Robbie Garvey
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 25 | A+LAA | 478 | .229/.292/.361 | 7 | 22 | 40 | — | .189/.238/.297 |
| 2015 | 26 | A+LAA | 137 | .240/.269/.272 | 0 | 8 | 14 | — | .198/.223/.222 |
| 2016 | 27 | A+SF | 277 | .269/.339/.355 | 1 | 11 | 55 | — | .222/.277/.290 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 267 | 245 | 76 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 310 | 355 | 457 | 812 | 147 | 362 | 16 | 7 | 355 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 147 | 137 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 197 | 247 | 248 | 495 | 51 | 263 | 26 | 5 | 227 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 194 | 168 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 238 | 317 | 315 | 633 | 77 | 308 | 21 | 9 | 284 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 69 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 255 | 415 | 294 | 710 | 39 | 325 | 16 | 17 | 324 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 370 | 330 | 89 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 74 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 270 | 340 | 330 | 670 | 61 | 344 | 20 | 9 | 304 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 478 | 424 | 97 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 105 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 229 | 292 | 361 | 653 | 132 | 286 | 22 | 7 | 284 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 125 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 269 | 272 | 541 | 32 | 312 | 22 | 4 | 234 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 277 | 242 | 65 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 48 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 269 | 339 | 355 | 695 | 87 | 328 | 17 | 10 | 309 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 267 | 254 | 57 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 61 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 224 | 257 | 327 | 583 | 102 | 279 | 23 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 147 | 140 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 150 | 185 | 193 | 378 | 43 | 227 | 35 | 3 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 194 | 176 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 59 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 176 | 233 | 233 | 466 | 57 | 240 | 30 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 69 | 54 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 241 | 369 | 278 | 647 | 37 | 298 | 20 | 13 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 370 | 341 | 79 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 97 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 232 | 282 | 284 | 567 | 53 | 312 | 26 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 478 | 434 | 82 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 136 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 189 | 238 | 297 | 535 | 108 | 242 | 28 | 5 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 126 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 198 | 223 | 222 | 445 | 24 | 271 | 31 | 3 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 277 | 252 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 65 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 222 | 277 | 290 | 566 | 67 | 283 | 23 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 267 | 254 | 57 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 61 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 224 | 257 | 327 | 583 | 102 | 284 | 23 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK RAW | Helena Brewers | — | 267 | 245 | 76 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 310 | 355 | 457 | 812 | 147 | 362 | 16 | 7 | 355 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 341 | 316 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 110 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 165 | 212 | 215 | 427 | 51 | 244 | 32 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 341 | 305 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 79 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 220 | 287 | 285 | 572 | 66 | 288 | 23 | 7 | 260 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 395 | 92 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 112 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 233 | 295 | 284 | 579 | 51 | 322 | 26 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 439 | 381 | 102 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 85 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 268 | 351 | 325 | 677 | 58 | 341 | 19 | 10 | 307 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 478 | 434 | 82 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 136 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 189 | 238 | 297 | 535 | 108 | 255 | 28 | 5 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 478 | 424 | 97 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 105 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 229 | 292 | 361 | 653 | 132 | 286 | 22 | 7 | 284 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 126 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 198 | 223 | 222 | 445 | 24 | 294 | 31 | 3 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 125 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 269 | 272 | 541 | 32 | 312 | 22 | 4 | 234 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 277 | 252 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 65 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 222 | 277 | 290 | 566 | 67 | 293 | 23 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 277 | 242 | 65 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 48 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 269 | 339 | 355 | 695 | 87 | 328 | 17 | 10 | 309 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 267 | 254 | 57 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 61 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 224 | 257 | 327 | 583 | 102 | 279 | 23 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 341 | 319 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 110 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 163 | 212 | 213 | 425 | 50 | 234 | 32 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 401 | 92 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 112 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 229 | 295 | 279 | 575 | 50 | 310 | 26 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 478 | 447 | 82 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 136 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 183 | 238 | 289 | 527 | 105 | 242 | 28 | 5 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 132 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 189 | 223 | 212 | 435 | 23 | 271 | 31 | 3 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 277 | 256 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 65 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 219 | 277 | 285 | 562 | 66 | 283 | 23 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1939 | 1777 | 364 | 46 | 22 | 13 | 102 | 526 | 14 | 102 | 48 | 205 | 254 | 277 | 531 | 73 | 281 | 27 | 5 | 230 | 42 | -135 | +1 | +0 | -21 | +42 | -11.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 121 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 176 | 5 | 34 | 16 | 203 | 252 | 272 | 524 | 69 | 279 | 27 | 5 | 230 | 42 | -45 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 A+San Jose Giants · 277 PAwOBA .303 → .249 (−54)K% 17.3% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.33% | ÷0.998 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.75% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.958 | 6.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.77% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×0.958 | 22.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | ×1.010 | ×0.958 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.010 | ×0.958 | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 0.43% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .303 → .249; ISO .087 → .072; BABIP .328 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 137 PAwOBA .230 → .189 (−41)K% 21.9% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.90% | ÷0.970 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.65% | ÷0.958 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 2.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.42% | ÷1.046 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 25.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.109 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 1.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .230 → .189; ISO .032 → .022; BABIP .312 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 478 PAwOBA .278 → .228 (−50)K% 22.0% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.97% | ÷1.036 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.38% | ÷1.034 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 17.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.13% | ÷0.998 | ×0.760 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 2.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.934 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 2.11% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .278 → .228; ISO .132 → .111; BABIP .286 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AGreat Lakes Loons · 370 PAwOBA .297 → .249 (−49)K% 20.0% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.035 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.92% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.30% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.980 | 26.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.52% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.980 | 2.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.960 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×0.980 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.39% | ÷0.898 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 92, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .297 → .249; ISO .061 → .053; BABIP .344 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 69 PAwOBA .317 → .281 (−37)K% 15.9% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.018 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 12.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 2.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.50% | ÷0.993 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 25.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 4.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.760 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .317 → .281; ISO .039 → .035; BABIP .325 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKHelena Brewers · 194 PAwOBA .282 → .201 (−81)K% 21.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.13% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | ×0.975 | 17.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.014 | ×0.975 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.014 | ×0.975 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .282 → .201; ISO .077 → .053; BABIP .308 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 147 PAwOBA .223 → .169 (−54)K% 25.9% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.85% | ÷1.007 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.44% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.23% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | — | 20.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.02% | ÷0.993 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | — | 1.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.927 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | — | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.136 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.71% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 85, K 101, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .223 → .169; ISO .051 → .037; BABIP .263 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKHelena Brewers · 267 PAwOBA .346 → .248 (−97)K% 15.7% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.989 | ×0.985 | 21.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.989 | ×0.985 | 3.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.989 | ×0.985 | 2.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .346 → .248; ISO .147 → .101; BABIP .362 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).