55	94	9	24	4	232	308	332	641	100	262	14	8	287	78	-16	+3	-0	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	121	100	26	6	1	1	20	14	1	4	3	260	388	370	758	110	294	12	17	350	126	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	130	112	34	4	2	2	15	18	1	4	1	304	391	429	819	125	348	14	12	364	136	+5	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2023	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	388	333	90	14	4	6	49	32	3	26	2	270	369	390	759	120	283	8	13	343	121	+9	+4	—	—	+11	2.5
2024	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	523	433	114	22	2	8	73	60	6	16	3	263	377	379	756	115	289	11	14	340	118	+11	+2	—	—	+15	2.8
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	468	387	99	16	1	3	54	43	11	25	3	256	362	326	688	70	278	9	12	311	96	-2	+4	—	—	+13	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	740	12	20	240	312	349	-4	+4	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	11	18	240	312	349	-4.0	+3.6	0.7	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javi Vaz (OGILVIE)	25	55	30	55	70	236/308/326	91	267	4	10	14%	8%	81	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Will Rhymes 2008 · AA	25	52→60	37→40	53→55	50	242/295/309	67	277	4	17	14%	7%	69	-0.4	255/301/336	81	295	4	16	14%	6%	78	+0.2	264/321/350	86	293	4	13	11%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	52→59	39→40	55	56	243/320/328	84	289	6	25	17%	10%	85	+0.7	215/284/306	91	278	7	18	23%	8%	65	-0.7	197/266/292	94	255	8	13	25%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Kyle Mottice 2021 · A	25	50	36→30	52→55	51	229/332/296	68	277	3	19	17%	8%	85	+0.7	227/286/307	80	291	5	14	22%	6%	66	-0.6	242/291/289	46	304	0	21	19%	5%	57	-0.3
✕Gabe Holt 2022 · AA	24	52→54	35→30	52→50	55	240/320/297	56	290	3	12	17%	10%	78	+0.2	210/264/271	61	245	3	12	15%	6%	46	-2.0	178/215/214	36	201	0	14	11%	4%	7	-2.4
✕Brett Nommensen 2012 · AA	25	52→46	41→40	55	50	247/324/353	106	295	7	20	18%	8%	94	+1.3	233/304/327	94	294	6	14	21%	8%	79	+0.3	205/279/280	75	263	5	9	23%	9%	55	-0.6
✕Mike Rodriguez 2006 · AA	25	51→53	41→40	58→55	49	244/298/353	109	277	7	21	15%	7%	82	+0.5	233/283/326	93	274	6	21	17%	6%	68	-0.5	229/275/313	85	273	5	20	17%	6%	59	-0.8
●Nicky Lopez 2019 · AAA	24	53→63	39→40	52→55	50	252/305/339	87	281	6	14	13%	7%	81	+0.4	256/311/345	89	293	5	12	14%	7%	85	+0.7	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Chris Getz 2008 · AA	24	54→56	37→40	51→60	52	255/307/328	74	282	4	16	11%	7%	79	+0.3	255/310/348	93	288	7	22	13%	7%	85	+0.7	256/315/344	88	289	6	27	13%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Charlie Tilson 2018 · AAA	25	54→60	40	57→55	46	256/301/356	100	303	6	22	18%	6%	83	+0.6	227/272/295	68	289	4	13	22%	5%	56	-1.3	233/279/295	62	302	2	16	22%	5%	55	-0.8
●Matt Young 2009 · AA	26	55→60	37→40	53→60	52	255/321/334	78	302	3	18	16%	8%	86	+0.8	258/328/350	92	301	4	27	14%	8%	94	+1.3	261/334/350	89	304	3	29	14%	9%	94	+1.2
✕Taylor Dugas 2015 · AAA	25	57→61	37→30	46→50	54	265/346/339	75	313	3	10	16%	9%	99	+1.7	236/302/309	73	291	4	11	19%	7%	73	-0.1	222/283/261	40	274	0	12	18%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Adam Bourassa 2006 · A	25	54	37→40	47→50	52	256/311/331	75	292	4	12	14%	7%	82	+0.5	240/315/312	72	290	4	11	17%	9%	79	+0.3	239/347/271	32	289	0	9	15%	13%	79	+0.1
✕Logan Schafer 2012 · AAA	25	54→56	40→45	50	49	255/310/356	101	292	6	14	15%	6%	88	+0.9	229/284/347	118	271	8	14	18%	6%	75	-0.0	218/276/342	124	261	8	13	19%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Carl Loadenthal 2007 · AA	25	54→61	41→40	53→60	48	256/317/351	95	316	8	22	21%	8%	89	+1.0	255/311/317	62	327	3	26	21%	7%	78	+0.2	258/314/303	45	332	1	30	21%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Brandon Roberts 2010 · AA	25	53→57	37→40	50→55	44	251/300/325	73	302	5	17	18%	5%	76	+0.0	256/308/333	77	307	5	22	17%	5%	82	+0.5	259/314/328	69	309	3	26	16%	5%	79	+0.2
✕JB Shuck 2012 · MLB	25	58→61	35→40	50	53	269/327/337	68	306	2	16	13%	8%	89	+1.0	265/314/336	71	294	3	14	10%	7%	83	+0.6	261/308/342	81	287	4	12	10%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Evan Frey 2011 · AA	25	55→59	36→40	54→55	49	256/314/326	70	316	2	23	19%	7%	82	+0.5	226/290/286	60	289	2	24	20%	8%	61	-1.0	212/278/258	46	268	1	24	20%	8%	47	-1.2
✕James Rapoport 2010 · AA	25	49→54	37→40	53→55	48	231/289/305	74	286	4	16	20%	7%	66	-0.6	236/302/303	67	280	4	9	16%	8%	71	-0.3	237/306/290	54	277	3	7	15%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Callix Crabbe 2008 · AAA	25	51→53	40	50→55	53	244/310/339	95	284	7	19	16%	8%	84	+0.6	216/289/303	87	261	6	15	18%	9%	66	-0.6	198/266/288	90	232	8	16	18%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Alden Carrithers 2010 · A	25	53→62	37→40	54→55	52	250/322/325	75	306	4	16	19%	9%	85	+0.7	264/336/328	64	312	2	15	15%	9%	92	+1.2	275/349/331	56	321	1	17	13%	10%	95	+0.9