Matt Koperniak — OGILVIE

Matt KoperniakLF Memphis Redbirds

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 208 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%24

BB%5

BABIP292

ISO50

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	144	133	36	7	0	3	9	20	2	1	2	271	326	391	717	120	300	14	6	323	105	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	18	14	6	3	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	429	556	643	1.198	214	545	17	11	524	241	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2021	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	228	183	59	15	0	4	30	32	12	3	1	322	449	470	919	148	367	14	13	410	164	+17	+0	—	—	+5	2.3
2022	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	385	111	13	2	14	40	82	5	11	4	288	363	442	804	153	331	19	9	354	126	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.4
2023	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	422	371	102	12	2	14	44	61	3	9	1	275	356	431	788	156	293	14	10	350	123	+12	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2023	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	145	128	41	3	1	4	15	27	0	2	5	320	392	453	845	133	374	19	10	373	139	+7	-2	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	463	143	28	3	20	43	96	4	5	6	309	373	512	884	203	351	19	8	387	148	+29	-1	—	—	+11	4.0
2024	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	49	43	9	0	1	0	5	14	1	4	0	209	306	256	562	47	310	29	10	267	67	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	27	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	479	118	19	2	14	48	103	4	9	3	246	320	382	702	136	283	19	9	314	99	-1	+1	—	—	+12	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	144	136	33	6	0	2	6	25	2	1	2	243	285	331	616	88	283	17	4	273	71	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2021	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	18	15	6	3	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	400	500	600	1.100	200	491	22	6	453	193	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2021	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	228	194	54	13	0	4	19	42	12	3	1	278	378	407	785	129	322	18	8	340	116	+4	+0	—	—	+5	1.0
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	399	105	13	2	10	26	98	5	11	4	263	316	381	697	118	315	22	6	305	93	-4	+1	—	—	+9	0.6
2023	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	422	385	92	11	2	10	30	74	3	9	1	239	299	356	655	117	264	18	7	288	81	-10	+1	—	—	+9	0.1
2023	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	145	133	39	3	1	3	10	33	0	2	5	293	343	398	741	105	359	23	7	324	105	+1	-2	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	477	127	25	2	13	29	121	4	5	6	266	314	409	723	143	329	24	6	317	101	+0	-1	—	—	+11	1.0
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	261	24	6	261	63	-24	+1	—	—	+12	-1.2
2021	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	390	345	93	21	0	6	26	71	16	4	3	270	349	383	731	113	321	18	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	390	330	101	25	0	7	41	55	16	4	3	306	408	445	854	139	347	14	11	383	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	399	105	13	2	10	26	98	5	11	4	263	316	381	697	118	322	22	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	385	111	13	2	14	40	82	5	11	4	288	363	442	804	153	331	19	9	354	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	518	130	13	3	13	40	107	3	11	6	251	308	363	671	112	290	19	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	567	499	143	15	3	18	59	88	3	11	6	287	365	437	802	150	313	16	10	356	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	562	522	141	28	3	15	32	133	5	9	6	270	318	421	740	151	334	24	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	562	506	152	28	4	20	48	110	5	9	6	300	367	490	857	190	348	20	9	377	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	266	24	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	479	118	19	2	14	48	103	4	9	3	246	320	382	702	136	283	19	9	314	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	390	345	93	21	0	6	26	71	16	4	3	270	349	383	731	113	315	18	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	403	105	13	2	10	26	98	5	11	4	261	316	377	693	117	315	22	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	519	130	13	3	13	40	107	3	11	6	250	308	362	671	112	288	19	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	562	520	141	28	3	15	32	133	5	9	6	271	318	423	742	152	329	24	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	261	24	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	519	130	13	3	13	40	107	3	11	6	250	308	362	671	112	288	19	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	562	520	141	28	3	15	32	133	5	9	6	271	318	423	742	152	329	24	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	536	493	106	15	2	11	34	130	4	9	3	215	271	320	592	105	261	24	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	STL	—	210	192	43	4	1	2	14	43	1	4	2	224	280	286	567	62	273	20	7	256	59	-10	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA RAW	STL	—	210	186	47	5	1	3	20	36	1	4	2	253	329	339	667	86	293	17	10	302	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AAA MLE	STL	10%	21	20	5	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	250	286	300	586	50	293	24	5	286	80	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	28	MLB CTX	STL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						292	0	0	278	80	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	STL	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	278	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AAA MLE	STL	—	231	212	48	5	1	2	15	48	1	4	2	226	281	288	568	61	279	21	6	259	61	-11	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	STL	27%	323	296	70	10	1	6	22	72	2	4	2	236	294	338	632	101	294	22	7	289	82	-7	+0	-1	-3	+7	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	STL	27%	88	81	19	3	0	2	6	20	1	1	1	235	295	346	641	111	293	23	7	281	82	-2	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	90	83	19	3	0	2	6	20	1	1	1	229	289	337	626	108	279	22	7	281	88	-2	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	137	22	0	14	43	144	7	7	7	229	288	336	623	107	279	22	7	281	88	-14	-1	-3	-7	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2836	2593	650	101	11	61	181	616	35	48	24	251	308	369	677	118	304	22	6	298	88	-8	+0	-1	-4	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	149	23	3	14	41	141	8	11	6	251	307	370	678	120	304	22	6	298	88	-14	+0	-3	-7	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Koperniak (OGILVIE)	28	50	45	50	45	237/291/340	102	293	5	4	22%	6%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dominic Smith 2023 · MLB	28	49→55	46→50	46→40	46	242/306/377	135	293	14	5	22%	7%	94	+0.9	243/310/366	123	292	13	4	20%	8%	93	+0.8	244/312/367	122	291	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Trenton Brooks 2023 · AAA	28	46→50	47→50	49→45	50	230/299/368	138	276	14	5	22%	8%	89	+0.5	235/316/381	146	272	16	8	19%	10%	99	+1.2	228/315/373	145	261	17	8	19%	11%	95	+0.8
✕Jon Weber 2006 · AA	28	52→55	44→50	47→50	45	254/300/378	124	302	11	10	20%	6%	91	+0.6	243/294/364	121	290	10	11	19%	6%	85	+0.2	243/300/380	137	299	12	8	22%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Jack Larsen 2023 · AA	28	49→50	46→50	48→45	49	240/313/376	136	314	13	9	27%	9%	96	+1.0	236/317/340	104	326	9	9	27%	10%	88	+0.5	243/361/268	25	373	0	4	29%	14%	88	+0.1
✕Jesus Cota 2010 · AAA	28	50→56	46→50	49→50	43	251/287/386	135	282	14	11	17%	4%	88	+0.4	246/284/370	124	282	14	8	18%	5%	83	+0.1	238/276/351	114	275	14	6	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Joey Rickard 2019 · MLB	28	48→58	44→45	50→55	46	235/293/355	120	284	12	11	21%	7%	84	+0.1	242/311/388	146	300	14	9	23%	8%	98	+1.2	245/320/399	154	306	14	6	23%	8%	101	+1.1
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	50	43→45	47→50	45	246/301/357	111	306	11	10	23%	7%	86	+0.3	250/316/363	113	325	12	9	25%	8%	94	+0.9	259/328/357	98	338	10	5	25%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Shane Peterson 2016 · MLB	28	52→58	43→50	49→50	46	248/309/366	117	335	10	7	28%	8%	91	+0.7	239/286/374	135	318	13	10	28%	6%	85	+0.2	213/256/343	130	291	13	8	30%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Bijan Rademacher 2018 · AAA	27	52→49	43→45	45	49	250/314/366	116	307	10	5	22%	8%	93	+0.8	224/277/308	84	287	7	6	23%	7%	66	-1.1	204/254/247	43	264	3	3	22%	6%	42	-1.9
✕Doug Deeds 2009 · AAA	28	52→59	46→50	49→45	42	252/302/392	140	336	13	7	28%	6%	95	+1.0	235/283/370	135	313	11	8	27%	6%	83	+0.1	223/274/357	134	294	11	7	27%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Cedric Hunter 2016 · AAA	28	49→57	47→50	47→50	46	245/288/381	136	271	14	11	16%	5%	87	+0.4	234/267/350	116	274	12	10	19%	4%	72	-0.7	245/287/377	133	271	14	5	16%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Roman Pena 2014 · AAA	27	52→57	45→50	51→45	44	249/304/379	131	333	11	10	28%	7%	93	+0.8	205/276/344	139	315	15	8	37%	9%	75	-0.5	184/257/317	133	285	15	7	39%	9%	61	-0.8
✕Jason Conti 2003 · MLB	28	51→41	44→45	50	47	245/305/375	130	309	10	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	229/284/359	130	302	13	7	27%	7%	81	-0.1	209/257/318	109	276	12	4	28%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Jason Coats 2018 · MLB	28	51→50	45→50	45	42	248/296/379	131	306	12	8	23%	5%	91	+0.6	212/251/354	142	271	16	7	28%	4%	68	-1.0	196/231/336	140	247	16	6	28%	4%	53	-1.4
✕Caleb Gindl 2018 · AAA	29	46→54	49→50	50	43	233/275/387	153	279	16	5	23%	6%	84	+0.1	246/298/370	124	307	10	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5	262/316/362	100	327	6	0	20%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Travis Ishikawa 2012 · MLB	28	48→49	44→55	46→45	47	235/303/353	118	307	11	6	26%	8%	87	+0.4	237/307/370	133	312	12	4	26%	8%	93	+0.8	238/309/373	135	313	13	1	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→51	44→50	51→50	47	222/287/337	115	283	11	11	25%	8%	77	-0.3	221/280/328	107	301	9	10	28%	7%	72	-0.7	223/273/312	90	329	4	9	32%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Buck Britton 2014 · AAA	28	51→54	43→45	45	45	249/289/364	115	284	10	7	17%	5%	83	+0.1	233/270/343	110	265	11	7	16%	5%	72	-0.7	223/259/324	101	253	10	6	16%	4%	61	-1.0
✕Jordan Danks 2015 · MLB	28	48→50	45	47→50	46	233/301/354	120	324	14	11	31%	9%	86	+0.3	223/276/324	101	320	10	9	31%	6%	70	-0.8	213/257/288	75	311	6	6	32%	5%	51	-1.7
✕Matthew den Dekker 2016 · MLB	28	49→58	45→50	51→55	46	241/299/371	131	300	11	14	23%	7%	89	+0.5	205/260/328	123	279	12	17	29%	6%	65	-1.2	191/241/312	122	265	12	18	32%	6%	52	-1.3