Ezequiel Pagan — OGILVIE

Ezequiel PaganOF Tulsa Drillers

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 163 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 242 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .260 / .330

PA242

HR5

K%23

BB%4

ISO114

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	97	16	2	1	0	9	39	0	3	5	165	236	206	442	41	267	36	8	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	92	20	3	1	0	14	27	0	3	5	217	321	272	592	54	299	25	13	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	220	45	4	0	1	13	65	4	19	8	205	262	236	498	32	284	27	5	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	212	60	6	0	1	21	45	4	19	8	283	359	325	684	42	353	19	9	313	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	277	254	57	10	5	5	9	68	9	5	1	224	276	362	638	138	280	25	3	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	277	250	71	12	7	7	13	46	9	5	1	284	342	472	814	188	317	17	5	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	400	106	14	3	11	24	85	7	13	4	265	318	398	715	133	309	19	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	384	112	15	5	11	40	57	7	13	4	292	369	443	812	151	317	13	9	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	429	392	95	13	1	3	24	96	10	12	10	242	303	304	606	61	311	22	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	429	376	113	20	2	5	39	66	10	12	10	301	380	404	785	104	351	15	9	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	3 teams	—	382	355	61	8	1	12	13	97	9	12	2	172	220	301	522	130	195	25	3	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	3 teams	—	382	347	74	17	1	11	21	71	9	12	2	213	276	363	639	150	233	19	5	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	449	422	93	16	4	9	13	104	7	6	6	220	256	341	597	121	268	23	3	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	449	402	100	15	6	7	30	77	7	6	6	249	310	368	678	119	289	17	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	LAD	—	242	227	49	8	1	5	9	57	4	4	2	216	258	326	584	110	268	24	4	265	61	-11	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	LAD	27%	258	241	53	9	1	6	11	60	4	5	2	220	266	340	606	120	270	23	4	271	66	-10	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
2028	28	MLB	LAD	40%	310	287	65	11	2	7	15	73	5	5	3	226	277	352	629	125	271	24	5	274	68	-11	-0	-1	-2	+9	-0.5
2027	27	MLB	LAD	27%	69	65	13	2	0	1	3	16	1	1	1	200	246	277	523	77	267	23	4	256	54	-4	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	LAD	40%	124	115	26	4	1	3	6	29	2	2	1	226	276	357	633	130	268	23	5	259	57	-6	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	193	180	39	6	1	4	9	45	3	3	2	217	266	328	593	111	265	23	5	258	56	-10	-0	-0	-1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	130	20	3	13	30	152	10	10	7	215	263	322	585	107	264	23	5	258	56	-32	-1	-1	-4	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	3134	2895	640	95	19	59	140	744	59	84	43	221	271	328	599	107	274	24	4	262	59	-145	-0	-1	-19	+89	-7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	133	20	4	12	29	154	12	17	9	222	271	328	600	107	275	24	4	262	59	-30	-0	-0	-4	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	92	20	3	1	0	14	27	0	3	5	217	321	272	592	54	299	25	13	275	69	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2019	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	212	60	6	0	1	21	45	4	19	8	283	359	325	684	42	353	19	9	313	97	-1	+1	—	—	+7	0.7
2021	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	162	143	35	6	2	1	10	26	6	2	1	245	321	336	656	91	286	16	6	296	85	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2021	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	115	107	36	6	5	6	3	20	3	3	0	336	372	654	1.026	318	361	17	3	433	189	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.6
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	384	112	15	5	11	40	57	7	13	4	292	369	443	812	151	317	13	9	357	132	+16	+1	—	—	+12	3.0
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	429	376	113	20	2	5	39	66	10	12	10	301	380	404	785	104	351	15	9	354	129	+14	-2	—	—	+12	2.5
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	233	217	40	6	1	6	8	49	5	7	0	184	230	304	535	120	206	21	3	238	40	-16	+1	—	—	+7	-0.8
2024	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	55	47	13	2	0	2	6	5	2	3	0	277	382	447	829	170	275	9	11	373	144	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	94	83	21	9	0	3	7	17	2	2	2	253	326	470	796	217	277	18	7	344	121	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	306	281	70	14	4	6	15	53	5	5	6	249	298	391	689	142	284	17	5	303	90	-3	-1	—	—	+9	0.4
2025	25	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	143	121	30	1	2	1	15	24	2	1	0	248	336	314	650	66	299	17	10	294	83	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Pagan (OGILVIE)	26	50	40	45	25	217/260/330	113	268	5	4	23%	4%	61	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	43→46	46→45	47→50	43	218/267/345	128	259	14	10	22%	6%	68	-0.5	215/269/338	123	263	14	10	23%	6%	67	-0.5	203/262/317	114	246	13	9	23%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	46	43→45	49→45	38	224/266/338	113	300	10	8	28%	5%	65	-0.7	217/270/334	117	326	12	5	35%	6%	66	-0.6	211/266/326	115	319	13	2	36%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Blake Rutherford 2023 · AAA	26	44→53	41→45	46→50	36	215/244/314	99	281	8	8	27%	3%	49	-1.8	241/284/372	131	304	13	11	24%	5%	82	+0.5	265/313/416	151	328	15	10	23%	5%	103	+1.1
✕Adam Melker 2014 · AA	26	47	41→40	43→50	42	227/274/318	91	294	9	9	25%	5%	63	-0.8	241/286/339	98	296	10	13	21%	5%	74	-0.1	264/304/342	77	312	10	18	18%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Cole Sturgeon 2018 · AA	26	46→47	39→45	46→50	40	222/258/308	86	279	6	10	23%	4%	53	-1.5	234/278/336	102	306	10	12	26%	5%	69	-0.4	227/274/326	99	287	10	12	24%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Sócrates Brito 2019 · MLB	26	44→54	45→50	51→55	39	218/260/340	121	286	12	13	28%	5%	63	-0.9	221/267/361	140	296	14	16	29%	6%	72	-0.2	217/264/352	135	290	12	20	29%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Matt Pali 2007 · AA	26	43→46	43→40	45	42	217/262/318	100	261	12	9	22%	5%	58	-1.2	217/265/317	100	269	11	8	23%	5%	59	-1.1	209/259/297	87	255	11	6	22%	4%	48	-1.1
✕Beau Amaral 2017 · AAA	26	47→51	40	46→55	41	229/276/319	90	293	7	11	24%	5%	64	-0.8	218/265/300	82	284	6	10	24%	5%	54	-1.4	210/257/285	75	273	5	10	24%	5%	46	-0.9
✕Engel Beltre 2016 · MLB	26	44→54	41→45	41→55	38	220/247/313	93	266	10	10	22%	3%	50	-1.8	251/288/345	94	302	8	12	19%	4%	76	+0.0	271/311/357	86	326	6	13	18%	3%	84	+0.3
✕Francisco Ferreiro 2019 · AAA	25	45→53	41→40	46→45	42	220/263/323	103	274	8	11	23%	5%	59	-1.1	237/278/331	94	309	6	8	24%	5%	68	-0.5	247/286/328	81	323	4	5	24%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Sebastián Elizalde 2018 · AAA	26	48→55	40→45	49→45	42	232/267/318	86	274	8	6	19%	4%	59	-1.1	230/274/327	97	267	9	10	17%	5%	65	-0.7	212/270/275	63	248	4	22	16%	7%	49	-0.3
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→43	46→45	45→40	40	207/267/331	124	274	14	5	29%	6%	65	-0.7	215/279/345	130	279	13	8	27%	6%	73	-0.1	178/266/339	160	218	17	6	26%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Aldrem Corredor 2022 · AA	26	45→54	43→45	46→40	41	223/273/333	111	301	11	4	29%	6%	67	-0.5	216/277/332	116	288	14	4	28%	7%	69	-0.4	202/266/311	108	262	15	0	28%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Tucker Nathans 2016 · AA	27	46→48	41→45	47→45	41	226/269/325	99	288	9	6	25%	5%	63	-0.9	220/259/319	99	291	10	6	27%	4%	57	-1.2	215/246/296	81	273	8	2	24%	4%	42	-0.9
✕Alex Fernandez 2007 · AAA	26	49	41→40	48→45	42	237/268/333	96	280	9	10	19%	4%	64	-0.8	213/249/306	93	254	8	8	19%	4%	49	-1.8	193/220/260	67	226	5	2	17%	3%	22	-1.4
✕Preston Beck 2017 · AAA	26	45→44	43→45	50→45	46	219/276/337	118	268	10	8	22%	7%	69	-0.4	213/265/314	101	276	9	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	206/260/302	96	272	8	2	26%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Drew Dosch 2018 · AAA	26	46→56	43→45	49→40	40	225/266/341	116	297	9	5	27%	5%	66	-0.6	230/277/345	115	329	11	6	31%	6%	72	-0.2	229/278/329	100	340	9	1	34%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Jake Peter 2019 · AAA	26	45→55	41→40	45→50	39	220/270/316	96	311	9	8	31%	6%	61	-1.0	192/271/299	107	289	10	7	34%	9%	58	-1.2	137/251/236	99	207	9	2	35%	13%	33	-1.5
✕Gregory Thomson 2009 · AA	25	46→50	41→45	48→50	42	222/269/325	104	268	8	11	21%	5%	63	-0.8	211/268/324	113	268	10	9	24%	5%	63	-0.8	172/238/300	128	215	12	2	26%	4%	43	-0.7
✕Edson Garcia 2019 · AAA	26	46→49	43→40	47→45	43	225/275/341	117	258	11	11	18%	4%	70	-0.3	220/282/346	126	275	12	10	23%	6%	75	-0.0	210/277/334	125	262	11	9	23%	7%	69	-0.3