Steven Kwan
CF Cleveland Guardians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MLBCLE | 540 | .292/.368/.425 | 14 | 12 | 127 | 2.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBCLE | 693 | .272/.334/.374 | 11 | 21 | 98 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBCLE | 637 | .282/.383/.349 | 3 | 10 | 112 | 2.8 |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBCLE | 596 | .275/.360/.365 | 7 | 13 | 109 | 2.6 |
| 2028PROJ | 30 | MLBCLE | 614 | .271/.356/.355 | 7 | 10 | 105 | 2.2 |
| 2029PROJ | 31 | MLBCLE | 614 | .266/.350/.343 | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1.7 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Indians 1 | — | 50 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 350 | 480 | 450 | 930 | 100 | 378 | 6 | 18 | 423 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 542 | 479 | 134 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 53 | 51 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 280 | 356 | 382 | 738 | 102 | 305 | 9 | 10 | 331 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 120 | 103 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 311 | 398 | 505 | 903 | 194 | 300 | 7 | 12 | 393 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 221 | 193 | 65 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 337 | 413 | 539 | 952 | 202 | 354 | 10 | 10 | 413 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 638 | 563 | 168 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 60 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 298 | 375 | 400 | 775 | 101 | 323 | 9 | 10 | 348 | 121 | +16 | +2 | +3 | -7 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 718 | 638 | 171 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 75 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 268 | 343 | 370 | 713 | 102 | 294 | 10 | 10 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +3 | +4 | -8 | +16 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 540 | 480 | 140 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 292 | 368 | 425 | 793 | 133 | 304 | 9 | 10 | 356 | 127 | +17 | +0 | +3 | -6 | +12 | 2.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 693 | 625 | 170 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 55 | 60 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 272 | 334 | 374 | 708 | 102 | 283 | 9 | 8 | 316 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +6 | -7 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 637 | 539 | 152 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 85 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 282 | 383 | 349 | 732 | 67 | 312 | 10 | 13 | 335 | 112 | +9 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3226 | 2845 | 801 | 127 | 21 | 39 | 325 | 308 | 22 | 83 | 21 | 282 | 360 | 382 | 742 | 101 | 303 | 10 | 10 | 334 | 112 | +46 | +8 | +18 | -25 | +70 | 11.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 1 | — | 50 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 380 | 364 | 744 | 91 | 298 | 8 | 12 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 542 | 496 | 119 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 69 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 240 | 297 | 319 | 615 | 79 | 267 | 13 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 120 | 107 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 318 | 381 | 477 | 858 | 159 | 311 | 8 | 8 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 221 | 199 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 281 | 344 | 437 | 781 | 156 | 301 | 13 | 7 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 638 | 565 | 169 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 60 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 299 | 373 | 404 | 777 | 104 | 323 | 9 | 9 | 348 | 121 | +16 | +2 | +3 | -7 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 718 | 640 | 171 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 75 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 267 | 340 | 370 | 711 | 103 | 294 | 10 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +3 | +4 | -8 | +16 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 540 | 480 | 141 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 294 | 370 | 431 | 801 | 138 | 304 | 9 | 10 | 356 | 127 | +17 | +0 | +3 | -6 | +12 | 2.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 693 | 627 | 170 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 60 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 271 | 331 | 373 | 704 | 102 | 283 | 9 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +6 | -7 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 637 | 541 | 153 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 283 | 383 | 353 | 736 | 70 | 312 | 10 | 13 | 334 | 112 | +9 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 1 | — | 50 | 43 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 279 | 380 | 372 | 752 | 93 | 308 | 8 | 12 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians 1 | — | 50 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 350 | 480 | 450 | 930 | 100 | 378 | 6 | 18 | 423 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 542 | 496 | 119 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 69 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 240 | 297 | 319 | 615 | 79 | 270 | 13 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 542 | 479 | 134 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 53 | 51 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 280 | 356 | 382 | 738 | 102 | 305 | 9 | 10 | 331 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 341 | 306 | 91 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 38 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 297 | 360 | 461 | 821 | 163 | 313 | 11 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 341 | 296 | 97 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 328 | 408 | 527 | 935 | 199 | 335 | 9 | 11 | 406 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 638 | 565 | 169 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 60 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 299 | 373 | 404 | 777 | 104 | 324 | 9 | 9 | 348 | 121 | +16 | +2 | +3 | -7 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 638 | 563 | 168 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 60 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 298 | 375 | 400 | 775 | 101 | 323 | 9 | 10 | 348 | 121 | +16 | +2 | +3 | -7 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 718 | 640 | 171 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 75 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 267 | 340 | 370 | 711 | 103 | 293 | 10 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +3 | +4 | -8 | +16 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 718 | 638 | 171 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 75 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 268 | 343 | 370 | 713 | 102 | 294 | 10 | 10 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +3 | +4 | -8 | +16 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 540 | 480 | 141 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 294 | 370 | 431 | 801 | 138 | 306 | 9 | 10 | 356 | 127 | +17 | +0 | +3 | -6 | +12 | 2.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 540 | 480 | 140 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 292 | 368 | 425 | 793 | 133 | 304 | 9 | 10 | 356 | 127 | +17 | +0 | +3 | -6 | +12 | 2.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 693 | 627 | 170 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 60 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 271 | 331 | 373 | 704 | 102 | 282 | 9 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +6 | -7 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 693 | 625 | 170 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 55 | 60 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 272 | 334 | 374 | 708 | 102 | 283 | 9 | 8 | 316 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +6 | -7 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 637 | 541 | 153 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 283 | 383 | 353 | 736 | 70 | 313 | 10 | 13 | 334 | 112 | +9 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 637 | 539 | 152 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 85 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 282 | 383 | 349 | 732 | 67 | 312 | 10 | 13 | 335 | 112 | +9 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 1 | — | 50 | 43 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 279 | 380 | 372 | 752 | 93 | 298 | 8 | 12 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 542 | 497 | 119 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 69 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 239 | 297 | 318 | 615 | 78 | 267 | 13 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 341 | 308 | 91 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 38 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 295 | 360 | 458 | 818 | 162 | 305 | 11 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 638 | 566 | 169 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 60 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 299 | 373 | 403 | 776 | 104 | 323 | 9 | 9 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 718 | 641 | 171 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 75 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 267 | 340 | 370 | 710 | 103 | 294 | 10 | 9 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 540 | 477 | 141 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 296 | 370 | 434 | 804 | 138 | 304 | 9 | 10 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 693 | 632 | 170 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 60 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 331 | 370 | 701 | 101 | 283 | 9 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 637 | 544 | 153 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 281 | 383 | 351 | 734 | 70 | 312 | 10 | 13 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 540 | 477 | 141 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 296 | 370 | 434 | 804 | 138 | 304 | 9 | 10 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 693 | 632 | 170 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 60 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 331 | 370 | 701 | 101 | 283 | 9 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 637 | 544 | 153 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 281 | 383 | 351 | 734 | 70 | 312 | 10 | 13 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 596 | 521 | 143 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 58 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 275 | 360 | 365 | 725 | 90 | 296 | 10 | 11 | 330 | 109 | +7 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 2.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 596 | 521 | 143 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 66 | 58 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 275 | 360 | 365 | 725 | 89 | 296 | 10 | 11 | 330 | 109 | +7 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 2.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 614 | 538 | 146 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 67 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 271 | 356 | 356 | 712 | 85 | 293 | 10 | 11 | 324 | 105 | +4 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 614 | 539 | 143 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 67 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 265 | 350 | 343 | 693 | 78 | 289 | 10 | 11 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 614 | 540 | 139 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 258 | 342 | 327 | 669 | 69 | 284 | 11 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 614 | 538 | 146 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 67 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 271 | 356 | 355 | 711 | 84 | 294 | 10 | 11 | 324 | 105 | +4 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 614 | 539 | 143 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 67 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 266 | 350 | 343 | 693 | 77 | 290 | 10 | 11 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 614 | 540 | 139 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 258 | 342 | 326 | 669 | 68 | 284 | 11 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -4 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +13 | 1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 5068 | 4462 | 1229 | 186 | 27 | 57 | 525 | 501 | 32 | 100 | 28 | 275 | 356 | 368 | 723 | 92 | 298 | 10 | 10 | 327 | 105 | +46 | +9 | +19 | -19 | +110 | 16.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 157 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 67 | 64 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 274 | 354 | 364 | 718 | 89 | 297 | 10 | 10 | 327 | 105 | +6 | +1 | +2 | -2 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6597 | 5836 | 1597 | 238 | 45 | 77 | 652 | 670 | 45 | 132 | 40 | 274 | 351 | 369 | 721 | 96 | 296 | 10 | 10 | 324 | 105 | +53 | +10 | +22 | -17 | +123 | 19.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 157 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 64 | 66 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 273 | 350 | 369 | 719 | 96 | 295 | 10 | 10 | 324 | 105 | +6 | +1 | +2 | -2 | +14 | 2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAkron RubberDucks · 221 PAwOBA .404 → .342 (−62)K% 10.4% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.41% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.95% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 22.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.129 | ×0.870 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.116 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷0.893 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.64% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 123, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .404 → .342; ISO .202 → .172; BABIP .354 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 120 PAwOBA .383 → .360 (−23)K% 6.7% → 8.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 7.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.67% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.21% | ÷0.949 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 25.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 3.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.73% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .383 → .360; ISO .194 → .160; BABIP .300 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 542 PAwOBA .325 → .275 (−51)K% 9.4% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.41% | ÷1.046 | ×1.420 | — | — | 12.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.59% | ÷0.921 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.90% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.07% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.999 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.70% | ÷0.850 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 100, K 109, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .325 → .275; ISO .102 → .084; BABIP .305 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Indians 1 · 50 PAwOBA .413 → .314 (−99)K% 6.0% → 8.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 8.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 10.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 24.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .413 → .314; ISO .100 → .076; BABIP .378 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).