Steven Kwan — OGILVIE

Steven KwanLF Cleveland Guardians

Age 28 L/L 5'8" / 170 lbs MLB Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION354 act + 339 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 99117vR 124

AVG/OBP/SLG.269 / .354 / .357

PA339

HR3

SB8

K%10

BB%11

BABIP293

ISO88

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

902.4%

xwOBA

590.319

POWER35

Barrel%

101.8

Avg EV

1085.5

Bat Spd

1062.7

EYE60

Chase%

9018.7%

SPEED50

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1345 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

416

929

—

wRC+

116

▶▶R

wOBA

301

337

▶R

ISO

070

130

▶▶R

BABIP

291

288

—

10.3%

8.6%

▶▶R

BB%

7.7%

9.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.8	$3M	-$0.0M
2027	Arb-3	$14M	+3.1	$23M	+$11M
Totals		$17M		$26M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	ROK	AZL Indians 1	—	50	43	13	2	1	0	6	4	1	2	0	302	400	395	795	93	333	8	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK	AZL Indians 1	—	50	40	14	2	1	0	9	3	1	2	0	350	480	450	930	100	378	6	18	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	542	493	119	18	5	4	39	66	4	11	7	241	302	323	625	81	269	12	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	542	479	134	26	7	3	53	51	4	11	7	280	356	382	738	102	305	9	10	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	341	306	88	11	3	12	26	41	4	6	2	288	351	461	812	173	299	12	8	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	341	296	97	15	4	12	36	31	4	6	2	328	408	527	935	199	335	9	11	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	638	563	167	25	7	6	62	60	7	19	5	297	373	398	771	101	321	9	10	341	119	+14	+2	+3	-7	+18	3.0
2022	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	638	563	168	25	7	6	62	60	7	19	5	298	375	400	775	101	323	9	10	348	124	+18	+2	+3	-7	+18	3.4
2023	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	718	638	170	36	7	5	70	75	3	21	3	266	342	368	710	102	293	10	10	315	99	-1	+3	+4	-8	+20	1.9
2023	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	718	638	171	36	7	5	70	75	3	21	3	268	343	370	713	102	294	10	10	321	104	+3	+3	+4	-8	+20	2.3
2024	26	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	540	480	139	16	3	14	53	51	5	12	5	290	366	423	789	133	301	9	10	351	127	+16	+0	+3	-6	+15	3.0
2024	26	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	540	480	140	16	3	14	53	51	5	12	5	292	368	425	793	133	304	9	10	356	130	+18	+0	+3	-6	+15	3.2
2025	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	693	625	169	29	1	11	55	60	3	21	5	270	332	373	705	102	282	9	8	310	95	-4	+2	+6	-7	+20	1.7
2025	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	693	625	170	29	1	11	55	60	3	21	5	272	334	374	708	102	283	9	8	316	100	+0	+2	+6	-7	+20	2.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	CLE	—	354	299	67	10	2	1	46	36	3	6	1	224	333	281	614	57	250	10	13	281	73	-11	+1	+2	+1	+10	0.3
YTD	28	MLB	CLE	—	354	298	67	10	2	1	46	36	3	6	1	225	333	282	615	57	251	10	13	286	77	-9	+1	+2	+1	+10	0.5
ROS	28	MLB	CLE	100%	339	297	80	13	2	3	37	33	2	8	2	269	354	357	711	88	293	10	11	328	109	+4	+1	+5	-4	+10	1.5
ROS	28	MLB	CLE	100%	339	297	80	13	2	3	37	33	2	8	2	269	354	357	711	88	294	10	11	323	105	+2	+1	+5	-4	+10	1.4
FULL	28	MLB	CLE	—	693	596	147	23	4	4	83	69	5	14	3	247	344	319	662	72	271	10	12	302	89	-9	+2	+6	-2	+20	1.7
TOT	28	MLB	CLE	—	693	596	147	23	4	4	83	69	5	14	3	247	344	319	662	72	271	10	12	304	91	-7	+2	+6	-2	+20	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CLE	100%	660	578	159	26	4	6	72	66	5	14	3	275	360	365	725	90	299	10	11	331	112	+9	+2	+8	-7	+19	3.1
2028	30	MLB	CLE	100%	660	578	157	25	4	6	72	67	5	12	3	272	357	360	717	88	298	10	11	328	109	+7	+1	+7	-7	+19	2.8
2029	31	MLB	CLE	100%	652	572	153	24	4	5	71	68	4	11	2	267	352	350	702	82	295	10	11	323	105	+4	+1	+7	-7	+18	2.4
2030	32	MLB	CLE	100%	639	560	147	22	4	5	70	70	4	9	2	263	349	343	691	80	290	11	11	315	100	-0	+1	+6	-7	+18	1.8
2027	29	MLB	CLE	100%	660	578	159	26	4	6	72	66	5	14	3	275	360	365	725	90	300	10	11	327	108	+6	+2	+8	-7	+19	2.8
2028	30	MLB	CLE	100%	660	578	158	25	4	6	72	67	5	12	3	273	359	362	720	88	298	10	11	323	106	+4	+1	+7	-7	+19	2.5
2029	31	MLB	CLE	100%	652	572	153	24	4	5	71	68	4	11	2	267	352	350	702	82	295	10	11	318	102	+1	+1	+7	-7	+18	2.1
2030	32	MLB	CLE	100%	639	560	147	22	4	5	70	70	4	9	2	263	349	343	691	80	291	11	11	311	96	-3	+1	+6	-7	+18	1.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5539	4891	1346	216	36	61	562	550	38	127	30	275	354	371	726	96	298	10	10	326	108	+50	+13	+49	-59	+157	21.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	157	25	4	7	66	65	4	15	4	274	352	368	720	94	296	10	10	326	108	+6	+1	+6	-7	+18	2.5
Career	—			—	6472	5733	1561	247	45	77	633	661	47	146	39	272	349	371	721	99	295	10	10	323	106	+41	+14	+49	-69	+183	22.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	158	25	5	8	64	66	5	15	4	274	352	377	729	102	296	10	10	323	106	+4	+1	+5	-7	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	ROK	AZL Indians 1	—	50	40	14	2	1	0	9	3	1	2	0	350	480	450	930	100	378	6	18	423	182	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2019	21	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	542	479	134	26	7	3	53	51	4	11	7	280	356	382	738	102	305	9	10	331	112	+7	-1	—	—	+15	2.2
2021	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	120	103	32	3	1	5	14	8	1	2	0	311	398	505	903	194	300	7	12	393	159	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2021	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	221	193	65	12	3	7	22	23	3	4	2	337	413	539	952	202	354	10	10	413	174	+19	+0	—	—	+6	2.5
2022	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	638	563	168	25	7	6	62	60	7	19	5	298	375	400	775	101	323	9	10	348	124	+18	+2	+3	-7	+18	3.4
2023	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	718	638	171	36	7	5	70	75	3	21	3	268	343	370	713	102	294	10	10	321	104	+3	+3	+4	-8	+20	2.3
2024	26	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	540	480	140	16	3	14	53	51	5	12	5	292	368	425	793	133	304	9	10	356	130	+18	+0	+3	-6	+15	3.2
2025	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	693	625	170	29	1	11	55	60	3	21	5	272	334	374	708	102	283	9	8	316	100	+0	+2	+6	-7	+20	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2589	2306	649	106	18	36	240	246	18	73	18	281	354	390	744	108	300	10	9	333	113	+39	+7	+16	-28	+73	11.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	13	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
	/162	664	14	27	256	341	398	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#2Randy Winnlast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,175 PA	11	6,175	107	180	286	345	422	-50	+27	27.7	26.6
	/162	664	12	19	286	345	422	-5.4	+2.9	3.0	pk7: 25
#3Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	14	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
	/162	664	17	10	257	338	410	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#4Darin Erstadlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,564 PA	10	4,564	72	120	282	334	395	-33	+28	16.3	16.3
	/162	664	10	17	282	334	395	-4.8	+4.1	2.4	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	6,247	70	143	273	349	370	-67	+34	16.2	15.2
	/162	664	7	15	273	349	370	-7.1	+3.6	1.7	pk7: 14
#5Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	12	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
	/162	664	11	12	275	322	403	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
#6Norichika Aokilast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,044 PA	6	3,044	33	98	285	350	387	-33	-15	7.4	7.4
	/162	664	7	21	285	350	387	-7.1	-3.4	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Kwan (OGILVIE)	28	60	35	50	60	247/344/319	72	271	4	14	10%	12%	91	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Fuld 2010 · MLB	28	53→57	40→45	54→60	55	252/317/354	103	277	5	18	12%	8%	90	+1.0	235/303/341	106	264	6	24	13%	9%	81	+0.4	229/300/330	102	258	5	28	13%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Nicky Lopez 2023 · MLB	28	54→64	36→40	55	52	253/312/322	70	291	3	17	14%	8%	80	+0.4	239/309/308	69	282	3	12	15%	8%	76	+0.0	250/314/308	57	296	2	10	15%	7%	76	+0.0
✕JB Shuck 2015 · MLB	28	55→61	38→40	49→50	50	256/299/340	84	277	5	11	10%	6%	79	+0.3	237/283/332	95	257	6	11	10%	6%	70	-0.3	226/281/319	94	253	6	11	13%	7%	64	-0.4
✕David Fletcher 2022 · MLB	28	58→62	38→45	50	51	273/318/357	83	296	5	11	10%	6%	91	+1.1	251/292/328	77	275	5	10	10%	5%	72	-0.2	244/285/306	62	269	4	10	11%	5%	60	-0.6
●Tony Kemp 2021 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	50→55	56	242/325/364	122	271	11	15	15%	10%	98	+1.6	246/334/367	121	271	11	13	13%	10%	102	+1.9	238/327/349	110	260	9	15	12%	10%	93	+0.9
●Eric Sogard 2014 · MLB	28	54→57	42→45	51→55	51	257/313/368	110	285	8	16	13%	7%	92	+1.2	242/300/319	77	274	4	14	13%	7%	74	-0.1	250/336/373	123	285	11	10	15%	11%	100	+1.1
✕Jesus Romo 2012 · AAA	28	59→64	38→40	45→50	52	282/338/362	81	326	5	11	15%	8%	101	+1.8	258/313/361	103	309	9	8	18%	7%	91	+1.1	258/314/349	91	313	7	0	19%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Eric Filia 2021 · AAA	29	52→60	41→40	48→45	52	248/314/353	105	280	7	6	14%	8%	89	+1.0	245/318/364	119	293	11	12	19%	9%	94	+1.3	261/345/367	105	307	9	11	17%	10%	104	+0.6
●Maicer Izturis 2009 · MLB	28	57→61	42→45	52→55	57	272/336/381	109	292	8	16	10%	9%	105	+2.1	272/336/394	122	296	9	15	11%	8%	109	+2.4	277/341/397	121	304	8	15	11%	8%	108	+1.5
✕Mike O'Neill 2015 · AAA	27	59→69	35→30	46→50	56	277/337/341	64	307	2	10	10%	8%	95	+1.4	254/319/318	64	289	3	8	12%	9%	82	+0.5	273/349/299	27	306	0	6	10%	10%	87	+0.5
✕Daric Barton 2014 · MLB	28	50→57	42→45	45	61	239/337/346	108	279	9	5	17%	12%	98	+1.6	223/310/348	125	257	13	3	18%	10%	88	+0.9	204/295/338	135	229	16	1	19%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Cole Figueroa 2015 · MLB	28	53→59	38→45	51→50	54	247/304/331	85	265	4	8	9%	7%	79	+0.3	244/291/327	83	265	5	8	10%	6%	72	-0.2	250/292/321	71	269	4	7	9%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Luis Guillorme 2023 · MLB	28	56→62	38→40	44→45	59	264/347/344	79	306	6	5	15%	11%	101	+1.8	227/312/313	86	282	6	6	19%	11%	79	+0.3	204/296/273	69	267	3	6	22%	11%	59	-0.4
●Denard Span 2012 · MLB	28	56→64	39→50	58→55	55	266/332/359	93	296	5	18	12%	9%	98	+1.6	276/330/384	108	308	5	19	11%	8%	103	+1.9	272/340/419	147	300	13	12	14%	9%	115	+2.6
✕Ender Inciarte 2019 · MLB	28	58→63	42→45	52→60	52	279/334/390	111	309	9	20	13%	7%	106	+2.2	242/312/356	114	284	10	16	18%	8%	89	+1.0	220/299/319	99	269	8	13	20%	9%	71	-0.1
●Tike Redman 2006 · MLB	29	56→60	41→45	52→55	49	266/305/365	99	281	7	13	9%	5%	88	+0.9	261/303/347	86	288	5	19	11%	6%	82	+0.5	290/341/390	101	317	5	22	10%	7%	107	+1.6
●Alex Romero 2012 · MLB	28	55→65	41→45	48→50	49	264/316/369	105	293	7	8	13%	6%	94	+1.3	295/342/423	128	319	13	8	12%	5%	119	+3.1	320/366/402	82	339	7	7	7%	5%	121	+2.3
✕Jason Tyner 2005 · MLB	28	50→60	40→30	51→55	52	238/298/334	96	265	7	14	14%	8%	77	+0.1	280/323/341	61	315	2	14	11%	6%	89	+0.9	290/333/343	53	325	1	14	10%	5%	89	+0.9
✕Ryan Sweeney 2013 · MLB	28	55→61	39→45	46→45	51	258/318/357	99	309	4	4	17%	8%	91	+1.1	250/306/384	134	286	12	5	17%	7%	94	+1.3	253/308/389	136	282	14	2	16%	7%	92	+0.5
●Jermaine Curtis 2015 · AAA	28	52→62	36→40	51→50	54	241/320/306	66	277	4	10	14%	8%	80	+0.4	250/329/343	93	290	8	9	16%	8%	94	+1.3	257/340/348	92	306	8	7	18%	8%	98	+0.8