Carlos Rodríguez
RF El Paso Chihuahuas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 686 | .297/.374/.383 | 6 | 20 | 101 | — | .273/.335/.352 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 760 | .272/.341/.357 | 12 | 22 | 75 | — | .228/.274/.280 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAASD | 547 | .308/.380/.416 | 6 | 23 | 98 | — | .285/.337/.373 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 26 | MLBSD | 16 | .256/.308/.333 | 0 | 0 | 84 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 27 | MLBSD | 70 | .254/.307/.334 | 1 | 2 | 84 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 252 | 237 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 325 | 363 | 414 | 776 | 89 | 349 | 8 | 4 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers Gold | — | 22 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 318 | 318 | 364 | 682 | 45 | 350 | 9 | 0 | 305 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 382 | 345 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 75 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 267 | 336 | 348 | 684 | 81 | 338 | 20 | 9 | 311 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 166 | 142 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 268 | 362 | 415 | 777 | 148 | 327 | 21 | 11 | 344 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 436 | 392 | 114 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 50 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 291 | 359 | 367 | 727 | 77 | 330 | 11 | 9 | 330 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 172 | 147 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 354 | 444 | 449 | 893 | 95 | 375 | 6 | 13 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 128 | 110 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 346 | 309 | 656 | 64 | 270 | 9 | 13 | 304 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 372 | 326 | 97 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 298 | 379 | 396 | 775 | 98 | 327 | 11 | 11 | 349 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 186 | 170 | 56 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 329 | 384 | 406 | 790 | 76 | 342 | 6 | 7 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 533 | 474 | 117 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 68 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 247 | 317 | 323 | 640 | 76 | 272 | 13 | 9 | 290 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 47 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 341 | 413 | 366 | 779 | 24 | 378 | 11 | 11 | 352 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 180 | 158 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 329 | 394 | 456 | 850 | 127 | 340 | 8 | 9 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 547 | 481 | 148 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 55 | 61 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 308 | 380 | 416 | 796 | 108 | 337 | 11 | 10 | 352 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 252 | 241 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 261 | 291 | 332 | 623 | 71 | 285 | 12 | 2 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Gold | — | 22 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 273 | 318 | 591 | 45 | 284 | 14 | 0 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 382 | 354 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 101 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 232 | 286 | 294 | 580 | 62 | 321 | 26 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 166 | 147 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 218 | 294 | 347 | 641 | 129 | 270 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 436 | 405 | 115 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 66 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 284 | 332 | 365 | 697 | 81 | 334 | 15 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 128 | 115 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 252 | 323 | 313 | 636 | 61 | 276 | 10 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 372 | 339 | 95 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 50 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 280 | 339 | 366 | 705 | 86 | 315 | 13 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 533 | 496 | 110 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 84 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 222 | 268 | 276 | 544 | 54 | 252 | 16 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 47 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 302 | 348 | 326 | 673 | 23 | 337 | 13 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 547 | 498 | 142 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 73 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 285 | 337 | 373 | 711 | 88 | 315 | 13 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 252 | 241 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 261 | 291 | 332 | 623 | 71 | 290 | 12 | 2 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 252 | 237 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 325 | 363 | 414 | 776 | 89 | 349 | 8 | 4 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Gold | — | 22 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 273 | 318 | 591 | 45 | 316 | 14 | 0 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers Gold | — | 22 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 318 | 318 | 364 | 682 | 45 | 350 | 9 | 0 | 305 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 382 | 354 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 101 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 232 | 286 | 294 | 580 | 62 | 321 | 26 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 382 | 345 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 75 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 267 | 336 | 348 | 684 | 81 | 338 | 20 | 9 | 311 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 166 | 147 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 218 | 294 | 347 | 641 | 129 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 166 | 142 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 268 | 362 | 415 | 777 | 148 | 327 | 21 | 11 | 344 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 608 | 563 | 160 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 38 | 92 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 284 | 334 | 364 | 698 | 80 | 337 | 15 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 608 | 539 | 166 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 62 | 61 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 308 | 383 | 390 | 773 | 82 | 343 | 10 | 10 | 350 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 686 | 621 | 169 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 87 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 336 | 349 | 686 | 77 | 308 | 13 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 686 | 606 | 180 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 63 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 297 | 374 | 383 | 757 | 86 | 321 | 9 | 10 | 343 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 760 | 703 | 162 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 118 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 230 | 277 | 283 | 560 | 53 | 265 | 16 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 760 | 673 | 183 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 70 | 87 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 272 | 341 | 357 | 698 | 85 | 295 | 11 | 9 | 313 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 547 | 498 | 142 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 73 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 285 | 337 | 373 | 711 | 88 | 322 | 13 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 547 | 481 | 148 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 55 | 61 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 308 | 380 | 416 | 796 | 108 | 337 | 11 | 10 | 352 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 252 | 240 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 263 | 291 | 333 | 624 | 71 | 285 | 12 | 2 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Gold | — | 22 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 273 | 318 | 591 | 45 | 284 | 14 | 0 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 382 | 352 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 101 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 233 | 286 | 295 | 582 | 63 | 321 | 26 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 166 | 149 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 215 | 294 | 342 | 637 | 128 | 270 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 608 | 561 | 160 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 38 | 92 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 285 | 334 | 365 | 699 | 80 | 334 | 15 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 686 | 621 | 169 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 87 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 336 | 349 | 686 | 77 | 305 | 13 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 760 | 709 | 162 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 118 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 228 | 277 | 281 | 557 | 52 | 259 | 16 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 547 | 503 | 142 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 73 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 282 | 337 | 370 | 707 | 87 | 315 | 13 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 686 | 621 | 169 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 87 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 336 | 349 | 686 | 77 | 305 | 13 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 760 | 709 | 162 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 118 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 228 | 277 | 281 | 557 | 52 | 259 | 16 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 547 | 503 | 142 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 73 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 282 | 337 | 370 | 707 | 87 | 315 | 13 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | SD | 10% | 380 | 350 | 90 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 57 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 259 | 311 | 338 | 649 | 79 | 298 | 15 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | SD | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 77 | 294 | 12 | 6 | 289 | 84 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | SD | 31% | 225 | 207 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 257 | 311 | 339 | 649 | 81 | 297 | 16 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | SD | 31% | 70 | 65 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 307 | 334 | 641 | 80 | 293 | 16 | 7 | 289 | 84 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 70 | 65 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 314 | 369 | 684 | 108 | 302 | 16 | 7 | 289 | 79 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 158 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 102 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 262 | 314 | 368 | 681 | 106 | 302 | 16 | 7 | 289 | 79 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3803 | 3500 | 905 | 122 | 29 | 26 | 245 | 606 | 20 | 137 | 58 | 259 | 311 | 332 | 643 | 74 | 304 | 16 | 6 | 284 | 79 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 154 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 104 | 3 | 23 | 10 | 258 | 309 | 329 | 638 | 72 | 304 | 16 | 6 | 284 | 79 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 547 PAwOBA .347 → .313 (−34)K% 11.2% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 26.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 3.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .347 → .313; ISO .108 → .095; BABIP .337 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 533 PAwOBA .284 → .245 (−39)K% 12.8% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.76% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.01% | ÷1.140 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 23.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.162 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 1.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.25% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷0.961 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.48% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 94, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 95, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .284 → .245; ISO .076 → .059; BABIP .272 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 47 PAwOBA .351 → .307 (−44)K% 10.6% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.036 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.11% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 31.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 122, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .351 → .307; ISO .024 → .024; BABIP .378 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 372 PAwOBA .343 → .310 (−34)K% 11.0% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.02% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.29% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.27% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.02% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 26.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.198 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .343 → .310; ISO .098 → .086; BABIP .327 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAANashville Sounds · 128 PAwOBA .299 → .282 (−17)K% 8.6% → 10.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.59% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.28% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.951 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 23.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 2.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .299 → .282; ISO .064 → .059; BABIP .270 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 436 PAwOBA .321 → .306 (−15)K% 11.5% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.47% | ÷0.924 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.02% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 25.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷0.827 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .321 → .306; ISO .077 → .083; BABIP .330 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 166 PAwOBA .340 → .275 (−65)K% 21.1% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.08% | ÷0.977 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.24% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.81% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.43% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 19.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.35% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 7.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.57% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .340 → .275; ISO .148 → .123; BABIP .327 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 382 PAwOBA .303 → .257 (−46)K% 19.6% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.63% | ÷1.001 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.16% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×1.027 | 25.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×1.027 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×1.042 | ×1.027 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 0.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .303 → .257; ISO .081 → .062; BABIP .338 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .