David Lough

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1986-01-20

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	29	AAABAL	62	.259/.295/.310	0	1	50	—	.237/.262/.288
2015	29	MLBBAL	144	.201/.241/.313	4	2	47	-0.7
2016	30	AAANew Orleans Z…	171	.258/.314/.348	1	2	51	—	.219/.260/.300
2016	30	MLBPHI	79	.239/.346/.313	0	1	87	-0.1
2017	31	AAACLE	75	.225/.257/.268	0	0	24	—	.194/.216/.222
2018	32	No MLB games played
2019	33	No MLB games played
2020	34	No MLB games played
2021	35	No MLB games played
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2016

Speed52

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	21	ROK	Burlington Royals	—	92	86	29	6	0	2	4	13	2	6	1	337	380	477	857	140	380	14	4	382	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A	Burlington Bees	—	543	488	131	21	11	16	35	70	10	12	11	268	330	455	785	186	285	13	6	341	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	253	236	78	13	2	9	12	30	3	13	4	331	371	517	887	186	350	12	5	388	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	250	222	71	15	2	5	12	34	7	6	4	320	373	473	846	153	357	14	5	363	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Omaha Royals	—	532	460	129	15	12	11	40	72	8	14	5	280	348	437	785	157	310	14	8	334	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	516	456	145	26	11	9	36	49	4	14	8	318	373	482	855	164	335	9	7	363	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	78	70	14	0	1	1	2	13	3	1	3	200	253	271	525	71	232	17	3	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	65	59	14	2	1	0	4	9	1	1	0	237	297	305	602	68	275	14	6	272	70	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.0
2012	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	544	491	135	19	11	10	25	65	8	26	4	275	321	420	740	145	296	12	5	317	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	335	315	90	17	4	5	10	52	3	5	2	286	314	413	727	127	326	16	3	316	102	+1	+0	+5	-5	+7	0.8
2013	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	172	154	52	6	3	3	11	21	3	5	5	338	393	474	867	136	374	12	6	377	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	197	174	43	6	3	4	15	33	1	8	5	247	311	385	696	138	283	17	8	301	86	-3	-0	+3	-2	+4	0.1
2015	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	144	134	27	1	1	4	5	36	2	2	4	201	241	313	555	112	245	25	3	244	47	-9	-1	+2	-2	+3	-0.7
2015	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	62	58	15	1	1	0	3	9	0	1	1	259	295	310	605	52	300	15	5	270	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	79	67	16	3	1	0	9	8	2	1	2	239	346	313	660	75	267	10	11	305	87	-1	-1	+2	-3	+2	-0.1
2016	30	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	171	155	40	9	1	1	12	22	1	2	0	258	314	348	662	90	293	13	7	296	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	75	71	16	3	0	0	2	16	1	0	3	225	257	268	524	42	291	21	3	237	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	820	749	190	29	10	13	43	138	9	17	13	254	302	371	673	117	293	17	5	295	86	-14	-2	+11	-10	+18	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	21	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	—	92	88	22	4	0	2	2	18	2	6	1	250	283	364	646	114	302	20	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	543	500	116	17	10	13	23	95	10	12	11	232	280	384	664	152	256	17	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	253	239	72	11	2	7	9	37	3	13	4	301	335	452	787	151	329	15	4	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	250	226	65	13	2	4	8	48	7	6	4	288	332	416	748	128	326	19	3	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	532	474	123	14	9	10	27	97	8	14	5	259	310	390	701	131	287	18	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	516	468	146	23	11	6	24	65	4	14	8	312	351	447	797	135	327	13	5	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	65	59	14	2	1	0	4	9	1	1	0	237	297	305	602	68	275	14	6	272	70	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.0
2012	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	544	502	125	17	10	8	14	81	8	26	4	249	281	371	651	122	267	15	3	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	335	315	90	17	4	5	10	52	3	5	2	286	314	413	727	127	326	16	3	319	102	+1	+0	+5	-5	+7	0.8
2013	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	172	158	47	5	3	2	7	28	3	5	5	297	339	405	744	108	342	16	4	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	197	174	43	6	3	4	15	33	1	8	5	247	311	385	696	138	283	17	8	296	86	-3	-0	+3	-2	+4	0.1
2015	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	144	134	27	1	1	4	5	36	2	2	4	201	241	313	555	112	245	25	3	237	47	-9	-1	+2	-2	+3	-0.7
2015	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	62	59	14	1	1	0	2	11	0	1	1	237	262	288	550	51	285	18	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	79	68	16	3	1	0	8	8	2	1	2	235	333	309	642	74	267	10	10	296	87	-1	-1	+2	-3	+2	-0.1
2016	30	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	171	160	35	8	1	1	8	28	1	2	0	219	260	300	560	81	252	16	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	75	72	14	2	0	0	1	19	1	0	3	194	216	222	438	28	275	25	1	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	—	92	88	22	4	0	2	2	18	2	6	1	250	283	364	646	114	294	20	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK RAW	Burlington Royals	—	92	86	29	6	0	2	4	13	2	6	1	337	380	477	857	140	380	14	4	382	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	543	500	116	17	10	13	23	95	10	12	11	232	280	384	664	152	261	17	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A RAW	Burlington Bees	—	543	488	131	21	11	16	35	70	10	12	11	268	330	455	785	186	285	13	6	341	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	503	466	138	24	4	12	16	85	10	19	8	296	333	442	775	146	340	17	3	326	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	503	458	149	28	4	14	24	64	10	19	8	325	372	496	868	170	353	13	5	375	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	532	474	123	14	9	10	27	97	8	14	5	259	310	390	701	131	305	18	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	Omaha Royals	—	532	460	129	15	12	11	40	72	8	14	5	280	348	437	785	157	310	14	8	334	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	594	537	167	26	12	7	27	75	7	15	11	311	352	443	795	132	346	13	5	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	594	526	159	26	12	10	38	62	7	15	11	302	357	454	812	152	323	10	6	346	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	609	561	138	19	10	8	18	90	9	27	4	246	281	358	639	112	277	15	3	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	609	550	149	21	12	10	29	74	9	27	4	271	318	407	725	136	294	12	5	312	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	507	473	139	22	7	8	17	80	6	10	7	294	327	421	747	127	337	16	3	321	103	+2	-1	+5	-5	+11	1.2
2013	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	507	469	142	23	7	8	21	73	6	10	7	303	341	433	774	130	342	14	4	337	103	+2	-1	+5	-5	+11	1.2
2014	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	197	174	43	6	3	4	15	33	1	8	5	247	311	385	696	138	283	17	8	296	86	-3	-0	+3	-2	+4	0.1
2014	28	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	197	174	43	6	3	4	15	33	1	8	5	247	311	385	696	138	283	17	8	301	86	-3	-0	+3	-2	+4	0.1
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	206	193	41	2	2	4	7	47	2	3	5	212	248	306	553	93	259	23	3	239	48	-13	-1	+2	-2	+4	-1.0
2015	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	206	192	42	2	2	4	8	45	2	3	5	219	257	312	570	94	264	22	4	252	48	-13	-1	+2	-2	+4	-1.0
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	250	228	51	11	2	1	16	36	3	3	2	224	283	303	586	79	259	14	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	250	222	56	12	2	1	21	30	3	3	2	252	324	338	662	86	285	12	8	299	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	75	72	14	2	0	0	1	19	1	0	3	194	216	222	438	28	264	25	1	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	75	71	16	3	0	0	2	16	1	0	3	225	257	268	524	42	291	21	3	237	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	—	92	88	22	4	0	2	2	18	2	6	1	250	283	364	646	114	302	20	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	543	505	116	17	10	13	23	95	10	12	11	230	280	380	660	150	256	17	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	503	472	138	24	4	12	16	85	10	19	8	292	333	436	770	144	328	17	3	326	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	532	492	123	14	9	10	27	97	8	14	5	250	310	376	686	126	287	18	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	594	555	167	26	12	7	27	75	7	15	11	301	352	429	781	128	327	13	5	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	609	577	138	19	10	8	18	90	9	27	4	239	281	348	629	109	268	15	3	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	507	479	139	22	7	8	17	80	6	10	7	290	327	415	742	125	331	16	3	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	197	179	43	6	3	4	15	33	1	8	5	240	311	374	685	134	283	17	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	206	195	41	2	2	4	7	47	2	3	5	210	248	303	550	92	257	23	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	250	229	51	11	2	1	16	36	3	3	2	223	283	301	585	79	257	14	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	75	73	14	2	0	0	1	19	1	0	3	192	216	219	435	27	275	25	1	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	820	749	190	29	10	13	43	138	9	17	13	254	302	371	673	117	293	17	5	295	87	-14	-2	+11	-10	+18	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	150	23	8	10	34	109	7	13	10	253	301	369	669	116	292	17	5	295	87	-11	-1	+8	-8	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4108	3766	992	147	59	69	169	675	59	117	62	263	305	389	694	125	302	16	4	297	87	-14	-2	+11	-10	+18	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	156	23	9	11	27	107	9	19	10	262	304	386	690	124	300	16	4	297	87	-11	-1	+8	-8	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 75 PAwOBA .230 → .204 (−26)K% 21.3% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.33%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	25.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.67%	÷1.089	×0.690	—	×0.962	1.63%
HBP% /PA	1.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.21%
Singles /BIP	23.64%	÷0.945	×0.930	×1.032	×0.962	23.09%
Doubles /BIP	5.45%	÷1.018	×0.830	×1.032	×0.962	4.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.032	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.231	×0.840	—	×0.962	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .230 → .204; ISO .042 → .033; BABIP .291 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 171 PAwOBA .288 → .243 (−44)K% 12.9% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.87%	÷1.027	×1.290	—	—	16.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.43%	÷0.964	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.61%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.56%
Singles /BIP	21.80%	÷1.041	×0.900	×1.027	×0.972	18.80%
Doubles /BIP	6.77%	÷0.929	×0.810	×1.027	×0.972	5.89%
Triples /BIP	0.75%	÷1.057	×0.810	×1.027	×0.972	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	0.75%	÷0.919	×0.780	—	×0.972	0.62%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 108, 2B 86, 3B 111, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .288 → .243; ISO .090 → .077; BABIP .293 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAANorfolk Tides · 62 PAwOBA .268 → .242 (−26)K% 14.5% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.52%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	18.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.84%	÷1.060	×0.690	—	×0.982	3.09%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.53%	÷0.989	×0.930	×1.043	×0.982	25.54%
Doubles /BIP	2.04%	÷0.979	×0.830	×1.043	×0.982	1.77%
Triples /BIP	2.04%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.043	×0.982	1.76%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.097	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .268 → .242; ISO .052 → .045; BABIP .300 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 172 PAwOBA .367 → .325 (−43)K% 12.2% → 16.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.21%	÷0.958	×1.290	—	—	16.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.81%	÷1.032	×0.710	—	×1.003	4.01%
HBP% /PA	1.74%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	1.71%
Singles /BIP	30.08%	÷1.007	×0.900	×1.033	×1.003	27.86%
Doubles /BIP	4.51%	÷0.973	×0.810	×1.033	×1.003	3.89%
Triples /BIP	2.26%	÷0.906	×0.810	×1.033	×1.003	2.09%
Home runs /BIP	2.26%	÷1.024	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.72%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 81, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .367 → .325; ISO .136 → .115; BABIP .374 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 544 PAwOBA .308 → .278 (−30)K% 11.9% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.95%	÷1.035	×1.290	—	—	14.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.68%	÷1.012	×0.710	—	×1.018	2.63%
HBP% /PA	1.47%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.47%
Singles /BIP	22.30%	÷1.010	×0.900	×1.013	×1.018	20.49%
Doubles /BIP	4.46%	÷0.949	×0.810	×1.013	×1.018	3.93%
Triples /BIP	2.58%	÷0.998	×0.810	×1.013	×1.018	2.16%
Home runs /BIP	2.35%	÷1.001	×0.780	—	×1.018	1.86%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .308 → .278; ISO .145 → .124; BABIP .296 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 516 PAwOBA .357 → .337 (−21)K% 9.5% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.50%	÷0.970	×1.290	—	—	12.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.40%	÷1.028	×0.710	—	×1.033	4.56%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.78%
Singles /BIP	24.32%	÷0.929	×0.900	×1.029	×1.033	25.03%
Doubles /BIP	6.39%	÷1.033	×0.810	×1.029	×1.033	5.32%
Triples /BIP	2.70%	÷0.932	×0.810	×1.029	×1.033	2.50%
Home runs /BIP	2.21%	÷1.161	×0.780	—	×1.033	1.53%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 86, 2B 107, 3B 86, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .357 → .337; ISO .164 → .138; BABIP .335 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAOmaha Royals · 532 PAwOBA .326 → .295 (−31)K% 13.5% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.53%	÷0.959	×1.290	—	—	18.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.14%	÷1.034	×0.710	—	×1.048	5.14%
HBP% /PA	1.50%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	1.54%
Singles /BIP	23.45%	÷1.002	×0.900	×1.015	×1.048	22.40%
Doubles /BIP	3.87%	÷0.932	×0.810	×1.015	×1.048	3.57%
Triples /BIP	3.09%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.015	×1.048	2.32%
Home runs /BIP	2.84%	÷0.967	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.40%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 100, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .326 → .295; ISO .157 → .134; BABIP .310 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 253 PAwOBA .377 → .338 (−39)K% 11.9% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.86%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.74%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	3.41%
HBP% /PA	1.19%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	1.06%
Singles /BIP	26.21%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.019	×1.027	25.23%
Doubles /BIP	6.31%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.019	×1.027	5.55%
Triples /BIP	0.97%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.019	×1.027	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	4.37%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	3.59%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .377 → .338; ISO .186 → .158; BABIP .350 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .