Davis Bradshaw — OGILVIE

Davis BradshawOF Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 28 L/R 6'2" / 175 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .293 / .342

PA11

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	20	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	106	93	35	4	3	0	10	13	3	15	1	376	453	484	937	108	438	12	9	420	170	+9	+3	—	—	+2	1.4
2019	21	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	225	58	7	2	0	8	44	7	6	3	258	303	307	610	49	320	18	3	272	71	-9	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	201	60	7	4	1	15	31	9	8	8	299	373	388	761	90	345	14	7	342	118	+5	-2	—	—	+5	0.8
2022	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	101	84	24	6	0	0	13	20	2	5	0	286	390	357	747	71	375	20	13	342	118	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	274	245	76	8	3	1	16	36	7	8	6	310	369	380	749	69	357	13	6	334	112	+4	-1	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	34	31	9	0	1	0	2	5	1	0	0	290	353	355	708	65	346	15	6	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	301	268	85	10	3	3	21	54	10	3	4	317	388	410	798	93	387	18	7	360	130	+11	-1	—	—	+7	1.7
2024	26	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	62	20	1	0	0	5	11	1	4	2	323	382	339	721	16	392	16	7	329	109	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	16	14	4	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	286	375	429	804	143	333	12	12	358	128	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	20	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	106	97	29	3	2	0	6	19	3	15	1	299	358	371	730	72	368	18	6	322	104	+1	+3	—	—	+2	0.6
2019	21	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	229	48	5	2	0	5	59	7	6	3	210	249	249	498	39	273	24	2	216	32	-20	+0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	206	57	5	4	1	10	41	9	8	8	277	338	354	692	78	325	18	4	297	87	-3	-2	—	—	+5	-0.0
2022	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	101	89	23	5	0	0	9	25	2	5	0	258	340	315	655	56	364	25	9	298	88	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	274	250	70	7	2	1	11	48	7	8	6	280	328	336	664	56	333	18	4	293	84	-5	-1	—	—	+6	0.0
2023	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	34	32	8	0	1	0	1	6	1	0	0	250	294	312	607	62	307	18	3	266	66	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	301	275	77	8	2	3	14	73	10	3	4	280	338	356	694	76	359	24	5	303	91	-3	-1	—	—	+7	0.2
2024	26	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	63	18	1	0	0	4	15	1	4	2	286	338	302	640	16	357	22	6	276	73	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	26	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	16	15	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0	200	250	333	583	133	268	19	6	259	61	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2018	20	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	106	97	29	3	2	0	6	19	3	15	1	299	358	371	730	72	372	18	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	—	106	93	35	4	3	0	10	13	3	15	1	376	453	484	937	108	438	12	9	420	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	229	48	5	2	0	5	59	7	6	3	210	249	249	498	39	282	24	2	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	225	58	7	2	0	8	44	7	6	3	258	303	307	610	49	320	18	3	272	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	206	57	5	4	1	10	41	9	8	8	277	338	354	692	78	337	18	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	201	60	7	4	1	15	31	9	8	8	299	373	388	761	90	345	14	7	342	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	375	339	95	13	2	1	20	73	9	13	6	280	337	339	676	59	352	19	5	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	375	329	100	14	3	1	29	56	9	13	6	304	375	374	749	70	361	15	8	336	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	335	307	85	8	3	3	15	79	11	3	4	277	333	352	685	75	363	24	4	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	335	299	94	10	4	3	23	59	11	3	4	314	384	405	789	90	382	18	7	356	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A MLE	2 teams	—	85	78	21	1	1	0	5	18	1	5	2	269	321	308	629	38	350	21	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A RAW	2 teams	—	85	76	24	1	1	0	7	13	1	5	2	316	381	355	736	39	381	15	8	334	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	106	96	29	3	2	0	6	19	3	15	1	302	358	375	733	73	368	18	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	247	233	48	5	2	0	5	59	7	6	3	206	249	245	494	39	273	24	2	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	228	207	57	5	4	1	10	41	9	8	8	275	338	353	690	77	325	18	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	375	343	95	13	2	1	20	73	9	13	6	277	337	335	672	58	341	19	5	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	335	306	85	8	3	3	15	79	11	3	4	278	333	353	686	75	354	24	4	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A MLE	2 teams	—	85	79	21	1	1	0	5	18	1	5	2	266	321	304	625	38	340	21	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	335	306	85	8	3	3	15	79	11	3	4	278	333	353	686	75	354	24	4	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A MLE	2 teams	—	85	79	21	1	1	0	5	18	1	5	2	266	321	304	625	38	340	21	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		290	27	9	288	81	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIA	22%	194	175	40	7	1	4	14	48	3	3	1	229	297	349	645	120	290	25	7	290	82	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIA	22%	42	38	8	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	211	286	316	602	105	282	24	7	272	82	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	38	8	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	211	286	316	602	105	259	24	7	272	78	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	123	15	0	15	46	155	15	15	0	209	283	311	594	102	258	24	7	272	78	-14	+3	-5	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1581	1441	377	42	15	9	76	340	43	53	25	262	318	330	648	69	335	22	5	284	78	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	155	17	6	4	31	140	18	22	10	262	318	331	649	69	336	22	5	284	78	-14	+1	-4	-4	+14	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Bradshaw (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	227/293/342	115	290	3	2	25%	7%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	44→45	48→45	40	223/273/341	119	304	12	10	30%	6%	72	-0.7	233/284/375	142	336	15	10	34%	6%	85	+0.2	232/278/378	146	339	17	6	35%	5%	82	-0.0
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→51	44→50	51→50	47	222/287/337	115	283	11	11	25%	8%	77	-0.3	221/280/328	107	301	9	10	28%	7%	72	-0.7	223/273/312	90	329	4	9	32%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	141	273	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	246/296/363	117	287	12	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	272/321/371	98	305	8	3	13%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA	28	42→52	43→45	52→50	48	209/281/324	115	260	11	10	24%	8%	72	-0.7	215/277/316	101	289	8	11	27%	8%	68	-1.0	212/275/299	87	288	6	12	27%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA	28	45→47	44→45	47→50	42	220/285/343	123	290	11	8	27%	6%	78	-0.3	229/300/362	133	293	12	9	25%	8%	88	+0.4	227/305/358	130	286	11	7	23%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	220/290/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	81	-0.1	228/294/351	123	282	11	8	22%	8%	83	+0.1	228/295/343	115	278	10	5	21%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA	27	45→44	44→50	50	40	223/281/350	126	282	11	11	24%	5%	78	-0.3	229/279/377	148	283	16	7	25%	4%	84	+0.1	223/275/375	152	272	18	7	25%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	47→50	51→45	43	210/271/357	147	279	13	9	29%	7%	76	-0.4	211/281/340	129	269	10	8	24%	8%	76	-0.4	205/288/337	132	247	11	3	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	43→45	48→50	47→45	45	216/279/362	146	271	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.1	228/279/366	138	304	14	6	29%	6%	81	-0.1	224/272/360	136	300	14	3	29%	5%	75	-0.4
✕Ka'ai Tom 2022 · MLB	28	40→48	47→50	49→50	45	204/289/345	141	273	15	6	30%	8%	80	-0.1	204/284/332	128	289	14	10	32%	8%	76	-0.4	183/265/307	125	261	14	10	34%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA	28	43→47	46→45	46→40	41	212/268/343	131	299	12	6	32%	7%	72	-0.7	208/269/331	123	295	12	4	32%	8%	69	-0.9	196/260/310	114	275	12	1	32%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Carlos Sosa 2011 · AA	29	47→52	44→45	47→40	44	228/284/345	117	298	11	7	27%	7%	78	-0.3	223/280/340	117	308	12	9	30%	7%	75	-0.5	250/296/344	94	335	10	9	27%	5%	78	-0.0
✕Blake Gailen 2013 · AA	28	44	45→55	50	50	217/282/344	127	254	11	12	19%	8%	77	-0.3	225/292/370	145	249	15	12	16%	8%	86	+0.3	215/293/360	145	233	16	9	16%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA	27	43→50	45	50	44	213/275/342	128	274	12	9	26%	7%	74	-0.6	228/280/367	139	310	15	9	30%	6%	81	-0.1	229/275/383	154	304	20	5	31%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Ricardo Gastelum 2013 · AAA	29	47	44→40	46→40	47	230/286/347	116	273	12	9	20%	7%	79	-0.2	213/271/319	106	293	9	8	29%	6%	68	-1.0	168/222/269	101	238	6	3	31%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Carlos Alvarez 2016 · AAA	28	48	41→45	46→45	52	230/309/337	108	275	8	8	19%	9%	86	+0.3	239/307/322	83	296	5	9	20%	8%	81	-0.1	245/311/305	60	306	2	7	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	40→50	46→50	53→50	44	203/272/339	136	279	13	13	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/292/342	129	305	11	10	31%	9%	80	-0.1	208/300/341	134	297	10	4	31%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Kevin Reese 2006 · AAA	28	49→50	45	52→50	48	241/301/374	133	277	10	13	17%	7%	91	+0.6	236/298/346	110	277	10	11	18%	6%	83	+0.1	233/296/323	90	274	9	9	18%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2017 · AAA	28	49	41→40	46→40	48	237/290/333	96	283	9	8	20%	7%	76	-0.4	224/272/339	115	285	11	9	24%	6%	72	-0.7	189/217/288	99	245	9	0	27%	3%	35	-0.6