Roynier Hernandez

Roynier HernandezSS Spokane Indians

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION311 act + 207 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .312 / .326

PA207

HR2

K%20

BB%8

BABIP305

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$10M	+$8M
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+1.9	$10M	+$6M
2033	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$22M		$60M	+$47M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	242	214	41	7	0	0	25	44	0	8	4	192	276	224	500	33	238	18	10	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	242	201	50	9	0	0	38	35	0	8	4	249	368	294	662	45	298	14	16	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	192	51	7	2	0	21	31	3	6	3	266	347	323	670	57	313	14	10	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	180	61	8	2	0	33	23	3	6	3	339	449	406	855	67	384	11	15	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	243	216	51	6	1	0	23	53	1	11	2	236	312	273	586	37	309	22	9	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	243	200	61	9	1	0	39	36	1	11	2	305	421	360	781	55	367	15	16	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	345	319	77	8	4	0	18	79	2	7	5	241	286	292	578	50	316	23	5	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	345	306	91	11	6	0	31	53	2	7	5	297	366	373	738	75	354	15	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	COL	—	311	279	72	12	0	5	28	66	1	3	1	258	328	355	683	97	318	21	9	304	91	-3	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.9
YTD	21	A+	COL	—	311	262	81	15	0	6	45	47	1	3	1	309	412	435	847	126	354	15	14	380	149	+17	+0	+0	+3	+9	3.0
ROS	21	A+	COL	0%	207	187	46	7	1	2	17	42	1	2	1	246	312	326	637	80	301	20	8	285	76	-6	+0	-0	+2	+6	0.2
ROS	21	MLB	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						322	0	0	299	87	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	A+	COL	—	312	280	72	12	0	5	28	66	1	3	1	257	327	354	680	96	316	21	9	304	91	-3	+0	-0	+3	+9	0.9
TOT	21	A+	COL	—	518	466	118	19	1	7	45	108	2	5	2	253	321	343	665	90	312	21	9	296	85	-9	+0	-0	+6	+15	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	COL	35%	453	411	101	16	2	5	37	91	2	5	2	246	311	331	642	85	299	20	8	291	81	-10	+0	-1	+5	+13	0.8
2028	23	MLB	COL	49%	560	505	126	20	2	9	47	111	3	7	3	250	317	350	668	101	299	20	8	299	87	-8	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.3
2029	24	MLB	COL	53%	565	509	127	20	2	10	48	111	3	7	3	250	318	356	673	106	300	20	8	306	92	-5	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.7
2030	25	MLB	COL	55%	564	508	128	20	2	11	48	110	3	8	3	252	320	364	684	112	300	20	9	309	95	-3	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.9
2031	26	MLB	COL	56%	559	503	127	20	2	11	48	109	3	8	3	252	321	366	687	113	300	19	9	310	96	-3	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.9
2032	27	MLB	COL	55%	552	496	125	20	2	11	48	108	3	8	3	252	322	367	689	115	300	20	9	310	96	-3	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.9
2033	28	MLB	COL	55%	547	491	123	19	2	11	48	108	3	8	3	251	321	365	686	114	300	20	9	310	95	-3	+0	-1	+6	+15	1.8
2034	29	MLB	COL	53%	537	481	120	19	2	10	48	107	3	7	3	249	321	360	681	110	299	20	9	308	94	-4	+0	-2	+6	+15	1.6
2035	30	MLB	COL	53%	526	471	117	18	2	10	47	106	3	7	3	248	321	359	679	110	298	20	9	305	92	-5	+0	-3	+6	+15	1.3
2036	31	MLB	COL	52%	515	461	113	17	2	9	46	106	3	6	2	245	318	349	667	104	296	21	9	301	89	-7	+0	-4	+6	+15	1.1
2037	32	MLB	COL	52%	493	444	107	16	2	8	44	103	2	5	2	241	312	340	652	99	294	21	9	296	85	-8	+0	-4	+5	+14	0.7
2027	22	MLB	COL	35%	157	142	37	6	1	2	13	31	1	2	1	261	327	359	686	99	320	20	8	306	93	-1	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.5
2028	23	MLB	COL	49%	272	246	66	11	1	5	23	54	1	3	1	268	333	382	715	114	321	20	8	315	99	-0	+0	-0	+3	+8	1.0
2029	24	MLB	COL	53%	298	269	72	12	1	6	25	59	2	4	1	268	334	387	721	119	322	20	8	322	105	+2	+0	-0	+3	+8	1.3
2030	25	MLB	COL	55%	309	278	75	12	1	7	26	60	2	4	2	270	337	396	732	126	322	19	8	326	107	+3	+0	-0	+3	+9	1.5
2031	26	MLB	COL	56%	311	279	75	12	1	7	27	61	2	4	2	269	338	394	732	125	322	20	9	327	109	+3	+0	-0	+3	+9	1.5
2032	27	MLB	COL	55%	304	272	74	12	1	7	27	60	2	4	2	272	342	401	743	129	322	20	9	327	109	+3	+0	-0	+3	+9	1.5
2033	28	MLB	COL	55%	299	269	73	12	1	7	26	59	2	4	2	271	340	401	742	130	321	20	9	326	108	+3	+0	-1	+3	+8	1.4
2034	29	MLB	COL	53%	286	257	68	11	1	6	25	57	2	4	1	265	335	385	720	121	321	20	9	324	106	+2	+0	-1	+3	+8	1.3
2035	30	MLB	COL	53%	276	248	66	11	1	6	25	56	1	4	1	266	336	391	727	125	320	20	9	322	104	+1	+0	-1	+3	+8	1.1
2036	31	MLB	COL	52%	268	241	63	10	1	5	24	55	1	3	1	261	331	373	704	112	318	21	9	317	101	+0	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.9
2037	32	MLB	COL	52%	256	230	59	9	1	5	23	54	1	3	1	257	327	370	696	113	315	21	9	312	97	-1	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3037	2732	728	118	11	63	264	606	17	39	15	266	335	387	722	120	320	20	9	321	104	+14	+2	-10	+33	+86	12.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	155	25	2	13	57	130	4	8	3	265	335	381	716	116	319	20	9	321	104	+3	+0	-2	+7	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	7126	6408	1580	240	30	107	613	1419	38	110	45	247	316	343	659	97	299	20	9	298	86	-112	+4	-19	+76	+202	15.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	145	22	3	10	56	129	3	10	4	248	317	347	664	99	300	20	9	298	86	-10	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	242	201	50	9	0	38	35	0	8	4	249	368	294	662	45	298	14	16	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	180	61	8	2	33	23	3	6	3	339	449	406	855	67	384	11	15	389	156	+14	+0	—	—	+6	2.0
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	243	200	61	9	1	39	36	1	11	2	305	421	360	781	55	367	15	16	359	133	+9	+1	—	—	+7	1.8
2025	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	323	287	84	11	5	29	50	2	7	5	293	362	366	727	73	350	15	9	326	108	+3	-1	—	—	+9	1.2
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	22	19	7	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	368	429	474	902	105	412	14	9	384	152	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	9	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
	/162	664	13	3	257	315	387	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,037	55	39	250	317	359	+33	+12	8.9	7.9
	/162	664	12	9	250	317	359	+7.1	+2.6	2.0	pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roynier Hernandez (OGILVIE)	21	40→55	25→35	45	60	253/321/343	90	312	7	5	21%	9%	85	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brent Keys 2011 · A	21	48→58	35→30	49→50	51	224/291/282	57	273	2	12	18%	8%	61	-1.0	252/311/316	64	304	3	13	17%	7%	78	+0.2	277/340/332	55	310	2	12	10%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Anthony Dimino 2016 · A	22	48	35→40	47→50	48	223/281/286	63	285	2	6	22%	7%	57	-1.2	245/310/310	65	315	3	12	21%	8%	76	+0.1	255/321/317	62	324	3	16	20%	8%	78	+0.1
●Boog Powell 2014 · A	21	49→57	35→45	48→50	50	228/284/287	59	269	3	9	16%	7%	59	-1.1	264/328/340	76	331	4	14	19%	8%	91	+1.1	274/330/373	99	330	8	16	18%	7%	97	+1.0
●Josh Thole 2008 · A	21	49→59	34→40	41→45	50	229/295/281	52	284	2	4	19%	8%	63	-0.9	266/327/355	89	308	4	5	14%	8%	95	+1.4	281/343/378	97	316	5	4	12%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→40	44→45	51	229/306/320	91	288	5	6	21%	9%	78	+0.2	243/331/320	77	296	4	8	18%	9%	89	+0.9	272/355/343	71	323	2	8	15%	8%	101	+1.3
●Rafael Lantigua 2019 · A	21	48→55	36→45	45→55	49	221/291/289	68	287	2	9	22%	8%	63	-0.9	217/272/313	96	289	7	12	26%	7%	61	-1.0	251/329/379	129	328	12	22	25%	10%	100	+1.4
●Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	66	-0.6	248/321/370	122	279	11	7	15%	7%	98	+1.6	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Luis Guillorme 2016 · A	21	56→62	33→40	45	48	258/307/298	40	312	1	10	17%	6%	71	-0.3	258/314/311	53	312	2	6	16%	7%	77	+0.1	267/337/340	73	310	5	4	14%	9%	91	+0.8
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→56	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	66	-0.6	237/342/307	70	303	3	14	20%	12%	91	+1.1	245/334/339	93	298	8	19	19%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Greg Garcia 2012 · A	22	48→54	39→40	45→50	47	228/297/317	89	288	5	8	21%	7%	73	-0.1	240/313/334	94	308	6	10	22%	8%	85	+0.7	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Livan Soto 2021 · A	21	42→52	35→40	46→50	46	196/252/252	55	246	3	8	21%	7%	37	-2.7	207/267/298	91	283	7	11	28%	7%	55	-1.4	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Tucker Barnhart 2012 · A	21	49→54	37→45	47→40	46	228/284/307	79	298	3	5	23%	7%	65	-0.7	222/281/300	78	279	5	3	21%	7%	61	-1.0	242/327/368	126	287	12	2	19%	11%	89	+0.7
✕José Godoy 2016 · A	21	50	36→45	48→30	50	233/297/301	67	280	4	5	18%	8%	69	-0.4	250/306/328	78	298	5	3	17%	6%	79	+0.3	260/316/340	80	308	6	2	17%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	47	37→45	47→55	54	220/301/294	74	277	4	12	20%	10%	69	-0.4	211/284/306	95	333	9	15	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/268/287	93	319	11	18	39%	8%	51	-0.6
●Niuman Romero 2006 · A	21	46→56	37→40	43→50	46	218/283/297	79	293	4	7	26%	7%	62	-0.9	218/281/281	63	285	3	7	23%	8%	56	-1.3	281/335/372	92	333	5	9	16%	7%	99	+1.6
✕John Mora 2014 · A	21	48→50	35→45	44→50	48	220/288/290	70	276	1	12	20%	7%	62	-0.9	230/298/327	97	284	5	12	19%	8%	76	+0.0	230/301/337	108	283	6	10	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Alejo Lopez 2017 · A	21	49→59	35→40	49→55	49	226/277/284	58	257	3	11	13%	6%	55	-1.4	235/288/311	76	283	4	9	17%	6%	66	-0.6	268/338/353	85	319	5	17	16%	8%	95	+1.1
✕Zack Granite 2014 · A	21	49→59	34→40	50→60	49	226/279/281	56	264	1	11	15%	6%	55	-1.4	234/282/295	61	282	2	19	16%	6%	59	-1.1	259/306/333	74	299	3	30	14%	6%	75	+0.0
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2008 · A	21	53→63	36→40	47→50	49	248/306/312	65	306	3	9	20%	7%	75	-0.0	261/318/344	83	321	6	10	19%	7%	88	+0.9	263/314/359	97	350	5	4	25%	6%	88	+0.6