Justin Jacobs

PosOF

B/TL/R

Born1995-10-25

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

ALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	21	ROKAZL Rangers	219	.326/.440/.431	2	8	77	—	.236/.317/.308
2018	22	ATEX	292	.230/.320/.335	5	1	37	—	.180/.247/.251

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	219	181	59	9	2	2	33	37	4	8	5	326	440	431	871	105	399	17	15	395	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	292	257	59	12	0	5	29	80	5	1	2	230	320	335	654	105	312	27	10	300	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	219	195	46	6	1	2	19	53	4	8	5	236	317	308	624	72	313	24	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	292	267	48	10	0	3	19	113	5	1	2	180	247	251	498	71	289	39	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	219	195	46	6	1	2	19	53	4	8	5	236	317	308	624	72	312	24	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	219	181	59	9	2	2	33	37	4	8	5	326	440	431	871	105	399	17	15	395	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	292	267	48	10	0	3	19	113	5	1	2	180	247	251	498	71	296	39	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	292	257	59	12	0	5	29	80	5	1	2	230	320	335	654	105	312	27	10	300	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	219	194	46	6	1	2	19	53	4	8	5	237	317	309	626	72	313	24	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	292	266	48	10	0	3	19	113	5	1	2	180	247	252	499	71	289	39	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	511	462	94	16	1	5	38	166	9	9	7	203	277	275	552	71	304	32	7	248	54	-28	-1	+0	-3	+11	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	119	20	1	6	48	211	11	11	9	202	275	270	546	68	302	32	7	248	54	-35	-1	+0	-4	+14	-2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AHickory Crawdads · 292 PAwOBA .294 → .223 (−71)K% 27.4% → 38.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.40%	÷0.952	×1.340	—	—	38.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.93%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×0.990	6.49%
HBP% /PA	1.71%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	1.31%
Singles /BIP	23.73%	÷0.991	×0.920	×1.017	×0.990	22.18%
Doubles /BIP	6.78%	÷0.881	×0.820	×1.017	×0.990	6.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.017	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.82%	÷1.204	×0.820	—	×0.990	1.90%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 98, 2B 76, 3B 80, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .294 → .223; ISO .105 → .074; BABIP .312 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKAZL Rangers · 219 PAwOBA .386 → .282 (−104)K% 16.9% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.89%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	24.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.61%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.975	8.83%
HBP% /PA	1.83%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	1.28%
Singles /BIP	31.94%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.011	×0.975	25.82%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.011	×0.975	4.43%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.011	×0.975	0.99%
Home runs /BIP	1.39%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.975	1.06%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .386 → .282; ISO .105 → .076; BABIP .399 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).