Paul Hoenecke
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 443 | .288/.330/.450 | 10 | 2 | 59 | — | .215/.251/.337 |
| 2016 | 26 | AA/A+2 orgs | 201 | .269/.295/.456 | 9 | 1 | 66 | — | .224/.240/.367 |
| 2017 | 27 | AALAD | 184 | .220/.258/.405 | 7 | 1 | 24 | — | .160/.192/.274 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 183 | 169 | 65 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 385 | 425 | 657 | 1.082 | 272 | 420 | 13 | 7 | 462 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 169 | 152 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 299 | 336 | 635 | 105 | 262 | 15 | 9 | 286 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 37 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 243 | 412 | 655 | 235 | 154 | 16 | 8 | 287 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 539 | 482 | 119 | 37 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 99 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 247 | 319 | 425 | 744 | 178 | 278 | 18 | 9 | 327 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 300 | 490 | 150 | 250 | 52 | 5 | 218 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 422 | 393 | 116 | 33 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 295 | 337 | 458 | 795 | 163 | 343 | 18 | 5 | 348 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 144 | 139 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 288 | 312 | 482 | 795 | 194 | 297 | 15 | 3 | 349 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 57 | 54 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 389 | 639 | 167 | 227 | 16 | 4 | 276 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 184 | 173 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 258 | 405 | 663 | 185 | 250 | 24 | 4 | 289 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 183 | 174 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 298 | 460 | 758 | 190 | 302 | 18 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 169 | 158 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 240 | 285 | 524 | 89 | 228 | 20 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 37 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 114 | 162 | 229 | 391 | 114 | 112 | 24 | 5 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 539 | 498 | 95 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 125 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 191 | 244 | 323 | 567 | 133 | 223 | 23 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 250 | 393 | 150 | 238 | 67 | 5 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 422 | 399 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 105 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 256 | 341 | 597 | 120 | 273 | 25 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 144 | 141 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 257 | 383 | 640 | 142 | 268 | 18 | 1 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 57 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 196 | 327 | 524 | 145 | 193 | 21 | 2 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 184 | 175 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 274 | 467 | 114 | 206 | 30 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 183 | 174 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 298 | 460 | 758 | 190 | 309 | 18 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 183 | 169 | 65 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 385 | 425 | 657 | 1.082 | 272 | 420 | 13 | 7 | 462 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 193 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 181 | 225 | 280 | 505 | 98 | 213 | 20 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 206 | 186 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 220 | 289 | 349 | 639 | 129 | 243 | 15 | 9 | 286 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 539 | 498 | 95 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 125 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 191 | 244 | 323 | 567 | 133 | 226 | 23 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 539 | 482 | 119 | 37 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 99 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 247 | 319 | 425 | 744 | 178 | 278 | 18 | 9 | 327 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 419 | 90 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 119 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 251 | 337 | 587 | 122 | 275 | 27 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 443 | 413 | 119 | 33 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 87 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 330 | 450 | 781 | 162 | 341 | 20 | 5 | 342 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 201 | 196 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 245 | 378 | 623 | 148 | 250 | 19 | 1 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 201 | 193 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 295 | 456 | 751 | 187 | 277 | 15 | 3 | 328 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 184 | 175 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 274 | 467 | 114 | 205 | 30 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 184 | 173 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 258 | 405 | 663 | 185 | 250 | 24 | 4 | 289 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 183 | 174 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 298 | 460 | 758 | 190 | 302 | 18 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 193 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 181 | 225 | 280 | 505 | 98 | 207 | 20 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 539 | 499 | 95 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 125 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 190 | 244 | 323 | 567 | 132 | 223 | 23 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 420 | 90 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 119 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 251 | 336 | 586 | 121 | 271 | 27 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 201 | 195 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 245 | 379 | 624 | 149 | 247 | 19 | 1 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 184 | 175 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 274 | 467 | 114 | 206 | 30 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1756 | 1655 | 340 | 91 | 5 | 39 | 75 | 412 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 205 | 244 | 337 | 581 | 132 | 247 | 23 | 4 | 252 | 56 | -91 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +38 | -4.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 613 | 126 | 34 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 153 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 206 | 244 | 336 | 580 | 131 | 248 | 24 | 4 | 252 | 56 | -34 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AATulsa Drillers · 184 PAwOBA .284 → .204 (−80)K% 23.9% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.91% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.80% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 2.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.50% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.978 | 13.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.971 | ×0.978 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.971 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.295 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.28% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 91, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .284 → .204; ISO .185 → .117; BABIP .250 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATulsa Drillers · 144 PAwOBA .336 → .284 (−52)K% 14.6% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.58% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.08% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 1.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 21.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.926 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.60% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .336 → .284; ISO .194 → .152; BABIP .297 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 57 PAwOBA .273 → .223 (−50)K% 15.8% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.51% | ÷1.046 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 2.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.56% | ÷1.043 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 13.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.938 | ×0.820 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.760 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 3.95% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 88, 3B 128, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .273 → .223; ISO .167 → .141; BABIP .227 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 422 PAwOBA .342 → .261 (−81)K% 18.0% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.01% | ÷0.970 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷0.958 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.71% | ÷1.046 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×0.978 | 19.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.41% | ÷1.109 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.978 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.985 | ×0.978 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.84% | ÷0.898 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 2.84% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .342 → .261; ISO .163 → .127; BABIP .343 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 21 PAwOBA .212 → .139 (−73)K% 52.4% → 64.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 52.38% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 64.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 8.54% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .212 → .139; ISO .150 → .086; BABIP .250 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AGreat Lakes Loons · 539 PAwOBA .321 → .249 (−72)K% 18.4% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.37% | ÷1.083 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.35% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.97% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | ×0.980 | 14.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.66% | ÷1.022 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | ×0.980 | 7.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | ×0.980 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.002 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.06% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 117, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .321 → .249; ISO .178 → .136; BABIP .278 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AGreat Lakes Loons · 169 PAwOBA .278 → .230 (−48)K% 14.8% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.79% | ÷1.035 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.28% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.11% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 16.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 6.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.57% | ÷0.898 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 92, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .278 → .230; ISO .105 → .089; BABIP .262 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Dodgers · 37 PAwOBA .279 → .191 (−88)K% 16.2% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 5.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 5.38% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .279 → .191; ISO .235 → .165; BABIP .154 → .112. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).