Javi Vaz
OF Northwest Arkansas Naturals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AANorthwest Ark… | 523 | .263/.377/.379 | 8 | 16 | 72 | — | .221/.303/.317 |
| 2025 | 24 | AANorthwest Ark… | 468 | .256/.362/.326 | 3 | 25 | 63 | — | .224/.305/.278 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 118 | .202/.353/.330 | 1 | 11 | 60 | — | .180/.293/.290 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBKC | 2 | .219/.302/.300 | 0 | 0 | 75 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBKC | 43 | .219/.302/.302 | 0 | 1 | 76 | -0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 121 | 100 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 260 | 388 | 370 | 758 | 110 | 294 | 12 | 17 | 350 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 130 | 112 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 304 | 391 | 429 | 819 | 125 | 348 | 14 | 12 | 364 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 388 | 333 | 90 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 3 | 26 | 2 | 270 | 369 | 390 | 759 | 120 | 283 | 8 | 13 | 343 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 523 | 433 | 114 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 73 | 60 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 263 | 377 | 379 | 756 | 115 | 289 | 11 | 14 | 340 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 468 | 387 | 99 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 256 | 362 | 326 | 688 | 70 | 278 | 9 | 12 | 311 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 33 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 192 | 364 | 192 | 556 | 238 | 15 | 15 | 287 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 85 | 68 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 206 | 349 | 382 | 732 | 176 | 255 | 19 | 15 | 327 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 121 | 107 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 206 | 298 | 299 | 597 | 93 | 248 | 17 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 130 | 116 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 259 | 328 | 371 | 699 | 112 | 293 | 17 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 388 | 345 | 82 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 40 | 3 | 26 | 2 | 238 | 317 | 339 | 656 | 101 | 250 | 10 | 10 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 523 | 458 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 74 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 221 | 303 | 317 | 619 | 96 | 239 | 14 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 468 | 406 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 51 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 224 | 305 | 278 | 583 | 54 | 241 | 11 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 33 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 179 | 303 | 179 | 482 | 225 | 18 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 85 | 72 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 181 | 289 | 333 | 622 | 153 | 215 | 24 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 121 | 107 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 206 | 298 | 299 | 597 | 93 | 244 | 17 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | Columbia Fireflies | — | 121 | 100 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 260 | 388 | 370 | 758 | 110 | 294 | 12 | 17 | 350 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 461 | 112 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 62 | 4 | 30 | 3 | 243 | 320 | 347 | 667 | 104 | 266 | 12 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 445 | 124 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 50 | 4 | 30 | 3 | 279 | 374 | 400 | 774 | 121 | 298 | 10 | 12 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 523 | 458 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 74 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 221 | 303 | 317 | 619 | 96 | 248 | 14 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 523 | 433 | 114 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 73 | 60 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 263 | 377 | 379 | 756 | 115 | 289 | 11 | 14 | 340 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 468 | 406 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 51 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 224 | 305 | 278 | 583 | 54 | 249 | 11 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 468 | 387 | 99 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 256 | 362 | 326 | 688 | 70 | 278 | 9 | 12 | 311 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 118 | 99 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 182 | 302 | 293 | 595 | 111 | 236 | 22 | 11 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 118 | 94 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 202 | 353 | 330 | 683 | 128 | 250 | 18 | 15 | 316 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 121 | 106 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 208 | 298 | 302 | 599 | 94 | 248 | 17 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 461 | 112 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 62 | 4 | 30 | 3 | 243 | 320 | 347 | 667 | 104 | 261 | 12 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 523 | 464 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 74 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 218 | 303 | 312 | 615 | 95 | 239 | 14 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 468 | 418 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 51 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 218 | 305 | 270 | 575 | 53 | 241 | 11 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 118 | 100 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 180 | 302 | 290 | 592 | 110 | 218 | 22 | 11 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 523 | 464 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 74 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 218 | 303 | 312 | 615 | 95 | 239 | 14 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 468 | 418 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 51 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 218 | 305 | 270 | 575 | 53 | 241 | 11 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 118 | 100 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 180 | 302 | 290 | 592 | 110 | 218 | 22 | 11 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | KC | 2% | 200 | 177 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 221 | 304 | 303 | 607 | 83 | 272 | 20 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | KC | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 302 | 300 | 602 | 81 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 75 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | KC | 27% | 162 | 144 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 221 | 303 | 306 | 609 | 85 | 272 | 20 | 9 | 280 | 76 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | KC | 27% | 43 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 302 | 302 | 604 | 83 | 270 | 21 | 9 | 278 | 76 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 302 | 263 | 565 | 53 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 278 | 72 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 121 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 136 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 211 | 302 | 263 | 565 | 52 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 278 | 72 | -19 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2015 | 1768 | 397 | 72 | 11 | 21 | 181 | 286 | 31 | 96 | 13 | 225 | 308 | 313 | 621 | 89 | 256 | 14 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -8 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 570 | 129 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 58 | 92 | 10 | 31 | 4 | 226 | 308 | 318 | 626 | 91 | 257 | 14 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -19 | +4 | +1 | -4 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 85 PAwOBA .319 → .261 (−59)K% 18.8% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 10.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 6.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 14.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .319 → .261; ISO .176 → .151; BABIP .255 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 33 PAwOBA .282 → .245 (−37)K% 15.2% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 5.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 22.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .282 → .245; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .238 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 468 PAwOBA .307 → .262 (−44)K% 9.2% → 11.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.19% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷0.984 | ×0.840 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.077 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.65% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .307 → .262; ISO .070 → .062; BABIP .278 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 523 PAwOBA .331 → .274 (−57)K% 11.5% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.47% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.58% | ÷1.056 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 9.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.98% | ÷1.073 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.90% | ÷1.025 | ×0.840 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 4.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .331 → .274; ISO .115 → .105; BABIP .289 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 388 PAwOBA .336 → .287 (−49)K% 8.2% → 10.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.25% | ÷1.005 | ×1.270 | — | — | 10.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.63% | ÷0.929 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.93% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 19.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷0.957 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.908 | ×0.850 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.99% | ÷1.033 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .336 → .287; ISO .120 → .101; BABIP .283 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 130 PAwOBA .354 → .299 (−56)K% 13.8% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.85% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.66% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 23.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.062 | ×0.940 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.01% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 111, 2B 126, 3B 112, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .354 → .299; ISO .125 → .111; BABIP .348 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AColumbia Fireflies · 121 PAwOBA .342 → .266 (−76)K% 11.6% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.57% | ÷0.937 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.53% | ÷1.069 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | — | 17.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | — | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | — | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.140 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 111, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 87, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .342 → .266; ISO .110 → .091; BABIP .294 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).