Hendry Mendez — OGILVIE

Hendry MendezOF St. Paul Saints

Age 22 L/L 6'3" / 175 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 183 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .331 / .380

PA183

HR4

K%20

BB%9

BABIP308

ISO122

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

DEFENSE37

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$9M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$8M	+$5M
2033	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$50M	+$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	138	123	31	7	2	1	11	17	2	3	1	252	324	366	689	114	283	12	8	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	138	117	37	9	3	1	17	12	2	3	1	316	412	470	882	154	343	9	12	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	446	398	80	9	1	3	41	104	5	7	8	201	284	251	535	50	263	23	9	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	446	377	92	11	1	5	62	70	5	7	8	244	358	318	676	74	286	16	14	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	3 teams	—	315	298	64	11	1	3	16	69	1	0	2	215	257	289	546	74	270	22	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	3 teams	—	315	285	72	14	2	3	29	50	1	0	2	253	324	347	671	95	297	16	9	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	373	333	83	17	3	3	36	67	2	3	0	249	326	345	671	96	302	18	10	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	373	317	90	19	3	3	52	52	2	3	0	284	388	391	779	107	330	14	14	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	2 teams	—	514	449	118	14	3	11	49	100	6	11	4	263	343	381	724	118	309	19	10	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	2 teams	—	514	428	128	17	4	12	70	67	6	11	4	299	405	442	846	143	325	13	14	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AAA	MIN	—	275	248	69	10	1	7	22	61	3	4	2	278	344	411	756	133	341	22	8	329	110	+3	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.9
YTD	22	AAA	MIN	—	275	237	71	11	1	8	33	49	3	4	2	300	392	456	848	156	346	18	12	377	147	+15	+0	+0	-2	+8	2.1
ROS	22	AAA	MIN	40%	183	163	42	6	1	4	16	37	2	2	1	257	331	380	710	122	308	20	9	316	100	+0	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	MIN	40%	73	66	16	3	0	1	6	15	1	1	0	242	315	333	648	91	308	21	8	310	95	-0	+0	-0	-0	+2	0.1
FULL	22	AAA	MIN	—	348	314	85	13	1	8	28	76	4	5	2	271	338	395	733	124	332	22	8	325	107	+3	+0	-0	-2	+10	1.1
TOT	22	AAA	MIN	—	458	411	111	16	2	11	38	98	5	6	3	270	339	399	738	129	328	21	8	324	106	+3	+0	-1	-3	+13	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIN	51%	535	478	123	19	3	11	47	106	5	6	3	257	330	379	709	121	304	20	9	318	101	+1	+0	-3	-3	+15	1.0
2028	24	MLB	MIN	54%	572	511	132	21	3	13	51	112	5	7	3	258	332	387	719	129	304	20	9	322	105	+3	+0	-3	-3	+16	1.3
2029	25	MLB	MIN	55%	593	530	138	22	3	15	53	116	5	7	3	260	333	398	731	138	304	20	9	325	107	+4	+0	-3	-4	+17	1.5
2030	26	MLB	MIN	56%	604	539	139	22	3	15	54	119	6	7	3	258	332	393	726	135	304	20	9	326	108	+5	+0	-3	-4	+17	1.6
2031	27	MLB	MIN	55%	607	541	140	22	3	15	55	120	6	7	3	259	334	394	728	135	303	20	9	326	108	+5	+0	-3	-4	+17	1.6
2032	28	MLB	MIN	55%	603	537	139	22	3	15	56	120	5	7	3	259	334	395	729	136	303	20	9	325	107	+5	+0	-4	-4	+17	1.5
2033	29	MLB	MIN	53%	595	530	136	21	3	15	55	120	5	6	3	257	332	392	725	136	302	20	9	323	105	+4	+0	-4	-4	+17	1.3
2034	30	MLB	MIN	53%	585	521	133	21	3	14	54	119	5	6	2	255	331	388	719	132	301	20	9	320	103	+2	+0	-5	-4	+17	1.1
2035	31	MLB	MIN	52%	571	508	127	20	2	13	53	118	5	5	2	250	327	374	701	124	299	21	9	316	100	+0	+0	-6	-3	+16	0.7
2036	32	MLB	MIN	52%	553	492	121	18	2	12	51	116	5	4	2	246	323	364	687	118	296	21	9	311	96	-3	+0	-6	-3	+16	0.3
2027	23	MLB	MIN	51%	272	244	63	10	1	6	24	54	2	3	1	258	330	381	711	123	304	20	9	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.4
2028	24	MLB	MIN	54%	308	275	71	11	2	7	27	61	3	4	2	258	331	389	720	131	304	20	9	316	100	+0	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.5
2029	25	MLB	MIN	55%	328	293	76	12	2	8	29	64	3	4	2	259	332	396	728	137	304	20	9	318	102	+1	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.6
2030	26	MLB	MIN	56%	338	302	79	12	2	9	30	67	3	4	2	262	334	404	738	142	304	20	9	319	103	+1	+0	-2	-2	+10	0.7
2031	27	MLB	MIN	55%	335	298	77	12	2	8	31	66	3	4	2	258	334	393	727	134	304	20	9	320	103	+1	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.7
2032	28	MLB	MIN	55%	330	294	76	12	2	8	30	66	3	4	2	259	333	395	728	136	303	20	9	319	102	+1	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.6
2033	29	MLB	MIN	53%	318	283	72	11	1	8	29	64	3	3	1	254	330	385	715	131	302	20	9	317	101	+0	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.5
2034	30	MLB	MIN	53%	308	273	69	11	1	7	29	63	3	3	1	253	331	377	708	125	301	20	9	314	99	-1	+0	-3	-2	+9	0.4
2035	31	MLB	MIN	52%	298	265	66	10	1	7	28	62	3	2	1	249	328	374	701	125	299	21	9	310	95	-2	+0	-3	-2	+8	0.2
2036	32	MLB	MIN	52%	287	256	63	10	1	6	27	60	2	2	1	246	323	363	686	117	296	21	9	305	91	-3	+0	-3	-2	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3195	2849	728	114	15	75	290	642	29	34	15	256	330	385	716	130	304	20	9	315	99	-3	+1	-22	-19	+91	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	148	23	3	15	59	131	6	7	3	255	330	383	713	128	304	20	9	315	99	-1	+0	-4	-4	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7787	6951	1746	272	39	163	698	1560	70	88	43	251	326	372	698	121	300	20	9	312	97	-27	+0	-41	-47	+221	10.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	146	23	3	14	58	130	6	7	4	252	326	374	700	122	300	20	9	312	97	-2	-0	-3	-4	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	138	117	37	9	3	1	17	12	2	3	1	316	412	470	882	154	343	9	12	388	155	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2022	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	446	377	92	11	1	5	62	70	5	7	8	244	358	318	676	74	286	16	14	316	100	+0	-2	—	—	+13	1.1
2023	19	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	257	233	55	8	2	3	23	40	1	0	1	236	307	326	634	90	274	16	9	290	80	-6	-0	—	—	+7	0.1
2023	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	15	15	9	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	600	600	800	1.400	200	600	0	0	619	332	+4	-0	—	—	+0	0.4
2023	19	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	43	37	8	3	0	0	6	10	0	0	0	216	326	297	623	81	296	23	14	292	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	373	317	90	19	3	3	52	52	2	3	0	284	388	391	779	107	330	14	14	354	129	+12	+1	—	—	+11	2.4
2025	21	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	491	408	122	16	4	11	67	65	6	10	4	299	405	439	844	140	326	13	14	374	144	+24	+0	—	—	+14	4.0
2025	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	23	20	6	1	0	1	3	2	0	1	0	300	391	500	891	200	294	9	13	395	160	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Aaron Boonelast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,540 PA	8	3,540	110	83	260	326	427	-12	-30	11.3	11.4
	/162	664	21	16	260	326	427	-2.2	-5.6	2.1	pk7: 11
#2Todd Zeilelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,552 PA	5	2,552	70	6	258	344	407	-17	-7	8.6	8.6
#2Todd Zeilelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,552 PA	/162	664	18	2	258	344	407	-4.4	-1.9	2.2	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,246	77	35	256	328	387	-19	-31	8.3	7.4
	/162	664	16	7	256	328	387	-4.0	-6.3	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Michael Tuckerlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,732 PA	7	2,732	71	71	253	340	419	-23	-26	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	17	17	253	340	419	-5.5	-6.3	1.8	pk7: 7
#4Terrence Longlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,282 PA	6	3,282	69	27	270	319	407	-26	-7	6.9	6.9
	/162	664	14	5	270	319	407	-5.2	-1.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Kosuke Fukudomelast yr '12 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,276 PA	5	2,276	42	29	258	359	395	-16	-25	5.8	5.8
	/162	664	12	8	258	359	395	-4.6	-7.3	1.7	pk7: 6
#6Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hendry Mendez (OGILVIE)	22	57	42	44	58	270/339/399	129	328	11	6	21%	8%	106	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Daric Barton 2007 · AAA	21	52→57	44→45	47→45	57	250/333/374	124	294	10	4	18%	11%	102	+1.9	238/323/365	127	275	10	4	16%	11%	97	+1.5	240/349/371	131	278	11	3	16%	13%	105	+2.1
●J.P. Crawford 2017 · AAA	22	49→58	40→45	46→50	53	233/299/323	90	271	7	11	17%	8%	75	-0.0	211/291/327	116	266	10	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
●Alex Verdugo 2018 · MLB	22	53→58	43→50	44→45	48	258/305/367	108	291	10	7	15%	6%	89	+0.9	276/327/409	133	314	13	9	16%	7%	109	+2.4	285/346/439	154	321	16	7	16%	8%	120	+2.1
✕Caleb Gindl 2012 · AAA	23	51→55	45→50	45→50	50	250/313/375	124	303	12	9	21%	8%	95	+1.4	228/283/359	131	288	13	5	24%	7%	78	+0.2	244/288/382	138	296	13	1	22%	6%	83	+0.3
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→45	49→40	53	251/319/370	119	297	12	4	19%	9%	95	+1.4	229/292/323	94	289	7	3	22%	8%	72	-0.2	283/345/393	110	351	11	2	21%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Jorbit Vivas 2023 · A	22	50→56	44→45	47→50	51	241/315/358	117	266	11	4	14%	7%	92	+1.2	227/311/333	106	261	9	14	16%	8%	84	+0.6	220/310/318	98	254	8	18	16%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Dario Pizzano 2014 · A	23	54→57	42→50	47→40	50	260/316/377	116	298	8	6	16%	7%	96	+1.5	238/296/371	133	270	10	4	16%	7%	86	+0.8	243/299/375	132	261	15	2	14%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Peter Ciofrone 2007 · AA	23	52→55	41→45	45→40	50	247/325/344	97	300	8	5	20%	8%	92	+1.2	230/290/339	109	272	11	3	19%	6%	76	+0.1	217/275/324	107	253	12	1	19%	6%	62	-0.7
●Matt Koperniak 2022 · AA	24	52→56	44→50	43→45	47	252/320/371	119	301	11	6	19%	6%	97	+1.5	256/309/390	134	310	15	9	22%	6%	97	+1.5	261/312/401	141	315	17	9	22%	6%	97	+1.3
✕Greg Garcia 2013 · AA	23	51→54	40	46→50	50	242/317/339	97	301	7	9	21%	8%	87	+0.8	238/311/330	92	308	6	12	23%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Daniel Descalso 2010 · AAA	23	51→55	44→50	45	47	248/300/372	125	283	10	6	16%	6%	89	+0.9	247/307/352	105	289	6	7	16%	7%	86	+0.8	228/334/386	157	282	15	4	23%	13%	103	+1.2
●Eric Sogard 2009 · A	23	52→57	43→45	46→55	53	250/311/363	114	280	9	10	15%	8%	91	+1.1	254/313/356	102	287	7	11	13%	8%	89	+1.0	250/336/373	123	285	11	10	15%	11%	100	+1.1
✕Rangel Ravelo 2015 · AA	23	53→56	43→50	46→45	47	254/309/380	126	305	9	8	20%	6%	94	+1.3	248/302/375	127	303	11	5	21%	6%	90	+1.0	269/338/437	168	306	20	0	18%	8%	118	+1.6
●Ryan Sweeney 2007 · MLB	22	54→61	42→45	42→45	43	260/296/363	103	301	9	7	17%	4%	84	+0.6	262/314/371	109	305	10	9	17%	7%	94	+1.3	289/348/392	102	331	6	7	13%	8%	108	+1.7
✕Cory Dunlap 2006 · A	22	53→55	40→45	45→30	52	252/322/350	97	304	7	6	19%	9%	92	+1.2	226/319/342	116	283	12	3	22%	12%	90	+1.0	208/315/326	118	258	13	0	23%	13%	83	+0.4
●Yonder Alonso 2010 · AA	23	49→59	46→55	44→45	51	242/306/376	134	286	13	4	20%	8%	92	+1.2	256/312/400	144	308	13	7	20%	7%	101	+1.8	258/335/434	176	292	22	2	19%	10%	116	+2.5
●David Cooper 2009 · A	22	53→60	42→50	47→30	46	252/302/366	113	313	8	5	22%	7%	87	+0.8	238/292/368	130	280	12	2	19%	7%	84	+0.6	255/310/402	147	280	14	0	14%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Noah Mendlinger 2023 · A	22	48→58	37→40	47→45	55	224/318/299	75	276	4	9	19%	10%	79	+0.3	257/340/332	75	308	3	8	16%	8%	95	+1.4	272/355/343	71	323	2	8	15%	8%	101	+1.3
●Tony Kemp 2014 · A	22	47→57	39→45	49→55	52	222/302/307	85	279	7	11	22%	9%	72	-0.2	267/333/361	94	317	5	23	16%	8%	99	+1.7	274/341/362	88	324	4	25	16%	8%	99	+1.5
●Travis Buck 2006 · A	22	54	40→55	48→45	49	254/313/357	104	314	6	9	20%	8%	89	+1.0	265/329/417	152	325	11	10	20%	8%	112	+2.6	268/339/431	163	327	12	9	21%	8%	116	+1.7