Nolan Beltran — OGILVIE

Nolan BeltranSS Clearwater Threshers

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 160 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION405 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP256

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 59 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT59

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	187	146	33	7	0	0	31	18	4	5	3	226	374	274	648	48	254	10	17	305	93	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	111	33	5	2	1	15	22	0	3	4	297	381	405	786	108	356	17	12	350	123	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	113	94	22	4	0	3	17	22	2	2	2	234	363	372	735	138	275	19	15	339	115	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	115	21	4	1	1	13	18	0	0	0	183	266	261	526	78	206	14	10	240	49	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	187	159	30	6	0	0	19	27	4	5	3	189	291	226	518	38	214	14	10	235	45	-12	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	117	24	3	1	1	9	31	0	3	4	205	262	274	535	68	267	24	7	246	53	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	100	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	160	257	250	507	90	206	27	10	236	46	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	118	19	4	1	1	10	24	0	0	0	161	227	237	464	76	184	18	8	202	23	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	187	159	30	6	0	0	19	27	4	5	3	189	291	226	518	38	224	14	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	187	146	33	7	0	0	31	18	4	5	3	226	374	274	648	48	254	10	17	305	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	117	24	3	1	1	9	31	0	3	4	205	262	274	535	68	264	24	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	111	33	5	2	1	15	22	0	3	4	297	381	405	786	108	356	17	12	350	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	100	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	160	257	250	507	90	206	27	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	113	94	22	4	0	3	17	22	2	2	2	234	363	372	735	138	275	19	15	339	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	118	19	4	1	1	10	24	0	0	0	161	227	237	464	76	191	18	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	115	21	4	1	1	13	18	0	0	0	183	266	261	526	78	206	14	10	240	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	187	162	30	6	0	0	19	27	4	5	3	185	291	222	513	37	214	14	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	118	24	3	1	1	9	31	0	3	4	203	262	271	533	68	267	24	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	99	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	162	257	253	509	91	206	27	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	120	19	4	1	1	10	24	0	0	0	158	227	233	460	75	184	18	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	118	24	3	1	1	9	31	0	3	4	203	262	271	533	68	267	24	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	99	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	162	257	253	509	91	206	27	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	120	19	4	1	1	10	24	0	0	0	158	227	233	460	75	184	18	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	PHI	—	405	350	82	21	0	4	42	78	8	7	1	234	330	329	659	94	287	19	10	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	PHI	—	405	335	91	22	0	5	56	55	8	7	1	272	388	382	770	110	308	14	14	349	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	PHI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		253	22	11	277	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	PHI	—	414	358	83	21	0	4	43	80	8	7	1	232	328	324	652	92	284	19	10	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	364	320	69	16	1	5	36	69	5	4	1	216	305	319	623	103	256	19	10	286	79	-9	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	434	382	85	19	1	8	43	82	6	4	1	223	311	340	651	118	260	19	10	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	476	419	94	21	1	9	47	90	7	5	1	224	313	344	657	119	262	19	10	299	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	502	440	100	22	1	10	50	94	7	5	1	227	316	350	666	123	263	19	10	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	502	440	100	22	1	10	50	94	7	5	1	227	316	350	666	123	263	19	10	302	91	-6	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	501	439	99	22	1	10	50	95	7	5	1	226	315	349	663	123	263	19	10	302	91	-5	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	496	436	97	21	1	10	50	94	7	5	1	222	312	344	656	122	262	19	10	302	90	-6	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	486	426	96	21	1	10	50	93	7	4	1	225	317	350	667	124	262	19	10	300	89	-6	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	475	416	92	20	1	9	49	92	7	4	1	221	314	339	653	118	261	19	10	298	88	-7	+0	-2	+5	+10	0.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	461	405	89	19	1	9	47	91	6	3	1	220	310	338	648	119	259	20	10	294	85	-8	+0	-3	+5	+10	0.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	442	388	84	18	1	8	45	89	6	2	1	216	308	330	637	113	256	20	10	288	81	-10	+0	-4	+5	+10	0.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	413	363	77	16	1	7	42	85	5	2	0	212	302	320	622	107	253	21	10	282	77	-11	+0	-4	+4	+9	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	125	110	23	5	0	2	12	24	2	1	0	209	298	309	607	100	259	19	10	279	79	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	210	184	41	9	0	4	21	40	3	2	1	223	312	337	649	114	262	19	10	288	85	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	251	220	50	11	1	5	25	47	4	2	1	227	317	355	672	127	265	19	10	293	89	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	275	242	56	12	1	6	27	52	4	3	1	231	319	364	682	132	265	19	10	296	90	-3	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	279	245	56	12	1	6	28	52	4	3	1	229	318	359	677	131	265	19	10	296	91	-3	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	276	242	56	12	1	6	28	52	4	3	1	231	321	364	685	132	265	19	10	297	91	-3	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	271	237	55	12	1	6	28	52	4	2	1	232	323	367	691	135	265	19	10	296	90	-3	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	259	227	52	11	1	6	26	50	4	2	1	229	319	366	685	137	264	19	10	294	89	-3	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	250	218	49	11	0	5	26	49	4	2	0	225	319	344	663	119	264	20	10	292	88	-4	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	240	211	46	10	0	5	24	47	3	2	0	218	307	336	643	118	262	20	10	288	85	-4	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	229	201	43	9	0	4	23	46	3	1	0	214	304	318	622	104	259	20	10	282	81	-5	+0	-2	+2	+5	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	213	186	39	8	0	4	22	44	3	1	0	210	303	317	621	108	255	21	10	276	77	-6	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2878	2523	566	122	6	59	290	555	42	24	7	224	315	348	662	123	264	19	10	291	82	-45	+2	-8	+31	+62	4.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	128	28	1	13	65	125	9	5	2	225	313	346	659	121	264	19	10	291	82	-10	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6120	5376	1172	253	14	109	609	1182	83	58	20	218	307	331	638	113	258	19	10	290	82	-89	+5	-15	+60	+120	8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	125	27	1	12	65	126	9	6	2	219	309	333	641	114	259	19	10	290	82	-10	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,089	58	26	220	307	337	+33	+21	6.5	5.8
/162	664	12	6	+7.1	+4.5	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Beltran (OGILVIE)	21	54→59	36→41	45→50	60	208/298/298	90	253	2	3	19%	10%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Boog Powell 2014 · A	21	49→58	35→40	48→50	50	228/284/287	59	269	3	9	16%	7%	63	-1.3	265/330/340	75	332	4	14	19%	9%	93	+0.8	272/330/365	93	329	7	16	18%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Jordany Valdespin 2009 · A	21	44→54	40→50	52→55	47	209/262/301	92	243	7	12	17%	6%	59	-1.7	237/271/346	109	294	8	16	22%	4%	72	-0.7	257/296/398	141	298	16	28	19%	4%	91	+0.4
✕Zach Fisher 2013 · A	21	43	40→50	49→30	51	202/267/298	96	230	7	4	16%	8%	61	-1.5	224/275/348	124	278	11	3	23%	6%	75	-0.5	231/279/368	137	285	14	1	24%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Matt Cerda 2011 · A	21	49→55	39→40	51→40	51	232/295/320	88	279	5	4	18%	8%	75	-0.5	233/314/307	74	298	3	5	20%	10%	80	-0.1	232/323/293	61	299	2	5	21%	11%	78	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	44→48	40→50	46→40	49	214/288/305	91	268	8	6	23%	8%	70	-0.8	217/270/311	94	272	7	3	22%	6%	65	-1.2	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→55	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	70	-0.9	247/320/367	120	279	11	7	15%	7%	97	+1.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Livan Soto 2021 · A	21	42→52	35→40	46→50	47	199/257/254	55	248	3	8	20%	7%	47	-2.6	208/271/297	89	286	7	11	28%	7%	61	-1.5	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Bo Greenwell 2010 · A	21	49→58	38→45	46→50	49	229/281/315	87	264	5	9	15%	6%	69	-0.9	253/302/341	88	312	6	12	20%	6%	82	+0.0	261/311/348	86	325	5	13	20%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→55	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	70	-0.9	240/345/309	69	306	3	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	242/332/330	88	296	7	18	19%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2012 · A	21	46→56	37→45	47→50	49	213/280/293	80	254	3	7	17%	7%	64	-1.3	231/275/304	73	271	4	6	15%	5%	63	-1.3	274/316/367	93	291	7	12	8%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→55	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	69	-0.9	239/314/332	93	303	5	9	21%	8%	86	+0.3	240/350/332	92	308	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.6
✕José Godoy 2016 · A	21	50	36→45	48→30	50	233/297/301	67	280	4	5	18%	8%	72	-0.7	248/302/320	72	297	5	3	17%	6%	78	-0.3	256/311/328	72	307	5	2	17%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Vimael Machín 2016 · A	22	40→50	37→45	49→50	47	193/254/262	69	248	4	7	23%	8%	47	-2.5	224/285/313	89	284	8	6	22%	8%	70	-0.8	241/308/341	100	286	7	3	17%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Tucker Barnhart 2012 · A	21	49→55	37→45	47→40	46	228/284/310	82	297	4	5	23%	7%	70	-0.9	222/280/302	80	278	5	3	20%	7%	66	-1.1	243/328/368	125	289	12	2	19%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Brent Keys 2011 · A	21	48→58	35→30	49→50	51	224/291/282	57	273	2	12	18%	8%	65	-1.2	256/314/322	66	306	3	13	16%	7%	82	+0.0	282/343/338	56	313	2	12	10%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→40	44→45	52	230/311/322	91	292	5	6	22%	9%	82	+0.0	244/332/321	77	296	4	8	17%	9%	91	+0.6	271/353/338	68	317	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2018 · A	22	46→56	37→45	49→60	48	220/278/292	73	277	5	13	22%	8%	63	-1.4	239/298/310	71	316	4	12	24%	8%	74	-0.5	252/316/360	107	324	8	21	23%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2016 · A	21	49→59	40→45	51→55	41	231/270/336	105	288	5	10	21%	4%	70	-0.9	240/294/349	109	333	7	19	28%	6%	82	-0.0	231/288/344	113	330	8	23	30%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Emmanuel Avila 2010 · A	21	44→54	36→45	45	41	210/247/271	61	253	4	6	19%	4%	46	-2.6	217/255/302	85	266	6	7	20%	4%	56	-1.9	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Zack Granite 2014 · A	21	49→59	34→40	50→60	49	226/279/281	56	264	1	11	15%	6%	60	-1.6	237/286/298	61	285	2	19	16%	6%	67	-1.1	264/312/336	73	303	3	30	13%	6%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps