Davis Bradshaw — OGILVIE

Davis BradshawOF Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 28 L/R 6'2" / 175 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .293 / .343

PA136

HR3

K%25

BB%7

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	106	97	29	3	2	0	6	19	3	15	1	299	358	371	730	72	372	18	6	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	106	93	35	4	3	0	10	13	3	15	1	376	453	484	937	108	438	12	9	420	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	229	48	5	2	0	5	58	7	6	3	210	249	249	498	39	281	23	2	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	225	58	7	2	0	8	44	7	6	3	258	303	307	610	49	320	18	3	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	206	56	4	4	1	10	40	9	8	8	272	333	345	678	73	329	18	4	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	201	60	7	4	1	15	31	9	8	8	299	373	388	761	90	345	14	7	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	375	339	94	13	2	1	20	75	9	13	6	277	334	336	671	59	351	20	5	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	375	329	100	14	3	1	29	56	9	13	6	304	375	374	749	70	361	15	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	335	307	85	7	3	4	15	79	11	3	4	277	333	358	692	81	360	24	4	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	335	299	94	10	4	3	23	59	11	3	4	314	384	405	789	90	382	18	7	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A	2 teams	—	85	78	20	1	1	0	5	18	1	5	2	256	310	295	604	38	333	21	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A	2 teams	—	85	76	24	1	1	0	7	13	1	5	2	316	381	355	736	39	381	15	8	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	MIA	—	136	123	29	5	1	3	10	34	2	2	1	236	304	366	670	130	290	25	7	289	79	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIA	22%	194	175	40	7	1	4	14	48	3	3	1	229	297	349	645	120	290	25	7	290	80	-4	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	MIA	34%	254	229	52	9	1	5	19	63	4	4	1	227	298	341	638	114	289	25	7	290	80	-6	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.2
2027	29	MLB	MIA	22%	42	38	8	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	211	286	316	602	105	285	24	7	276	69	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	MIA	34%	86	79	17	3	0	2	6	21	1	1	0	215	279	329	608	114	284	24	7	276	69	-3	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	128	117	25	4	0	3	9	31	2	2	0	214	281	325	606	111	265	24	7	276	69	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	126	20	0	15	46	157	10	10	0	212	280	322	602	109	263	24	7	276	69	-23	+2	-5	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1960	1783	453	54	17	18	104	434	49	59	27	254	313	334	647	80	325	22	5	285	76	-53	+1	-3	-12	+56	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	151	18	6	6	34	144	16	20	9	255	313	337	650	81	327	22	5	285	76	-18	+0	-1	-4	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	106	93	35	4	3	0	10	13	3	15	1	376	453	484	937	108	438	12	9	420	179	+10	+3	—	—	+3	1.5
2019	21	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	225	58	7	2	0	8	44	7	6	3	258	303	307	610	49	320	18	3	272	67	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.2
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	201	60	7	4	1	15	31	9	8	8	299	373	388	761	90	345	14	7	342	120	+5	-2	—	—	+6	1.0
2022	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	101	84	24	6	0	0	13	20	2	5	0	286	390	357	747	71	375	20	13	342	120	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	274	245	76	8	3	1	16	36	7	8	6	310	369	380	749	69	357	13	6	334	114	+4	-1	—	—	+8	1.1
2023	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	34	31	9	0	1	0	2	5	1	0	0	290	353	355	708	65	346	15	6	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	301	268	85	10	3	3	21	54	10	3	4	317	388	410	798	93	387	18	7	360	134	+11	-1	—	—	+9	1.9
2024	26	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	62	20	1	0	0	5	11	1	4	2	323	382	339	721	16	392	16	7	329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	26	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	16	14	4	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	286	375	429	804	143	333	12	12	358	132	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	264	5	4	230	294	349	-2	+0	-0.0	-0.0
	/162	664	13	11	230	294	349	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Bradshaw (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	227/293/343	116	290	3	2	25%	7%	79	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→49	45→55	51→50	46	224/286/348	124	283	13	11	25%	8%	76	+0.1	221/277/331	110	302	10	10	28%	7%	68	-0.5	222/274/316	94	328	5	9	32%	7%	59	-0.4
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	44	227/275/367	140	272	16	8	23%	6%	77	+0.1	246/294/368	122	287	12	7	18%	6%	85	+0.7	274/322/381	107	306	10	3	13%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	44	46→50	47→45	39	221/268/347	126	302	14	10	31%	6%	69	-0.4	233/281/382	149	336	17	10	34%	5%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	341	19	6	36%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	219/289/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	78	+0.2	228/294/355	127	284	12	8	23%	8%	82	+0.5	228/294/350	122	280	11	5	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA	28	42→52	44→45	52→50	48	209/281/326	118	261	11	10	24%	8%	69	-0.4	218/279/323	105	291	9	11	26%	7%	67	-0.5	218/281/312	94	292	7	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA	28	45→50	47→45	47→50	42	223/287/360	138	292	14	8	28%	6%	81	+0.4	238/310/381	143	299	14	9	24%	8%	95	+1.4	242/323/385	143	300	14	7	22%	9%	98	+1.1
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	47→50	43	236/289/345	109	300	11	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	236/300/346	110	323	12	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	237/305/328	92	327	11	5	29%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	42→44	48→50	47→45	45	216/276/361	145	270	15	8	26%	7%	76	+0.1	227/276/371	144	307	15	6	30%	5%	79	+0.3	223/271/368	145	302	16	3	31%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA	27	42→48	47→50	50	44	215/276/351	136	277	14	9	27%	7%	73	-0.1	233/285/386	153	310	18	9	29%	7%	86	+0.8	237/285/421	183	304	24	5	30%	6%	93	+0.4
✕Dustin Peterson 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	44→50	46→45	43	222/275/339	117	279	12	6	25%	6%	69	-0.4	206/264/350	144	277	18	7	32%	7%	68	-0.5	183/247/335	153	239	22	4	33%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Carlos Alvarez 2016 · AAA	28	47	42→45	46→45	53	227/309/340	113	273	9	8	19%	9%	85	+0.7	234/301/318	84	292	5	9	20%	7%	75	-0.0	236/302/296	60	298	2	7	20%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	44→43	43→50	52→50	42	219/268/334	115	281	10	13	26%	6%	65	-0.7	228/274/378	150	297	18	18	29%	5%	79	+0.3	223/268/384	160	285	20	22	29%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA	26	47→40	45	48→45	47	230/289/360	130	280	12	7	22%	7%	81	+0.4	215/276/324	109	281	9	6	25%	7%	66	-0.6	188/254/272	84	256	5	1	27%	7%	40	-1.4
✕Carlos Sosa 2011 · AA	29	46→52	45	47→40	44	228/283/350	122	302	12	7	28%	7%	76	+0.0	221/275/346	125	311	14	9	32%	6%	72	-0.2	232/275/339	106	319	13	9	30%	5%	66	-0.1
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2017 · AAA	28	49	42→40	46→40	47	238/289/337	99	281	10	8	19%	7%	74	-0.1	226/269/346	120	285	13	9	24%	5%	69	-0.4	198/225/312	115	252	12	0	27%	2%	37	-0.4
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Blake Gailen 2013 · AA	28	44	46→55	50	49	219/282/356	137	255	13	12	20%	8%	77	+0.1	229/295/382	153	252	16	12	16%	8%	89	+1.0	216/293/365	150	234	17	9	16%	10%	83	+0.2
✕Ricardo Gastelum 2013 · AAA	29	45	45→40	46→40	46	226/279/347	121	265	13	9	20%	6%	73	-0.1	209/264/321	112	289	11	8	30%	5%	60	-1.0	165/217/275	110	231	9	3	32%	4%	25	-0.9
✕Emerson Frostad 2010 · AAA	27	43→47	43→50	44→40	47	214/279/332	117	273	10	4	25%	8%	69	-0.4	216/266/312	96	268	7	5	21%	6%	58	-1.2	213/257/297	83	262	5	2	20%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Casey Benjamin 2009 · AAA	28	45→52	44→45	50→45	49	224/286/340	116	269	12	6	21%	8%	74	-0.1	211/287/315	104	273	10	7	25%	9%	69	-0.4	188/279/270	82	246	7	4	24%	10%	53	-0.9