Hendry Mendez

LF St. Paul Saints
Age 23 L/L 6'3" / 175 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAA40-MANPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1370ETA2028MLB%30%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420A+PHI373.284/.388/.3913384—.246/.315/.338
202521AA/INTL2 orgs514.299/.405/.4421211115—.284/.366/.408
202622AAA/AAMIN437.281/.377/.430125103—.264/.336/.379
2027PROJ30% MLB23MLBMIN63.250/.327/.36811980.0
2028PROJ52% MLB24MLBMIN214.253/.330/.377531010.1
2029PROJ62% MLB25MLBMIN277.253/.331/.382631030.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.8M2033Arb-2$0.7M2034Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV88
Chase%88
K%83
Whiff%79
BB%72
Z-Con%69
Career WAR0.3 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 7.9, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 59%
CompsCaleb Gindl (age 23) · Hank Conger (age 23) · J.P. Crawford (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†98
AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .327 / .368
PA63
HR1
K%19
BB%10
BABIP292
ISO89
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -1.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.20.30.20.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$3M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Arb-1$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-2$0.7M———
2034Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $3M $2M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKACL Brewers Blue — 138117 37931 17122 31 316412470882 154343 912 388 95 — — — — — —
202218 ACarolina Mudcats — 446377 921115 62705 78 244358318676 74286 1614 316 65 — — — — — —
202319 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 257233 55823 23401 01 236307326634 90274 169 290 53 — — — — — —
202319 ROKACL Brewers — 1515 9300 000 01 6006008001.400 200600 00 619 209 — — — — — —
202319 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 4337 8300 6100 00 216326297623 81296 2314 292 84 — — — — — —
202420 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws — 373317 901933 52522 30 284388391779 107330 1414 354 84 — — — — — —
202521 AAWichita Wind Surge — 491408 12216411 67656 104 299405439844 140326 1314 374 113 — — — — — —
202521 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 2320 6101 320 10 300391500891 200294 913 395 153 — — — — — —
202622 AAASt. Paul Saints — 335285 801308 44532 42 281381411791 130317 1613 355 101 — — — — — —
202622 AAWichita Wind Surge — 10289 25514 9203 10 281366494861 213318 209 377 108 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEACL Brewers Blue — 138123 32721 11172 31 260331374705 114288 128 308 95 — — — — — —
202218 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 446393 85914 46985 78 216306275581 59274 2210 265 65 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 257241 52722 15531 01 216265286551 71266 216 247 53 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 1515 7200 000 01 4674676001.067 133480 00 477 209 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEJersey Shore BlueClaws — 373337 831633 32672 30 246315338654 92295 189 292 84 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEWichita Wind Surge — 491426 12115410 49846 104 284366408774 124314 1710 335 113 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLESt. Paul Saints — 335298 801206 31642 42 268341369711 101316 199 317 101 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEWichita Wind Surge — 10292 23413 6243 10 250317413730 163306 246 328 108 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEACL Brewers Blue — 138123 32721 11172 31 260331374705 114292 128 308 95 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWACL Brewers Blue — 138117 37931 17122 31 316412470882 154343 912 388 95 — — — — — —
202218 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 446393 85914 46985 78 216306275581 59276 2210 265 65 — — — — — —
202218 A RAWCarolina Mudcats — 446377 921115 62705 78 244358318676 74286 1614 316 65 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLE3 teams — 315296 691123 18621 02 233279314594 81286 206 260 62 — — — — — —
202319 A+ RAW3 teams — 315285 721423 29501 02 253324347671 95297 169 306 62 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEJersey Shore BlueClaws — 373337 831633 32672 30 246315338654 92297 189 292 84 — — — — — —
202420 A+ RAWJersey Shore BlueClaws — 373317 901933 52522 30 284388391779 107330 1414 354 84 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 514447 12515410 51886 114 280361398759 119322 1710 335 113 — — — — — —
202521 AA RAW2 teams — 514428 12817412 70676 114 299405442846 143325 1314 374 113 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 437389 1041719 38885 52 267340386726 118321 209 320 102 — — — — — —
202622 AAA RAW2 teams — 437374 10518112 53735 52 281377430808 150317 1712 360 102 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEACL Brewers Blue — 138124 32721 11172 31 258331371702 113288 128 308 95 — — — — — —
202218 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 446392 85914 46985 78 217306276582 59274 2210 265 65 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLE3 teams — 315293 691123 18621 02 235279317597 82278 206 260 62 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEJersey Shore BlueClaws — 373336 831633 32672 30 247315339655 92295 189 292 84 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 514452 12515410 51886 114 277361394755 117314 1710 335 113 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 437391 1041719 38885 52 266340384724 118314 209 320 102 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A+ MLEJersey Shore BlueClaws — 373336 831633 32672 30 247315339655 92295 189 292 84 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 514452 12515410 51886 114 277361394755 117314 1710 335 113 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 437391 1041719 38885 52 266340384724 118314 209 320 102 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEMIN 30% 547486 12119211 501006 73 250327367694 117292 189 313 98 -1 +0 -4 -6 +12 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXMIN 30% 6356 13201 6121 10 250327368695 117292 1910 313 98 -0 +0 -0 -1 +1 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEMIN 52% 414369 931529 38764 52 252330377707 124293 189 318 101 +1 +0 -3 -4 +9 0.2
202925 MLB MLEMIN 62% 448398 10016210 42835 62 253331382712 129293 199 320 103 +1 +0 -3 -5 +10 0.4
203026 MLB MLEMIN 67% 467416 10517211 43875 52 252330383713 130292 199 320 103 +1 +0 -3 -5 +10 0.3
203127 MLB MLEMIN 67% 473421 10517211 44905 52 251329381710 130292 199 319 102 +1 +0 -3 -5 +10 0.3
203228 MLB MLEMIN 68% 472421 10517211 43915 42 249326378704 129291 199 316 100 +0 +0 -4 -5 +10 0.1
203329 MLB MLEMIN 66% 462413 10116210 42914 22 247323372695 125290 209 313 98 -1 -0 -5 -5 +10 -0.1
203430 MLB MLEMIN 65% 452404 9916210 41904 11 244320364683 120288 209 308 95 -3 -0 -5 -5 +10 -0.4
203531 MLB MLEMIN 65% 437391 941529 39894 11 239315353668 114285 209 302 90 -5 -0 -6 -5 +9 -0.6
202824 MLB CTXMIN 52% 214190 49815 20392 31 253330377707 125293 189 318 101 +0 +0 -2 -2 +5 0.1
202925 MLB CTXMIN 62% 277246 621016 26513 31 253331382713 129293 189 320 103 +1 +0 -2 -3 +6 0.2
203026 MLB CTXMIN 67% 311276 691117 29583 41 253330383714 131293 199 320 103 +1 +0 -2 -3 +7 0.3
203127 MLB CTXMIN 67% 318283 721218 29603 31 251329382711 131292 199 319 102 +1 +0 -2 -3 +7 0.2
203228 MLB CTXMIN 68% 319284 701217 29623 31 249326379705 129291 199 317 100 +0 +0 -3 -3 +7 0.1
203329 MLB CTXMIN 66% 306272 671117 28603 11 247324372696 125290 209 313 98 -1 -0 -3 -3 +7 -0.1
203430 MLB CTXMIN 65% 296264 631016 27593 01 244320364684 120288 209 308 95 -2 -0 -4 -3 +6 -0.3
203531 MLB CTXMIN 65% 284254 611016 26582 01 239315354669 115285 209 302 90 -3 -0 -4 -3 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 23252069 51384852 21444722 178 248325372697 124291 199 315 95 -3 +0 -21 -25 +50 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 14323215 601256 52 247324372696 125290 199 315 95 -1 +0 -6 -7 +14 0.0
Career— MLE — 60585405 134621130115 547115659 6132 249325363688 114295 199 308 95 -5 +0 -35 -41 +83 0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 14423312 591246 73 248324360684 112295 199 308 95 -1 +0 -6 -7 +14 0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASt. Paul Saints · 335 PAwOBA .348 → .317 (−31)K% 15.8% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.82%÷1.000×1.200——18.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.84%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0509.30%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.940—×1.0500.59%
Singles /BIP25.43%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.05026.08%
Doubles /BIP5.60%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0505.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0502.53%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .348 → .317; ISO .130 → .106; BABIP .317 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 102 PAwOBA .370 → .328 (−42)K% 19.6% → 23.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.61%÷1.000×1.220——23.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.82%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0276.34%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.870—×1.0272.63%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.02721.57%
Doubles /BIP7.25%÷1.000×0.840×1.050×1.0276.56%
Triples /BIP1.45%÷1.000×0.940×1.050×1.0271.47%
Home runs /BIP5.80%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0274.76%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .370 → .328; ISO .213 → .183; BABIP .318 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAWichita Wind Surge · 491 PAwOBA .370 → .335 (−36)K% 13.2% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.24%÷0.941×1.220——17.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.65%÷0.992×0.700—×1.04210.03%
HBP% /PA1.22%—×0.870—×1.0421.11%
Singles /BIP26.53%÷1.025×0.920×1.050×1.04226.05%
Doubles /BIP4.66%÷1.031×0.840×1.050×1.0424.16%
Triples /BIP1.17%÷1.150×0.940×1.050×1.0421.04%
Home runs /BIP3.21%÷0.986×0.800—×1.0422.71%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .370 → .335; ISO .140 → .124; BABIP .326 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 373 PAwOBA .347 → .292 (−55)K% 13.9% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.94%÷1.023×1.310——17.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.67%÷0.972×0.600—×1.0278.67%
HBP% /PA0.54%—×0.770—×1.0270.42%
Singles /BIP24.53%÷1.035×0.870×1.050×1.02722.22%
Doubles /BIP7.17%÷1.000×0.780×1.050×1.0276.03%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷0.946×0.850×1.050×1.0271.10%
Home runs /BIP1.13%÷0.926×0.880—×1.0271.10%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .347 → .292; ISO .107 → .099; BABIP .330 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 257 PAwOBA .280 → .247 (−33)K% 15.6% → 20.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.56%÷0.955×1.270——20.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.17%÷1.024×0.710—×1.0425.90%
HBP% /PA0.39%—×0.790—×1.0420.32%
Singles /BIP21.76%÷1.013×0.920×1.050×1.04221.63%
Doubles /BIP4.15%÷0.966×0.810×1.050×1.0423.80%
Triples /BIP1.04%÷1.150×0.850×1.050×1.0420.84%
Home runs /BIP1.55%÷1.033×0.800—×1.0421.25%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .280 → .247; ISO .090 → .074; BABIP .274 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Brewers · 15 PAwOBA .601 → .477 (−124)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA0.00%÷0.969×1.440——0.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.998×0.620—×0.9950.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷0.991×0.820—×0.99532.94%
Doubles /BIP20.00%÷0.952×0.720—×0.99515.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.923×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.898×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .601 → .477; ISO .200 → .151; BABIP .600 → .480. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ACarolina Mudcats · 446 PAwOBA .310 → .265 (−45)K% 15.7% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.70%÷0.977×1.360——21.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.90%÷0.975×0.690—×1.04510.28%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.780—×1.0450.91%
Singles /BIP24.43%÷1.034×0.920×1.050×1.04523.86%
Doubles /BIP3.58%÷1.036×0.830×1.050×1.0453.15%
Triples /BIP0.33%÷1.150×0.910×1.050×1.0450.28%
Home runs /BIP1.63%÷1.136×0.800—×1.0451.20%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .310 → .265; ISO .074 → .058; BABIP .286 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 138 PAwOBA .381 → .308 (−73)K% 8.7% → 12.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.70%÷1.006×1.440——12.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.32%÷0.970×0.620—×1.0228.05%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.720—×1.0221.07%
Singles /BIP22.86%÷0.999×0.820×1.050×1.02220.14%
Doubles /BIP8.57%÷0.999×0.720×1.050×1.0226.63%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.050×0.720×1.050×1.0222.10%
Home runs /BIP0.95%÷0.948×0.780—×1.0220.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .381 → .308; ISO .154 → .123; BABIP .343 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .