Carlos Rodríguez

Carlos RodríguezRF El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 25 L/L 5'9" / 186 lbs AAA HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.2 · 2027

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .296 / .322

PA320

HR3

SB8

K%15

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

35→35

SPD

50→50

EYE

46↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-2M	-$5M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	AZL Brewers	252	242	62	9	1	2	4	29	5	14	9	.256	.283	.326	.609	.070	.284	12	2	.260	57	-12	-1	+0	-3	+7	-0.9
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	22	22	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	.273	.273	.318	.591	.045	.316	14	0	.227	32	-2	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
2021	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	382	355	80	12	3	1	25	101	1	15	6	.225	.278	.285	.563	.059	.312	26	7	.251	50	-21	+1	+0	-4	+11	-1.4
2022	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	166	147	30	7	1	3	13	46	3	10	3	.204	.282	.327	.609	.122	.267	28	8	.272	66	-6	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.3
2023	22	AA	2 teams	608	564	157	35	5	1	37	101	4	20	9	.278	.327	.363	.691	.085	.336	17	6	.302	89	-7	+0	+0	-7	+17	0.4
2024	23	AA	3 teams	686	622	166	19	9	4	56	92	3	20	10	.267	.330	.346	.676	.079	.305	13	8	.300	88	-9	+0	+0	-7	+19	0.3
2025	24	AAA	3 teams	760	704	160	10	1	10	42	118	2	22	10	.227	.273	.287	.560	.060	.258	16	6	.247	47	-45	+0	+0	-8	+22	-3.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	75	67	16	2	0	0	7	14	0	2	0	.239	.311	.269	.579	.030	.296	19	9	.280	72	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	SD	245	225	54	7	1	2	17	39	1	6	2	.240	.296	.307	.603	.067	.285	16	7	.281	73	-8	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.3
TOT	25	MLB	SD	320	292	70	9	1	2	24	53	1	8	2	.240	.300	.298	.598	.058	.285	17	8	.280	73	-10	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 25%	SD	365	332	85	12	2	5	29	51	1	9	3	.256	.318	.349	.667	.093	.286	14	8	.299	87	-5	+1	+0	-4	+10	0.2
2028	27	MLB 43%	SD	388	352	90	13	2	6	32	57	1	10	4	.256	.319	.355	.675	.099	.286	15	8	.301	89	-5	+0	+0	-4	+11	0.2
2029	28	MLB 52%	SD	401	363	91	13	2	6	33	61	2	10	3	.251	.317	.347	.664	.096	.287	15	8	.301	89	-5	+1	-1	-4	+11	0.2
2030	29	MLB 63%	SD	400	362	90	13	2	6	33	63	2	9	3	.249	.315	.345	.660	.097	.286	16	8	.300	88	-6	+1	-1	-4	+11	0.1
2031	30	MLB 73%	SD	398	360	90	13	2	6	33	64	2	8	3	.250	.316	.347	.664	.097	.285	16	8	.297	86	-7	+0	-2	-4	+11	-0.1
2032	31	MLB 81%	SD	387	351	86	12	2	5	32	64	1	6	2	.245	.310	.333	.643	.088	.284	17	8	.293	83	-8	+0	-3	-4	+11	-0.3
2033	32	MLB 88%	SD	370	335	82	12	2	5	31	63	1	4	1	.245	.311	.337	.648	.093	.283	17	8	.289	79	-9	+0	-4	-4	+10	-0.5
2034	33	MLB	SD	341	309	74	10	2	4	28	60	1	2	1	.239	.305	.324	.628	.084	.282	18	8	.284	76	-9	+0	-4	-4	+10	-0.8
2035	34	MLB	SD	298	271	63	9	1	3	24	55	1	1	0	.232	.297	.306	.604	.074	.281	18	8	.278	71	-10	+0	-5	-3	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6469	5916	1466	207	38	69	469	1067	31	167	70	.248	.306	.331	.637	.083	.290	16	7	.285	76	-174	+5	-20	-69	+183	-7.5
/ 162G	—			650	594	148	21	4	7	47	107	3	17	7	.249	.307	.333	.640	.084	.292	16	7	.285	76	-17	+1	-2	-7	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	AZL Brewers	252	237	77	13	1	2	9	20	5	14	9	.325	.363	.414	.776	.089	.349	8	4	.348	124	+7	-1	—	—	+7	1.4
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	22	22	7	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	.318	.318	.364	.682	.045	.350	9	0	.305	92	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	382	345	92	17	4	1	35	75	1	15	6	.267	.336	.348	.684	.081	.338	20	9	.311	96	-2	+1	—	—	+11	1.0
2022	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	166	142	38	10	1	3	18	35	3	10	3	.268	.362	.415	.777	.148	.327	21	11	.344	122	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	436	392	114	21	3	1	40	50	2	14	8	.291	.359	.367	.727	.077	.330	11	9	.330	111	+5	-0	—	—	+12	1.8
2023	22	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	172	147	52	9	1	1	22	11	2	6	1	.354	.444	.449	.893	.095	.375	6	13	.402	166	+13	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	128	110	27	3	2	0	17	11	0	2	2	.245	.346	.309	.656	.064	.270	9	13	.304	90	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	372	326	97	12	4	4	42	41	1	15	4	.298	.379	.396	.775	.098	.327	11	11	.349	125	+11	+1	—	—	+11	2.3
2024	23	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	186	170	56	7	0	2	13	11	2	3	4	.329	.384	.406	.790	.076	.342	6	7	.356	131	+6	-1	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	24	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	533	474	117	10	1	8	49	68	1	17	8	.247	.317	.323	.640	.076	.272	13	9	.290	80	-12	+0	—	—	+15	0.4
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	47	41	14	1	0	0	5	5	0	3	2	.341	.413	.366	.779	.024	.378	11	11	.352	127	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	180	158	52	6	1	4	16	14	1	2	0	.329	.394	.456	.850	.127	.340	8	9	.370	141	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	25	55	35	50	45	.244/.296/.322	.079	.282	3	8	15%	7%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Heid 2013 · AAA	25	49→56	40	46→50	49	.237/.300/.322	.085	.282	8	13	19%	8%	76	+0.0	.235/.294/.325	.090	.303	6	11	23%	7%	73	-0.1	.245/.300/.335	.090	.319	5	9	23%	7%	75	+0.0
✕BJ Boyd 2018 · AAA	25	53→55	39→45	50	43	.254/.293/.345	.090	.310	6	11	20%	5%	77	+0.1	.244/.284/.326	.082	.303	5	10	20%	5%	69	-0.4	.261/.310/.376	.115	.317	11	10	21%	5%	90	+0.6
✕Davis Bradshaw 2023 · AA	25	55	36→40	48→50	44	.258/.311/.330	.072	.319	3	13	20%	5%	82	+0.5	.257/.309/.332	.075	.328	4	9	22%	5%	81	+0.4	.277/.328/.351	.073	.357	5	3	22%	4%	91	+0.6
✕Alan Sanchez 2014 · AAA	25	53→59	39→40	49→50	41	.253/.283/.332	.079	.309	6	18	20%	4%	69	-0.4	.254/.292/.329	.075	.318	5	12	21%	5%	72	-0.2	.268/.303/.336	.069	.324	4	12	18%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Chris Frey 2009 · AAA	25	52→55	37→40	50	44	.244/.284/.328	.084	.290	3	13	17%	5%	69	-0.4	.231/.271/.315	.084	.281	5	15	19%	5%	60	-1.0	.223/.268/.296	.073	.277	3	17	20%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Nicky Lopez 2020 · MLB	25	54→61	39→40	49→55	50	.254/.303/.341	.087	.280	6	12	12%	6%	81	+0.4	.247/.307/.326	.079	.286	4	14	14%	7%	79	+0.3	.245/.313/.305	.060	.286	1	19	14%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Mason Williams 2017 · MLB	25	52→54	38→45	48→55	46	.246/.286/.326	.080	.291	4	14	17%	5%	69	-0.4	.250/.287/.337	.087	.305	7	13	19%	5%	72	-0.2	.250/.295/.373	.123	.304	14	7	22%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Matt Young 2008 · AA	25	53→58	37→40	46→60	51	.250/.314/.322	.073	.300	3	12	17%	8%	81	+0.4	.255/.324/.343	.088	.300	4	23	15%	8%	91	+1.1	.264/.335/.359	.095	.304	4	30	13%	8%	96	+1.4
●Jesus Romo 2009 · AAA	25	47→57	38→40	52→50	48	.223/.277/.301	.078	.253	5	12	14%	6%	59	-1.1	.256/.313/.327	.071	.301	4	12	15%	7%	82	+0.5	.293/.351/.367	.074	.341	5	8	14%	8%	105	+1.3
✕Jordan Smith 2015 · AA	25	52→58	38→40	47→50	45	.246/.288/.335	.088	.296	5	9	18%	5%	72	-0.2	.227/.277/.318	.091	.293	6	13	23%	6%	64	-0.8	.219/.273/.308	.089	.286	7	15	25%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2018 · AA	26	53→56	38→40	51→50	47	.250/.307/.341	.092	.310	4	13	20%	7%	82	+0.5	.238/.304/.318	.080	.322	4	11	25%	8%	76	+0.0	.235/.305/.296	.061	.338	3	10	29%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Will Rhymes 2008 · AA	25	52→61	37→40	53→55	50	.242/.295/.308	.066	.275	4	16	14%	7%	69	-0.4	.257/.303/.336	.079	.298	4	16	14%	6%	79	+0.3	.263/.318/.348	.085	.293	4	13	11%	7%	86	+0.7
✕Brandon Roberts 2010 · AA	25	54→59	37→40	50→55	44	.256/.304/.330	.073	.308	5	17	18%	5%	79	+0.3	.260/.313/.337	.077	.311	5	22	17%	5%	84	+0.6	.262/.317/.331	.069	.311	3	26	16%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Pin-Chieh Chen 2016 · AA	25	48→51	37→40	52→55	49	.227/.287/.309	.082	.276	4	15	18%	7%	66	-0.6	.223/.282/.317	.094	.277	6	13	21%	7%	66	-0.6	.202/.269/.286	.083	.252	5	11	21%	8%	49	-0.3
✕Danry Vasquez 2019 · AA	25	48→53	42→40	48→45	48	.232/.282/.336	.104	.264	9	13	16%	6%	71	-0.3	.235/.293/.398	.163	.282	20	19	23%	7%	92	+1.2	.226/.285/.419	.193	.246	27	34	21%	8%	92	+0.2
✕Max Schrock 2020 · AAA	25	48→58	39→40	48→50	48	.227/.278/.314	.086	.259	6	12	15%	6%	63	-0.8	.232/.278/.344	.112	.277	11	10	20%	5%	72	-0.2	.242/.287/.364	.123	.283	13	3	19%	5%	76	+0.0
✕JB Shuck 2011 · AAA	24	57→61	36→40	47→50	50	.265/.315/.333	.068	.308	2	12	14%	7%	83	+0.6	.266/.323/.330	.064	.302	2	16	11%	8%	85	+0.7	.275/.332/.336	.060	.305	1	17	9%	8%	88	+0.7
✕Ben Copeland 2009 · AAA	25	49→53	41→45	54→55	49	.235/.295/.344	.109	.287	6	16	20%	8%	79	+0.3	.237/.289/.346	.109	.295	8	19	21%	7%	76	+0.1	.239/.289/.350	.111	.297	8	21	22%	6%	76	+0.0
✕James Cooper 2009 · AA	25	52→57	38→40	46→45	46	.244/.307/.327	.083	.291	4	8	17%	6%	79	+0.3	.237/.301/.318	.081	.277	4	7	15%	6%	75	-0.0	.232/.297/.306	.074	.264	2	3	12%	5%	66	-0.3
✕Nate Spears 2010 · AAA	25	49→55	40→45	46→50	49	.235/.294/.332	.097	.278	6	8	18%	7%	76	+0.0	.223/.294/.346	.123	.266	12	10	20%	8%	79	+0.3	.213/.290/.342	.129	.258	13	10	22%	9%	76	+0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)