Alain Camou2B Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 150 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .271 / .301
PA86
HR1
K%26
BB%7
ISO90
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.4+$6M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Padres 240213 561211 21332 106 263335343677 80302 149 301 89
202218 ROKDSL Padres 240201 671521 33222 106 333432443875 109365 914 389 156
202319 ROKACL Padres 186165 35900 16521 22 212286267552 55304 289 248 48
202319 ROKACL Padres 186157 451300 24351 22 287385369754 83363 1913 339 118
202420 A2 teams 115107 14110 4190 01 131162159321 28154 173 148 -29
202420 A2 teams 115106 19220 5140 01 179216236452 57200 124 199 10
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBSD 8679 17311 6221 10 215279316596 101283 267 262 58 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBSD 34% 149137 30612 10381 21 219277321598 102285 267 273 67 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
202824 MLBSD 46% 269246 551025 19682 31 224285341626 118287 257 281 73 -8 +0 +0 +1 +8 0.1
202925 MLBSD 52% 345314 711327 25863 41 226289347637 121287 257 286 77 -9 +0 +0 +1 +10 0.3
203026 MLBSD 54% 396361 811528 29993 52 224288343631 119288 257 289 80 -9 +0 +0 +1 +11 0.4
202723 MLBSD 34% 5147 10201 4130 10 213275319594 106282 258 264 60 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202824 MLBSD 46% 124113 26512 9311 21 230293345638 115283 257 272 66 -5 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.1
202925 MLBSD 52% 178162 36713 13441 21 222284333617 111284 257 277 70 -6 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.0
203026 MLBSD 54% 215195 43814 16532 31 221286333620 113284 257 279 72 -7 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 568517 11522310 421414 83 222286335621 112285 257 275 69 -20 +0 +0 +2 +16 -0.1
/ 162G 650592 13125311 481615 93 221285329615 108284 257 275 69 -23 +1 +0 +2 +18 -0.2
Career 17861622 359691024 13041713 2714 221284321605 99280 237 273 67 -66 -0 +0 +6 +51 -1.0
/ 162G 650590 1312549 471525 105 222285324609 102281 237 273 67 -24 +0 +0 +2 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Padres 240201 671521 33222 106 333432443875 109365 914 389 156 +15 -0 +7 2.2
202319 ROKACL Padres 186157 451300 24351 22 287385369754 83363 1913 339 118 +4 -0 +5 0.9
202420 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 2017 1000 110 00 5911159170 59 55 80 -80 -4 +0 +1 -0.4
202420 ALake Elsinore Storm 9589 18220 4130 01 202237270506 67231 144 224 29 -8 -0 +3 -0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
3654128225285342+2+30.30.4
/162664128+2.4+3.00.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alain Camou (OGILVIE) 22 212/271/301 89283 11 26% 7% 58 -0.2
Christopher Familia
2022 · A
22 42 38→55 47→45 43 200/270/285 85279 410 28% 7% 54 -1.4 212/277/365 153274 195 29% 6% 79 +0.3 203/266/37717425524231%6%72-0.1
Ashton McGee
2021 · A
22 41 39→45 50→40 41 194/258/283 89288 55 33% 7% 48 -1.9 196/284/305 109362 114 44% 10% 66 -0.6 177/274/28410733412245%11%53-0.8
Livan Soto
2022 · AA
22 36→46 40 50 41 181/235/274 93246 811 29% 6% 36 -2.7 225/291/315 90302 79 26% 8% 70 -0.3 236/307/320843107824%9%76+0.0
Anthony Seigler
2021 · A
22 42→39 37→50 49→55 47 199/276/274 74283 56 29% 9% 53 -1.5 192/289/301 109273 99 30% 12% 67 -0.5 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
Pratt Maynard
2012 · A
22 43 39→45 48→45 42 206/272/292 86305 75 33% 7% 56 -1.3 216/277/305 89275 75 22% 8% 62 -0.9 218/282/314952717421%8%63-0.4
Jamodrick McGruder
2014 · A
22 40→46 37→45 52→50 46 194/262/260 66258 510 26% 8% 43 -2.2 216/290/317 101275 710 22% 9% 70 -0.3 216/298/32410827161021%10%71-0.2
Daniel Schneemann
2019 · A
22 38→48 40→50 50 43 185/251/280 94271 86 33% 8% 44 -2.1 209/267/297 88289 79 28% 7% 55 -1.4 226/305/375149299151328%10%88+0.7
Raynel Delgado
2022 · A
22 37→47 39→40 47→60 37 183/237/265 83279 713 36% 6% 34 -2.8 212/279/307 95299 818 30% 7% 63 -0.8 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
Michael Cruz
2018 · A
22 40 40→55 48→30 48 196/276/284 88244 75 22% 8% 57 -1.2 213/266/361 148243 174 20% 6% 72 -0.2 187/252/33414721519123%6%58-0.5
Addison Barger
2021 · A
21 41→45 39→55 49→45 44 198/267/288 90270 65 28% 7% 53 -1.5 217/280/375 158316 197 36% 7% 82 +0.5 220/290/39217226920626%8%86+0.6
Carlos Soto
2021 · A
22 42 41→50 47→30 41 206/265/302 96286 95 30% 6% 56 -1.3 194/271/313 119274 113 31% 9% 62 -0.9 169/256/29112223212031%10%49-0.8
Carlos Luis
2022 · A
22 43→51 39→45 45→40 39 208/254/297 89301 65 32% 6% 49 -1.8 230/279/332 102311 103 28% 6% 69 -0.4 232/283/33310030910127%6%68-0.3
Mike Papi
2015 · A
22 37→47 41→45 50→45 49 186/264/279 93248 97 28% 10% 50 -1.7 199/277/309 110280 105 30% 9% 63 -0.8 211/294/33712628114428%10%76+0.1
Grant Witherspoon
2019 · A
22 40→45 41→50 52→50 36 194/244/288 94292 89 35% 5% 43 -2.2 197/248/299 102283 1012 32% 6% 47 -1.9 215/275/371156290201432%7%75+0.0
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Chris Meyers
2022 · A
23 40→44 42→55 51→45 45 198/266/301 103259 911 26% 7% 56 -1.3 220/277/364 144296 176 30% 6% 78 +0.2 223/282/38015729120330%6%81+0.3
Dom Thompson-Williams
2018 · A
23 42→48 37→55 46→50 43 202/254/276 73268 59 26% 6% 43 -2.2 232/279/403 171335 2015 35% 5% 89 +0.9 216/262/392176317221538%5%76+0.0
Adrian Del Castillo
2023 · A
23 36→43 44→50 52→40 42 187/249/306 120252 127 30% 7% 51 -1.7 207/278/346 139286 153 31% 8% 73 -0.1 222/289/40218028122128%8%91+0.6
Blake Hunt
2021 · A
22 41 39→50 49→40 43 198/254/288 90263 66 26% 6% 47 -1.9 192/251/307 115278 124 34% 6% 52 -1.6 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
Franklin Tineo
2017 · A
22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0