Casey Kotchman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 30 | A+MIA | 69 | .295/.377/.361 | 0 | 0 | 74 | — | .250/.304/.312 | |
| 2013 | 30 | MLBMIA | 21 | .000/.048/.000 | 0 | 0 | -91 | -0.7 | ||
| 2015 | 32 | AAAKC | 361 | .290/.375/.426 | 7 | 1 | 79 | — | .245/.297/.346 | |
| 2016 | 33 | AAATOR | 376 | .256/.343/.383 | 8 | 1 | 65 | — | .220/.282/.318 | |
| 2017 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 21 | MLB | Anaheim Angels | — | 128 | 116 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 224 | 291 | 276 | 567 | 52 | 245 | 9 | 5 | 263 | 53 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2005 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 143 | 126 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 355 | 484 | 839 | 206 | 275 | 13 | 10 | 365 | 133 | +6 | -0 | -3 | -10 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA | Salt Lake Stingers | — | 413 | 360 | 103 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 286 | 373 | 439 | 812 | 153 | 297 | 10 | 10 | 362 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 88 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 221 | 215 | 436 | 63 | 169 | 15 | 8 | 201 | 22 | -8 | -0 | +2 | -2 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 508 | 443 | 131 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 296 | 376 | 467 | 843 | 172 | 305 | 8 | 10 | 369 | 135 | +21 | -1 | +4 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 573 | 525 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 330 | 410 | 739 | 137 | 272 | 7 | 6 | 330 | 105 | +4 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 431 | 385 | 103 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 341 | 382 | 723 | 114 | 283 | 10 | 9 | 326 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -8 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 457 | 414 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 283 | 336 | 619 | 118 | 229 | 12 | 8 | 278 | 70 | -16 | +0 | -9 | -8 | +10 | -2.4 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 563 | 500 | 153 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 306 | 380 | 422 | 802 | 116 | 335 | 12 | 9 | 361 | 125 | +17 | -0 | -10 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 500 | 463 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 280 | 333 | 613 | 104 | 233 | 10 | 5 | 276 | 71 | -17 | +1 | -9 | -9 | +11 | -2.5 |
| 2013 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 21 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 48 | 5 | 5 | 33 | -91 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +0 | -0.7 | ||||
| 2013 | 30 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 69 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 377 | 361 | 737 | 66 | 333 | 10 | 10 | 339 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 361 | 317 | 92 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 290 | 375 | 426 | 801 | 136 | 305 | 9 | 11 | 360 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 376 | 332 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 343 | 383 | 726 | 127 | 264 | 9 | 10 | 330 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3412 | 3071 | 799 | 157 | 7 | 71 | 267 | 339 | 43 | 14 | 9 | 260 | 328 | 385 | 713 | 125 | 271 | 10 | 8 | 319 | 102 | +9 | -1 | -28 | -70 | +74 | -1.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 21 | MLB MLE | Anaheim Angels | — | 128 | 119 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 268 | 269 | 537 | 50 | 245 | 9 | 3 | 246 | 53 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2005 | 22 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 143 | 126 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 355 | 484 | 839 | 206 | 275 | 13 | 10 | 365 | 133 | +6 | -0 | -3 | -10 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Stingers | — | 413 | 372 | 99 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 266 | 334 | 392 | 727 | 126 | 286 | 13 | 8 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 88 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 221 | 215 | 436 | 63 | 169 | 15 | 8 | 201 | 22 | -8 | -0 | +2 | -2 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 508 | 444 | 131 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 295 | 374 | 466 | 840 | 171 | 305 | 8 | 10 | 368 | 135 | +21 | -1 | +4 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 573 | 530 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 321 | 406 | 727 | 136 | 272 | 7 | 5 | 324 | 105 | +4 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 431 | 391 | 103 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 327 | 376 | 703 | 113 | 283 | 10 | 8 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -8 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 457 | 420 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 270 | 331 | 601 | 117 | 229 | 12 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -16 | +0 | -9 | -8 | +10 | -2.4 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 563 | 505 | 152 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 301 | 370 | 418 | 787 | 117 | 335 | 12 | 8 | 353 | 125 | +17 | -0 | -10 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 500 | 464 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 278 | 332 | 610 | 103 | 233 | 10 | 5 | 274 | 71 | -17 | +1 | -9 | -9 | +11 | -2.5 |
| 2013 | 30 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 21 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 48 | 5 | 5 | 33 | -91 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +0 | -0.7 | ||||
| 2013 | 30 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 69 | 64 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 304 | 312 | 617 | 62 | 294 | 14 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 361 | 335 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 297 | 346 | 643 | 101 | 266 | 11 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 376 | 346 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 282 | 318 | 600 | 98 | 235 | 11 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2004 | 21 | MLB MLE | Anaheim Angels | — | 128 | 119 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 268 | 269 | 537 | 50 | 239 | 9 | 3 | 246 | 53 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2004 | 21 | MLB RAW | Anaheim Angels | — | 128 | 116 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 224 | 291 | 276 | 567 | 52 | 245 | 9 | 5 | 263 | 53 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 498 | 134 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 269 | 339 | 416 | 755 | 147 | 285 | 13 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 556 | 486 | 138 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 58 | 58 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 284 | 368 | 451 | 819 | 167 | 292 | 10 | 10 | 363 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 88 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 221 | 215 | 436 | 63 | 169 | 15 | 8 | 201 | 22 | -8 | -0 | +2 | -2 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Angels | — | 88 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 221 | 215 | 436 | 63 | 169 | 15 | 8 | 201 | 22 | -8 | -0 | +2 | -2 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 508 | 444 | 131 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 295 | 374 | 466 | 840 | 171 | 304 | 8 | 10 | 368 | 135 | +21 | -1 | +4 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Angels | — | 508 | 443 | 131 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 296 | 376 | 467 | 843 | 172 | 305 | 8 | 10 | 369 | 135 | +21 | -1 | +4 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 573 | 530 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 321 | 406 | 727 | 136 | 269 | 7 | 5 | 324 | 105 | +4 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 573 | 525 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 330 | 410 | 739 | 137 | 272 | 7 | 6 | 330 | 105 | +4 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 431 | 391 | 103 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 327 | 376 | 703 | 113 | 278 | 10 | 8 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -8 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 431 | 385 | 103 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 341 | 382 | 723 | 114 | 283 | 10 | 9 | 326 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -8 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 457 | 420 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 270 | 331 | 601 | 117 | 226 | 12 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -16 | +0 | -9 | -8 | +10 | -2.4 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 457 | 414 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 283 | 336 | 619 | 118 | 229 | 12 | 8 | 278 | 70 | -16 | +0 | -9 | -8 | +10 | -2.4 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 563 | 505 | 152 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 301 | 370 | 418 | 787 | 117 | 329 | 12 | 8 | 353 | 125 | +17 | -0 | -10 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 563 | 500 | 153 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 306 | 380 | 422 | 802 | 116 | 335 | 12 | 9 | 361 | 125 | +17 | -0 | -10 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 500 | 464 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 278 | 332 | 610 | 103 | 233 | 10 | 5 | 274 | 71 | -17 | +1 | -9 | -9 | +11 | -2.5 |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 500 | 463 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 280 | 333 | 613 | 104 | 233 | 10 | 5 | 276 | 71 | -17 | +1 | -9 | -9 | +11 | -2.5 |
| 2013 | 30 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 90 | 84 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 244 | 238 | 483 | 48 | 219 | 12 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 90 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 272 | 572 | 49 | 247 | 9 | 9 | 268 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 361 | 335 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 297 | 346 | 643 | 101 | 266 | 11 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 361 | 317 | 92 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 290 | 375 | 426 | 801 | 136 | 305 | 9 | 11 | 360 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 376 | 346 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 282 | 318 | 600 | 98 | 234 | 11 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 376 | 332 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 343 | 383 | 726 | 127 | 264 | 9 | 10 | 330 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2004 | 21 | MLB MLE | Anaheim Angels | — | 128 | 119 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 268 | 269 | 537 | 50 | 245 | 9 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 498 | 134 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 269 | 339 | 416 | 755 | 147 | 283 | 13 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 88 | 81 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 221 | 210 | 431 | 62 | 169 | 15 | 8 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 508 | 447 | 131 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 293 | 374 | 463 | 837 | 170 | 305 | 8 | 10 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 573 | 528 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 271 | 321 | 407 | 728 | 136 | 272 | 7 | 5 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 431 | 391 | 103 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 327 | 376 | 703 | 113 | 283 | 10 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 457 | 422 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 270 | 329 | 599 | 116 | 229 | 12 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 563 | 503 | 152 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 302 | 370 | 419 | 789 | 117 | 335 | 12 | 8 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 500 | 464 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 278 | 332 | 610 | 103 | 233 | 10 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 90 | 84 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 244 | 238 | 483 | 48 | 225 | 12 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 361 | 333 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 297 | 348 | 646 | 102 | 266 | 11 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 376 | 343 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 321 | 603 | 99 | 235 | 11 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3412 | 3071 | 799 | 157 | 7 | 71 | 267 | 339 | 43 | 14 | 9 | 260 | 328 | 385 | 713 | 125 | 271 | 10 | 8 | 319 | 94 | +9 | -1 | -28 | -70 | +74 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 152 | 30 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 65 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 260 | 328 | 386 | 714 | 126 | 271 | 10 | 8 | 319 | 94 | +2 | -0 | -5 | -13 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4631 | 4215 | 1071 | 216 | 9 | 90 | 318 | 483 | 63 | 16 | 11 | 254 | 316 | 374 | 690 | 120 | 267 | 10 | 7 | 308 | 94 | +9 | -1 | -28 | -70 | +74 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 150 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 68 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 316 | 373 | 690 | 120 | 266 | 10 | 7 | 308 | 94 | +2 | -0 | -5 | -13 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 376 PAwOBA .321 → .265 (−56)K% 8.5% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.51% | ÷0.937 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.31% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.67% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×0.942 | 17.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.942 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.164 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.942 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .321 → .265; ISO .127 → .099; BABIP .264 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 361 PAwOBA .348 → .285 (−63)K% 8.9% → 11.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.86% | ÷0.999 | ×1.290 | — | — | 11.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.70% | ÷1.127 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.952 | 5.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.952 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.46% | ÷1.008 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 20.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷0.961 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.948 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.157 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.952 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .348 → .285; ISO .136 → .105; BABIP .305 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 69 PAwOBA .326 → .278 (−48)K% 10.1% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.019 | ×1.420 | — | — | 14.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷0.970 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.940 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 22.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.073 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .326 → .278; ISO .066 → .058; BABIP .333 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAASalt Lake Stingers · 413 PAwOBA .354 → .321 (−32)K% 9.7% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 12.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 1.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 21.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .354 → .321; ISO .153 → .132; BABIP .297 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).