Blake Rutherford

PosLF
B/TL/R
Born1997-05-02
Age (2027)30
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2023
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202124AAACWS476.250/.288/.40411451—.218/.246/.327
202225AAACWS467.271/.312/.42813862—.229/.260/.325
202326AAA/AAWSH313.336/.398/.571127119—.289/.340/.459
202326MLBWSH36.171/.194/.171001-0.7
202427No MLB games played
202528No MLB games played
202629No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.7
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA
K%76
Speed71
Max EV57
Z-Con%34
BB%30
Whiff%18

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201619 ROKPulaski Yankees — 130114 40843 13301 02 351422570992 219446 2310 426 103 — — — — — —
201720 AKannapolis Intimidators — 440396 1032522 38762 104 260328348676 88315 179 306 57 — — — — — —
201821 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 487447 1312597 34903 158 293347436783 143351 187 346 81 — — — — — —
201922 AABirmingham Barons — 480438 1161737 371180 92 265322365687 100343 258 307 59 — — — — — —
201922 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 8978 14432 11210 11 179281385666 205218 2412 296 86 — — — — — —
202124 AAACharlotte Knights — 476448 11230311 211193 41 250288404692 154314 254 304 51 — — — — — —
202225 AAACharlotte Knights — 467439 11926213 21915 85 271312428740 157315 194 327 62 — — — — — —
202326 MLBWashington Nationals — 3635 6000 1100 00 171194171366 240 283 170 1 -4 +0 +0 -4 +1 -0.7
202326 AAARochester Red Wings — 172151 501225 15313 51 331402536939 205381 189 406 114 — — — — — —
202326 AAHarrisburg Senators — 141129 441217 9252 21 3413936121.005 271378 186 433 126 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 3635 6000 1100 00 171194171366 240 283 170 1 -4 +0 +0 -4 +1 -0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201619 ROK MLEPulaski Yankees — 130119 32632 8431 02 269320420740 151378 336 320 103 — — — — — —
201720 A MLEKannapolis Intimidators — 440408 921922 261042 104 225275297572 71290 246 253 57 — — — — — —
201821 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 487461 1192266 201383 158 258293371664 113348 284 288 81 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 480449 1021526 261430 92 227269310579 82309 305 256 59 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 476455 992337 141413 41 218246327573 110289 303 244 51 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 467446 1022126 141125 85 229260325585 96292 243 260 62 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 3635 6000 1100 00 171194171366 240 283 170 1 -4 +0 +0 -4 +1 -0.7
202326 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 172155 44923 11383 51 284343426769 142340 226 336 114 — — — — — —
202326 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 141132 391015 6302 21 295336500836 205347 214 355 126 — — — — — —
201619 ROK MLEPulaski Yankees — 130119 32632 8431 02 269320420740 151395 336 320 103 — — — — — —
201619 ROK RAWPulaski Yankees — 130114 40843 13301 02 351422570992 219446 2310 426 103 — — — — — —
201720 A MLEKannapolis Intimidators — 440408 921922 261042 104 225275297572 71295 246 253 57 — — — — — —
201720 A RAWKannapolis Intimidators — 440396 1032522 38762 104 260328348676 88315 179 306 57 — — — — — —
201821 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 487461 1192266 201383 158 258293371664 113353 284 288 81 — — — — — —
201821 A+ RAWWinston-Salem Dash — 487447 1312597 34903 158 293347436783 143351 187 346 81 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLE2 teams — 569533 1211737 311700 103 227270310579 83316 305 256 59 — — — — — —
201922 AA RAW2 teams — 569516 1302169 481390 103 252316368684 116324 248 306 59 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 476455 992337 141413 41 218246327573 110296 303 244 51 — — — — — —
202124 AAA RAWCharlotte Knights — 476448 11230311 211193 41 250288404692 154314 254 304 51 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 467446 1022126 141125 85 229260325585 96291 243 260 62 — — — — — —
202225 AAA RAWCharlotte Knights — 467439 11926213 21915 85 271312428740 157315 194 327 62 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLE3 teams — 349322 891938 18785 72 276325429753 152338 225 327 107 — — — — — —
202326 AAA RAW3 teams — 349315 10024312 25665 72 317377527904 210365 197 392 107 — — — — — —
201619 ROK MLEPulaski Yankees — 130120 32632 8431 02 267320417737 150378 336 320 103 — — — — — —
201720 A MLEKannapolis Intimidators — 440409 921922 261042 104 225275296571 71290 246 253 57 — — — — — —
201821 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 487461 1192266 201383 158 258293371664 113348 284 288 81 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLE2 teams — 569533 1211737 311700 103 227270310579 83309 305 256 59 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 476456 992337 141413 41 217246327573 110289 303 244 51 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 467445 1022126 141125 85 229260326586 97292 243 260 62 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLE3 teams — 349323 891938 18785 72 276325427752 152333 225 327 107 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3635 6000 1100 00 171194171366 240 283 170 69 -4 +0 +0 -4 +1 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650632 108000 181810 00 171194171365 239 283 170 69 -76 +0 +0 -68 +14 -13.2
Career— MLE — 29182744 6541272238 13178619 5425 238278342620 104317 274 271 69 -4 +0 +0 -4 +1 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650611 1452858 291754 126 237276339615 101316 274 271 69 -76 +0 +0 -68 +14 -13.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 172 PAwOBA .402 → .336 (−66)K% 18.0% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.02%÷0.980×1.200——22.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.72%÷0.956×0.690—×1.0186.40%
HBP% /PA1.74%—×0.940—×1.0181.67%
Singles /BIP25.83%÷0.996×0.930×1.014×1.01824.92%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.137×0.830×1.014×1.0187.54%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷1.150×0.970×1.014×1.0181.45%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷1.058×0.700—×1.0182.81%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .402 → .336; ISO .205 → .150; BABIP .381 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 141 PAwOBA .424 → .355 (−69)K% 17.7% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.73%÷1.005×1.220——21.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.38%÷1.016×0.700—×0.9884.34%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.850—×0.9881.19%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.013×0.970×1.034×0.98822.58%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷1.033×0.860×1.034×0.9889.82%
Triples /BIP0.96%÷0.935×0.950×1.034×0.9881.00%
Home runs /BIP6.73%÷1.115×0.780—×0.9884.65%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .424 → .355; ISO .271 → .205; BABIP .378 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAACharlotte Knights · 467 PAwOBA .318 → .260 (−58)K% 19.5% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.49%÷0.975×1.200——23.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.28%÷1.028×0.690—×1.0332.97%
HBP% /PA1.07%—×0.940—×1.0331.04%
Singles /BIP22.41%÷1.003×0.930×1.017×1.03321.85%
Doubles /BIP7.47%÷1.028×0.830×1.017×1.0336.34%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷0.900×0.970×1.017×1.0330.65%
Home runs /BIP3.74%÷1.421×0.700—×1.0331.90%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .318 → .260; ISO .157 → .102; BABIP .315 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 476 PAwOBA .297 → .244 (−53)K% 25.0% → 29.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.011×1.200——29.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.20%÷1.053×0.690—×1.0482.89%
HBP% /PA0.63%—×0.940—×1.0480.62%
Singles /BIP20.67%÷0.986×0.930×1.012×1.04820.67%
Doubles /BIP9.12%÷1.128×0.830×1.012×1.0487.12%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷1.020×0.920×1.012×1.0480.87%
Home runs /BIP3.34%÷1.190×0.700—×1.0482.06%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .297 → .244; ISO .154 → .107; BABIP .314 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AABirmingham Barons · 480 PAwOBA .300 → .256 (−45)K% 24.6% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.58%÷1.007×1.220——29.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.08%÷0.929×0.680—×1.0425.40%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP27.81%÷0.998×0.920×0.950×1.04225.37%
Doubles /BIP5.31%÷1.009×0.910×0.950×1.0424.74%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷1.150×0.880×0.950×1.0420.71%
Home runs /BIP2.19%÷0.993×0.800—×1.0421.84%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .300 → .256; ISO .100 → .083; BABIP .343 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 487 PAwOBA .338 → .288 (−50)K% 18.5% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.48%÷0.928×1.420——28.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.78%÷1.049×0.630—×1.0274.18%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.860—×1.0270.54%
Singles /BIP25.21%÷0.984×0.940×1.050×1.02725.98%
Doubles /BIP7.00%÷0.939×0.830×1.050×1.0276.67%
Triples /BIP2.52%÷1.150×0.800×1.050×1.0271.89%
Home runs /BIP1.96%÷1.014×0.900—×1.0271.79%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 86, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .338 → .288; ISO .143 → .115; BABIP .351 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AKannapolis Intimidators · 440 PAwOBA .300 → .253 (−47)K% 17.3% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.27%÷0.979×1.340——23.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.64%÷0.975×0.660—×1.0306.02%
HBP% /PA0.45%—×0.770—×1.0300.36%
Singles /BIP23.12%÷1.001×0.920×1.019×1.03022.31%
Doubles /BIP7.81%÷1.070×0.820×1.019×1.0306.28%
Triples /BIP0.62%÷1.150×0.940×1.019×1.0300.54%
Home runs /BIP0.62%÷0.824×0.820—×1.0300.64%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .300 → .253; ISO .088 → .072; BABIP .315 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKPulaski Yankees · 130 PAwOBA .421 → .320 (−102)K% 23.1% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷1.000×1.420——32.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.000×0.640—×1.0086.45%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.740—×1.0080.57%
Singles /BIP29.76%÷1.000×0.840×1.050×1.00826.45%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.000×0.740×1.050×1.0087.46%
Triples /BIP4.76%÷1.000×0.740×1.050×1.0083.73%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0082.88%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .421 → .320; ISO .219 → .162; BABIP .446 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .