Alan Sanchez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 31 | INTLTomateros de … | 129 | .241/.307/.267 | 0 | 3 | 65 | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTLTomateros de … | 43 | .275/.326/.300 | 0 | 1 | 82 | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 37 | .235/.278/.294 | 0 | 0 | 59 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 211 | 195 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 246 | 286 | 338 | 625 | 92 | 287 | 16 | 5 | 274 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 112 | 107 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 264 | 346 | 609 | 103 | 281 | 15 | 3 | 266 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 371 | 335 | 114 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 56 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 340 | 383 | 436 | 819 | 96 | 395 | 15 | 6 | 354 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 128 | 117 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 280 | 291 | 571 | 60 | 281 | 16 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 469 | 415 | 129 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 78 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 311 | 380 | 424 | 804 | 113 | 372 | 17 | 10 | 355 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 65 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 231 | 302 | 532 | 95 | 289 | 28 | 3 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 170 | 158 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 304 | 353 | 361 | 714 | 57 | 369 | 16 | 6 | 324 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 97 | 92 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 370 | 389 | 457 | 846 | 87 | 458 | 20 | 2 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 384 | 337 | 102 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 53 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 303 | 372 | 395 | 766 | 92 | 351 | 14 | 9 | 338 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 203 | 191 | 67 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 351 | 377 | 524 | 900 | 173 | 416 | 17 | 4 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 410 | 374 | 119 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 58 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 318 | 367 | 422 | 790 | 104 | 365 | 14 | 7 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 197 | 176 | 53 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 301 | 369 | 438 | 807 | 136 | 371 | 21 | 9 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 106 | 95 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 279 | 263 | 542 | 53 | 278 | 22 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 193 | 179 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 326 | 436 | 762 | 151 | 309 | 15 | 5 | 333 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | INTL | Mexico | — | 111 | 103 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 282 | 327 | 301 | 628 | 19 | 326 | 13 | 6 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 129 | 116 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 241 | 307 | 267 | 574 | 26 | 272 | 11 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 43 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 326 | 300 | 626 | 25 | 355 | 21 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 37 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 294 | 572 | 59 | 320 | 24 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 211 | 199 | 46 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 257 | 302 | 559 | 70 | 279 | 19 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 112 | 108 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 245 | 324 | 570 | 93 | 277 | 20 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 371 | 341 | 111 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 70 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 326 | 358 | 396 | 753 | 70 | 385 | 19 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 469 | 434 | 119 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 98 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 274 | 317 | 357 | 674 | 83 | 340 | 21 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 170 | 162 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 272 | 306 | 321 | 627 | 49 | 342 | 21 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 384 | 352 | 92 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 66 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 261 | 305 | 330 | 634 | 68 | 306 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 410 | 388 | 109 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 70 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 281 | 308 | 353 | 661 | 72 | 328 | 17 | 3 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 193 | 183 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 253 | 333 | 586 | 109 | 240 | 18 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 211 | 199 | 46 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 257 | 302 | 559 | 70 | 287 | 19 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 211 | 195 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 246 | 286 | 338 | 625 | 92 | 287 | 16 | 5 | 274 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 112 | 108 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 245 | 324 | 570 | 93 | 282 | 20 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 112 | 107 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 264 | 346 | 609 | 103 | 281 | 15 | 3 | 266 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 499 | 461 | 149 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 95 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 323 | 354 | 390 | 744 | 67 | 398 | 19 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 499 | 452 | 141 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 77 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 312 | 356 | 398 | 754 | 86 | 366 | 15 | 6 | 329 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 495 | 135 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 112 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 273 | 316 | 352 | 667 | 79 | 346 | 21 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 478 | 142 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 96 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 297 | 361 | 408 | 769 | 111 | 362 | 18 | 9 | 341 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 251 | 68 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 55 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 271 | 309 | 319 | 628 | 48 | 347 | 21 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 267 | 250 | 82 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 328 | 366 | 396 | 762 | 68 | 401 | 18 | 5 | 341 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 540 | 142 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 102 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 263 | 305 | 337 | 642 | 74 | 318 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 587 | 528 | 169 | 29 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 88 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 320 | 373 | 441 | 815 | 121 | 374 | 15 | 7 | 355 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 575 | 162 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 104 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 282 | 309 | 358 | 668 | 77 | 335 | 17 | 3 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 607 | 550 | 172 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 99 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 313 | 368 | 427 | 795 | 115 | 367 | 16 | 8 | 351 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 106 | 95 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 279 | 263 | 542 | 53 | 278 | 22 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 106 | 95 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 279 | 263 | 542 | 53 | 278 | 22 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 304 | 290 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 243 | 321 | 564 | 103 | 244 | 17 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 304 | 282 | 80 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 284 | 327 | 387 | 713 | 103 | 315 | 14 | 5 | 317 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 129 | 116 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 241 | 307 | 267 | 574 | 26 | 272 | 11 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 129 | 116 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 241 | 307 | 267 | 574 | 26 | 272 | 11 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 43 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 326 | 300 | 626 | 25 | 355 | 21 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 43 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 326 | 300 | 626 | 25 | 355 | 21 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 37 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 294 | 572 | 59 | 320 | 24 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 37 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 294 | 572 | 59 | 320 | 24 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 211 | 202 | 46 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 228 | 257 | 297 | 554 | 69 | 279 | 19 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 112 | 109 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 245 | 321 | 567 | 92 | 277 | 20 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 499 | 474 | 149 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 95 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 314 | 354 | 380 | 734 | 65 | 385 | 19 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 498 | 135 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 112 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 271 | 316 | 349 | 665 | 78 | 340 | 21 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 251 | 68 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 55 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 271 | 309 | 319 | 628 | 48 | 342 | 21 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 549 | 142 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 102 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 259 | 305 | 332 | 637 | 73 | 306 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 579 | 162 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 104 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 280 | 309 | 356 | 665 | 76 | 328 | 17 | 3 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 304 | 291 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 243 | 320 | 563 | 103 | 240 | 17 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3436 | 3204 | 857 | 104 | 29 | 23 | 155 | 639 | 12 | 78 | 39 | 267 | 304 | 340 | 643 | 72 | 327 | 19 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -163 | +0 | +0 | -37 | +74 | -12.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 162 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 121 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 267 | 303 | 337 | 639 | 69 | 327 | 19 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -31 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 193 PAwOBA .327 → .248 (−79)K% 14.5% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.51% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.15% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 2.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.52% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.95% | ÷1.200 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.32% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 140, 3B 112, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .327 → .248; ISO .151 → .102; BABIP .309 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 410 PAwOBA .335 → .289 (−46)K% 14.1% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.15% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.61% | ÷1.085 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.06% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×0.992 | 27.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.75% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.992 | 3.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.135 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.992 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.121 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.18% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 98, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .335 → .289; ISO .104 → .077; BABIP .365 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 384 PAwOBA .329 → .279 (−50)K% 13.8% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.80% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.092 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.17% | ÷1.086 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 25.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.28% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.190 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 117, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .329 → .279; ISO .092 → .075; BABIP .351 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 170 PAwOBA .316 → .275 (−42)K% 16.5% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.47% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.47% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.54% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 29.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 3.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.244 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 112, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .316 → .275; ISO .057 → .048; BABIP .369 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 469 PAwOBA .344 → .293 (−51)K% 16.6% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.63% | ÷0.948 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.120 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.67% | ÷1.067 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 28.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.75% | ÷1.167 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 3.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.287 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 113, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 90, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .344 → .293; ISO .113 → .085; BABIP .372 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 371 PAwOBA .347 → .323 (−24)K% 15.1% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.09% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.69% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 33.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.221 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 104, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .347 → .323; ISO .096 → .072; BABIP .395 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 112 PAwOBA .259 → .237 (−22)K% 15.2% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.18% | ÷0.931 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.68% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 1.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.118 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 92, K 86, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .259 → .237; ISO .103 → .083; BABIP .281 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 211 PAwOBA .267 → .242 (−25)K% 15.6% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.64% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.21% | ÷1.169 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.84% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 3.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 93, BB 134 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .267 → .242; ISO .092 → .077; BABIP .287 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .