Carlos RodríguezRF El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 25 L/L 5'9" / 186 lbs AAA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .304 / .331
PA212
HR2
SB6
K%15
BB%7
BABIP291
ISO76
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: +1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +15.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.10.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Arb-1$0.2M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKAZL Brewers 252242 62912 4295 149 256283326609 70284 122 260 57
201817 ROKAZL Brewers 252237 771312 9205 149 325363414776 89349 84 348 124
201918 ROKAZL Brewers Gold 2222 6100 030 11 273273318591 45316 140 227 32
201918 ROKAZL Brewers Gold 2222 7100 020 11 318318364682 45350 90 305 92
202120 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 382354 811141 261011 156 229283291574 62317 267 250 50
202120 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 382345 921741 35751 156 267336348684 81338 209 311 96
202221 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 166146 28713 14503 103 192276315591 123260 308 263 59
202221 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 166142 381013 18353 103 268362415777 148327 2111 344 122
202322 AA2 teams 608563 1633951 381064 209 290339382721 92354 176 313 98
202322 AA2 teams 608539 1663042 62614 209 308383390773 82343 1010 350 126
202423 AA3 teams 686622 1711984 56923 2010 275338350688 76315 138 305 92
202423 AA3 teams 686606 1802266 72633 2010 297374383757 86321 910 343 120
202524 AAA3 teams 760708 16510210 381212 2210 233274295569 62266 165 248 48
202524 AAA3 teams 760673 18317212 70872 2210 272341357698 85295 119 313 98
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 AAASD 319290 761222 23410 102 262316338654 76295 137 284 76 -9 +1 +0 -3 +9 -0.2
YTD25 AAASD 319281 851522 32320 102 302374391765 89331 1010 341 119 +7 +1 +0 -3 +9 1.4
ROS25 AAASD 10% 212196 50712 14310 62 254304331634 76293 157 288 79 -5 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.1
ROS25 MLBSD 10% 2120 5100 130 10 250286300586 50290 145 284 76 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
FULL25 AAASD 340310 811322 24440 112 261314335650 74295 137 284 76 -9 +1 +0 -4 +10 -0.2
TOT25 AAASD 531486 1261934 37720 164 259311335646 76294 147 286 77 -14 +2 +0 -6 +15 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBSD 35% 365336 851224 25561 103 253307336643 83293 157 294 83 -7 +1 +0 -4 +10 0.0
202827 MLBSD 44% 388356 901325 28621 103 253309343652 90293 167 296 85 -7 +1 +0 -4 +11 0.1
202928 MLBSD 49% 401367 931426 30661 103 253312351663 98292 167 297 85 -7 +1 -1 -4 +11 0.0
202726 MLBSD 35% 127117 29411 9190 31 248302325626 77290 157 289 79 -3 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
202827 MLBSD 44% 171156 40612 12271 51 256314346660 90289 167 291 81 -4 +1 +0 -2 +5 -0.0
202928 MLBSD 49% 196179 46713 14321 52 257314358672 101289 167 291 81 -4 +0 -0 -2 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 515472 1201836 36812 144 254310343653 89294 167 290 80 -12 +1 -0 -6 +15 -0.2
/ 162G 650596 1522348 451023 185 255311347658 92294 167 290 80 -15 +2 -0 -7 +18 -0.2
Career 42423912 9941422838 27371721 13859 254306334640 80301 176 283 75 -121 +4 -1 -45 +120 -4.4
/ 162G 650599 1522246 421103 219 254305334639 80300 176 283 75 -19 +1 -0 -7 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKAZL Brewers 252237 771312 9205 149 325363414776 89349 84 348 124 +7 -1 +7 1.4
201918 ROKAZL Brewers Gold 2222 7100 020 11 318318364682 45350 90 305 92 -0 -0 +1 0.0
202120 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 382345 921741 35751 156 267336348684 81338 209 311 96 -2 +1 +11 1.0
202221 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 166142 381013 18353 103 268362415777 148327 2111 344 122 +4 +1 +5 1.0
202322 AABiloxi Shuckers 436392 1142131 40502 148 291359367727 77330 119 330 111 +5 -0 +12 1.8
202322 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes 172147 52911 22112 61 354444449893 95375 613 402 166 +13 +1 +5 1.9
202423 AAANashville Sounds 128110 27320 17110 22 245346309656 64270 913 304 90 -1 -0 +4 0.2
202423 AABiloxi Shuckers 372326 971244 42411 154 298379396775 98327 1111 349 125 +11 +1 +11 2.3
202423 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes 186170 56702 13112 34 329384406790 76342 67 356 131 +6 -1 +5 1.1
202524 AAAGwinnett Stripers 533474 1171018 49681 178 247317323640 76272 139 290 80 -12 +0 +15 0.4
202524 AAColumbus Clingstones 4741 14100 550 32 341413366779 24378 1111 352 127 +1 -0 +1 0.3
202524 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes 180158 52614 16141 20 329394456850 127340 89 370 141 +8 +0 +5 1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Emil Brownlast yr '08
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA
62,3355747263326406-24-85.35.3
/1626641613-6.7-2.21.5pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3Chris Singletonlast yr '05
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA
51,9092861265308392-9-33.33.3
/1626641021-3.0-1.21.2pk7: 3
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#5Raimel Tapialast yr '23
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA
61,9592860275319389-21-132.12.1
/162664920-7.1-4.40.7pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
1526714255308347-6-10.10.1
/162664917-7.1-1.30.1pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Rodríguez (OGILVIE) 25 55 35 50 45 259/311/335 76294 416 14% 7% 77 -0.3
Davis Bradshaw
2023 · AA
25 55 36→40 48→50 44 257/310/327 70320 313 20% 5% 80 +0.4 252/305/330 78325 510 23% 5% 79 +0.3 272/323/350793537324%4%89+0.5
Chris Frey
2009 · AAA
25 52→57 37→40 50 44 247/284/332 85291 313 16% 4% 69 -0.4 228/268/313 85279 515 19% 5% 59 -1.1 219/263/2927227231720%5%48-1.1
Brandon Roberts
2010 · AA
25 53→57 37→40 50→55 44 251/300/325 73302 517 18% 5% 76 +0.0 256/308/333 77307 522 17% 5% 82 +0.5 259/314/3286930932616%5%79+0.2
Kevin Kaczmarski
2018 · AA
26 54→56 38→40 50 48 251/311/338 87314 412 20% 7% 83 +0.6 238/304/319 81322 511 25% 8% 76 +0.1 237/309/3036633831028%8%72-0.1
BJ Boyd
2018 · AAA
25 52→56 40→45 50 42 251/288/346 94304 711 20% 4% 76 +0.0 242/284/328 86299 610 20% 5% 69 -0.4 263/312/378116318121020%6%92+0.7
Alan Sanchez
2014 · AAA
25 53→58 38→40 50 40 256/286/333 77314 619 21% 4% 71 -0.3 243/280/315 72308 412 21% 5% 64 -0.8 255/288/3206531131218%4%65-0.4
Pin-Chieh Chen
2016 · AA
25 49→51 38→40 52→55 49 229/288/313 84277 415 18% 7% 68 -0.5 223/283/319 96278 712 21% 7% 67 -0.5 199/264/2808124751120%7%45-0.4
Matt Young
2008 · AA
25 54→60 36→40 46→60 51 250/315/320 71302 313 18% 8% 81 +0.4 258/327/347 89303 424 15% 8% 92 +1.2 265/336/3609530643013%8%97+1.5
Max Schrock
2020 · AAA
25 47→57 40 49→50 47 226/277/317 91261 613 16% 6% 64 -0.8 234/278/349 115283 1110 21% 5% 73 -0.1 244/289/36211829012320%5%77+0.0
Charlie Tilson
2018 · AAA
25 54→60 40 57→55 46 256/301/356 100303 622 18% 6% 83 +0.6 227/272/295 68289 413 22% 5% 56 -1.3 233/279/2956230221622%5%55-0.8
Todd Cunningham
2014 · AAA
25 51→56 37→40 54→55 46 239/289/317 79279 419 16% 5% 69 -0.4 233/285/313 80277 518 17% 5% 66 -0.6 228/300/3047627241717%6%68-0.3
James Cooper
2009 · AA
25 53→57 38→40 46→45 46 248/311/330 82296 49 17% 6% 82 +0.5 234/297/316 82274 48 15% 6% 73 -0.1 227/292/300742572312%5%62-0.4
James Rapoport
2010 · AA
25 49→54 37→40 53→55 48 231/289/305 74286 416 20% 7% 66 -0.6 236/302/303 67280 49 16% 8% 71 -0.3 237/306/290542773715%8%66-0.5
Drew Heid
2013 · AAA
25 48→57 41→45 47→50 50 233/299/327 93279 914 20% 8% 76 +0.1 239/295/333 94307 710 23% 7% 76 +0.0 254/306/346923296923%7%80+0.2
Will Rhymes
2008 · AA
25 52→60 37→40 53→55 50 242/295/309 67277 417 14% 7% 69 -0.4 255/301/336 81295 416 14% 6% 78 +0.2 264/321/3508629341311%7%88+0.7
JB Shuck
2011 · AAA
24 57→61 36→40 47→50 49 268/316/336 68312 212 15% 6% 84 +0.6 269/323/334 65304 216 11% 7% 87 +0.8 279/334/341623091179%7%90+0.8
Ben Copeland
2009 · AAA
25 50→55 41→45 55 49 236/297/346 110288 616 20% 8% 79 +0.3 240/291/351 111300 819 21% 7% 79 +0.3 244/295/35811430582122%6%80+0.2
Jordan Smith
2015 · AA
25 50→58 38→40 46→50 44 238/279/325 87291 49 20% 5% 66 -0.6 223/275/318 95288 713 24% 6% 63 -0.8 218/273/3109228371525%7%58-0.9
Brian Miller
2021 · AA
25 50→58 37→40 53→60 43 235/275/316 80288 321 19% 5% 62 -0.9 237/284/328 91309 530 23% 6% 69 -0.4 238/287/3279030953423%6%67-0.4
Jesus Romo
2009 · AAA
25 48→58 38→40 53→50 49 224/279/299 75255 513 14% 6% 60 -1.0 259/315/330 71307 412 16% 7% 83 +0.6 289/346/364743395815%7%102+1.2