Cornelius Randolph
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AAA/ROKPHI | 182 | .241/.337/.386 | 5 | 6 | 58 | — | .199/.265/.313 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 123 | .174/.256/.275 | 2 | 1 | 39 | — | .086/.158/.143 |
| 2024 | 27 | INTLSenadores de … | 44 | .378/.477/.541 | 0 | 1 | 192 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 212 | 172 | 52 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 302 | 429 | 442 | 870 | 140 | 362 | 15 | 15 | 391 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 276 | 241 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 57 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 274 | 359 | 357 | 716 | 83 | 346 | 21 | 9 | 326 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 77 | 277 | 100 | 20 | 13 | 153 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 510 | 440 | 110 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 55 | 125 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 250 | 341 | 402 | 744 | 152 | 316 | 25 | 11 | 329 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 78 | 71 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 308 | 324 | 632 | 85 | 333 | 26 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 465 | 410 | 99 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 241 | 325 | 322 | 647 | 80 | 298 | 20 | 10 | 297 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 389 | 348 | 86 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 102 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 247 | 325 | 399 | 724 | 152 | 321 | 26 | 10 | 324 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 69 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 279 | 355 | 634 | 145 | 262 | 28 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 164 | 145 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 50 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 234 | 323 | 386 | 709 | 152 | 322 | 30 | 12 | 320 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 308 | 471 | 385 | 855 | 77 | 444 | 28 | 22 | 377 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 38 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 211 | 176 | 387 | 59 | 267 | 50 | 11 | 189 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 85 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 277 | 320 | 597 | 120 | 241 | 22 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 44 | 37 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 378 | 477 | 541 | 1.018 | 162 | 412 | 7 | 14 | 451 | 192 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 212 | 184 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 46 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 228 | 324 | 326 | 650 | 98 | 291 | 22 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 276 | 249 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 74 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 249 | 315 | 325 | 640 | 76 | 331 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 133 | 71 | 205 | 83 | 27 | 7 | 103 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 510 | 453 | 98 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 175 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 216 | 291 | 340 | 631 | 124 | 311 | 34 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 465 | 422 | 101 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 111 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 239 | 304 | 296 | 600 | 57 | 311 | 24 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 389 | 357 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 125 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 207 | 271 | 322 | 593 | 115 | 293 | 32 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 164 | 151 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 61 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 199 | 262 | 318 | 580 | 119 | 298 | 37 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 339 | 39 | 11 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 38 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 158 | 143 | 301 | 57 | 250 | 61 | 8 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 212 | 184 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 46 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 228 | 324 | 326 | 650 | 98 | 295 | 22 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 212 | 172 | 52 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 302 | 429 | 442 | 870 | 140 | 362 | 15 | 15 | 391 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 263 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 240 | 306 | 312 | 617 | 72 | 330 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 291 | 254 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 60 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 264 | 351 | 343 | 693 | 79 | 333 | 21 | 10 | 317 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 524 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 202 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 216 | 290 | 340 | 630 | 124 | 321 | 34 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 588 | 511 | 127 | 22 | 6 | 13 | 62 | 145 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 249 | 337 | 391 | 728 | 143 | 318 | 25 | 11 | 324 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 465 | 422 | 101 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 111 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 239 | 304 | 296 | 600 | 57 | 316 | 24 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 465 | 410 | 99 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 241 | 325 | 322 | 647 | 80 | 298 | 20 | 10 | 297 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 389 | 357 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 125 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 207 | 271 | 322 | 593 | 115 | 296 | 32 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 389 | 348 | 86 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 102 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 247 | 325 | 399 | 724 | 152 | 321 | 26 | 10 | 324 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL MLE | Adelaide Giants | — | 69 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 279 | 355 | 634 | 145 | 262 | 28 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL RAW | Adelaide Giants | — | 69 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 279 | 355 | 634 | 145 | 262 | 28 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 182 | 166 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 199 | 265 | 313 | 578 | 114 | 305 | 37 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 182 | 158 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 55 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 241 | 337 | 386 | 723 | 146 | 333 | 30 | 13 | 326 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 111 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 165 | 135 | 300 | 45 | 286 | 62 | 7 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 123 | 109 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 256 | 275 | 531 | 101 | 246 | 31 | 9 | 243 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL MLE | Senadores de San Juan | — | 44 | 37 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 378 | 477 | 541 | 1.018 | 162 | 412 | 7 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL RAW | Senadores de San Juan | — | 44 | 37 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 378 | 477 | 541 | 1.018 | 162 | 412 | 7 | 14 | 451 | 192 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 212 | 184 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 46 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 228 | 324 | 326 | 650 | 98 | 291 | 22 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 264 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 239 | 306 | 311 | 616 | 72 | 318 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 528 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 202 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 214 | 290 | 337 | 627 | 123 | 311 | 34 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 465 | 423 | 101 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 111 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 239 | 304 | 296 | 599 | 57 | 311 | 24 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 389 | 355 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 125 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 208 | 271 | 324 | 595 | 115 | 293 | 32 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 182 | 165 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 200 | 265 | 315 | 580 | 115 | 302 | 37 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 112 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 89 | 165 | 134 | 299 | 45 | 250 | 62 | 7 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2363 | 2126 | 463 | 91 | 11 | 31 | 187 | 729 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 218 | 289 | 315 | 604 | 97 | 313 | 31 | 8 | 251 | 56 | -124 | -1 | +0 | -14 | +51 | -9.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 201 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 219 | 289 | 318 | 607 | 99 | 314 | 31 | 8 | 251 | 56 | -34 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AABirmingham Barons · 38 PAwOBA .184 → .133 (−52)K% 50.0% → 61.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 50.00% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 61.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.993 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 12.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 12.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 97, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .184 → .133; ISO .059 → .044; BABIP .267 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 164 PAwOBA .312 → .251 (−61)K% 30.5% → 36.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.49% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.16% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.048 | 21.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.048 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.03% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .312 → .251; ISO .152 → .117; BABIP .322 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Phillies · 18 PAwOBA .391 → .277 (−114)K% 27.8% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 13.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 29.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 8.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .391 → .277; ISO .077 → .056; BABIP .444 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAReading Fightin Phils · 389 PAwOBA .317 → .258 (−59)K% 26.2% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.22% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.51% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.17% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷0.980 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.07% | ÷1.182 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .317 → .258; ISO .152 → .113; BABIP .321 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAReading Fightin Phils · 465 PAwOBA .291 → .271 (−20)K% 19.8% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.78% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.90% | ÷0.964 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 26.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.101 | ×0.860 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.164 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .291 → .271; ISO .080 → .063; BABIP .298 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Clearwater Threshers · 510 PAwOBA .323 → .278 (−45)K% 24.5% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.51% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.59% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.042 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.042 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.49% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.907 | ×0.960 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.13% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 100, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .323 → .278; ISO .152 → .129; BABIP .316 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALakewood BlueClaws · 276 PAwOBA .321 → .281 (−41)K% 20.7% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷1.030 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷0.995 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.72% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.045 | 26.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.013 | ×1.045 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.013 | ×1.045 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.864 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 1.08% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .321 → .281; ISO .083 → .075; BABIP .346 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Phillies · 15 PAwOBA .151 → .103 (−47)K% 20.0% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 8.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .151 → .103; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .100 → .083. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .